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SuperCheats Draft Competition: Warrior13 Penultimate Mock Draft
Published at 3/22/2020 4:30:35 PM
My Post Free Agency Mock Draft. 32 Selections, 32 Write Ups. How our competition works: 1 Point for slotting players to correct team OR correct pick number, no trade predictions. Makes doing the impossible a little easier. Good luck, Chosen One & Sanzano.
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Joe Burrow is as close to a guarantee as there has ever been for the #1 Overall Selection. The only way the Bengals don't draft Burrow is if they like Tua, as they should, a little bit more. That, or if they receive an astronomical offer from another team (which is unlikely). All signs point to Burrow being a Bengal.
We all know the Redskins want to trade out of this pick. They've been attempting to play hard ball with the Dolphins for roughly a month now, but the Phins aren't biting since they know the Redskins are much more likely to select Young (as everyone expects) than shocking us all by drafting Tua when they already have Haskins. Perhaps if they lowered their unrealistic expectations, the Phins would be willing to work out a deal with the Skins. But since that appears unlikely, odds are the Redskins will draft Young before teams call up the Lions (who will trade for much less).
If the Lions get stuck with the #3 Overall Selection, I feel this pick comes down to Okudah or Brown. Both will help the Lions continue to upgrade their downright disgraceful defense. Last time out, I had them going with Brown since he did great at the combine. I've decided to switch back to Okudah though, as I believe it's more likely the Lions will trade down and still have a shot at drafting him. Okudah will pair nicely with recent addition Trufant.
I don't think the Giants will get so lucky as to the Bengals, Redskins and Lions all staying put on draft night, allowing them to trade down for more draft capital. Since it appears they will selecting at #4, I'd have to imagine they will select who they believe is the best OL Prospect. Wirfs starred at the combine, and his ability to play multiple positions is the reason I have the Giants selecting him over both Becton and Wills. The latter two prospects will also be in play; it all will come down to who the Giants feel is the best one on their board.
Should the draft begins as most expect with Burrow & Young going first and second overall, respectively, I think the Dolphins will attempt to trade with the Lions to guarantee them getting Tua. The Lions just gave up CB Slay for only a 3rd & 5th, so I think they will be willing to make a deal. #5, #39 and #70 for #3 would give both teams a win/win: the Phins will get Tua, and the Lions will build more draft capital. The Lions could then draft Okudah at #5, or trade back again with a team looking to leapfrog the Chargers in order to nab Herbert.
The Chargers are in a very difficult spot after Free Agency. They severed all ties with Rivers, and they ultimately lost out on the Brady Sweepstakes. To make matters worse is their draft position, as a number of outcomes could occur that sees them not getting one of the Top 3 QB Prospects. Because of this, you'd have to imagine they will be trying to outbid the Phins for the #3 Overall Pick after Burrow & Young are selected to kick off the draft. Unfortunately, I can't see that happening when the Phins have so much more to offer. The Chargers will have to either stay put and pray to the high heavens that the Lions don't do a double trade back with a team looking to jump past the Chargers in order to steal Herbert, or look to trade with either the Giants at #4 or the Lions at #5 (much like the Bears did for Trubisky a few years back).
In my last mock draft, I had the Panthers selecting Wills to help protect Cam Newton. The very next day, the Panthers traded for Okung. Because of this trade and the fact that Newton won't be on the team next year, I feel the Panthers believe their O-Line is good enough for Bridgewater. With that thought in mind, I think the Panthers will select Brown to help bolster their D-Line. Brown will be a steal regardless of where he lands should he fall past #5.
In my previous mock draft, I had the Cardinals drafting Larry Fitzgerald's heir apparent in CeeDee Lamb. But since then, the Cardinals pulled of the heist of the ages by obtaining DeAndre Hopkins, the same who will undoubtedly be passed the torch once Fitz finally retires. Obviously, the need now is to protect Murray, and luckily for the Cards, they should have their pick of three of the top four OL Prospects. I decided to plug Becton here because Kliff Kingsbury loves athletic players; I also thought it would be funny to have such an enormous human being protect the somewhat smaller Murray.
I think a lot of the QB Needy Teams at the top of the draft should be worried about the Jaguars using both of their 1st Rounders to catapult themselves high enough to get Tua or Herbert. I can't really see them starting Gardner for an entire season, unless they are truly attempting to Lose 4 Lawrence. If they stay put and things unfold such as this, I can't see them not drafting Simmons. They have a huge need at LB, and Simmons could easily fill it.
The Browns have arguably had the best Free Agency. They've filled a number of needs, none more obvious than RT with the signing of Conklin. With one portion of their O-Line fixed, the Browns can use the #10 Overall Pick to fix Baker's Blindside. Luckily, at least two of the top four OL Prospects should still be available with all the QBs flying off the board. If it comes down to Wills or Thomas, I think the Browns will go with Wills. The young man looked to have an edge to him at the combine, and I think the Browns will like that.
I know most people have the Jets drafting either the final Top OL Prospects available or the second best CB - I've done the same in each of my previous mock drafts - but I've decided to switch things up. The Jets signed a number of O-Linemen in Free Agency, and though I personally don't believe any are really all that good, I believe the Jets think they are good options. Keeping that in mind, I went with Jeudy to give Darnold at true #1 Wide Receiver.
The Raiders have been incredibly active in Free Agency, but they've really only been addressing their defensive needs. I think this makes it even more clear that the Raiders will be selecting who they feel is the best WR available at #12, which remains their biggest need of all, to pair with recently signed Agholor. They could have their pick between Jeudy or Lamb if things falls right, but in this scenario, Jeudy is already off the board.
If both Jeudy and Lamb are off the board by the time the Niners select at #13, I can't imagine them drafting Ruggs to pair with Deebo. Samuels already has that elite speed and deep threat potential, so I can't see them adding Ruggs to give them basically the same. Instead, I believe it would be much more likely the 49ers add Henderson to help with their secondary woes.
If any of the Top 4 OL Prospects are still available by the time the Bucs pick at #14, they would be crazy not to draft them. Brady will need all the protection he can get as he continues to age, and it just so happens the Buccaneers' O-Line isn't their strongest suit. Thomas is an easy pick here.
Ever since the combine, it feels as though everyone is putting Ruggs to the Broncos at #15. He gives the Broncos a deep threat for Lock to throw to all day long, making him almost the perfect fit for them. Adding Ruggs to Sutton and Fant, along with Lindsay and Gordon, should give the Broncos on heck of a young offense.
I've been plotting an Edger Rusher to the Falcons for months now, but after they added Fowler to pair with McKinley, I don't believe they will select that given position at #16. Instead, I think they will continue to upgrade their D-Line by selecting Kinlaw to line up alongside Jarrett. What once was a horrible D-Line will now include the likes of Fowler, Kinlaw, Jarrett and McKinley. You can't do much better than that when healthy.