Many bettors don't realize this initially, but divisional matchups are a lot different than regular contests. These teams know each other extremely well, so anything can happen.
Remember when the woeful Dolphins upset the eventual Super Bowl champion Patriots on Monday Night Football a few years ago? How about the dreadful Bears sweeping the vastly superior Packers last season?
Not convinced yet? Well, because anything can happen in divisional battles, it would make sense to bet a big underdog in such a matchup. Listed below are ATS records of coaches in divisional games where the spread was seven or more (since 2002). As usual, it's better to look at each situation than to bet something blindly.
Davis is doing a very good job, for a young first year guy. The likelihood the Steelers use their 1st on Safety, with David & Mitchell locked-in as #1 & 2, is virtually zero. And, the Steelers took Leveon Bell in the 2nd Round & they aren't lookin' for a replacement anytime soon. It seems your predictions are driven more by desire to see certain guys fall to certain teams, rather than desire to actually get the predictions right. Realistically, apart from early picks at OLB or ILB, everything else would be a Depth-at-Position pick.