NBA – WalterFootball

NBA Picks Against the Spread

Walt — Tue, 07 Apr 2026 17:00:22 +0000

NBA Picks (Jan. 12-18) 3-1 (+$160)
NBA Picks (Jan. 19-25) 2-8 (-$1,010)
NBA Picks (Jan. 26-Feb. 1) 1-4 (-$875)
NBA Picks (Feb. 2-8) 1-2 (-$230)
NBA Picks (Feb. 9-15) 6-1 (+$1,220)
NBA Picks (Feb. 16-22) 1-4 (-$910)
NBA Picks (Feb. 23-March 1) 1-2 (-$595)
NBA Picks (March 23-29) 3-3 (-$340)
NBA Picks (March 30-April 5) 8-2 (+$40)
NBA Picks (April 6-12) 1-1 (-$72)

2025-26 NBA Picks: 27-29 (-$2,625)
2024-25 NBA Picks: 130-129-1 (+$215)
2023-24 NBA Picks: 155-130-1 (+$3,365)
2022-23 NBA Picks: 61-69-4 (-$1,400)
2021-22 NBA Picks: 73-60-3 (+$2,815)
2020-21 NBA Picks: 98-96-5 (+$1,045)
2019-20 NBA Picks: 47-46-1 (+$450)
2018-19 NBA Picks: 114-98-4 (+$3,550)
2017-18 NBA Picks: 63-66-2 (-$1,850)
2016-17 NBA Picks: 51-67-2 (-$4,620)
2015-16 NBA Picks: 93-95-6 (-$1,305)
2014-15 NBA Picks: 62-53-4 (+$250)
2013-14 NBA Picks: 59-51-4 (+$760)
2012-13 NBA Picks: 51-45 (+$1,180)
2011-12 NBA Picks: 38-46-1 (-$3,005)
2010-11 NBA Picks: 113-89-4 (+$2,690)
2009-10 NBA Picks: 116-98-4 (+$1,375)
2008-09 NBA Picks: 122-119-6 (-$2,280)
2007-08 NBA Picks: 104-88-8 (+$1,485)
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NBA Picks for the 2025-26 Season:

NBA Picks for Friday, April 10, 2026

Philadelphia 76ers at Indiana Pacers.
Line: 76ers by 7.5.
7:40 PM ET

The Pacers have once again put together a nonsense lineup tonight as they intend to tank. The 76ers are coming off some defeats and will be motivated to win.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.

Doc’s Sports has more free NBA picks for every single game.

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NBA Pick: 76ers 1H -7.5 -155 (1 Unit to win 0.59) – Kalshi

NBA Picks for Wednesday, April 1, 2026 (6-0, +$390)

Milwaukee Bucks at Houston Rockets.
Line: Rockets by 18.
8:10 PM ET

We usually have to wait until lineups are announced to see who’s tanking, but the Bucks already ruled out Bobby Portis and Myles Turner, and there might be others soon. The Rockets should win easily.

Player Prop: We’re going with Adem Bona over points + rebounds tonight. Bona is projected for 25 minutes tonight, and he has exceeded 14.5 points + rebounds in four of the six games in which he’s played 25-plus minutes. This is an incredibly easy matchup as well.

Adding Knicks -4.5 1H versus the Grizzlies.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Rockets 1H -6.5 -215 (1 Unit to win 0.46) – DraftKings — Correct; +$45
NBA Prop: Adem Bona over 14.5 points + rebounds -119 (1.19 Units to win 1) – DraftKings — Correct; +$100
NBA Pick: Knicks 1H -4.5 -199 (1 Unit to win 0.5) – DraftKings — Correct; +$50
NBA Pick: Raptors 1H -4.5 -187 on Friday (1 Unit to win 0.53) — Correct; +$55
NBA Pick: Celtics 1H -7.5 -189 on Friday (1 Unit to win 0.52) — Correct; +$50
NBA Pick: Rockets ML -114 on Sunday (1 Unit to win 0.88) – DraftKings — Correct; +$90

NBA Picks for Tuesday, March 31, 2026 (0-1, -$200)

Phoenix Suns at Orlando Magic.
Total: 225.5.
7:10 PM ET

I’m following the sharp action and betting the under. The Magic are having severe issues scoring yet again, while the Suns played last night and could have tired legs after traveling.

NBA Pick: Suns-Magic Under 225.5 -115 (2 Units to win 1.73) – DraftKings — Incorrect; -$200

NBA Picks for Monday, March 30, 2026 (2-1, -$150)

DeAndre Ayton Points + Rebounds.
Line: 22.5.
10:10 PM ET

Centers have dominated the Bullets. Just look at what Bam Adebayo did against them. On top of that, Luka Doncic is suspended, so that might mean more rebounding usage for Ayton. The best number is over 22.5 points + rebounds -125 at BetMGM.

I’m adding Thunder 1H -3.5 -207 (1 Unit) at DraftKings because it looks like the Pistons are mailing in this game by benching everyone.

I’m also adding the Lakers 1H -6.5 -192 (1 Unit) at DraftKings. The Bullets have also pulled most of their starters.

NBA Player Prop: DeAndre Ayton over 22.5 points + rebounds -125 (2.5 Units to win 2) – BetMGM — Incorrect; -$250
NBA Pick: Thunder 1H -3.5 -207 (1 Unit to win 0.48) – DraftKings — Correct; +$50
NBA Pick: Lakers 1H -6.5 -192 (1 Unit to win 0.52) – DraftKings — Correct; +$50

NBA Picks for Sunday, March 29, 2026 (-$240)

Jalen Brunson Points.
Line: 24.5.
7:40 PM ET

NBA sides have been a disaster this year with teams tanking, and then magically trying out of nowhere like the Jazz last night versus the Nuggets. We’ll concentrate on player props instead.

We’re fading another point guard versus the Thunder. The last time Jalen Brunson battled the Thunder, he scored 16 points. The best number is under 24.5 points -120 at DraftKings. You can Get $250 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.

NBA Player Prop: Jalen Brunson under 24.5 points -120 (2.4 Units to win 2) – DraftKings — Incorrect; -$240

NBA Picks for Friday, March 27, 2026 (1-1, -$95)

Utah Jazz at Denver Nuggets.
Line: Nuggets by 19.5.
9:10 PM ET

The Jazz just got blown out at home by the Bullets. They’re not a serious basketball team. The Nuggets are fighting for seed positioning, so they should be motivated to win this game.

Player Prop: We’re betting Josh Giddey under 15.5 points -104 at FanDuel. The line posted is -113, but FanDuel has three profit boosts up to $10 each, so it comes out to -104. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Nuggets -6.5 1H -247 (2 Units to win 0.81) – DraftKings — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Josh Giddey under 15.5 points -104 (1 Unit to win 0.96) – FanDuel — Correct; +$95

NBA Picks for Thursday, March 26, 2026 (1-0, +$95)

Sacramento Kings at Orlando Magic.
Line: Magic by 15.5.
7:10 PM ET

The Magic have now lost six in a row, so this is the ultimate get-right spot for them. The Kings are tanking, having lost three of their previous four games by 20-plus. The only exception was against the Nets, who are also tanking.

Player Prop: No player props today

NBA Pick: Magic -5.5 1H -210 (2 Units to win 0.95) – DraftKings — Correct; +$95

NBA Picks for Wednesday, March 25, 2026 (1-1, -$115)

San Antonio Spurs at Memphis Grizzlies.
Line: Spurs by 16.5.
8:10 PM ET

The Spurs should be able to win this game easily, and they’re motivated because they’re chasing the Thunder for the No. 1 pick. The Grizzlies, meanwhile, are tanking. They’re going to be missing 10 players tonight. I like the Spurs to win easily in the first half.

Player Prop: We’re going to the Lakers-Pacers game for our player prop. As mentioned on Monday, the Pacers have been destroyed by bigs. We’re betting DeAndre Ayton over points + rebounds. The best number is over 20.5 -103 at DraftKings. You can Get $250 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Spurs -5.5 1H -231 (2 Units to win 0.86) – DraftKings — Correct; +$85
NBA Player Prop: DeAndre Ayton over 20.5 points + rebounds -103 (1.03 Units to win 1) – DraftKings — No action; $0

Brooklyn Nets at Golden State Warriors.
Line: Warriors by 12.5.
8:10 PM ET

With DeAndre Ayton sidelined due to him being a wuss, we’re going to add the Warriors first-half wager over the Nets, who have a million guys sidelined tonight. The Warriors are chasing the No. 8 seed, which will give them two chances in the play-in round, so they should be trying hard tonight.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Warriors -2.5 1H -246 (2 Units to win 0.81) – DraftKings — Incorrect; -$200

NBA Picks for Monday, March 23, 2026 (1-1, -$110)

Indiana Pacers at Orlando Magic.
Line: Magic by 12.5.
7:10 PM ET

We haven’t had an NBA pick in a while, thanks to free agency and other factors. We’re jumping back on the Magic. They’ve lost four in a row, but they’ve battled nothing but playoff teams. This is a great bounce-back spot for them. We’re going to bet them to cover the first half.

Player Prop: The Pacers have been destroyed by bigs. We’re betting Paolo Banchero over points + rebounds. The best number is over 33.5 -124 at DraftKings. You can Get $250 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Magic 1H -7.5 -105 (2.1 Units to win 2) – DraftKings — Incorrect; -$210
NBA Player Prop: Paolo Banchero over 33.5 points + rebounds -124 (1.24 Units to win 1) – DraftKings — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Wednesday, March 4, 2026 (1-1, -$120)

Oklahoma City Thunder at New York Knicks.
Line: Thunder by 5.
7:10 PM ET

Both teams played last night, but the Thunder have the advantage because they rested some players, including Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. The Knicks, meanwhile, will be missing Mitchell Robinson, which is a big loss against Chet Holmgren. I like that the superior team was saving itself for this game.

Odds Boost: FanDuel and DraftKings are giving us profit boosts. We’re going to use those on Jalen Brunson under points. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Thunder -5 +107 (2 Units to win 2.14) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Jalen Brunson under 24.5 points +100 (0.5 Units to win 0.5) – FanDuel — Correct; +$50
NBA Player Prop: Jalen Brunson under 23.5 points +119 (0.25 Units to win 0.3) – DraftKings — Correct; +$30

NBA Picks for Wednesday, Feb. 25, 2026 (0-1, -$250)

Sacramento Kings at Houston Rockets.
Line: Rockets by 14.
8:10 PM ET

I don’t think anyone’s had worse luck than us this NBA season. We had Phoenix First Half +3.5 last night, and the Celtics hit a shot toward the end of the second quarter to lead by four heading into intermission. We’ll try again with the Kings first-half line. Sacramento has shown signs of life, covering its previous two games, while the Rockets are coming off a blowout win and have some tougher games on the horizon, including one tomorrow versus Orlando.

NBA Pick: Kings First Half +8.5 +101 (2 Units to win 2.02) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Alt Line Pick: Kings First Half +3.5 +220 (0.5 Units to win 1.1) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$25
NBA Alt Line Pick: Kings First Half +3.5 +229 (0.25 Units to win 0.57) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$25

NBA Picks for Tuesday, Feb. 24, 2026 (0-1, -$225)

Boston Celtics at Phoenix Suns.
Line: Celtics by 6.5.
9:00 PM ET

I’m so sick of seeing my teams implode in the second half. If we’ve bet the first-half lines, we’d have a much better record right now. I’m going to stick to first-half lines from now on, which makes sense if we’re taking these crappy underdogs because they’ll have less time to implode. One such crappy underdog is the Suns. I don’t see the Celtics going 100 percent here, given that they’re coming off a win over the Lakers and have some tougher games on the horizon.

Odds Boost: FanDuel is giving us a 25-percent boost, up to $25 each. We’re going to use those on the Suns First Half -1.5 +228 alt line. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Suns First Half +3.5 +100 (2 Units to win 2) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Alt Line Pick: Suns First Half -1.5 +228 (0.25 Units to win 0.57) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$25

NBA Picks for Sunday, Feb. 22, 2026 (0-1, -$250)

Toronto Raptors at Milwaukee Bucks.
Line: Raptors by 2.5.
3:30 PM ET

The Bucks have won five of their previous six games, and a big reason for that is because they traded for Cam Thomas. The former Net has given the Bucks the scoring punch they’ve desperately needed, making them underrated as a result.

Odds Boost: FanDuel is giving us two 25-percent boosts, up to $25 each. We’re going to use those on the Bucks -3.5 alt line. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Bucks +2.5 +101 (2 Units to win 2.02) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Alt Line Pick: Bucks -3.5 +228 (0.5 Units to win 1.14) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$50

NBA Picks for Saturday, Feb. 21, 2026 (1-1, -$160)

Detroit Pistons at Chicago Bulls.
Line: Pistons by 10.
8:10 PM ET

The Pistons are well ahead of everyone in the Eastern Conference, and they’re coming off a big win over the Knicks, so I don’t think they’ll necessarily take this game seriously. The Bulls, meanwhile, should play better with Josh Giddey back in the lineup.

Odds Boost: DraftKings is giving us a boost on Sixers-Pelicans, so we’ll be siding with the Pelicans -1.5 +169.

