These are my 2012 NFL Betting Props. I did well with the team props last year (4-3, +$325), but bombed with the player props. Some of my over plays got hurt, plus the 2011 season was weird because of the lockout. Hopefully that's better in 2012.
2012 NFL Betting Props: Teams
Cincinnati Bengals: Under 8 Wins
I discussed why I hate the Bengals this year in my NFL Power Rankings. For the lazy crowd, Andy Dalton really regressed at the end of last year and it appears to have carried over into 2012.
Betting 2 Units (-140) on Bovada
Cleveland Browns: Under 5 Wins
The Browns are the worst team in the league. I can't see them winning six or more games. They're a disaster.
Betting 3 Units (-110) on 5Dimes
Jacksonville Jaguars: Under 5.5 Wins
I won with the Jaguars Under 6.5 last year, and I plan on doubling up. Blaine Gabbert is scared of getting hit. I can't see Jacksonville winning six games with him.
Betting 2 Units (-120) on Bovada
Miami Dolphins: Under 6.5 Wins
The Dolphins were my biggest play last year, and that's once again going to be the case. They're absolutely terrible. How the hell can they possibly win seven games if they couldn't do that last year with Brandon Marshall, Vontae Davis and a healthy Jake Long?
Betting 4 Units (-115) on Bovada
Philadelphia Eagles: Under 10 Wins
The Eagles have been overrated for two years because of that ridiculous Monday night blowout against a Washington team that gave up. Philadelphia just isn't very good, and it only helps our cause that the starting quarterback will be out for at least four games.
Betting 2 Units (-130) on 5Dimes
San Francisco 49ers: Under 10 Wins
The 49ers were really lucky with many things last year. There's a good chance they're going to start 0-2 this season, so we'll get to see what they're truly made out of. Regardless, I don't see them getting to 11-plus victories.
Betting 2 Units (-145) on Bovada
2012 NFL Betting Props: Players
For some reason, I haven't seen any real player props posted anywhere (aside from "most passing yards" and whatever). Maybe this is for the best. If I see any, I might post some.
I can't imagine the Pats trading JG for anything less than a 1st round pick. We're talking about a potential starting/franchise QB here who is game ready, looked great when he had the chance to play. He is probably a better prospect than any QB in this draft class. Given the fact that Brady is 39 and nobody knows for sure how many more years he decides to play, the Pats may want to hang onto him for at least another season while he's still under contract. I can't see the Pats giving him up cheap and I can see teams in need of a QB giving up a mid-late 1st round pick. Considering what some teams have given up just to move up a few spots in the draft for a QB, a 1st round pick seems pretty reasonable.