⇐ My Mock Drafts
Wesley's Mock 1.0
Published at 3/23/2016 12:03:22 AM
Obviously the NFL draft NEVER turns out the way we project it to. There's trades and surprises such as Julio Jones to Atlanta, or Dion Jordan to Miami. But you also get your Andrew Luck's and Jameis Winston's where you know where they will go. So this mock is trying to give you the idea, or feel of what this years draft will be like, considering past draft picks, who the coaches are, and previous patterns when drafting.
8247 Page Views | 0 Comments
The titans need a left tackle. Tunsil is the best left tackle in this draft. They want too much for the first pick, and no one is willing to give up so much to potentially draft the next Robert Griffin. This is a solid pick not anything flashy, Tunsil will need to add a bit of weight to his frame, he weighed in at 310 at the combine, but he should be able to mange 10 to 15 pounds. He has elite footwork and is athletic enough to play the spot. The titans will think about Jalen Ramsey but in the end the most important thing will be trying to protect Marcus Mariota.
It's a toss up, Goff or Wentz. Wentz has the size (6'6 237 and 10 1/2 inch hands), arm, and athleticism, in contrast Goff has the smarts, pin point accuracy (at times), and has competed at a high level for the last three seasons, unlike Wentz who had to play South Dakota State the past 4 years. Tough. Goff isn't as big as Wentz (6'3 210) and only had 9 inch hands. The both seem to be smart, but we haven't truly seen Wentz against NFL caliber players for more than a game. Go back and look at his tape and there are some good throws, and some bad ones. Goff although he had some poor games, managed to have a very successful career for a CAL team that was outmatched by the rest of the conference. Wentz feels like the better prospect, but Goff seems like the better player. It's really anyone's call, the Browns might as well flip a coin, unless a team trades up and takes the other.
Ramsey? No. Buckner? Nah. How about Bosa? I don't think so. The chargers have fallen in love with Myles Jack. He's so versatile they can use him anywhere on defense, and maybe offense too, San Diego has a need at linebacker, although it's not as glaring as the one on the D-line. But none the less they take the best line backing prospect since.....Aaron Curry? Remember when Curry went 4th to Seattle in 2009 out of Wake Forest and was deemed to be the "safest pick" in that draft? Well Jack has those same type of qualities. Put the two players numbers from the combine and Jack's pro day side by side and they almost look identical. Great intangibles don't always led to success, I feel Jack needs to be put in the right organization and in the right system, if not he could fall flat on his face. Jack has some red flags with his injuries and also he dropped out of school instead of finishing it out. Jack will go high because of his shear talent, but I'm not completely sold on him.
Jalen Ramsey is a BEAST. The fact that he falls to 4 means Dallas passes on their running back of the future in Ezekiel Elliott, to take a player who I believe will have a Charles Woodson like career in the NFL. I have him playing safety in Dallas and with his size, strength, and incredible ball skills Ramsey is my candidate for defensive rookie of the year. He's a ball hawk, put on the tape from the college football playoff against Oregon, and the tape of the 2013 National Championship vs Auburn. He's all over the field, unfortunately his teammates weren't in those games. He's by far the best player in the draft, but he falls (If you can really call it that) because teams above have more pressing needs.
*TRADE* (Jacksonville receive L.A. 2nd 3rd and 6th in 2016 and 2nd & 4th rounder in 2017)
As I said with the Goff pick at 2 these quarterbacks are pretty even. Weather or not Goff goes to Cleveland doesn't matter. LA trades up either way because even more so than Cleveland, the Rams NEED a QB. Jeff Fisher has a history of getting tall, strong quarterbacks. In Tennessee he drafted Vince Young, and behind him had Kerry Collins in St. Louis he's had Sam Bradford, and last year acquired Nick Foles. Every one of those quarterbacks are 6'4 and above which tells me Fisher wants Wentz more so than he wants Goff. Wentz compares similarly to Joe Flacco with his height and weight (6'5 237) compared to Flacco's (6'6 234). The both have the best arm in their respected draft classes, and both seem to be much quicker than what their frame says they should be.They also played against much lower level competition in college then the quarterbacks who went before them. Wentz being from North Dakota State, while Flacco coming from Delaware, compared to Goff from California, and Matt Ryan from Boston College. These too prospects compare favorably to those in the '08 class, and will probably both have similar careers to them as well. Wentz will be much more ready to win then Goff, a lot like Flacco. And Goff may have to wait a few years before being able to take his team to the playoffs. Overall it seems like a decent pick for the Rams.
Buckner is the most physically imposing player in the draft class (6'7 290) and fits very well in Baltimore as a 3-4 D End where their starter right now would be Brent Urban. The ravens certainly need to address this weakness and at 6 they do. Buckner has elite quickness for a man his size and that fits great on Baltimore's D-Line with two solid ones in Timmy Jernigan and Brandon Williams. Buckner compares to his teammate who was draft last year by the San Francisco 49ers Arik Armstead, who is about the same height and weight, really they could be twins. Armstead had a solid rookie year in San Fran and I expect the same from Buckner. Ozzie Newsome loves freaks and this is the ultimate freak in this draft, in a couple of years Buckner could be a big problem for anyone trying to block him.
SURPRISE! Chip Kelly goes ahead and drafts a player that makes absolutely no sense whatsoever considering they need help at corner, o-line, receiver, linebacker, and maybe even quarterback he takes Elliott away from the team that just let him go. Elliott ran a similar system that Kelly runs at Ohio State, but the niners already have Carlos Hyde. But it will probably take 2 or maybe 3 running backs just to get through the season with how awful that line is going to be next season.