NBA Pick: Bulls +10 +105 (2 Units to win 2.1) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Pick: Pelicans -1.5 +169 (0.25 Units to win 0.42) – DraftKings — Correct; +$40

NBA Picks for Friday, Feb. 20, 2026 (0-1, -$200)

Denver Nuggets at Portland Trailblazers.
Line: Blazers by 1.5.
10:10 PM ET

I wrote yesterday that I liked the Suns because Devin Booker and Jalen Green were back from injury. Well, Booker got hurt in the first quarter, leaving the game with hip “soreness.” The NBA doesn’t exactly have the toughest players. But speaking of injuries, Nikola Jokic hasn’t been the same since returning from his own injury. The Nuggets are 3-5 against the spread in their previous eight games for that reason. Meanwhile, the Blazers are playing much better basketball lately.

Alt Line: I may add an alt line later this evening because FanDuel will have some profit boosts at 6 p.m.

NBA Pick: Trailblazers -1.5 +118 (2 Units to win 2.36) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$200

NBA Picks for Thursday, Feb. 19, 2026 (0-1, -$300)

Phoenix Suns at San Antonio Spurs.
Line: Spurs by 7.
8:40 PM ET

The Suns were missing Devin Booker and Jalen Green for a while, yet they’re both back in the lineup. Despite this, the Suns are still being priced as if they are both sidelined. We’re getting a good number with Phoenix tonight.

Alt Line: We’re going with the Suns +2.5 +210 for the alt line, which can be boosted on FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Suns +7 +104 (2 Units to win 2.08) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
Alt Line: Suns +2.5 +210 (0.5 Units to win 1.05) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$50

NBA Picks for Thursday, Feb. 12, 2026 (2-0, +$310)

Dallas Mavericks at Los Angeles Lakers.
Line: Lakers by 7.5.
7:10 PM ET

The Lakers won’t have Luka Doncic again, but the Mavericks won’t have anyone. Dallas has been a disaster recently, while the Lakers are coming off two tough losses versus the Spurs and Thunder, so they’ll want to rebound, especially after getting blown out two nights ago.

Alt Line: We’re going with the Lakers -11.5 +198 for the alt line, which can be boosted on FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

Player Prop: We’re betting against Ryan Rollins if he’s active in the Thunder-Bucks game. Stay tuned for updates.

NBA Pick: Lakers -7.5 +104 (2 Units to win 2.08) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
Alt Line: Lakers -11.5 +198 (0.5 Units to win 0.99) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100
Player Prop: Kevin Porter under 17.5 points -105 (1.05 Units to win 1) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Wednesday, Feb. 11, 2026 (1-0, +$395)

Milwaukee Bucks at Orlando Magic.
Line: Magic by 9.5.
7:10 PM ET

The Magic just destroyed the Bucks, so this is a nice revenge spot for Milwaukee. The Bucks have been playing well aside from the loss to Orlando, thanks to some of their players returning from injury.

Alt Line: We’re going with the Bucks +5.5 +216 for the alt line, which can be boosted on FanDuel. You can also get +5.5 +256, boosted on DraftKings. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

Player Prop: We’re betting against Devin Booker in another game tonight. Booker hasn’t crossed 21 points since his return from injury, and Oklahoma City has the best defense against guards. The best line is under 21.5 -104 at DraftKings. You can Get $250 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Bucks +9.5 +109 (2 Units to win 2.18) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$220
Alt Line: Bucks +5.5 +216 (0.5 Units to win 1.08) – FanDuel — Correct; +$110
Alt Line: Bucks +5.5 +256 (0.25 Units to win 0.64) – DraftKings — Correct; +$65
Player Prop: Devin Booker under 21.5 points -104 (1.04 Units to win 1) – DraftKings — No action; $0

NBA Picks for Tuesday, Feb. 10, 2026 (1-1, +$155)

Indiana Pacers at New York Knicks.
Line: Knicks by 11.5.
7:40 PM ET

The Pacers don’t get blown out that often, so this line is too high. The Knicks are coming off a tough gauntlet of Nuggets, Pistons, and Celtics, having won the former and the latter. Following this game, they play the 76ers tomorrow night. This is a classic flat spot.

Alt Line: We’re going with the Pacers +6.5 +228 for the alt line, which can be boosted on FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

Player Prop: We’re betting against Kevin Durant in another game tonight. Durant’s been on a cold streak, and he usually has trouble scoring against Kawhi Leonard. The best line is under 23.5 +100 at BetMGM.

NBA Pick: Pacers +11.5 +100 (2 Units to win 2) – FanDuel — Correct; +$200
Alt Line: Pacers +6.5 +228 (0.25 Units to win 0.57) – FanDuel — Correct; +$55
Player Prop: Kevin Durant under 23.5 points +100 (1 Unit to win 1) – BetMGM — Incorrect; -$100

NBA Picks for Monday, Feb. 9, 2026 (2-0, +$260)

Oklahoma City Thunder at Los Angeles Lakers.
Line: Thunder by 7.5.
9:10 PM ET

I had to take a few days off from the NBA after Wednesday’s bad beat. We had the Spurs -10.5, but they won by 10. They blew a big lead and shot just 12-of-20 from the free-throw line. At any rate, the Thunder are the play tonight. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is still out, but Jalen Williams will return, so the Thunder are mostly healthy. The same can’t be said about the Lakers, who will be missing Luka Doncic and perhaps DeAndre Ayton.

Alt Line: We’re going with the Thunder -14.5 +230 for the alt line, which can be boosted on FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

Player Prop: We’re betting against Austin Reaves tonight. The Thunder are incredibly stingy against guards. The best line is under 19.5 points -104 at DraftKings. You can Get $250 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Thunder -7.5 +106 (2 Units to win 2.12) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
Alt Line: Thunder -14.5 +230 (0.5 Units to win 1.15) – FanDuel Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel — Incorrect; -$50
Player Prop: Austin Reaves under 19.5 points -104 (1.04 Units to win 1) – DraftKings — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Wednesday, Feb. 4, 2026 (-$275)

Oklahoma City Thunder at San Antonio Spurs.
Line: Spurs by 10.5.
9:40 PM ET

The Thunder are doing what the Pacers did last night. They’re resting everyone, from Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, to their top bench players. Only their scrubs will play, so the Spurs should be able to win easily.

Alt Line: We’re going with the Spurs -21.5 +465 for the alt line, which can be boosted on FanDuel, and also -12.5 +153, which can be boosted on DraftKings. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Spurs -10.5 +102 (2 Units to win 2.04) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$200
Alt Line: Spurs -21.5 +465 (0.5 Units to win 2.33) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$50
Alt Line: Spurs -12.5 +153 (0.25 Units to win 0.38) – DraftKings — Incorrect; -$25

NBA Picks for Tuesday, Feb. 3, 2026 (1-0, +$295)

Utah Jazz at Indiana Pacers.
Line: Jazz by 2.5.
7:10 PM ET

NBA players are the laziest people on the planet. The Pacers are sitting all of their starters and some key bench guys because of “rest.” Pathetic. The Pacers are basically putting a G-league team on the court tonight.

Alt Line: We’re going with the Jazz -6.5 +172 for the alt line. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Jazz -2.5 +106 (2 Units to win 2.12) – FanDuel — Correct; +$210
Alt Line: Jazz -6.5 +172 (0.5 Units to win 0.86) – FanDuel — Correct; +$85

NBA Picks for Monday, Feb. 2, 2026 (0-1, -$250)

New Orleans Pelicans at Philadelphia 76ers.
Line: 76ers by 5.5.
7:40 PM ET

The 76ers nearly lost to the Kings, who went on to get blown out by the Jayson Tatum-less Celtics last night. They also struggled to put away the Bucks. The Pelicans are playing much better lately with Zion Williamson healthy. New Orleans could win outright, especially with Paul George now sidelined due to a drug suspension. The Pelicans played last night, but this is a bigger game, and they’re 4-2 against the spread this year off no rest when the opponent has rest.

Alt Line: We’re going with the Pelicans -1.5 +205 for the alt line. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Pelicans +5.5 +104 (2 Units to win 2.08) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$200
Alt Line: Pelicans -1.5 +205 (0.5 Units to win 1.03) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$50

NBA Picks for Saturday, Jan. 31, 2026 (0-1, -$250)

NBA Picks for Thursday, Jan. 29, 2026 (0-1, -$275)

Sacramento Kings at Philadelphia 76ers.
Line: 76ers by 12.5.
8:10 PM ET

We bet the 76ers two nights ago and will be doing the same tonight. Joel Embiid and Paul George are both probable, which means the 76ers will take this game seriously. The Kings, meanwhile, have been a disaster since their four-game winning streak. Zach LaVine returns tonight, but has a bad back, and there are other missing players for Sacramento.

Alt Line: The best alt line values are 76ers -19.5 +276, with a 25-percent profit boost on FanDuel, and -19.5 +273 on DraftKings with a 25-percent boost. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: 76ers -12.5 +100 (2 Units to win 2) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$200
Alt Line: 76ers -19.5 +276 (0.5 Units to win 1.38) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$50
Alt Line: 76ers -19.5 +273 (0.25 Units to win 0.68) – DraftKings — Incorrect; -$25

NBA Picks for Wednesday, Jan. 28, 2026 (0-1, -$275)

Minnesota Timberwolves at Dallas Mavericks.
Line: Timberwolves by 5.5.
8:40 PM ET

The Timberwolves are not playing great basketball right now, and they may take this game lightly with a battle against the Thunder tomorrow. Anthony Edwards is listed as questionable, so I wouldn’t be surprised if he rests.

Alt Line: We’re going to bet the moneyline. Both DraftKings and FanDuel have profit boosts we’ll be utilizing for this wager. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Mavericks +5.5 +110 (2 Units to win 2.2) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$200
Alt Line: Mavericks ML +270 (0.5 Units to win 1.35) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$50
Alt Line: Mavericks ML +294 (0.25 Units to win 0.74) – DraftKings — Incorrect; -$25

NBA Picks for Tuesday, Jan. 27, 2026 (1-0, +$175)

Milwaukee Bucks at Philadelphia 76ers.
Line: 76ers by 11.5.
8:10 PM ET

We have a clear misprice here, as the 76ers are being lined as if they played yesterday. They technically did, but given the blowout nature of the game, none of their regulars played more than 26 minutes. Joel Embiid and Paul George didn’t even play, as they were resting for this game. Given that the 76ers were embarrassed, I’m expecting a huge win from them tonight. They’re 3-1 against the spread following blowout losses this year, and the Bucks won’t have their top two players.

Alt Line: The best value is 76ers -21.5 +340 at FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: 76ers -11.5 +112 (2 Units to win 2.24) – FanDuel — Correct; +$225
Alt Line: 76ers -21.5 +340 (0.5 Units to win 1.7) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$50

NBA Picks for Monday, Jan. 26, 2026 (0-1, -$250)

Los Angeles Lakers at Chicago Bulls.
Line: Bulls by 1.5.
8:10 PM ET

The wrong team is favored on the natural line. The Lakers have a much better record than the Bulls, but Chicago has gotten better since Josh Giddey returned from injury. The Lakers, meanwhile, are coming off a comeback win against Luka Doncic’s former team.

Alt Line: The best value is Bulls -11.5 +360 at FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Bulls -1.5 +112 (2 Units to win 2.24) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$200
Alt Line: Bulls -11.5 +360 (0.5 Units to win 1.8) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$50

NBA Picks for Saturday, Jan. 24, 2026 (0-1, -$250)

Washington Bullets at Charlotte Hornets.
Line: Hornets by 12.5.
12:10 PM ET

The Bullets are the worst team in the NBA, partly because C.J. McCollum is gone. With McCollum traded and other injuries, the Bullets are down their first-, fifth-, sixth-, seventh-, ninth-, and 10th-highest scorers. Since McCollum was traded, they’ve played against one team better than these Hornets, and that was a blowout loss to the Suns. They also had two games against the Nuggets, but Nikola Jokic and others didn’t play for Denver. The Hornets, who are very underrated, should have no problem winning easily.

Alt Line: The best value is Hornets -21.5 +332 at FanDuel, which you can get via their 25-percent boost on the NBA, up to $50. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Hornets -12.5 +100 (2 Units to win 2) – DraftKings — Incorrect; -$200
Alt Line: Hornets -21.5 +332 (0.5 Units to win 1.66) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$50

NBA Picks for Friday, Jan. 23, 2026 (1-0, +$320)

New Orleans Pelicans at Memphis Grizzlies.
Line: Grizzlies by 4.5.
8:10 PM ET

The Grizzlies are missing half their roster. Their first-, fourth-, fifth-, and eighth-highest scorers are out. The Pelicans, meanwhile, are better with Zion Williamson. They’re 7-23 with him, which doesn’t sound great until you consider that they’re 3-13 without him. This spread is too high.

Alt Line: We’re just going to bet the moneyline. BetMGM has a 10-percent boost on the NBA, up to $50.

NBA Pick: Pelicans +4.5 +109 (2 Units to win 2.2) – DraftKings — Correct; +$220
Alt Line: Pelicans ML +203 (0.5 Units to win 1.02) – BetMGM — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Thursday, Jan. 22, 2026 (1-1, +$50)

San Antonio Spurs at Utah Jazz.
Line: Spurs by 14.5.
9:10 PM ET

The Spurs had issues putting away the Jazz recently, but they were looking ahead to their battle the following night against the Rockets. The Spurs are coming off a loss and now don’t have anything to look ahead to, so they should be motivated in this game. The Jazz are 1-10 without Lauri Markkanen.

Player Prop: The Spurs are terrific at defending wings. Ace Bailey had just eight points against them in the previous matchup. The best number for Bailey is under 14.5 points -118 at BetMGM.

