Westgate SuperContest NFL Picks





Westgate SuperContest NFL Picks: Week 11 Analysis



Updated Nov. 18, 2017


For those of you who don't know what the Westgate Supercontest is, it's the largest NFL handicapping contest in the world (at least that I know of). It requires a $1,500 entry fee, and more than 1,800 people entered last season. There is also a Gold version of the contest, which has a $5,000 entry fee. Each player is required to make five NFL picks against the spread each week, and the player with the most correct picks (pushes count as half of a win) at the end of the season prevails. Grand prize will be about $900,000, and the top 50 are in the money. You have to enter this in Las Vegas at the Westgate sportsbook, and you need a proxy in Vegas to submit your picks, thanks to stupid American gambling laws. If you're interested and need a proxy, let me know; I have a very trustworthy proxy who can help you out.

Anyway, here are the top selections this week:



The Supercontest consensus was a miserable 17-28 heading into Week 10. The Bills, Jaguars and Redskins were the top three picks, yet they all lost. The Jets did, too, though the Rams prevailed. As a result, the consensus is now 18-32.

As for this week, the Eagles, Patriots and Lions are getting lots of selections this week because they are -3.5, -6.5 and -2.5 in the contest, as opposed to -6, -7.5 and -3 in real life, so the contestants are just making value picks.






Here are my picks for the regular contest:



My entries for the Gold contest are the same:





Let's get to some notable selections. The top three players from a week ago were: GRAND DRAGON (28-12), PHD SPORTS (28-12) and BKSF (27-13). Here were their picks:

BIOSOFT GLOBAL: NYJ TEN NYG NE CAR (2-3)

BIOSOFT SPORTS: CHI TEN NO DET NE (3-2)

BKSF: MIN CIN CLE ATL DEN (3-2)

The top three entrants in the Supercontest are now 53-67 in the past eight weeks, which makes sense because of regression to the mean.



Atop the leaderboard now are BIOSOFT SPORTS (34-15-1), GRANNYSBOY (33-15-2) and BIOSOFT GLOBAL (33-15-2). Here are their picks:

BIOSOFT SPORTS: TB NO LAC DEN NE

GRANNYS BOY: DET JAX DEN DAL ATL

BIOSOFT GLOBAL: DET KC NO LAC NE

Like I said last week, I think Biosoft Global and Biosoft Sports are the same person. They have similar records, and most of their selections are the same this week. Either way, his double picks were 1-1 last week. This week, his double picks are the Saints, Chargers and Patriots - three teams I have multiple units against! Denver is also a double pick between Biosoft and Granny's Boy, which is bad news for me because that's my top pick this week.





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