I'm not going to pretend to have amazing insight here. Lawrence to the Jags is a lock barring a pre-draft injury.

Wilson fits the profile of a Joe Douglas QB more than Justin Fields. The Sam Darnold experiment is (perhaps unfairly) over in New York.

Why would the Dolphins trade out of pick 3 and forfeit giving Tua the best WR in this draft? It's a "sexy mock draft trade" that doesn't make real-life sense. Unlike...

***TRADE***
SF gets #4 pick from ATL
ATL gets #12 pick & SF's 2022 1st rd pick

Matt Ryan stays in Atlanta, who slides back 8 spots and still lands a premium talent at a position of need (while picking up an extra #1 in 2022). Meanwhile, the 49ers jump to #4 and grab their next QB, as the Jimmy G experiment appears to be a wash by the bay.

Outside of QBs, no pick makes more sense for any team in Round 1 than Penei Sewell to the Bengals. An anchor LT for the next decade, Cincy finally addresses Joe Burrow's protection in a big way - and they won't be done with O-linemen early in this draft.

I toyed REALLY hard with Kyle Pitts here, but Philly needs outside help and a tackle-breaking threat if they're serious about giving Jalen Hurts a shot.

Much like Philly, Detroit needs a true WR1 with Golladay gone to the Giants and the WR corps suddenly depleted. The Cheetah gives Jared Goff a serious burner on the outside.

I'll be honest - I don't know if Trey Lance is a sure-fire answer at QB. Micah Parsons is a safer pick at a position of need for Carolina. But the chance to stand pat and take a QB here is too great for the Panthers to pass up.

Another potential Micah Parsons landing spot, but Denver can't pass up addressing the CB position with the top prospect at the position. Farley will cover WR1s by midseason.

The only thing that makes me think Jerry Jones won't be seduced by Kyle Pitts here is the ability to take a legacy corner with top-10 talent. Still, wouldn't be shocked to see Pitts go here if available.

***TRADE***
AZ gets #11 pick from NYG
NYG gets #16 pick & 2022 2nd rd pick from ATL

The Giants can drop back a few picks and still get a premium EDGE or O-line talent, and pick up an extra 2nd in 2022. Arizona can't resist the opportunity to snag another lethal option for Kyler Murray, building a supremely scary offense.

(see trade info w/ SF at Rd 1 Pick 4)
The Falcons' trade down works splendidly, as they land a top-3 CB in Jaycee Horn to address a primary need. They also have two 1st rounders in 2022 to play with.

The Chargers pick up a massive tackle in Christian Darrisaw to up the protection for blossoming star Justin Herbert.

***TRADE***
WAS gets #14 pick from MIN
MIN gets #19 and #74 picks from WAS

Minnesota can trade down and still address the O-line or EDGE. Meanwhile, Washington has to beat Chicago (and potentially New England) to the punch on the last 1st rd QB in this draft, and they do so.

It's almost unfair that a supremely gifted LB falls into Belichick's lap at #15, but that's exactly what happens here. Micah Parsons walks into New England with a chip on his shoulder, and that's scary.

(see trade info w/ AZ at Rd 1 Pick 11)
The trade down doesn't hurt the Giants, who snag the edge rusher they likely would've taken at #11. Adding an additional 2nd rounder in 2022 is a bonus.