Alt Line: The best value is Spurs -20.5 +264, which you can get at FanDuel with their 25-percent profit boost, up to $50 (two for $25 each).

NBA Pick: Spurs -14.5 +110 (2 Units to win 2.2) – FanDuel — Correct; +$220
Player Prop: Ace Bailey under 14.5 points -118 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Incorrect; -$120
Alt Line: Spurs -20.5 +264 (0.5 Units to win 1.32) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$50

NBA Picks for Wednesday, Jan. 21, 2026 (0-2, -$400)

Toronto Raptors at Sacramento Kings.
Line: Raptors by 4.5.
10:00 PM ET

We were backing the Kings for a while. We’re going back on that train. They should be able to compete well with the Raptors, who may have shot their load last night with their win at Golden State.

Player Prop: DeMar DeRozan typically dominates his former team. The best line for him is over 17.5 points -126 at DraftKings. You can Get $250 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.

Alt Line: The best values are Kings -1.5 +239 on DraftKings with their 25-percent boost, and Kings -10.5 +820 on FanDuel with their 25-percent profit boost, up to $50.

NBA Pick: King +4.5 +109 (2 Units to win 2.18) – DraftKings — Incorrect; -$200
Player Prop: DeMar DeRozan over 17.5 points -126 (1 Unit) – DraftKings — Incorrect; -$125
Alt Line: Kings -1.5 +236 (0.25 Units to win 0.6) – DraftKings — Incorrect; -$25
Alt Line: Kings -10.5 +820 (0.5 Units to win 4.1) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$50

NBA Picks for Tuesday, Jan. 20, 2026 (0-2, -$375)

Los Angeles Clippers at Chicago Bulls.
Line: Bulls by 2.5.
8:00 PM ET

We’ve gotten burned by two East Coast teams losing to West Coast teams thus far, so we’ve learned our lesson. In fact, in all four games we’ve picked thus far, the West Coast team has covered. We’re going to ride the trend with the Clippers, who are available at a discount because Kawhi Leonard is sidelined. Even without Leonard, however, the Clippers are still the better team in this matchup.

Player Prop: The Bulls are woeful against centers. We’re going to play Ivica Zubac tonight. The best line for him is over 15.5 points -124 at DraftKings. You can Get $250 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.

Alt Line: The best values are Clippers -6.5 +270 or -8.5 +350. We’ll go with the bigger payout.

NBA Pick: Clippers +2.5 +105 (2 Units to win 2.1) – BetMGM — Incorrect; -$200
Player Prop: Ivica Zubac over 15.5 points -124 (1 Unit) – DraftKings — Incorrect; -$125
Alt Line: Clippers -8.5 +350 (0.5 Units to win 1.75) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$50

NBA Picks for Monday, Jan. 19, 2026 (0-2, -$355)

Miami Heat at Golden State Warriors.
Line: Warriors by 4.5.
10:00 PM ET

The Warriors have won seven of their previous 10 games, but most of their victories have come against lower-end competition or injured teams. They’re going to have a tough battle against the Heat, who beat the Thunder recently.

Player Prop: Bam Adebayo has a great matchup against a Warriors team that struggles against centers. The best number for points + rebounds is 28.5 -106 at FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

Alt Line: FanDuel has a pair of 25-percent boosts, up to $25. We’ll use those on the alt line.

NBA Pick: Heat +4.5 +106 (2 Units to win 2.12) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$200
Player Prop: Bam Adebayo over 28.5 points + rebounds -106 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$105
Alt Line: Heat -6.5 +440 (0.5 Units to win 2.2) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$50

NBA Picks for Friday, Jan. 16, 2026 (1-0, +$125)

Washington Bullets at Sacramento Kings.
Line: Kings by 8.5.
10:10 PM ET

The Bullets have been destroyed in every game since trading C.J. McCollum. That should continue against the Kings, who are hot.

Player Prop: No player prop in this game because it’s likely to be a blowout. However, I’m going to bet the alt line instead. We’re going with Kings -18.5 +340. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Kings -8.5 +112 (2 Units to win 2.24) – FanDuel — Correct; +$225
Alt Line: Kings -18.5 +340 (1 Unit to win 3.4) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$100

NBA Picks for Thursday, Jan. 15, 2026 (0-1, -$300)

New York Knicks at Golden State Warriors.
Line: Warriors by 5.5.
10:10 PM ET

We faded the Knicks last night, thinking that they’d save some juice for this game. We’ll come back with a bet on them tonight. This spread is mispriced because it’s factoring in the back-to-back, but the Knicks starters didn’t even play the full game last night. FanDuel and DraftKings has some profit boosts we’ll utilize for this game.

Player Prop: No player prop in this game because some questionable players are making it difficult to predict player stats. However, I’m going to bet the alt line instead. We’re going with Knicks -5.5 +340. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Knicks +5.5 +106 (1.5 Units to win 1.59) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$100
Knicks +5.5 +138 (0.5 Units to win 0.69) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$50
Knicks -5.5 +340 (1 Unit to win 3.4) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$100

NBA Picks for Wednesday, Jan. 14, 2026 (2-0, +$335)

New York Knicks at Sacramento Kings.
Line: Knicks by 9.5.
10:10 PM ET

Our NBA picks are back. We’re looking to bet the Kings tonight, as they’ve played better basketball lately. The Knicks, meanwhile, could be unfocused with a tougher game on the horizon. FanDuel and DraftKings has some profit boosts we’ll utilize for this game.

Player Prop: Zach LaVine has the best matchup for the Kings. The best number is over 19.5 points -125 at FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Kings +9.5 +114 (1.25 Units to win 1.45) – DraftKings — Correct; +$145
Kings +10.5 +123 (0.5 Units to win 0.61) – FanDuel — Correct; +$60
Kings +10.5 +124 (0.25 Units to win 0.31) – DraftKings — Correct; +$30
NBA Player Prop: Zach LaVine over 19.5 points -125 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100

NBA Draft 2026: Three Prospects Worth Watching

Walt — Tue, 03 Feb 2026 18:35:07 +0000

NBA Draft 2026: Three Prospects Worth Watching

The 2026 NBA draft is inching closer and the latest crop of talents are hoping to secure a place at the top table in professional basketball. Without further ado, read on as we look at three prospects worth monitoring, starting with a player who does not have the usual draft profile.

Yaxel Lendeborg

Yaxel Lendenborg has turned heads with his unconventional journey to NBA relevance, and that is precisely what makes him worth monitoring.

Lendenborg started out in junior college and produced at a high level with UAB. He has since carried that momentum to Michigan, where he has averaged 14.2 points, 7.1 rebounds and 3.2 assists.

However, there is one major problem – his age. By the time the draft comes around, he will be almost 24 and many NBA front offices are concerned about taking someone already so advanced in age.

Despite this, many scouts think his game will translate to the highest level. Lendenborg knows how to combine well and punish mismatches with a great understanding of timing on defence.

Most NBA front offices are looking for a long-term development project, but Lendenborg is ready to be a plug-and-play rotation piece from the outset.

Any team looking for immediate utility over theoretical upside needs to quickly jump on the bandwagon, as his production and maturity outweigh any perceived flaws in his profile.

Cameron Boozer

The Cameron Boozer hype train is going at full throttle. His one-man demolition job against Stanford in January perfectly showcased his burgeoning talents.

The Duke freshman dropped 30 points in 33 minutes with jaw-dropping efficiency, grabbed 14 rebounds, dished four assists, with five steals and blocks. Boozer also didn’t turn the ball over once despite playing at such a high octane.

hat performance was put on a detailed film-based grading system and received a perfect score of 100, the highest single-game score of the 2026 set.

Intriguingly, that offensive dominance is not an outlier. Across hundreds of charted minutes, his numbers are elite, consistently ranking in the 90th percentile.

What makes Boozer different is his passing feel and speed. He reads things quickly, fires passes sharply, and makes quick decisions within windows that his peers don’t see.

The Stanford game was also a step forward for Boozer in other aspects of his game. While he has been below par defensively, he was more positionally aware and a reliable interior presence.

Teams will gladly accept the defensive trade-off for his offensive engine. Most franchises will make that compromise.

Once he steps into the league, he will immediately establish himself as a fan favourite. Whichever teams signs him, would improve their odds of winning an NBA title.

The NBA experts on sportsbook comparison platform bettingtop10.com will be keeping a close eye on the 2026 draft as they formulate their betting insights for next season.

Sports bettors would be well advised to pay heed to their advice given BettingTop10’s track record of successfully predicting the outcome in NBA games.

Meleek Thomas

Maleek Thomas is a type of prospect the league is still deciding how to value. He is a highly rated high school recruit who has impressed in the Arkansas backcourt alongside Darius Acuff.

Thomas has shown flashes of NBA-level traits on both ends of the court. Offensively, he can operate as a secondary creator and movement shooter. He thrives on making difficult shots thanks to his exceptional touch.

Thomas can knock down threes off the dribble or sprinting off screen. His constant movement and simple game make him a consistent danger, even though he doesn’t live at the rim.

Defensively, he is blessed with long arms and steals the ball constantly because of his top-notch anticipation, while his fluidity and lateral agility make him a point-of-attack defender.

The young gem has been compared to Gary Trent Jr and Quentin Grimes. He has their blend of shooting gravity and opportunistic defensive playmaking.

Most of the questions about his game are more physical. He does not have elite burst, struggles to finish through contact and does not draw enough fouls.

He sometimes forces himself to take tough shots instead of simple reads. However, his shooting touch is impeccable. He can also put on strength and gain explosiveness.

The league is increasingly built around spacing and adaptable guards, meaning Thomas could age better than his peers.

NBA Trade Grades

Walt — Thu, 08 Jan 2026 01:30:25 +0000

Bullets acquire Trae Young from Hawks for C.J. McCollum, Corey Kispert
“That’s it?” Those were my exact words that I said aloud when I saw the details of this trade. The Hawks have traded Trae Young to the Bullets for C.J. McCollum, Corey Kispert, and, well, that’s it.

It’s shocking that Young commanded no trade value. McCollum is a fossil – he recently turned 34 – and Kispert is a mediocre talent. He’s not very good, but he’s at least fairly young. Still, it’s astonishing that the Hawks couldn’t have obtained at least one draft pick.

Now, I know that Young has a bloated contract, and he hasn’t played as well lately, but he’s still just 27 and could perform on a high level again in the future. I also know that Young forced his way out, but if the Hawks were a better franchise, they could have circumvented that and obtained proper value for their dynamic guard.

Grade for Bullets – A
Grade for Rockets – D

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Rockets acquire Kevin Durant from Suns for Jalen Green, Dillon Brooks, No. 10 overall pick, five 2nd-round picks
At first glance, this seems like a lopsided trade in favor of Phoenix. The Suns, after all, traded Kevin Durant for eight players. After diagnosing it, however, it feels like the Suns obtained a quarter, two dimes, and five pennies for a whole dollar.

Durant will turn 37 prior to the 2025-26 season, but he can still perform at a high level. He averaged 26.6 points per game last year despite looking unmotivated at times as a result on playing on such a bad team. The Rockets needed a dynamic talent like Durant to help get them over the top, which will be possible with the league being so wide open. And the compensation isn’t really that bad. Green has a massive salary. Brooks is poor in the locker room. The second-round picks don’t really matter. The only value is the No. 10 pick.

While I like this trade for the Rockets, it also makes sense for the Suns. Phoenix is in no position to win now, so trading Durant for a bunch of players can help the rebuilding process.

Grade for Rockets – A-
Grade for Suns – B

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Magic acquire Desmond Bane from Grizzlies for Cole Anthony, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, four unprotected first-round picks
The Magic made some noise in the regular-season this year, but ultimately were eliminated in the opening round of the playoffs again, losing their initial series to the Celtics in five. Their offense outside of Paolo Banchero was dead, so they needed to acquire some explosive threats. They did so with Desmond Bane, so their team will benefit in the short term.

However, the Magic seem to have surrendered a lot for Bane. Four unprotected first-round picks seems insane on the surface. The unprotected aspect of it may not come into play though, given that the Magic now have plenty of talent with Bane, Banchero, and Franz Wagner. I don’t think this trade is as bad as some are making it out to be, though I would grade the Grizzlies higher because they acquired so many assets.

Grade for Magic – B
Grade for Grizzlies – A

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Spurs acquire De’Aaron Fox, Jordan McLaughlin
Kings acquire Zach LaVine, Sidy Cissoko, three first-round picks (2025 Hornets, 2027 Spurs, 2031 Timberwolves), three second-round picks
Bulls acquire Zach Collins, Tre Jones, Kevin Huerter, own 2025 first-round pick
What a wild time in the NBA. Just 24 hours after the Mavericks and Lakers exchanged Luka Doncic and Anthony Davis, there was another trade involving De’Aaron Fox and Zach LaVine. Three teams took part in the deal.

The Spurs were the big winners of the trade. They obtained Fox for pretty much just a mid-first-round pick, which is worth it. Fox is a very talented 27-year-old guard who will be a great second option to pair with Victor Wembanyama. San Antonio needed a No. 2 to take the next step, and now they have that player in Fox.

The Kings didn’t do as well as the Spurs, but they were able to get a talented, albeit injury-prone player in LaVine for Fox. They also picked up three first-round picks, though Charlotte’s selection is protected. Still, there’s not that huge of a gap between Fox and LaVine – the two are just a couple of years apart, unlike Doncic and Davis – so I like this move for Sacramento.

