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2021 NFL Mock Draft by RTORRES27 – 2.0
Published at 4/8/2021 2:58:31 PM
Mock Rules: Trades allowed. Focus: Predict what will happen at the Draft
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They are on a prime position to find a future franchise QB and improve from Gardner Minshew. Lawrence has much deserved hype since his freshman year and is a complete QB. He has great prototype (size, arm, mobility) and is a proven winner against top competition. He is a Day 1 starter as he has advanced understanding of a pro offense.
Jets traded Darnold and Watson has current off-field problems so it seems that they will pick a QB here. According to most of the experts Wilson will be the pick.
Wilson is mobile, instinctive and has a cannon arm. I am not so confident on him because he is bad under pressure and wasn’t challenged during his breakout season. BYU didn’t play against elite competition and facing Sean McDermott, Bill Belichick and Robert Saleh defenses twice a year would be much harder. His potential is unquestionable.
San Francisco were aggressive and made a move to upgrade on Garoppolo, considering that I don’t trust the Mac Jones rumors. He isn’t much different from Garoppolo because he is a limited athlete (arm and mobility).
It think Lance or Fields would be good high upside picks but I will go with Fields because he is proven against top competition and it’s something that Lance doesn’t have. Fields has great prototype and is a dual threat passer. Fields also has the accuracy and arm talent to make all NFL throws. He would be the QB1 on most recent classes.
TRADE with ATL - Considering that SF paid 2 first and 1 third for 1000 points (12th to 3rd) and MIA paid 1 first for 400 points (12th to 6th). Denver would need to give Atlanta major draft capital to beat teams like New England, Carolina, Las Vegas and Chicago. The cost to move form 9th to 4th is 450 points so 1 first and 1 third would be the minimum price Atlanta would ask.
Denver has one of the better rosters on the NFL and will pick much lower next year so they could see this year as a chance to get a future franchise QB. Drew Lock hasn’t convinced and Trey Lance has higher upside. Lance is athletic, has the needed arm strength and accuracy. The problem is that he lacks experience because he only played for 1 season and it was against bad teams. He is a high risk high reward a project and I could see Drew Lock playing for some time until Denver finishes developing their raw diamond.
Cincinnati’s season was destroyed by Joe Burrow’s injury. If he comes back healthy, Bengals fans should be optimistic about the future.
It’s obvious that they need to protect properly their QB and the run for QBs earlier puts Cincinnati on a prime position to pick the best OL prospect since Quenton Nelson. I think it would be a no brainer here, they could add some playmakers on Day 2.
After trading out of the third pick the staff made clear that they believe on Tua and that QB won’t be their pick. When they traded with Philadelphia, they gave us some clues about their plans. They moved behind Cincinnati so they don’t expect Penei Sewell to be available and if they wanted to pick a WR they could stay at 12th because one of Chase, Waddle or Smith would probably be available there. I don’t think Rashawn Slater would be the focus because it think he wouldn’t be picked on the top 10 by other franchises.
The only option left is Kyle Pitts. He has mismatch ability and versality to do different roles on offense. Pitts is valued by many as the best non QB prospect of the class and possesses offense changing ability to justify the trade that Miami did.
It seems that 4 QBs will go on the top 5 so Detroit is probably planning to build their culture this year and add their future QB in 2022. With the talent that they have I think that they will have a top 5 pick in 2022.
Detroit should pick the best player available and they are lucky that the best player on the board would fill one of their main needs. I think seventh overall is a decent range to draft an elite WR. Chase would be a day 1 featured receiver and the best offensive weapon in Detroit, Kenny Golladay wouldn’t be missed with this pick. Chase was so good that he was constantly compared with prospects from historical 2020 WR class that had players 1 or 2 years older than him.
Carolina added Sam Darnold and won’t pick a QB this year now their focus is to fill their major holes.
They lack CB talent and Surtain is the best CB of the class. Surtain is bigger than most corners and combines that with excellent technique. This allows him to cover most of his opponents consistently.
TRADE with DEN - Atlanta made a good use of the demand for their pick and added draft capital to rebuild the roster. They restructured Matt Ryan’s contract, this means that Ryan has high dead cap and it wouldn’t make sense to draft a QB at 4th.
Carolina was smart and took Surtain before their division rivals in revenge of Atlanta choosing to trade the 4th pick with them. Atlanta goes to their second option instead. Their OL is a big problem and Slater is versatile and could fill one of their holes. If he continues his development, he could turn into Jake Matthews replacement. Slater has been receiving massive praise by the media and seems to be rising on boards.
Dallas has a stellar offense but with that defense they could lose the division. They need more talent.
Horn was a big riser in 2020 because of his quality play on the SEC but still needs development. He could eventually be their CB1. He would be a reach at top 10 but Dallas hasn’t many options as they already have the best WR group on the NFL.
New York has a good roster and could be much more competitive this year. Their biggest needs are interior OL, EDGE and ILB. Of course they need to analyze Daniel Jones’ development. He is entering his third season and should have a last chance to impress.
I was considering giving Parsons to NY but I think the priority is to see what they have in Daniel Jones and the OL still lacks talent. Vera-Tucker is an athletic and versatile OL that has been highly considered by scouts. I’m wondering why Giants haven’t invested in one of the top EDGE free agents instead of adding Golladay. This EDGE class lacks top tier talent.
Philadelphia did a great job trading back because they aren’t ready to compete and need draft capital. On this scenario they hit the jackpot because they can choose between the two standout Alabama receivers.
Lat year they wanted CeeDee Lamb but had to stay with Jalen Reagor. He has potential but the rest of the WR group is horrible. I rate Waddle higher than Smith because of Smith’s size concerns. Waddle would be a great help to Hurts because he is able to create explosive plays and can be used on many alignments to make an offense unpredictable.
Chargers are doing a great job building their roster, the signings of Matt Feiler and Brian Bulaga will be difference makers.
Darrisaw would add even more talent to the group as he has the makings of a future franchise LT.
TRADE with MIN - Minnesota has a talented roster and didn’t have a standout pick to make so they make a trade with teams that are targeting 2 good Alabama players that are falling on this mock. The move from 17th to 14th costs 150 points so a third round pick should be enough to make the deal happen. New England should be interested on Smith so Las Vegas needs to pick before them.
I don’t think Mac Jones would be an improvement from Derek Carr, DeVonta Smith should be the target for Las Vegas. He would make a great pair with his former teammate Henry Ruggs III because both are excellent playmakers that can generate separation and help the offense. Smith had a historical Heisman season and many will wonder how he is only the WR3 of the class. The problem is that Smith has size limitations like Marquise Brown, his projection to the professional game is difficult because it requires great physical strength. Another good angle to match Smith with the Raiders is that Gruden and Mayock love players from high profile schools.
I expect New England in contention for the 2 QBs that aren’t picked on the Top 3. They could trade with Atlanta but the price might be too high. If Mac Jones is the last QB remaining on the green room, I expect New England to be patient and let him reach their pick.
Mac Jones would be a fine pick at 15th. He is smart, accurate and produced against top competition. I expect him to turn into a competent QB if he goes to New England. Jones is below the other first round QBs, he lacks athleticism and arm talent, so his chances of becoming a franchise QB are much smaller.
Arizona doesn’t have many needs so they could go best player available. I know that they selected Isaiah Simmons last year but both players are versatile and capable of making big plays on defense. Parsons would be a steal at this pick.