⇐ My Mock Drafts
Recent Rumors Based and Solutions Oriented Mock Draft
Published at 4/7/2020 6:33:13 PM
I read around on Bleacher Report (I know, I know) and saw Matt Miller post an article about recent draft intel he's hearing. This mock will be based some off of that and a few ideas of my own, including solutions for teams with players wanting trades.
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Cincinnati may listen to offers for this pick and see if anyone is willing to blow them away, but the most likely scenario is them selecting Heisman Trophy winner Joe Burrow. The Ohio native had arguably the best season ever for a college QB, tossing for just under 5700 yards to go along with 60 TD passes (compared to just 6 INTs). He's got poise in the pocket, accuracy, mobility, leadership ability and confidence. Hope is alive for the Bengals and their fans for the first time in a while.
See above with the Redskins also being willing to listen to offers, but most likely picking Chase Young with this pick. The former Ohio State Buckeye should thrive regardless of which scheme he's in, and can post double digit sacks as a rookie like both Bosa brothers did when they came out of Ohio State. He and Montez Sweat would be a great duo of bookend rushers for the 2020s.
Dolphins get: Pick 3
Lions get: Picks 5 and 39 (2nd round)
Surprised it's not Tua? Well, Oregon's Justin Herbert may have more fans in the Dolphins war room at the moment. Not trusting the teams behind them, Miami decides to move up two spots to get its guy. Herbert has excellent size, a great arm and solid mobility. He even plays the part of a future NFL franchise QB at times, but has struggled with consistency at Oregon.
Pick number four sounds like a two-horse race between Iowa offensive tackle Tristan Wirfs and Isaiah Simmons, the very athletic hybrid beast defender. To break the tie, I decided to go with Isaiah Simmons since new coach Joe Judge comes from New England where they love players who can line up all over. Plus the Giants do have guys like Dexter Lawrence and Dalvin Tomlinson up front to keep Simmons clean and let him cause havoc at all three levels. A former safety, Simmons is excellent both on blitzes and in coverage. One common comparison I see for him is a bigger version of Derwin James.
Barring Chase Young being available at 3 (if he is, by all means, take him), bouncing back two spots is a very smart move for the Lions knowing they can still get who they want. Detroit entered free agency with a need at corner across from a solid option. It's still that way now, except with Desmond Trufant in place of Darius Slay. Ohio State has become the new DB U in recent years, putting out prospects like Marshon Lattimore, Malik Hooker, Gareon Conley and others. Jeff Okudah has the potential to be the best of the bunch.
Surprise, surprise? Perhaps the Chargers are blowing smoke, but their preference may be Jordan Love, the polarizing QB prospect out of Mountain West school Utah State. His supporters believe he's a poor man's Patrick Mahomes who just needs a year or two of seasoning before being thrown to the wolves. Others believe he's vastly overrated and should be a second day pick at most. Regardless, it'll be fun to watch his development. I do think he'd get the chance to learn with the Chargers as they appear comfortable with Tyrod Taylor in 2020.
Jaguars get: Pick 7
Panthers get: Picks 9, 116 (4th round), a 2021 3rd round pick and a 2021 4th round pick (via Rams/Jaguars)
Minshew Mania gets thrown off the rails here, and the Jags trade up for Alabama's Tua Tagovailoa. Reports have it that while he'll still probably go high, NFL teams may not be as high on him as fans and national media members are. It doesn't sound like team interviews went great for him. There is also the serious hip injury he's coming off of, but all indications are he's ready to go. Hard to say if it'd be a bigger surprise to see Tua in Jacksonville or see him as the fourth QB off the board.
Auburn's Derrick Brown didn't have the best combine, but he's much better on film and it doesn't sound like he should drop too far as a result (if he does at all). Arizona could have eyes on him here at 8 from what I'm reading, and I think he'd be a very solid fit in their 3-4 scheme as a Calais Campbell type of player. I don't know if Brown will ever have that one outlier of 14.5 sacks in a season like Campbell once had, but I do think Brown can rack up 6 to 9 sacks per year and be excellent against the run. Wide receiver looked like a strong possibility here, but then the Cardinals fleeced the Texans for superstar DeAndre Hopkins. So now receiver is unlikely at this spot.
Rebuilding Carolina moves back two spots and is able to garnish three extra picks out of the deal. I very much like the move for them. To have any hope of competing in the NFC South, they need some help at cornerback, a position they're paper thin at after losing James Bradberry in free agency. Florida's C.J. Henderson is getting some top 10 hype, and with his size/speed/length/ball skills combination, it's easy to understand why.
Browns executives have to be pleasantly surprised with how the draft played out in front of them, having their choice of the top tackle prospects the draft class has to offer. They decide on the well-coached Tristan Wirfs out of Iowa, who have sent a lot of O-Lineman to the pros under the guidance of Kirk Ferentz. This Hawkeye blew up the combine, seemingly putting any notion to bed that he may have to move to guard at the NFL level. Now he could still play that spot, but he's a tackle all the way.
Values always seem to fall to the Jets in the first round for whatever reason. Everyone thought Jamal Adams was a steal in 2017 at #6 overall, a lot of people thought Sam Darnold was 2018's #1 overall QB and they got him at 3 and then some thought Quinnen Williams was the best player in last year's draft and they got him at 3. Jedrick Wills is a plug and play starting offensive tackle. He's played right tackle at Alabama protecting the blindside of Tua Tagovailoa, but he's got the necessary skill set to move over to left tackle at the NFL level.
Depending upon which three GMs you asked, you could get three different answers as to whom the top receiver in this draft class is. Henry Ruggs undoubtedly has the most speed as his 4.27 40 at the combine and game tape would allude to. He compares himself to Tyreek Hill and could open up the middle of the field for the likes of Darren Waller, Hunter Renfrow and Tyrell Williams.
Upgrading on a very good wide receiver like Emmanuel Sanders isn't easy, but the 49ers could be doing just that by adding Alabama's Jerry Jeudy to the mix. He likely won't live up to being as good as another Jerry (Rice) was for the 49ers, but he's the best route runner in this class and has more than enough speed to get down field. Jimmy Garoppolo will love having him to throw to.
Raiders get: Pick 14
Buccaneers get: Picks 19 (via Bears/Raiders) and 80 (3rd round)
Defensive tackle and wide receiver may be the top priorities for the Raiders in Round 1 if you believe the rumors. If they want the very athletic Javon Kinlaw to help create some interior pressure, I think they may have to move up from 19 to get him with Atlanta and Dallas lurking at 16 and 17. Even Denver could consider him at 15 if the top three receivers are gone. Tampa Bay has a plan, so they're willing to trade back for an extra 3rd round pick and allow the Raiders to move up here. Kinlaw was unstoppable at times in Senior Bowl practices. He could be an absolute monster in Las Vegas.
Blessed to see CeeDee Lamb still on the board, the Denver Broncos take no time to turn their draft card with his name on it in. Moving up for Drew Lock last year appears to be paying off, and adding him another receiver like this would only help further fuel his development. The only slight concern here is Lamb went up against awful Big 12 defenses on a regular basis, which could make him vulnerable to having to make an adjustment early. But you can bet on him making it in short order.
Rather than reach for a corner, the Falcons go with the top available pass rusher in this spot with K'Lavon Chaisson out of LSU. After a torn ACL in 2018, he came back in 2019 strong, showing off his prototypical athleticism and explosiveness. Atlanta did add Dante Fowler this offseason, but Takk McKinley hasn't been reliable since they selected him in Round 1 in 2017 while former first round pick Vic Beasley is now a Titan after disappointing in Atlanta. Maybe third time's a charm.