The big loser in this trade is Chicago. I don’t understand what the Bulls are doing. Sure, they get their own pick back, which will be in the 11-15 range, but they lost LaVine for pretty much nothing otherwise. Perhaps they believe they need to rebuild, but they should have been able to get something more for LaVine than a mid-first-round pick and three bench scrubs.

Grade for Spurs – A+
Grade for Kings – A-
Grade for Bulls – D

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Lakers acquire Luka Doncic, Maxi Kleber and Markieff Morris from Mavericks for Anthony Davis, Max Christie, 2029 1st-round pick
This trade broke when we were broadcasting the latest episode of the WalterFootball After Dark Show. When people brought it up in the comments, I thought it was fake. It turns out that this trade is very real, as Luka Doncic and Anthony Davis will be swapping teams.

I don’t understand this deal for the Mavericks. Doncic is in his prime. Sure, he gets hurt a lot, but he turns only 26 in a few weeks. By comparison, Davis will be 32 next month. Doncic will be great for the next six-plus years, while Davis will begin declining soon. There’s a chance this trade was the byproduct of Mark Cuban’s mental regression, which has been quite apparent recently if you’ve paid attention to anything he has said the past year. Cuban, 66, is losing his marbles, so perhaps he should be asked to take a step back from the team.

The Lakers, meanwhile, made out like bandits. Pairing Doncic with LeBron James gives them a chance to win the championship this year, provided they can obtain a center prior to the trade deadline.

Grade for Lakers – A+
Grade for Mavericks – MILLEN

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NBA Picks Against the Spread

Walt — Sun, 22 Jun 2025 19:43:10 +0000

NBA Picks (Jan. 20-26) 5-7 (-$250)
NBA Picks (Jan. 27-Feb. 2) 11-4 (+$1,105)
NBA Picks (Feb. 3-9) 9-5 (+$655)
NBA Picks (Feb. 10-16) 6-2 (+$605)
NBA Picks (Feb. 17-23) 6-3 (+$310)
NBA Picks (Feb. 24-March 2) 4-12 (-$1,315)
NBA Picks (March 3-9) 6-8 (-$470)
NBA Picks (March 10-16) 7-7 (+$60)
NBA Picks (March 17-23) 10-4 (+$860)
NBA Picks (March 24-30) 6-9 (-$550)
NBA Picks (March 31-April 6) 5-8 (-$455)
NBA Picks (April 7-13) 4-6 (-$465)
NBA Picks (Play-in Games) 5-4 (+$345)
NBA Picks (Round 1 Playoffs) 16-17 (-$40)
NBA Picks (Round 2 Playoffs) 11-14-1 (-$640)
NBA Picks (Conference Finals) 13-9 (+$1,010)
NBA Picks (Finals) 4-8 (-$740)

2024-25 NBA Picks: 128-127-1 (+$65)
2023-24 NBA Picks: 155-130-1 (+$3,365)
2022-23 NBA Picks: 61-69-4 (-$1,400)
2021-22 NBA Picks: 73-60-3 (+$2,815)
2020-21 NBA Picks: 98-96-5 (+$1,045)
2019-20 NBA Picks: 47-46-1 (+$450)
2018-19 NBA Picks: 114-98-4 (+$3,550)
2017-18 NBA Picks: 63-66-2 (-$1,850)
2016-17 NBA Picks: 51-67-2 (-$4,620)
2015-16 NBA Picks: 93-95-6 (-$1,305)
2014-15 NBA Picks: 62-53-4 (+$250)
2013-14 NBA Picks: 59-51-4 (+$760)
2012-13 NBA Picks: 51-45 (+$1,180)
2011-12 NBA Picks: 38-46-1 (-$3,005)
2010-11 NBA Picks: 113-89-4 (+$2,690)
2009-10 NBA Picks: 116-98-4 (+$1,375)
2008-09 NBA Picks: 122-119-6 (-$2,280)
2007-08 NBA Picks: 104-88-8 (+$1,485)
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Make your NBA Bets here

NBA Picks for the 2024-25 Season:

NBA Picks for Sunday, June 22, 2025

Indiana Pacers at Oklahoma City Thunder.
Line: Thunder by 8.
8:30 PM ET

This spread is way off. The Thunder were -9 or higher in every home game this series, and now the natural line is -7 because of the Game 6 blowout. The Thunder were a complete no-show and took the game for granted, likely because they didn’t think Tyrese Haliburton would play or be effective. They’ll come out with a much better performance tonight in what should be a blowout.

Player Prop: I love backing great players off a loss. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is coming off a terrible performance, so I like him to have a great Game 7. The best number is over 32.5 points -115 at BetRivers. You can Get $500 in Second-Chance Bets from BetRivers by clicking the link.

ESPNBet has a no-sweat same-game parlay, capped at $25. We’re going with Thunder -14.5, Tyrese Haliburton under 15.5 points, and Myles Turner under 4.5 rebounds. This parlay pays +675.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Thunder -8 +107 (2 Units) – Bookmaker Bet on WalterFootball’s favorite sportsbook, Bookmaker
NBA Player Prop: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander over 32.5 points -115 (1 Unit) – BetRivers Get $500 in Second-Chance Bets from BetRivers
NBA Player Prop: Same-Game Parlay: Thunder -14.5, Tyrese Haliburton under 15.5 points, Myles Turner under 4.5 rebounds +675 (0.25 Units to win 1.7) – ESPNBet

NBA Picks for Thursday, June 19, 2025 (0-2, -$425)

Oklahoma City Thunder at Indiana Pacers.
Line: Thunder by 7.
8:30 PM ET

We got screwed on both of our bets Monday because Tyrese Haliburton got hurt. Haliburton may not even play tonight, and even if he does, he could be a shell of himself like he was in Game 5. I’d be on the Pacers under normal circumstances because it’s difficult to close out a good team on the road, but Indiana doesn’t have much of a shot with Haliburton out or hobbled.

Player Prop: I love backing great players off a loss. Pascal Siakam has elevated his game in this series, and with Haliburton injured, he’ll have to do more heavy lifting. The best number is over 21.5 points +100 at FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

I’m also going to bet T.J. McConnell three-pointers. McConnell has hit a three more often than he has not in this series, and yet he’s +190 to do so in this game. With Haliburton hurt, two threes from McConnell is doable. The best numbers are +190 for one and +950 for two at BetMGM.

NBA Pick: Thunder -7 +106 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Pascal Siakam over 21.5 points +100 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$100
NBA Player Prop: T.J. McConnell over 0.5 three-pointers +190 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Incorrect; -$100
NBA Player Prop: T.J. McConnell over 1.5 three-pointers +950 (0.25 Units) – BetMGM — Incorrect; -$25

NBA Picks for Monday, June 16, 2025 (0-2, -$310)

Indiana Pacers at Oklahoma City Thunder.
Line: Thunder by 9.
8:30 PM ET

We’re going to back the Pacers for the first time in this series. Every game has been close thus far, with the exception of the second one, which saw a desperate Thunder team destroy an opponent that was happy to get a win on the road. This spread is high, and the zig-zag theory favors Indiana tonight. You can Get $250 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.

Player Prop: I love backing great players off a loss. Tyrese Haliburton figures to have a better Game 5 than Game 4. The best number is over 25.5 points + assists at DraftKings. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Pacers +9 -101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Tyrese Haliburton over 25.5 points + assists -110 (1 Unit) – DraftKings — Incorrect; -$110

NBA Picks for Friday, June 13, 2025 (+$310)

Oklahoma City Thunder at Indiana Pacers.
Line: Thunder by 6.5.
8:30 PM ET

The Pacers have become a publicly backed team despite the fact that they’ve been outscored in almost every quarter in this series. They went up 2-1 because Shai Gilgeous-Alexander had a terrible game, while some of their role players had career-best performances. That’s not going to happen again.

Player Prop: I love backing great players off a loss. We’ll see Shai Gilgeous-Alexander at his best tonight after his Game 3 dud. The best number is over 33.5 points -120 at FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Thunder -6.5 +105 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
NBA Player Prop: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander over 33.5 points -120 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Wednesday, June 11, 2025 (1-1, -$100)

Oklahoma City Thunder at Indiana Pacers.
Line: Thunder by 6.
8:30 PM ET

The narrative here is that the Thunder can’t do well on the road because they haven’t covered an away game yet in the playoffs. Maybe I’ll look dumb for selecting them, but the Thunder haven’t played a team as mediocre as the Pacers yet in the postseason, save for the Grizzlies, whom the Thunder took for granted. The Thunder have dominated this series in seven of the eight quarters, and the lone quarter saw Indiana have an insane shooting rate.

Player Prop: I love backing great players off a loss. We’ll see Tyrese Haliburton at his best tonight, especially after he was criticized by the ESPN analysts. The best number is over 25.5 points + assists -114 at FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Thunder -6 +104 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Tyrese Haliburton over 25.5 points + assists -114 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Sunday, June 8, 2025 (1-1, +$95)

Indiana Pacers at Oklahoma City Thunder.
Line: Thunder by 11.5.
8:30 PM ET

The Thunder were comfortably ahead all of Game 1 until the fourth quarter. In that fourth quarter, the Thunder didn’t hit a single shot outside the paint. Meanwhile, the Pacers shot about 50 percent from three. Are both things going to happen again? Maybe, but probably not.

Player Prop: I love backing great players off a loss. We’ll see Shai Gilgeous-Alexander at his best tonight. The best number is over 34.5 points -106 at FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Thunder -11.5 -101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander over 34.5 points -106 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$105

NBA Picks for Thursday, June 5, 2025

Indiana Pacers at Oklahoma City Thunder.
Line: Thunder by 10.5.
8:30 PM ET

This NBA Finals matchup seems very lopsided. The Pacers are so lucky to be here because they were able to take advantage of the Bucks, who were missing Damian Lillard, and the Cavaliers, who suffered injuries to their three best players. And then they dispatched the Knicks, who were so poorly coached. Now, they get the Thunder, who are better and deeper. Oklahoma City is also terrific at home.

Player Prop: Chet Holmgren routinely had 11-plus rebounds against the Nuggets, but couldn’t get above seven boards against the Timberwolves. The difference was that Minnesota was a much better rebounding team than Denver. The Pacers are awful at rebounding. The best number is over 10.5 rebounds +154 at FanDuel, but DraftKings is offering a $20 no sweat bet on any NBA bet at longer odds than +100. You can Get $250 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.

Meanwhile, BetMGM has a $10 no-sweat bet, so we’re going to take Holmgren up to over 12.5 rebounds +390.

NBA Pick: Thunder -10.5 +105 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Chet Holmgren over 10.5 rebounds +150 (1 Unit, 0.2 no-sweat) – DraftKings — Incorrect; -$100
NBA Player Prop: Chet Holmgren over 12.5 rebounds +390 (0.1 Units, no sweat) – BetMGM — Incorrect; -$10

NBA Picks for Saturday, May 31, 2025 (+$255)

New York Knicks at Indiana Pacers.
Line: Pacers by 5.
8:00 PM ET

We were on the Pacers in Game 4, then the Knicks in Game 5, and now we’re back on the Pacers for Game 6. Indiana has been the better team in this series outside of a couple of no-shows in predictable down spots. They know they have to win this game, and I have no faith in Tom Thibodeau’s erratic coaching.

Player Prop: I love backing great players coming off losses. I’m going to take Tyrese Haliburton over 31.5 points + assists, which he should clear unless this becomes a blowout. The best number is over 31.5 points + assists -105 at DraftKings. You can Get $250 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.

Alt Spread Prop: I’m worried that this game might be a blowout, which would ruin our prop bet. I’m going to bet Pacers -19.5 +700 at DraftKings.

No-Sweat Same-Game Parlay: FanDuel has a no-sweat same-game parlay. We’re going to play Pacers -4, Haliburton 4+ three-pointers, and Andrew Nembhard over 10.5 points. This pays +549. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Pacers -5 +102 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$205
NBA Player Prop: Tyrese Haliburton over 31.5 points + assists -105 (1 Unit) – DraftKings — Correct; +$100
Alt Spread Prop: Pacers -19.5 +700 (0.25 Units) – DraftKings — Incorrect; -$25
No-Sweat Same-Game Parlay: Pacers -4, Tyrese Haliburton 4+ threes, Andrew Nembhard over 10.5 points +549 (0.25 Units to win 1.35) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$25

NBA Picks for Thursday, May 29, 2025 (2-0, +$305)

Indiana Pacers at New York Knicks.
Line: Knicks by 5.
8:30 PM ET

Everyone is betting the Pacers like it’s free money. I was going to be on the Knicks regardless, but I love going against all of this insane public action. It’s very difficult to close out a good team on the road, and the Knicks will be fighting for their lives tonight. Remember, this series would be tied at two right now if the Pacers didn’t get super lucky with ridiculous shooting at the end of Game 1.

Player Prop: I love backing great players coming off losses. I’m going to take Jalen Brunson over 30.5, which he should clear unless he gets into foul trouble again. The best number is over 30.5 points -112 at FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Knicks -5 +103 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$205
NBA Player Prop: Jalen Brunson over 30.5 points -112 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Wednesday, May 28, 2025 (1-1, +$75)

Minnesota Timberwolves at Oklahoma City Thunder.
Line: Thunder by 8.
8:30 PM ET

It pains me to pick the Thunder because I have the Timberwolves at 60/1 to win the NBA Finals, but I believe Oklahoma City will win tonight. The Thunder are so good at home, while Minnesota’s role players won’t do as much on the road.

