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Miami Moves Up To #1 - 4.2
Published at 4/2/2020 9:40:32 AM
Let's see what would happen if the Dolphins shock the world and move up to #1. I'm also projecting 5 other trades in Round 1, because, why not, it's a mock! Round 2 is also included, and you'll see where disgruntled Washington LT Trent Williams ends up. Feel free to skewer as you wish!
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TRADE! Yes, this would certainly be a stunning development! There was consistent chatter last year that the Dolphins could tank for Tua. Of course, Tua's injury changed things, not to mention that the team actually won a few games and ended up at #5. But they also have a ton of draft capital, and Burrow is such a fantastic prospect in his own right (and without the same injury concerns) that perhaps the Dolphins would consider a big move to land the LSU star. As for the Bengals, maybe they'd have interest in moving down to #5, picking up additional assets in the process, and taking a QB who would perhaps like to play in Cincy more than Burrow would. (Yes, Burrow said he would play there, but it was a tepid endorsement.)
So for the sake of this exercise, I have Miami giving up #5 and #18 overall, as well as a 2021 2nd round pick. Miami still has another 1st rounder at #26, as well two more 2nd rounders coming.
While I'm sure the Redskins will at least listen to offers here, at the end of the day, I think they stand pat and take Young, who is considered a man among boys among the defenders in this year's class.
TRADE! Miami's trade up would seem to put the Lions in a position where the most likely suitors to come up to this spot would be Cincy and LA. And while Cincy (like Miami before it when it was scheduled to pick 5th) could offer more capital, if they pass on Burrow to pick up more picks, I don't see them giving up significant assets to just turn around and take Tua. I think they could offer a package, don't get me wrong. But if LA offers #6 and #37, I don't see Cincinnati giving up more than that. Especially since they can just let Herbert fall to them at 5, and their coaching staff is very familiar with him from Senior Bowl week, where he did well.
So the Chargers get their face of the franchise, and a real shot in the arm as they try to compete with the Rams and, arguably, the Raiders in the LA market.
In my other 2 mocks, I've had the G-Men taking an offensive lineman. But in light of Evan Silva's 2nd mock, where he has the Clemson stud, I'm changing it up. While it's true that the offensive line could certainly use reinforcements, it's not like there couldn't be a quality player at that position available in Round 2. And Simmons would greatly help the defense, flying all around the field making plays. Silva is the most accurate mock drafter over the past couple of years, so let's go with this.
Bengals fans will ask themselves for years to come if this was the right move, and if Burrow is a star and Herbert isn't very good, it's not going to look good, not unless Cincy ends up with a great player at 18 or a great player with Miami's 2nd Round pick next year. I have my doubts about Herbert, as I've said. Still, there's obviously a lot that he brings to the table, and now the team has another pick at #18 to look forward to in this round as well.
Nice work by the Lions earlier, as they moved down to 6, still take Okudah, and they now have pick at #35 and #37 in the 2nd Round. This means that they have ammo to move back up into the 1st Round if an opportunity presents itself.
TRADE! With Simmons off the board, perhaps the Panthers could look to Derrick Brown, or one of the top offensive line talents. But I like Joe Marino's idea of a trade down. With the top 3 QB's already selected, I don't think the Panthers will be able to recoup a 2021 1st Round pick from this spot, certainly not from a QB (I just don't think Jordan Love has that kind of value). But perhaps a team could be willing to move up to nab what it sees as the top offensive lineman or the top WR in this class.
In looking at potential matches, I'm going with the Eagles as being a team that could realistically move up for Lamb here. We've seen Howie Roseman be very aggressive in the draft, just last year moving up to secure Andre Dillard. A speed WR is a critical need for this team, what with DeSean Jackson's injury history and Alshon Jeffery's injury history. (Not to menton that Alshon looked washed last season.) Lamb would seem to be a wonderful fit for what Philly needs both now and in the future. I thought about Ruggs instead--if we're talking about speed, I mean, come on--but I think Lamb has more to his game, while also having plenty of speed. As for the Panthers' compensation, I'll say the Eagles give up #53 overall, plus a 2021 2nd rounder.
The Cardinals could look at someone like Derrick Brown or even Javon Kinlaw here, but I think the chance to add a top-level OL guy will win the day. So who among Wirfs/Thomas/Becton/Wills gets the call here? I'll say Wirfs, given his 99th-percentile athleticism and much more ups than downs on tape.
TRADE! The Jaguars' window slammed shut, and now they obviously have so many holes to fill. If the board falls like this, I think a trade down where they get more picks makes sense. Meanwhile, a solid RT is very important as the Bucs try to get Tom Brady the best protection possible, and so a move up to take the polished Thomas makes a lot of sense. There is no guarantee that one of the top 4 OL guys will be there at #14, so the Bucs get aggressive. Thomas could also be a future LT option. I have the Jags getting #76 overall and a 2021 2nd rounder in this deal.
The run on offensive linemen continues here, as the Browns are in desperate need of a LT. So Becton or Wills? While Wills is the safer choice, don't forget that the Browns are heavy on analytics (again, with the departure of John Dorsey), and Becton is probably seen as the higher-upside pick. So Becton it is.
The Jets signed Breshad Perriman in free agency (after losing Robby Anderson), and now the addition of Jeudy would give Sam Darnold another receiving threat to go along with the reliable Jamison Crowder.
With both Lamb and Jeudy off the board, I think the Raiders would be OK with adding the absolute home run threat that is Ruggs. Heck, the late Al Davis probably would've seen Ruggs as the best WR available, so this pick feels very Raiders-y.
Brown has slipped a little from where some are commonly mocking him, though I've seen some scouts question whether his athleticism is elite enough for him to dominate in the NFL like he did at Auburn. Still, I'm giving him the nod over the likes of Javon Kinlaw here, and with the top 3 WR's all off the board, this feels like a solid pick for the Niners. An immediate DeForest Buckner replacement.
The Jags have moved down and are still able to select a very solid player in Kinlaw.
I've had Ruggs mocked here in my other exercises, but with the top 3 WR gone, I think Wills makes a ton of sense for a team that would like to play solid defense and run the ball as a big part of its offense. And with Garrett Bolles and Ja'Wuan James as the current starting tackles, it wouldn't hurt to add someone of Wills' talent to the mix. The team can look at corners or WR's in the 2nd Round if it so chooses.
I'm going to keep the same pick here as I have in my other mocks, and that's the explosive LSU pass rusher.