Philadelphia is still trying to undo everything Chip Kelly did to their team. The Eagles cannot go next season with Leodis McKelvin, Eric Rowe, Nolan Carroll, and Ron Brooks as their corners. It may be a blessing in disguise that the niners took Ezekiel Elliott as now the Eagles can take Hargreaves who, although small, would be the undoubted #1 corner on the team. The secondary even with him looks like they will be taken advantage of considering the fact that they have to go up against Odell Beckham and Dez Bryant twice a year. The Eagles may want to take a corner in the second as well. Hargreaves has tremendous cover skills and seems to be the best true corner in this draft. So the Eagles won't delay taking him at this juncture.
Like Leonard Williams last season, the supposed safest pick in the draft drops. Teams don't like safe, they want explosiveness and upside. Bosa doesn't have elite speed or quickness off the ball, he does have a lot of size and strength though, and that's why Tampa takes him, he also doesn't have to go up against overly tough tackles in the division, (Terron Armstead, Michael Oher, and Jake Matthews). Bosa should be able to cause some trouble against teams within the division plus Tampa Added Robert Ayers to take some pressure off of Bosa, and added Brent Grimes in the secondary to give Bosa more time to reach the quarterback. This is a solid but not great pick for Tampa, although many people will consider it a steal.
Floyd is a true freak. He can play outside linebacker or be an edge rusher, his frame is similar to that of Randy Gregory's last year (6'4 240). The Giants draft him because they have a hole at outside linebacker, and they need someone who can do multiple things and use his athleticism to make up for the lack of help in the secondary. Floyd's best fit is at a outside linebacker in a 3-4 scheme, but the New York football Giants decide they need this guy. He's got some question marks and his motor, and the fact that he's already 23 but the freakish skills outweigh the downside and that's why the Giants feel the need to take Floyd at 10 overall.
Another potential top 10 pick falls. Stanley has a few question marks about his work ethic but what he did for Notre Dame on the field is undeniable. He has the ability to be a 10 to 15 year starter in the league. He has better size than Tunsil (6'6 320) but doesn't have as nimble feet as Tunsil. Stanley could end up being your Tyron Smith, or he could be your Greg Robinson it really depends on if the rumors of his work ethic are true, or if he's a hard worker that loves the game of football and wants to come to work everyday. He has the tools now he just needs to use them.
The Saints would sure love Treadwell or Coleman, but in recent years have been a little conservative and have tried to make solid picks, rather than a flashy ones. So they go with a solid defender in Robinson who you can put as a 3-4 END or a nose in New Orleans system. He was 6'4 307 lbs at the combine, but at Alabama was around 320, he probably lost weight so he could run faster at the combine. His problem in the NFL will be his pad level. Not getting low enough in the tape was his main problem, in college his athleticism and size made up for it, but in the NFL everyone is his size so he may have a little trouble starting out with. But for the most part he's got a great body for an interior lineman, and though he only ran 5.20 in the 40, he's more of a nose which is not bad for that spot.
Yet another Buckeye goes, the 4th in the top 15. Eli apple has more size than Mackensie Alexander, (6'1 200) compared to (5'10 190), and played in a stronger conference than William Jackson. He's got the tools to be an elite corner in this league but really needs to work on his footwork that at times looks more like a linebacker than a corner, he's tight in the hips and sometimes has trouble tracking the ball in the air. On the flip side he's a tremendous athlete that's only 20 years old. That being said Miami needs about 10 DB's out of this draft and it's hard to pick out the best player here so they go with the one with the most upside.
*TRADE* (Oakland receives Houston's 2016 3rd rounder and 2016 5th rounder)
Houston has been the big splash team of the off season, so why stop now, right? They've added Brock Osweiler and Lamar Miller to try to improve their offense and their seems to be only 2 receivers worthy of a first round pick. Treadwell is one of them and the Texans need to add a number 2 wide out to open up the field for DeAndre Hopkins. If they don't add a second receiver in this draft the Texans will be left with Cecil Shorts, and Jaelen Strong, who was recently arrested for possession of marijuana. Treadwell is by far the most talented of the bunch and it appears as though he could be pick from anywhere from 12-24 so this is within the area you could see him go off the board.
The Jaguars are in a great spot, they add another 2nd rounder from the trade from LA which would give them three picks in the top 50. The Jags added Prince Amukamara, Malik Jackson, TaShaun Gibson, Kelvin Beachum, and Chris Ivory in free agency. Not too bad but adding three more young prospects is impressive too. Jackson is long (6'1) and has good size for a corner at nearly 200 bills, he's another riser in the draft after a terrific showing at the combine, the Jags can afford to add a couple of questionable players because of all of their signings, Gus Bradley comes from Seattle, and likes big corners (Richard Sherman 6'3 and Brandon Browner were is 6'4) Jackson fits that bill better than any player in the draft. This also give Jacksonville an opportunity to move starting corner Aaron Colvin inside to cover the slot, where he fits more naturally.
Sheldon Rankins is considered to be the next Aaron Donald, similar height and weight. Detroit did re-sign Haloti Ngata but could use a second tackle next to him, think back to when the Lions made the playoffs two years ago when they had Suh and Fairley both were quick and physically dominant inside, the lions would like to bring that back. Rankins had a great final year at Louisville with 58 tackles and 6 sacks, as a defensive tackle those are good numbers. He also ran a 4.92 40 yard dash at 302 lbs. He's another D-lineman with elite quickness and is a quick twitch guy off the ball, which is quite rare for an interior lineman.