Player Prop: I love backing great players coming off losses. I’m going to take Anthony Edwards’ over points + assists, as Edwards should bounce back from a dismal performance. The best number is over 31.5 points + assists -125 at FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Thunder -8 -103 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Anthony Edwards over 31.5 points + assists -125 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$125

NBA Picks for Tuesday, May 27, 2025 (2-0, +$300)

New York Knicks at Indiana Pacers.
Line: Pacers by 3.
8:00 PM ET

We went with the Knicks in Game 3 because it was a desperation spot for them. Despite this, they barely won because of Tom Thibodeau’s abysmal coaching. Thibodeau cost his team in Game 2 by benching Karl-Anthony Towns, and he nearly cost his team in Game 3 by keeping Jalen Brunson on the bench until there were two minutes remaining. I think he’ll do something stupid tonight to help the Pacers win.

Player Prop: I love backing great players coming off losses. I’m going to take Tyrese Haliburton’s over points + assists because he sometimes acts as a major distributor following defeats. The best number is over 30.5 points + assists -112 at FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Pacers -3 -101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Tyrese Haliburton over 30.5 points + assists -112 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Monday, May 26, 2025 (2-0, +$310)

Oklahoma City Thunder at Minnesota Timberwolves.
Line: Thunder by 2.5.
8:30 PM ET

I like seeing the public action on Thunder because I already was going to side with the Timberwolves. Oklahoma City is 0-6 against the spread in road games during the playoffs this year. The Game 3 was a natural letdown spot for them, but it looked like the Timberwolves figured out some things.

Player Prop: I love backing great players coming off losses. Last night didn’t pan out so well because of Jalen Brunson’s foul trouble. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander should go over tonight. The best number is over 31.5 points +108 at Bookmaker. You can Bet on WalterFootball’s favorite sportsbook, Bookmaker by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Timberwolves +2.5 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander over 31.5 points +108 (1 Unit) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$110

NBA Picks for Sunday, May 25, 2025 (1-1, +$125)

New York Knicks at Indiana Pacers.
Line: Pick.
8:00 PM ET

This seems too easy. Public bettors are pounding the Pacers like it’s easy money. They’re up 2-0, and they’re only favored by two! Why not bet them for free cash!? The Pacers have been the luckiest team I’ve seen in a long time. If it weren’t for insane shooting in Game 1 and Tom Thibodeaux’s stupidity with benching Karl-Anthony Towns in Game 2, this could be a 2-0 New York series lead. The Knicks are going to be desperate, while the Pacers already laid an egg in a Game 3 while up 2-0.

Player Prop: Let’s hope there’s not another blowout to ruin a potential player prop like we saw last night. I want to bet Jalen Brunson off a loss. He’ll be doing everything in his power to keep his team alive. The best number is over 31.5 points +100 at FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Knicks ML +112 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$225
NBA Player Prop: Jalen Brunson over 31.5 points +100 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$100

NBA Picks for Saturday, May 24, 2025 (1-1, +$80)

Oklahoma City Thunder at Minnesota Timberwolves.
Line: Thunder by 2.5.
8:30 PM ET

The Thunder won easily in Games 1 and 2, but I don’t think they’re going to sweep this series. They’re 0-5 against the spread in road games in the playoffs. The desperate Timberwolves should take this one.

Player Prop: If the Timberwolves win tonight, the role players will have to do more. Jaden McDaniels is playing a lot, and he’s much more productive at home. The best number is over 13.5 points -105 at DraftKings.

Same-Game Parlay: FanDuel is offering a no-sweat same-game parlay. We’re going to use the Timberwolves moneyline, Jaden McDaniels over 12.5 points, and Donte DiVincenzo over 8.5 points. This parlay pays +422. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Timberwolves +2.5 +105 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
NBA Player Prop: Jaden McDaniels over 13.5 points -105 (1 Unit) – DraftKings — Incorrect; -$105
Same-Game Parlay: Timberwolves ML, Jaden McDaniels over 12.5 points, Donte DiVincenzo over 8.5 points +422 (0.25 Units to win 1.05) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$25

NBA Picks for Friday, May 23, 2025 (0-2, -$310)

Indiana Pacers at New York Knicks.
Line: Knicks by 6.5.
8:00 PM ET

This is a classic public versus sharps game where the public is on the Pacers, while the sharps are on the Knicks. Casual bettors love the comeback victory, but Indiana was down 17 in the fourth quarter and shot an insane percentage from three. That is unlikely to happen again, especially with the Pacers being happy to win one on the road.

Player Prop: Karl-Anthony Towns dominates the Pacers. Indiana simply has no answer for him. I came so close to betting him instead of Josh Hart in Game 1, so I’m not making that mistake again, especially after seeing how terrified Hart was to shoot the ball in the second half. The best number is over 35.5 points + rebounds -108 at FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Knicks -6.5 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Karl-Anthony Towns over 35.5 points + rebounds -108 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$110

NBA Picks for Thursday, May 22, 2025 (1-1, +$105)

Minnesota Timberwolves at Oklahoma City Thunder.
Line: Thunder by 8.
8:30 PM ET

I bet the Timberwolves to win the NBA Finals several months ago, but I don’t think they have what it takes to overcome the Thunder. Oklahoma City’s defense was so stifling that the Timberwolves had to settle for so many bad threes in the second half.

Player Prop: We bet Julius Randle in Game 1, and we’ll do it again. He’s been carrying the team, and given how good Oklahoma City’s defense is against guards, Randle should continue the heavy workload. The best number is over 19.5 points -104 at FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Thunder -8 +106 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
NBA Player Prop: Julius Randle over 19.5 points -104 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$105

NBA Picks for Wednesday, May 21, 2025 (0-2, -$100)

Indiana Pacers at New York Knicks.
Line: Knicks by 4.5.
8:00 PM ET

I’m sorry for doing this, but I’m not posting a play on either side. I’m not sure what to make of this series, as both teams are very lucky to be here, thanks to injuries suffered by their opponents. I’d lean Knicks if I had to bet this game.

Player Prop: Josh Hart’s points + rebounds is way too low. It’s 22, and yet in three games against the poor-rebounding Pacers, he has gotten 30, 28, and 40 points + rebounds. Role players also tend to do much better at home. The best number is over 22.5 points -125 at FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Knicks -4.5 (0 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; $0
NBA Player Prop: Josh Hart over 22.5 points + rebounds -102 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$100

NBA Picks for Tuesday, May 20, 2025 (1-1, -$115)

Minnesota Timberwolves at Oklahoma City Thunder.
Line: Thunder by 7.
8:30 PM ET

These teams are evenly matched. The records say the Thunder are better, but they needed seven games to close out an underwhelming and fatigued Denver squad. It wouldn’t surprise me if the Timberwolves win outright.

Player Prop: Julius Randle has been awesome in the playoffs this year, and he once again has a better matchup than Anthony Edwards. The best number is over 19.5 points -125 at DraftKings. You can Get $250 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Timberwolves +7 -108 (2 Units) – Bookmaker Bet on WalterFootball’s favorite sportsbook, Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$215
NBA Player Prop: Julius Randle over 19.5 points -125 (1 Unit) – FanDuel Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Sunday, May 18, 2025 (1-1, +$45)

Denver Nuggets at Oklahoma City Thunder.
Line: Thunder by 8.
3:30 PM ET

I don’t know who’s going to cover this game, or even win this game, because the Thunder keep blowing leads. However, Oklahoma City is the best first-half team in the NBA, and it has gotten out to large leads in almost every contest in this series. I’m going to bet the Thunder in the first half once again.

Player Prop: I love betting superstars on the road. Nikola Jokic already looked great, and now he’ll have to do more with Aaron Gordon hurt. The issue with betting an individual stat for Jokic is that he can do everything, so let’s bet his over points + rebounds + assists. The best number is over 52.5 points + rebounds + assists -106 at FanDuel.

No-Sweat Same-Game Parlay: FanDuel has a no-sweat same-game parlay. If we lose, we’ll be using the free bet on an NFL exacta. My same-game parlay will be Nikola Jokic over 52.5 points + rebounds + assists, Isaiah Hartenstein over 8.5 rebounds, and Alex Caruso over 8.5 points. Hartenstein failed for us in Game 6, but only because of foul trouble. I like him much better at home, and the same applies to Caruso, who has scored double-digit points in each of the two non-blowout playoff home games in this series. This parlay pays +475 at FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Thunder -5.5 -101 First Half (2 Units) – Bookmaker Bet on WalterFootball’s favorite sportsbook, Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Nikola Jokic over 52.5 points + rebounds + assists -106 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$105
No-Sweat Same-Game Parlay: Nikola Jokic over 52.5 points + rebounds + assists, Isaiah Hartenstein over 8.5 rebounds, Alex Caruso over 8.5 points +475 (0.5 Units to win 2.4) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$50

NBA Picks for Friday, May 16, 2025 (1-1, +$75)

Boston Celtics at New York Knicks.
Line: Knicks by 3.5.
8:00 PM ET

The Celtics had a nice win over the Knicks in Game 5. However, Boston hit 22 threes, while both Jalen Brunson and Karl-Anthony Towns endured foul trouble. Things should flip the other way with the Celtics no longer getting a pump from the home crowd.

Player Prop: Brunson should perform at a high level after fouling out two nights ago. Brunson is worth betting after losses. He has scored 30, 40, and 39 points following defeats in the playoffs this year. The best number is over 29.5 -125 at BetMGM.

NBA Pick: Knicks -3.5 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Jalen Brunson over 29.5 points -125 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Incorrect; -$125

NBA Picks for Thursday, May 15, 2025 (0-1-1, -$100)

Oklahoma City Thunder at Denver Nuggets.
Line: Thunder by 4.5.
8:30 PM ET

We’ve had some bad beats with blown leads in this round, but the Warriors missing a million free throws at the end and failing to cover by one point really hurt. Hopefully we can recover tonight. We’re going to bet the Thunder in the first half again. This didn’t work out two nights ago, but it’s not like the Thunder covered the regular number anyway.

Player Prop: We hit with Isaiah Hartenstein points + rebounds two nights ago, and we’ll bet it again. Hartenstein is playing major minutes to defend Nikola Jokic, so he’s cleared 20 points + rebounds in every game. The best number is over 20.5 -105 at ESPNBet. If you’re limited there, FanDuel’s vig is next-best at -112.

NBA Pick: Thunder -3 +104 First Half (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Push; $0
NBA Player Prop: Isaiah Hartenstein over 20.5 points + rebounds (1 Unit) – ESPNBet — Incorrect; -$100

NBA Picks for Wednesday, May 14, 2025 (1-1, -$100)

Golden State Warriors at Minnesota Timberwolves.
Line: Timberwolves by 10.
9:30 PM ET

This spread is too large, even with Steph Curry sidelined. All but one game has been decided by single digits in this series, and the Warriors will be fighting for their lives tonight.

Player Prop: Anthony Edwards is a nice fade tonight. He doesn’t do as much at home compared to his road performances, and given that his team is up 3-1, he may not think that he needs to go all out tonight. The best number is under 28.5 -125 at BetMGM or ESPNBet.

NBA Pick: Warriors +10 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Anthony Edwards under 28.5 points -125 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Tuesday, May 13, 2025 (1-1, -$110)

Denver Nuggets at Oklahoma City Thunder.
Line: Thunder by 10.
9:30 PM ET

I’m so sick of the teams we bet blowing leads in the second half. The Thunder have done it so many times, which makes no sense because their depth is far superior compared to Denver’s. I’m going to bet the Thunder first-half line.

Player Prop: Isaiah Hartenstein has been playing massive minutes to combat Nikola Jokic. He’s gone over 19.5 points + rebounds in every game this series. The best number is over 19.5 points + rebounds -120 at ESPNBet. If you’re limited there, you can find over 19.5 -128 at FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

We have $25 in bonus bet money from yesterday’s parlay. I’ll be adding a play to the NFL futures page.

NBA Pick: Thunder -7 -104 First Half (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$210
NBA Player Prop: Isaiah Hartenstein over 19.5 points + rebounds -120 (1 Unit) – ESPNBet — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Monday, May 12, 2025 (1-1, -$100)

Boston Celtics at New York Knicks.
Line: Celtics by 7.5.
7:30 PM ET

We were on the Celtics in Game 3, and we’ll back them again tonight. They’re the far better team – they’ve been up by 20-plus in every game in this series despite shooting 25 percent from three in the first two games – and they’ll be looking to reclaim homecourt advantage tonight.

Player Prop: We’re betting Jayson Tatum for the same reason we did so in Game 3. That bet didn’t hit, but I love Tatum in this spot. The best number is over 27.5 points +100 at FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

We have $25 in bonus bet money from yesterday’s parlay. I’ll be adding a play to the NFL futures page.

NBA Pick: Celtics -7.5 +105 (2 Units) – DraftKings — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Jayson Tatum over 27.5 points +100 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100

More Picks

NBA Mock Draft Database

Walt — Sat, 07 Jun 2025 17:25:03 +0000

Below is a chart of 8 NBA Mock Drafts found on the Internet.

The chart also contains when each mock draft has been updated, as well as the top five picks for each.

The chart also contains when each mock has been updated, as well as the top-five picks for each.

This chart will be updated every day. If your site isn’t listed, please contact me by clicking my name below so we can set up a link exchange.

I’d like to thank Brian Startare of 610 WIP (sports-talk radio station in Philadelphia) for mentioning this Web site, and particularly this page, on his show.

