NFL Betting Trends: Divisional Dogs of Seven

Many bettors don’t realize this initially, but divisional matchups are a lot different than regular contests. These teams know each other extremely well, so anything can happen.

Remember when the woeful Dolphins upset the eventual Super Bowl champion Patriots on Monday Night Football a few years ago? How about the dreadful Bears sweeping the vastly superior Packers last season?

Not convinced yet? Well, because anything can happen in divisional battles, it would make sense to bet a big underdog in such a matchup. Listed below are ATS records of coaches in divisional games where the spread was seven or more (since 2002). As usual, it’s better to look at each situation than to bet something blindly.



Team
Coach
ATS Record as Divisional Dog of 7+
ARZ
Kliff Kingsbury
3-2
ARZ
Steve Wilks
1-2
ARZ
Bruce Arians
4-4
ARZ
Ken Whisenhunt
1-5
ATL
Arthur Smith
1-2
ATL
Raheem Morris
0-1
ATL
Dan Quinn
2-3
ATL
Mike Smith
3-3
BAL
John Harbaugh
4-2
BUF
Sean McDermott
2-3
BUF
Doug Marrone
2-1
BUF
Chan Gailey
4-2
BUF
Dick Jauron
4-5
CAR
Steve Wilks
1-0
CAR
Matt Rhule
2-3
CAR
Ron Rivera
5-2
CAR
John Fox
5-5
CHI
Matt Eberflus
1-2
CHI
Matt Nagy
1-3
CHI
John Fox
1-1
CHI
Marc Trestman
3-2
CHI
Lovie Smith
6-1
CIN
Zac Taylor
2-4
CIN
Marvin Lewis
7-8
CLE
Kevin Stefanski
0-1
CLE
Freddie Kitchens
1-1
CLE
Hue Jackson
2-7
CLE
Mike Pettine
2-3
CLE
Rob Chudzinski
0-2
CLE
Pat Shurmur
5-2
CLE
Eric Mangini
4-4
CLE
Romeo Crennel
3-5
DAL
Mike McCarthy
0-1
DAL
Jason Garrett
3-0
DAL
Wade Phillips
0-2
DEN
Nathaniel Hackett
2-0
DEN
Vic Fangio
2-4
DEN
Vance Joseph
1-2
DEN
John Fox
1-0
DEN
Eric Studesville
0-1
DEN
Josh McDaniels
0-2
DEN
Mike Shanahan
1-3
DET
Dan Campbell
2-1
DET
Matt Patricia
2-2
DET
Jim Caldwell
1-1
DET
Jim Schwartz
1-6
DET
Rod Marinelli
4-1
GB
Mike McCarthy
0-2
HOU
Lovie Smith
2-0
HOU
David Culley
2-2
HOU
Romeo Crennel
1-0
HOU
Bill O’Brien
0-2
HOU
Gary Kubiak
8-2
IND
Chuck Pagano
0-2
IND
Bruce Arians
0-1
IND
Jim Caldwell
0-2
IND
Tony Dungy
0-0
JAX
Urban Meyer
2-1
JAX
Doug Marrone
4-2
JAX
Gus Bradley
3-4
JAX
Mike Mularkey
1-0
JAX
Mel Tucker
1-0
JAX
Jack Del Rio
7-2
KC
Andy Reid
2-1
KC
Romeo Crennel
1-2
KC
Todd Haley
2-2
KC
Herman Edwards
6-3
LAC
Brandon Staley
1-0
LAC
Anthony Lynn
1-0
LAR
Sean McVay
2-0
LAR
Jeff Fisher
8-3
LV
Josh McDaniels
1-1
LV
Rich Bisaccia
0-1
LV
Jon Gruden
4-4
MIA
Mike McDaniel
2-0
MIA
Brian Flores
2-3
MIA
Adam Gase
2-2
MIA
PC Head Coach
1-1
MIA
Joe Philbin
0-2
MIA
Todd Bowles
1-0
MIA
Tony Sparano
2-1
MIN
Mike Zimmer
2-2
MIN
Leslie Frazier
2-4
MIN
Brad Childress
0-1
NE
Bill Belichick
0-2
NO
Sean Payton
3-0
NYG
Brian Daboll
2-2
NYG
Joe Judge
0-4
NYG
Pat Shurmur
0-2
NYG
Steve Spagnuolo
1-0
NYG
Ben McAdoo
1-1
NYG
Tom Coughlin
4-0
NYJ
Robert Saleh
3-2
NYJ
Adam Gase
2-5
NYJ
Todd Bowles
3-4
NYJ
Rex Ryan
7-2
NYJ
Eric Mangini
2-1
OAK
Jack Del Rio
2-1
OAK
Tony Sparano
2-4
OAK
Dennis Allen
1-4
OAK
Hue Jackson
1-0
OAK
Tom Cable
4-3
OAK
Lane Kiffin
0-3
PHI
Andy Reid
4-3
PIT
Mike Tomlin
4-0
SD
Mike McCoy
4-2
SD
Norv Turner
4-2
SEA
Pete Carroll
3-3
SEA
Jim Mora Jr.
0-1
SEA
Mike Holmgren
2-0
SF
Kyle Shanahan
2-4
SF
Chip Kelly
0-3
SF
Jim Tomsula
1-2
SF
Jim Harbaugh
0-1
SF
Mike Singletary
1-0
SF
Mike Nolan
5-2
STL
Steve Spagnuolo
1-7
STL
Jim Haslett
0-2
STL
Scott Linehan
0-2
TB
Bruce Arians
1-0
TB
Dirk Koetter
3-3
TB
Lovie Smith
3-1
TB
Greg Schiano
0-3
TB
Raheem Morris
4-4
TB
Jon Gruden
0-1
TEN
Mike Vrabel
1-0
TEN
Ken Whisenhunt
0-2
TEN
Mike Munchak
1-2
TEN
Jeff Fisher
4-4
WAS
Ron Rivera
2-1
WAS
Jay Gruden
2-3
WAS
Mike Shanahan
1-2
WAS
Jim Zorn
3-2
Total Record
266-270





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NFL Betting Trends:

NFL Betting Trends: NFL Preseason Coaching Records
NFL Betting Trends: Random NFL Trends
NFL Betting Trends: Divisional Rivalry History
NFL Betting Trends: Beating the Champ
NFL Betting Trends: Coming off a Bye
NFL Betting Trends: Divisional Dogs of Seven
NFL Betting Trends: Divisional Revenge
NFL Betting Trends: First Loss
NFL Betting Trends: Former Coaches
NFL Betting Trends: Hello, Good Bye
NFL Betting Trends: Hello, Good Bye II
NFL Betting Trends: Home Shutout
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NFL Betting Trends: Mid-Season Coaching Fires
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NFL Betting Trends: Pacific Teams on the East Coast
NFL Betting Trends: Post-Close Road Wins
NFL Betting Trends: Post-Monday Night
NFL Betting Trends: Second Road Game
NFL Betting Trends: Winning Streak Snapped
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