Open Rants by Grizzly

4.27 Final Bears specific Big Board and Ideal Draft
Published at 4/27/2016
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Bears specific Big Board. This is a board that ranks players the
Chicago Bears should take 1 -31. Of course they pick 11th, but they
could also trade down. Chances are some on this board will be
available for the Bears pick early in the second round as well. In my
opinion there are three key factors to building a board such as this:
1) Need, 2) Money ( rookie deals are significant savings) We know that
average salaries rank QB, Rush, WR, LT etc.

Based on the first two criteria logically the more expensive positions
have a premium to draft because the estimated 2016 salary at number 11
is 2,368,521. The third criteria is valuing plug and play positions,
in other words if we choose my number one rated QB (Wentz) or Goff we
save a bundle, but they are sitting behind Cutler. Therefore choosing
a player who should be an immediate starter (Hargraves, Tunsil,
Elliott, Stanley etc) has a significant value as well. You might have
figured out based on this I rate the injured players like Smith, Jack,
Lawson Fuller slightly lower than others, However, I am a big fan of
Fuller (as are Walt and Charlie) and specifically with the Bears
because of the intangible of chemistry, pairing him with his brother
could pay huge dividends.

Let's look at what I consider the Bears biggest needs. Generally it is
defense and particularly the front seven, the back four,and QB. RBand
WR are also areas of need. The other consideration is appraising this
drafts strengths and weaknesses. Fortunately it is a deep and
exceptional draft in our specific needs. My opinion is the weaker a
draft is the more a team should opt for the best player available and
the stronger and deeper it is at a teams specific needs the focus
should be more on need as opposed to best available. Finally character
and leadership are also factors

1)  Tunsil  zero chance he will be there.
2)  Wentz zero chance
3)   Ramsey no chance
4)   Buckner slight chance
5)   Stanley chance
6)   Bosa slight chance
7)   Goff slight chance
8)   Elliott chance
9)   Lynch good chance
10) Jack chance
11)  Hargraves
12)  Conklin
13)  Dodd
14)  Lawson
15)  Floyd
16   Robinson
17)  Treadwell
18)  Decker
19) K Fuller  Perhaps Charlie Campbell and I are alone in this high
opinion (Charlie has him higher than Ramsey!)
20) K Joseph
21) Apple
22) WB Jackson
23)  Braxton Miller. Miller is a freak and could save a roster spot if
you make him a 3'd QB too or he could be on Special Teams
24)  R Henry
25) Spence
26)  H Henry
27) Coleman
28) Burns
29) Ogbah
30) Spriggs

My ideal draft strategy : A) Trade from 11 to 15 and hijack a second
round from Titans. This is possible due to two factors 1) the rich
price Titan’s received and 2) Titan’s could wait too long to make the
trade and have the market dry up. Particularly if a third LT is taken
before us this trade could happen.
Option B) Trade down with Colts for the 2nd as they are desperate for
a top LT also. Option C Jets trade up with us for Lynch.

Now armed with a 1st and 2 seconds Our strategy is dependent on the
board naturally. Suppose we pick between 17 and 31 depending on how
the CB’s are coming off the board we should be able to get Fuller with
our 2nd, The question is where does Joseph come off and I think it
will be earlier than forecast perhaps with Arizona. However I think we
are safe until then so trade down a few more and take him. Our 2nd 2nd
rounder and 3’d we take either a DE and OLB there should be plenty of
good ones and our secondary is set for years. Fourth round (we could
have three if we trade down twice) and 5th we take TE, OL, RB or QB.
WR with the rest.

Of course if say Buckner or Bosa drop to us all bets are off…..

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