Follow me on Twitter (@walterfootball) for 2024 NBA Mock Draft Database update alerts.

Click here for my 2025 NFL Mock Draft Database.

2025 NBA Mock Draft Site	Date	No. 1	No. 2	No. 3	No. 4	No. 5
WalterFootball.com	6/25	C.Flagg	D.Harper	V.Edgecombe	T.Johnson	K.Knueppel
NBADraft.net	6/25	C.Flagg	D.Harper	V.Edgecombe	K.Knueppel	A.Bailey
CBS	6/24	C.Flagg	D.Harper	T.Johnson	V.Edgecombe	K.Knueppel
NBA Draft Room	6/24	C.Flagg	D.Harper	V.Edgecombe	T.Johnson	J.Fears
Tankathon	6/24	C.Flagg	D.Harper	V.Edgecombe	K.Knueppel	A.Bailey
Reader Mock: WFDevTeam	6/13	C.Flagg	D.Harper	A.Bailey	K.Knueppel	C.Coward
Hoops Hype	6/13	C.Flagg	D.Harper	A.Bailey	V.Edgecombe	T.Johnson
No Ceilings	6/11	C.Flagg	D.Harper	A.Bailey	K.Knueppel	T.Johnson

*** – denotes that the site is currently down.

(WO) – denotes wrong order.

2024 NBA Mock Draft Database

2023 NBA Mock Draft Database

2022 NBA Mock Draft Database

2021 NBA Mock Draft Database

2020 NBA Mock Draft Database

2019 NBA Mock Draft Database

2018 NBA Mock Draft Database

2017 NBA Mock Draft Database

2016 NBA Mock Draft Database

2015 NBA Mock Draft Database

2014 NBA Mock Draft Database

2013 NBA Mock Draft Database

2012 NBA Mock Draft Database

2011 NBA Mock Draft Database

2010 NBA Mock Draft Database

2009 NBA Mock Draft Database

2008 NBA Mock Draft Database

2007 NBA Mock Draft Database

NBA Picks

2026 NFL Mock Draft - April 7

Fantasy Football Rankings - April 5

NFL Picks - Feb. 9

NFL Power Rankings - Jan. 26

2025 NFL Draft Awards

Charlie Campbell — Fri, 02 May 2025 21:33:45 +0000

2025 NFL Draft Awards

With the 2025 NFL Draft in the books, it is only fair to dish out some awards for a job well done by a number of teams across the NFL. It also doesn’t hurt to look at which teams may have made regrettable picks.

Best Value Pick Round 1:

Baltimore Ravens: S Malaki Starks

It gets annoying to hear every year how the Ravens stood pat and let a great player fall into their lap, but the mantra has truth to it and was given a fresh dose of proof in the 2025 NFL Draft. Starks was a top-20 talent and one of the safe picks in the draft to be a good pro starter. Starks had three seasons of rock-solid tape at Georgia to go along with rave reviews for his off-the-field character and his locker room leadership. It was a surprise when Starks slid to the 27th pick in the first round, and was there for the Ravens. Starks is a natural fit as a single high safety playing the deep middle of the field. With his instincts and intelligence, Starks is going to be a weapon for shutting down the deep part of the field. With Kyle Hamilton at strong safety, Baltimore has the makings for one of the best safety tandems in the NFL. Once again, the Ravens stayed patient and allowed a special prospect that should have gone much earlier to fall into their lap.

Honorable Mentions:

Philadelphia Eagles LB Jihaad Campbell

Atlanta Falcons LB Jalon Walker

Atlanta Falcons DE James Pearce Jr.

Miami Dolphins DT Kenneth Grant.

Past Winners:

2024: Laiatu Latu, Colts

2023: Bijan Robinson, Falcons

2022: Charles Cross, Seahawks

2021: Justin Fields, Bears

2020: CeeDee Lamb, Cowboys

2019: Quinnen Williams, Jets

2018: Derwin James, Chargers

2017: Malik Hooker, Colts

2016: Laremy Tunsil, Dolphins

2015: Todd Gurley, Rams and Malcom Brown, Patriots

2014: HaHa Clinton-Dix, Packers

2013: Sharrif Floyd, Vikings

2012: Riley Reiff, Lions

Best Value Pick Day 2:

Seattle Seahawks: S Nic Emmanwori

The Seahawks stole some excellent values in the second round of the 2025 NFL Draft. Throughout the lead-up to the draft, the consensus among team sources was that Emmanwori would be a first-round pick, and some sources thought he could easily go in the top 20. Emmanwori has an amazing combination of size, speed, and athleticism, with a lot of splash plays on tape. With the size of a linebacker, Emmanwori also has the speed of a cornerback and can do rare things in coverage for a large safety. He could be a dynamic strong safety in Seattle and is a great fit in Mike Macdonald’s defense. This was a brilliant pick by general manager John Schneider and the Seahawks landed a massive steal with Emmanwori on day two.

Honorable Mentions:

Seattle Seahawks TE Elijah Arroyo

Washington Commanders CB Trey Amos

Altanta Falcons S Xavier Watts

Baltimore Ravens DE Mike Green

New York Jets TE Mason Taylor

San Francisco 49ers DT Alfred Collins

Chicago Bears WR Luther Burden

Arizona Cardinals CB Will Johnson

Arizona Cardinals DE Jordan Burch

Past Winners:

2024: Cooper DeJean, Eagles

2023: Brian Branch, Lions

2022: Arnold Ebiketie, Falcons

2021: Trevon Moehrig, Raiders

2020: Cam Akers, Rams

2019: Greg Little, Panthers

2018: Derrius Guice, Redskins

2017: Dalvin Cook, Vikings

2016: Myles Jack, Jaguars

2015: Jaelen Strong, Texans

2014: Carlos Hyde, 49ers & Louis Nix, Texans

2013: Eddie Lacy, Packers

2012: Janoris Jenkins, Rams

Best Value Pick Day 3:

New Orleans Saints: LB Danny Stutsman

The Saints had one of the best steals of day three of the draft with Oklahoma linebacker Danny Stutsman. Stutsman is a pure football player with excellent instincts, intelligence, and toughness. He is a good run defender and could grow into being a starter for New Orleans. Stutsman can learn behind DeMario Davis for a season and then take over next to Pete Werner for the Saints. I think he is going to be an overachiever and quality starter for New Orleans.

Honorable Mentions:

Cleveland Browns QB Shedeur Sanders

Philadelphia Eagles DT Ty Robinson

Houston Texans RB Woody Marks

Tennessee Titans WR Elic Ayomanor

Past Winners:

2024:Cedric Gray, Titans

2023:Clark Phillips, Falcons

2022:Dameon Pierce, Texans

2021:Chuba Hubbard, Panthers

2020:Albert Okwuegbunam, Broncos

2019:Mack Wilson, Browns

2018:Nick Nelson, Raiders

2017:Caleb Brantley, Browns

2016:Andrew Billings, Bengals

2015:Jay Ayayi, Dolphinsv

2014:Justin Ellis, Raiders

2013:Philip Thomas, Redskins

2012:Bobbie Massie, Cardinals

Best Trade:

Philadelphia Eagles: LB Jihaad Campbell

Throughout the lead-up to the 2025 NFL Draft, Alabama linebacker Jihaad Campbell was consistently projected to go in the top 20. Sources from around the league raved about Campbell’s 2024 tape and that excellent skill set he displayed, along with the production. In 2024, he had 108 tackles with five sacks, two forced fumbles, one interception, and two passes broken up. Campbell was all over the field for Alabama. Many thought Campbell would get selected in the top half of the first round.

Multiple sources said that Campbell was a top-10 talent and one of the 10 best prospects in the 2025 NFL Draft. Campbell slid in the draft because of medical concerns with his shoulder, but the Eagles said their doctors did not feel the same. Philadelphia moved up one spot to land Campbell, and that was a steal at pick 31. Campbell will be an asset for defending Washington quarterback Jayden Daniels and taking on ground attacks from conference rivals like the Lions, Packers, 49ers, Rams, and Buccaneers. Ensuring they landed Campbell was a great move for Philadelphia.

Honorable Mentions:

Atlanta Falcons DE James Pearce Jr.

Past Winners:

2024:Terrion Arnold, Lions

2023:Paris Johnson, Cardinals

2022:Jameson Williams, Lions

2021:Justin Fields, Bears

2020:Kenneth Murray, Chargers

2019:Montez Sweat, Redskins

2018:Lamar Jackson, Ravens

2017:Tre’Davious White, Bills

2016:Myles Jack, Jaguars

2015:Maxx Williams, Ravens

2014:Louis Nix, Texans

2013:Alec Ogletree, Rams

2012:Justin Blackmon, Jaguars

Biggest Reach Round 1:

New York Giants: QB Jaxson Dart

At the NFL Scouting Combine and the weeks around the event, I surveyed sources from 11 different teams, and of those 11, 10 of them said that Dart did not have a first-round grade for their franchises. Yet the Giants moved up into the first round to land a quarterback prospect that is a day-two caliber player. Coming from a Lane Kiffin offense designed to produce a lot of points, Dart is a system quarterback who lacks some pocket presence, should have thrown more picks, had issues with fumbles, and had a meltdown performance against a very beatable opponent to cost his team a shot at the playoffs. I think Dart could be Zach Wilson 2.0 and another busted quarterback in New York.

Honorable Mentions:

Washington Commanders OT Josh Conerly

Pittsburgh Steelers DT Derrick Harmon

Past Winners:

2024:Bo Nix, Broncos

2023:Mazi Smith, Cowboys

2022:Cole Strange, Patriots

2021:Payton Turner, Saints

2020:Damon Arnette, Raiders

2019:L.J. Collier, Seahawks

2018:Rashaad Penny, Seahawks

2017:Corey Davis, Titans

2016:Josh Garnett, 49ers

2015:Stephone Anthony, Saints

2014:JaWuan James, Dolphins

2013:Travis Frederick, Cowboys

2012:Bruce Irvin, Seahawks

Biggest Reach Day 2:

Cleveland Browns: QB Dillon Gabriel

The Browns selected Gabriel in the third round, and that looks like it has the potential to be a wasted pick. Gabriel has a limited skill set for the NFL. While he is very short, Gabriel also does not have elite athleticism or arm talent. He was expected to go well into day three but the Browns reached on him in the third round.

Honorable Mentions:

Las Vegas Raiders OT Charles Grant

Los Angeles Chargers DT Jamaree Caldwell

Detroit Lions WR Isaac TeSlaa

Cincinnati Bengals G Dylan Fairchild

Past Winners:

2024:Renardo Green, 49ers

2023:Tyrique Stevenson, Bears

2022:Marcus Jones, Patriots

2021:Brady Christensen, Panthers

2020:Jalen Hurts, Eagles

2019:Jalen Hurd, 49ers

2018:Connor Williams, Cowboys

2017:C.J. Beathard, 49ers

2016:Roberto Aguayo, Buccaneers

2015:Jordan Richards, Patriots

2014:Jack Mewhort, Colts

2013:Duron Harmon, Patriots

2012:Bryan Anger, Jaguars

Best Undrafted Free Agent Signing:

Carolina Panthers: K Ryan Fitzgerald

The Panthers were wise not use a draft pick on a kicker and were able to land a good one with Fitzgerald as an undrafted free agent. Fitzgerald was perfect last season, not missing a field goal and showed superb strength and accuracy being good on all five of his attempts from over 50 yards including a 59-yarder. He hit 91 percent the previous season. I think Fitzgerald could be a very good kicker for Carolina.

Honorable Mentions:

Jacksonville Jaguars CB Jabbar Muhammad

Las Vegas Raiders DE Jah Joyner

New York Jets RB Donovan Edwards

Atlanta Falcons CB Cobee Bryant

Cincinnati Bengals C Seth McLaughlin

Minnesota Vikings LB Chaz Chambliss

Philadelphia Eagles RB Montrell Johnson

Past Winners:

2024:Khalid Duke, Titans

2023:Brenton Cox, Packers

2022:Jermaine Waller, Lions

2021:Paris Ford, Rams

2020:Trey Adams, Bills

2019:Elijah Holyfield, Panthers

2018:J.C. Jackson, Patriots

2017:Fish Smithson, Redskins

2016:Geronimo Allison, Packers

2015:Akeem Hunt, Giants

2014:Antonio Richardson, Vikings

2013:Chase Thomas, Saints

2012:James Brown, Bears

Worst Draft Class:

Minnesota Vikings

The Vikings used some of their 2025 draft capital on 2024 draft picks, so they were at a disadvantage in terms of assets available to draft this year. However, I still feel like the Vikings came away from this draft with only one starter in Ohio State guard Donovan Jackson. Minnesota spent heavily on the interior of their offensive line in free agency, adding veteran center Ryan Kelly and guard Will Fries from the Colts. To use their first-round pick on another guard when there were plenty of good defensive backs available to upgrade their secondary was a very questionable decision. The Vikings’ secondary is average at best, and not only did they miss on adding a first-round talent, they did not even draft a defensive back at all in the 2025 NFL Draft. Next year, I think the Lions, Packers, and Bears will all exploit the Minnesota defensive backs.

