Westgate SuperContest NFL Picks





Westgate SuperContest NFL Picks: Week 15 Analysis



For those of you who don't know what the Westgate Supercontest is, it's the largest NFL handicapping contest in the world (at least that I know of). It requires a $1,500 entry fee, and more than 1,800 people have entered this season. Each player is required to make five NFL picks against the spread each week, and the player with the most correct picks (pushes count as half of a win) at the end of the season prevails. Grand prize will be about $900,000, and the top 50 are in the money. You have to enter this in Las Vegas at the Westgate sportsbook, and you need a proxy in Vegas to submit your picks, thanks to stupid American gambling laws. If you're interested and need a proxy, let me know; I have a very trustworthy proxy who can help you out.

Anyway, I thought it would be interesting to review the picks from the top five contestants each week. Here they are:






Included seven contestants because third through seventh are tied right now.

Here are the multiple picks in the top seven:

Multiple Picks: BAL 5, TB 4, DEN 3, DET 3, SD 3, ATL 2, CIN 2, GB 2, PIT 2, TEN 2



Here's how teams with multiple top-five picks performed the past seven weeks:

6x Picks: 0-1
4x Picks: 0-3
3x Picks: 7-9
2x Picks: 20-20-2

If you're betting the Ravens or Bucaneers, good luck! Teams with four or more picks are 0-4 ATS since Week 8.

I talked to Matvei on Tuesday, and he marveled at how square the top of the leaderboard is. Most of the top-10 contestants have just been picking public sides all year. In fact, someone in the top 10 (not sure who) was dead last in 2015! This fits the gambling trends this year, as this season happens to be the Year of the Square. Vegas has lost a ton of money this season.

As for my entry, I'm going with TB, DET, CHI, IND, DEN. I have explanations for all of these on my NFL Picks page. I'm 36-31-3 on the year, currently nine points behind so wish me luck! Or, if you hate me, you can wish me good luck as well because it doesn't matter; I'm too behind with too few weeks remaining. And to think, I was tied for 12th after Week 8...





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