Minnesota could have had an upgrade at cornerback with Will Johnson or Maxwell Hairston. They also could have landed a difference maker at safety in Malaki Starks or Nick Emmanwori. Last year, Minnesota lost twice to the Lions, and Detroit was without some of its best players. Any of those defensive backs would have been helpful in defending the Lions’ passing attack, along with the young receiving talent with the Packers and Bears. This draft class reminds me of the 2022 group when general manager Kwesi Adofo-Mensah ended up with nothing to show for the 12th-overall pick and a high second-rounder that were turned into busts of Lewis Cine and Andrew Booth while allowing the Lions to get better by adding Jameson Williams. It would not surprise me if, in a few years, the Vikings have little to show for their 2025 draft class.

Past Winners:

2024:Miami Dolphins

2023:Dallas Cowboys

2022:New England Patriots

2021:New Orleans Saints

2020:Green Bay Packers

2019:Houston Texans

2018:Dallas Cowboys

2017:Arizona Cardinals

2016:New England Patriots

2015:Carolina Panthers

2014:Kansas City Chiefs

2013:Dallas Cowboys

2012:Seattle Seahawks

Best Draft Class:

Atlanta Falcons

My favorite draft classes were the Falcons and Patriots. I thought both teams drafted extremely well with excellent values at each spot and really improved their rosters dramatically in the 2025 NFL Draft. I think Atlanta could get more bang for their buck with some huge impact players, and therefore I give them the edge for the best draft class in 2025.

The lack of pass rush has been a problem for the Falcons in the past few seasons, and Atlanta was aggressive to get it fixed on the opening night of the 2025 NFL Draft. Nobody expected Georgia linebacker Jalon Walker to slip to the 15th pick, but there he was, and the Falcons snatched him up. In 2024, Walker had 6.5 sacks as a part-time pass rusher, and he is a dynamic blitzer with the ability to rush from different spots. After having Walker fall into their laps, the Falcons did not sit and wait for round two as they used next year’s first-round pick to make a huge jump back in the first round and select Tennessee pass rusher James Pearce Jr. Pearce is coming off two excellent seasons of pass rush production in the SEC as he has 17 sacks and a plethora of pressures. The 6-foot-5, 240-pounder could be a double-digit sack producer early in his pro career, and he has the upside to be one of the top quarterback hunters in the NFL. Both Pearce and Walker are NFL-ready, so the Falcons could start reaping the dividends as soon as next September. While it was an expensive night of spending draft capital, Atlanta won on the opening night and looks to have resolved a weakness that has been plaguing them for years.

After the first round, the Falcons added an interception machine in Notre Dame safety Xavier Watts, and added another big-play threat for the backend with Oklahoma safety Billy Bowman. I also think seventh-round offensive tackle Jack Nelson could prove to be a solid swing tackle backup in the NFL.

It would not surprise me if the Falcons look back at this draft as a turning point to turn their defense into a playoff-caliber stop unit with a pair of big-time pass rushers and safeties that are threats to take the ball away. I think this draft is going to help propel Atlanta to the playoffs in 2025 or 2026.

Honorable Mentions:

Philadelphia Eagles

New England Patriots

Arizona Cardinals

Seattle Seahawks

Baltimore Ravens

Past Winners:

2024:Los Angeles Rams

2023:Detroit Lions

2022:New York Jets

2021:New York Giants

2020:Dallas Cowboys

2019:Washington Redskins

2018:Denver Broncos

2017:Washington Redskins

2016:Buffalo Bills

2015:Jacksonville Jaguars

2014:Houston Texans

2013:Green Bay Packers

2012:Pittsburgh Steelers

2026 NFL Mock Draft - April 7

Fantasy Football Rankings - April 5

NFL Picks - Feb. 9

NFL Power Rankings - Jan. 26

NBA Free Agent Signing Grades

Mike Elworth — Wed, 31 Jul 2024 13:33:26 +0000

Grizzlies sign Luke Kennard for 1 year, $11 million

For the past few seasons, Luke Kennard has been the No. 1 shooter in the league based on pure efficiency. Memphis is a mediocre shooting team, so being able to keep him is huge. They should have made this a multi-year deal.

Grade for Memphis: A

Trail Blazers sign guard Devonte Graham for 1 year, minimum

Portland needed at least another point guard and Graham’s a talented scorer who is very recently coming off a huge money deal, but he’s been pretty mediocre for a few seasons. He’s also not the type of reserve you would want for Scoot.

Grade for Blazers: B

Knicks sign Precious Achiuwa for 1 year, $6 million

The Knicks needed to add two bigs and so they kept reserve big man Achiuwa on a bargain of a contract, as he can and probably will be the No. 3 big. This also should have been a multiple season deal, as again, their big man depth is not what a contender should.

Grade for Knicks: A

Nets sign Keon Johnson for 2 years, minimum

The Nets have signed their promising SL and G-League guard for a really solid price. The Nets need to be adding assets, whether talent or picks so I like them taking a shot at Johnson.

Grade for Nets: B

Indiana Signs James Johnson for 1 year, minimum

Indiana has an excellent roster, but they needed locker room veterans and have signed Johnson again, who is 37. He’s a capable contributor, but he wont play very much.

Grade: B+

Pacers sign Andrew Nembhard for 3 years, $58 million

This is an excellent move as Indiana keeps their brilliant combo guard who has become a huge part of the team. He was eligible for 4-78, but he wisely took his fortune, but he also will get to free agency sooner to sign a potentially massive deal.

Grade for Indiana: A

Nets sign Hayes for 1 year, minimum
The former No. 7 pick was a huge bust with the Pistons, but Brooklyn craves talent and there were quite a few games where he was excellent, but had zero consistency. I really am a fan of these types of moves and he may thrive there.

Grade for Nets: A-

Mavericks sign Spencer Dinwiddie for 1 year, minimum

A couple of seasons ago Dinwiddie would be looking at $75+ million on his deal, but he really had a rough go of it with the Lakers and the value is at a low. His strength is his elite size for a point guard and fancy playmaking, and I like this as they really needed another on ball guard. This is is a solid deal.

Grade for Nets: A-

Suns sign guard Tyus Jones for one year, minimum

The Suns signed Monte Morris, but they still needed a sixth and reserve point guard who is legitimate and that’s Jones. He is a starter who will likely act an ace reserve and could have gotten 3-$45 and I wouldn’t have cared. This is a huge signing by the Suns, as they try to get to become contenders.

Grade for Suns: A

Bucks sign Gary Trent for 1 year, minimum

This is the fourth(?) A+ of the offseason, as it’s an incredible signing. The Bucks needed a starter at the two and someone who can be that added scorer they really needed a season ago. He said no to some bigger contracts for this as he loved his time with Damian Lillard in Portland, so he signed for the minimum; he is coming off a big money contract. What he gets is a starting job on a team that can feasibly win a title.

Grade: A+

Knicks sign Cam Payne for 1 year, minimum

The tiny scoring guard is instant bench offense, that’s who he is and so the Knicks will have him and McBride run a very strong offensive second unit. There’s no real problem with this, but Tyler Kolek, who is now their fourth point guard needs development; he is a legit first-round talent.

Grade: A-

Hornets sign Seth Curry for 1 year, minimum

Curry is a consistent 40-percent shooter who has quietly been an excellent marksmen for awhile. Yes, I have little clue why he’s not ring chasing, but it’s a minimum signing, so who cares?

Grade: A-

Spurs sign Charles Bassey for 1 year, minimum

This is a very small signing for San Antonio, but Bassey has been a solid third five for a few seasons and you need at least five bigs.

Grade: B

Spurs sign Sandro Mamukelashavili for 1 year, minimum

This is a minimum depth signing for San Antonio. Mamukelashavili been solid in his short time as a reserve five for them. He should have gotten $5 million or so.

Grade: A-

76ers sign Kenyon Martin Jr., for 2 years, $16 million

The 76ers traded for Kenyon Martin’s son, a talented scoring forward, in a deal with the Los Angeles Clippers. He’s one of their only prospects who could make himself into their starting four. This contract is fine by me, as he’s a legitimate talent.

Grade: B+

Jazz sign Johnny Jujang for 4 year, $13 million

This is the Jazz giving second-year guard Jujang a normal rookie contract, which if he develops, will be a huge steal. He was excellent in the G-League, scoring 20-plus per game, and showed a lot of offensive ability in his time with the Jazz.

Grade: B

Pelicans sign Karlo Matkovic for 1 year, $5 million

The Pelicans have signed ’22 second-rounder Matkovic for three seasons. After being drafted he was in Europe for one year, went to the G-League after and was special there. This is signing a very talented player for very little. I’m a huge fan of this contract.

Grade: A+

Hornets sign Taj Gibson for 1 year, min

Taj Gibson is almost 40, but he’s a heck of a locker room guy and can still help if needed as a fifth big. He can teach Tidjane Saulan and Mark Williams a lot about how to play the right way.

Grade: B

Knicks sign Jalen Brunson for 4 years, $165 million

Brunson is the biggest Knicks star since at least Carmelo Anthony. The new King of the Big Apple will stay the franchise player for at least another contract. The weird part of this? He would have been given a 5-year deal valued at $280 million next offseason, but this gives him his fortune immediately and helps the Knicks, whose luxury bill will be ridiculous. This is a home run for them.

Grade: A

76ers sign Kyle Lowry for 1 year, min

Lowry will play a big role on the bench and on the court as the reserve point guard for the 76ers, who lacked a proper reserve to Maxey. He can also play with Maxey, but at the minimum it’s an incredible deal.

Grade: A

Suns sign Josh Okogie for 1 year, $16 million, TO

There is no way Okogie is valued at $8 million, this has to be to just add another medium salary to add to trades and so this is probably really a 1-8 contract. He’s a fine role player, but you can find similar at the minimum.

Grade: B

Bullets sign Saddiq Bey for 3 years, $20 million

The Bullets have been very impressive this offseason, but they should still sign Tyus Jones. Bey, is a proven scorer and the Bullets really needed a perimeter scorer, and a small forward as they traded Deni. He could start, so the value’s excellent.

Grade: B+

Nets sign Trendon Watford for 1 year, $2.6 million

Technically this is Watford signing his QO, which was worth $2.6 million. He just had a very nice season for the Nets and they could have given him four years, $20 million and it would still be a decent signing.

Grade: A-

Nuggets sign Vlatko Cancar to a 1 season, min

Most random minimum contracts get a B from me if it’s not a ridiculous value or steal. Cancar tore his knee and missed last season, but he’s a solid fifth big.

Grade: B

Pelicans sign Daniel Thies, for 1 year, min

The Pelicans needed at least one added big as they only had rookie Yves Missi and Cody Zeller at the five. Thies’ hustle and energy makes him a valuable reserve, and honestly he’s the safest starter pick of the three. They still need another big though.

Grade: A-

Heat keep Haywood Highsmith for 2 years, $11 million

Highsmith was a popular name in free agency, but it seems that loyalty won, as he is staying with the Heat. His value is double this and he could take Caleb Martin’s big role. This was an excellent move by Pat Riley.

Grade: A

Pistons sign Paul Reed for 1 year, $9 million

This is the Pistons paying Reed his $9 million contract option that the 76ers wouldn’t. This is a solid deal for a talented big man who really helps give them the third big man they lacked

Grade: B

Atlanta signs Vit Krjci for 4 years, $11 million

In his third season, Krjci played well for Atlanta and so they have awarded him with four seasons. The 6-foot-8 guard is one of their few guard prospects they have, so keeping him was very smart because I like the player and deal.

Grade: A-

Kings Sign DeMar DeRozan for 3 years, $74 million

As a Bulls guy, it’s a shame to see DeRozan leave, but it was wise for him and the Bulls. He isn’t a fit in their age range and is pricey, but he’s a nice fit on the Kings as a third 20-point scorer. The price is very fair, but the fit? Not really, as they needed a shooter in that third scorer role. He improves the team a lot, but they are still just a No. 6-10 team in the conference.

Grade: B

76ers sign Caleb Martin for 4 years, $32 million

Martin apparently said no to double this from the Heat, but the 76ers found their starting four, which was a huge need. He’s an elite role player who had a massive role with the Heat for a few seasons. This is a steal, and the 76ers are now easily the No. 2 team in the conference.

Grade: A

Pistons sign guard Malik Beasley for 1 year, $6 million

This is a bargain, as Malik Beasley could’ve made $9-$10 million a season, but why he signed with a cellar dweller is strange. The Pistons really needed a shooter at the two. If they are actually trying to win this season, he fits though and for the price? Who cares?

Grade: B+

Nuggets sign Dario Saric for 2 years, $10.6 million

I’m a big fan of Saric, as he’s so big and has abilities the majority of seven-foot bigs lack. He can really shoot the ball, and he’s also a solid playmaker. He could be their third big, but it takes minutes from their rookie big and further talents.

Grade: B+

Hornets sign Miles Bridges for 3 years, $75 million

The legal issues seem to be fine, but Bridges has a poor reputation off the court. When playing, he is an ace scorer and is a monster athlete. For that, he gets $25 million per season; a fair value, but that’s a lot of money for someone with his rep.

Grade: B

Pistons sign Simone Fontecchio for two season, 16 million

When the Pistons traded for Fontecchio last season, he was excellent, showing strong shooting and scoring for Detroit. This is a nice value move for them.

Grade: B

Kings sign Jordan McLaughlin for 1 year, min

The Kings needed guard depth after trading Chris Duarte and Davion Mitchell, and he’s a fine fifth guard. It’s a very solid signing.

Grade: B

Warriors sign Buddy Hield for 2 years, $21 million

As a huge fan of Buddy Hield’s game, this is my favorite signing so far. It’s a cheap deal as his value’s twice that, and he and Steph Curry are an incredible shooting/scoring duo. They have to make another big move – Lauri Markkanen? – but this was as strong as a signing can get.

Grade: A+

Heat sign Alec Burks, for one year, min

Burks has efficiency issues, but he can really score the ball and he should have tripled the minimum. This adds vital offensive depth.

Grade: A

Timberwolves sign Joe Ingles for 1 year, min

Ingles was a versatile bench weapon for the Bucks for a number of seasons. He is a talented offensive player with a unique game, and he can help Minnesota off the bench who list Kyle Anderson.

Grade: B+

Pacers sign James Wiseman for 2 years, min

I still see Wiseman as a starter in the league. He is 23 and still has that elite talent, so this is a zero-risk move; it may very well give them a huge addition to their bench.

Grade: A

Timberwolves sign PJ Dozier for one year, min

After a season playing in Europe, Dozier comes to Minnesota as a needed depth piece. He may not play, but you still need strong players 10-14, and he’s fine.

Grade: B

Mavericks sign Klay Thompson for 3 years, $50 million

Obviously, due to the cheapness of the contract, Klay Thompson prioritized winning after he was insulted by the Warriors deal; he joins arguably the No. 1 team in the West as their No. 3 scorer. He makes a contender a lot stronger, but I wanted to see him and Curry retire as a duo, they earned that. This is a huge steal for them.

Grade: A

Celtics sign Jayson Tatum for 5 years, $314 million

This is the biggest contract in league history as this is what’s known as a supermax, meaning he had to stack awards to get it. The No. 1 player on the No. 1 squad in the league and a recent champion who is 26 was obviously getting paid and this is obviously a ton, but it was happening regardless; he earned this. He is one of the biggest stars in the league and as the man they trust to be “the guy” for a dynasty, I’m fine with this contract.

Grade: B+

Celtics sign Derrick White for 4 years, $125 million

Yes, it’s pricey, but for a main guy on a title winner they saw that $31 million value. Their tax bill will be huge, but this keeps them the favorites to repeat this upcoming season.

Grade: B

Cavaliers sign Donovon Mitchell for 3 years, $150.3 million, PO

It’s a bit risky for Mitchell only taking three campaigns, but this contract takes him to age 30, so he can sign another, bigger max deal. This is very likely just a 2-100 deal where he will be a free agent after. If Mitchell wants to stay, they can give him another max deal at 30. Still he said no to $100 million, which I would not. He’s one of the 15 or so biggest stars in the league and the small market Cavs were able to keep their franchise guy. They can now trade Garland for another star talent.

Grade: A-

Raptors sign Garrett Temple for 1 year, min

Temple is 38, fun fact. He must be a heck of a teammate, because he hasn’t really played in three seasons. I have no issue giving minimums to these types of guys, but as the Raptors aren’t winning are they wasting a roster spot?

Grade: C+

Warriors sign Kyle Anderson for 3 years, $28 million

Kyle Anderson is a fine rotation piece, but not at this price. They lost the opportunity to trade for Paul George and seemed to hurry to make some kind of deal at the position. I like him and Melton, but they have to make a big move – Markkanen??.

Grade: C

Clippers sign Nic Batum for two years, $10 million

Sorry, Clippers. You lost Paul George and signed Nic Batum for $5 million per season. Batum at $5 million isn’t really what they needed.

Grade: D+

Heat sign Thomas Bryant for 1 year, minimum

The Heat needed another five and so they kept Bryant for another season; he a talented reserve scoring big. If given minutes, he would have a lot of double-doubles.

Grade: A-

Suns sign Monte Morris for 1 year, $3 million

Monte Morris has been one of the finest true point guard reserves for several seasons and gives the Suns an actual point guard, which they lacked. He will probably come off the bench, but he could have a legitimate bench role. For the price this is a steal.

Grade: A+

Lakers sign LeBron James for 2 years, $104 million, PO

It seems that LeBron James will only play till age 41 due to the way this contract was made. $52 million for a 39-year-old is normally a pretty big “oh no” move for a team, but this is still his value. He might not be what he was, but he’s earned another max. With James and Anthony Davis, they still need a third guy or they might miss the playoffs.

Grade: A-

Lakers sign Bronny James to a multi-year guaranteed contract.

This just is not how rookie contracts work. At pick 55, nobody gets guaranteed season contracts, let alone multiple. The nepotism is pretty ridiculous.

Grade: F

Celtics sign Xavier Tillman for two years, $10 million

This is an excellent deal although he had a small role when traded to the Celtics. He really showed that he has rotation big potential as a Grizzly, and this is a really solid price. I really like that they have been able to keep their depth pieces for cheap.

Grade: A-

Suns sign Damion Lee for 1 season, minimum

The brother-in-law to Stephen Curry is quietly one of the elite shooters in the league as well and Lee continues to earn his keep. He’s coming off serious injury, but as a shooter he can really help the Suns and their poor depth

Grade: A-

Warriors sign guard Deanthony Melton for 1 year, $13 million

This is very intriguing deal. Melton is one of the stronger 3-and-D talents in the league and was excellent in Philly, so I would have kept him; this is a bargain. Players like Melton are getting 20 million per season, so obviously this is a steal. He’s a bit of a poor man’s Klay Thompson and could start for them; he pairs with Curry very nicely. Philly really should have kept him.

Grade: A-

Heat sign Kevin Love for two years, $8 million

Love in his mid 30s is a shell of his former superstar self, but is a really solid reserve big mainly due to his rebounding and scoring talent. He should continue to age fine and is a cheap, strong bench option.

Grade: B+

Timberwolves sign Luka Garza for 2 years, minimum

Garza is probably the No. 1 fifth big man in the league and can become a No. 2 five and fourth big man. He is huge and a strong scorer/rebounder. This was a nice move keeping their important big depth, they use a lot of bigs.

Grade: B+

Jazz sign Drew Eubanks for 2 years, $10 million

With the Jazz likely trading Markkanen it’s smart to find depth and Eubanks is in no way a big name, but when he is actually playing, he helps his team.

Grade: B

Clippers sign Kris Dunn for 1 year, min

Kris Dunn has become a really strong defensive specialist and although he’s not a very talented scorer, he has playmaking talent and defenders who guard guards like him can be rare. This is a solid move as they lost Paul George, who is an excellent defender. They still need a second star, like a DeMar DeRozan or Zach Lavine.

Grade: B+

Clippers sign Kevin Porter for 2 years, $5 million, TO

Porter was recently a big time scorer with a big money deal, but legal issues got him basically tossed from the league. The contracts obviously a steal, but he’s a pariah and should he still be able to play in the league? I dislike this.

Grade: D+

Celtics sign Neemias Queta for 1 year, $2 million

This is not a very interesting signing as they are just keeping their fifth big man around. It’s cheap and he knows this team, so it’s fine.

Grade: A-

Thunder sign Isaiah Hartenstein for 3 years, $87 million

I like Hartenstein. He’s gritty, hustles and is a very talented role player. This is paying him like he’s a franchise five. This is the biggest overpay so far this offseason. If they start him with Chet Holmgren, they would work very well and if that’s the case for signing him then you can see the merit, but the ridiculous money is the largest part of the grade.

Grade: C

Pistons sign Tobias Harris for 2 years, $50 million

I’ve written for awhile saying that Tobias Harris will for some reason join the Pistons, i.e. the team with the fewest wins. They want a vet to help in then locker room and on the court. He should be starting at the four and giving them 16-19 points. It makes little sense why he’s again being overpaid and he picked a team that will not win.

Grade: D

Bulls sign Jalen Smith for 3 years, $29 million

The Bulls continue to build their roster and getting excellent talent. The one position they lacked a developmental option was the five and the Bulls can seriously try and trade Vucevic. Smith’s a shooting and scoring big man that might become their starter. Also, stealing him from a rival adds intrigue. The value could have easily been twice this and it would have been fine.

Grade: A

Thunder sign Aaron Wiggins for 5 years, $48 million

For an uber-talented role player, it’s rare to see a 5-year deal, but the contract is very fair. Wiggins has become a big part of their rotation and should be there another five seasons.

Grade: B

Thunder sign Isaiah Joe for 4 years, $48 million

The 6-foot-4 shooting guard is one of the truly special shooters in the league. For a volume shooter and scorer like Joe, $12 million a season is a fair deal. This is average elite shooter cash.

Grade: B

76ers sign Kelly Oubre for 2 years, $13 million with a second season PO

Oubre is a very talented three-and-D role player who honestly deserves double what they are paying, but at least he has his option. He will be a starter or huge rotation piece for a true title contender. This is ridiculous steal for the team.

Grade: A

76ers sign guard Tyrese Maxey for 5 years, max

Maxey in one season went from an ace scoring small shooting guard to a legit point guard and star. He is one of the league’s elite offensive players and is the No. 2 guy on a title contender. He is also capable of running the offense, but Paul George should help him there. Maxey deserved this money

Grade: B+

Spurs sign Chris Paul for one year, $10 million

The money and the match is excellent. They needed a true point guard and found one of the elite ones. Yes, he’s old, but he will teach Wemby, Vassell and Castle so much, it’s like adding a coach. He must not want a championship, because at his age he should be ring hunting.

Grade: A

Clippers sign Derrick Jones for 3 years, $30 million

As soon as the Clippers lost Paul George, they signed the Mavericks starter who is a marvel of an athlete and is very talented as a stopper. He adds some bounce and hustle whether they use him as a starter or main reserve. The value is also very fair.

Grade: B+

Bucks sign Delon Wright for 1 year, $3 million

Delon Wright has the size that you want from a reserve combo guard and has two way abilities Milwaukee covets. For a fifth guard, he will play well when given the opportunity.

Grade: B+

76ers sign Paul George for a 4 years, max contract

Paul George chose to become a free agent, and the 76ers were the natural place for him to sign. They have two All-Stars, they had cash, and they want a title. It’s a ton of money for a 33-year-old, but this makes the 76ers the No. 2 team in the East. He will give them 23/5/5 with excellent defense at the three. This is a home run for Philadelphia.

Grade: B

Clippers re-sign James Harden to a 2 year, $70 million deal with a PO

This is very expensive, but with Clippers knowing they were losing George they had to keep their third star and so he got paid. There are far bigger contracts that are far uglier than this, and again, they needed to keep him. They have to find a stronger No. 2 if they want a chance to win.

Grade: B+

Pacers re-sign Obi Toppin for 4 seasons, $60 million

This is an interesting signing, as the four isn’t a need and they have Walker who should play an increased role, but Toppin played very well for them. Being able to sit Siakam and bring Toppin in the game’s a huge luxury, so I get why they made the deal and the money’s strong value.

Grade: B

Lakers sign guard Max Christie for 4 years, $32 million

His brother was just drafted by the Clippers and then he gets $30 million; it’s pretty impressive. He’s a shooter who defends and has strong size for the position. This is the Lakers signing him with the hope he improves and makes this a huge bargain.

Grade: B

Kings re-sign Alex Len for 1 year, minimum

Len’s been a solid reserve for Sacramento for a couple seasons and he gets another. The former No. 5 pick is still a strong scorer and rebounder who can start if needed.

Grade: B

Celtics re-sign Luke Kornet for 1 year, minimum

Kornet’s largest talent is his massive size, which he knows how to utilize well. He also has been the fourth big in Boston, meaning he was in the rotation of a title winning rotation. He works there.

Grade: B+

76ers sign Eric Gordon for 1 year, $5 million

Why would Gordon leave the Suns where he was a sixth man for basically the same money he would have made in Phoenix? This gives the 76ers a duo of scoring guards in rookie Jared McCain and Gordon. This is an excellent move.

Grade: A

Bullets sign Jonas Valancinas for 3 seasons, $27 million

After drafting Alex Sarr, signing a bulky five makes little sense, but it looks like they may use their rookie as a four; he’s obviously a five. Regardless, he’s a strong starting five and the money’s actually a bargain.

Grade: B

Andre Drummond signs with 76ers for 2-seasons, $10m

Drummond is one of the ace reserve fives in the league and they get to pair him with the leagues No. 1 big. I love them getting excellent depth with the health of Joel Embiid a question.

Grade: A

Detroit re-signs Cade Cunningham for five years, maximum

Cunningham is a star, about to be an All-Star and is the Pistons’ franchise player. He’s earned a max contract. He’s their No. 1 scorer and distributor and is a huge part of them trying to get to the playoffs. They had to keep him and he has a shot to become one of the franchise’s biggest stars, he is that talented.

Grade: B+

Suns sign Masin Plumlee for 1 year, minimum

The Suns really needed a superior second big man and Plumlee is rock solid and he played very well for LA. When he is playing he simply produces. I’m a fan of this move.

Grade: B

Bullets re-sign Richaun Holmes for two years, $26 million

So Holmes said no to his 13 million dollar option to sign a two-season deal at the same cost, but it seems to be a two-season deal with a team option. Holmes is a decent reserve big, but that’s too much money. It’s a need though which saves the grade.

Grade: C

Suns re-sign Bol for one year, minimum

Bol was impressive for the Suns as a reserve 5. He’s huge and has some really solid stats when he gets some minutes. Keeping a strong role player at a need spot, at the minimum is a nice contract.

Grade: B+

Suns re-sign Royce O’Neale for 4 years, $45 million

They traded for O’Neale in season and obviously wanted to keep him as their starter or 7th man and this is just a really strong bargain. The Suns had little money to spend so they needed a fair deal and they got one. He’s an excellent shooter and has playmaking ability, is valued around the league as a role player and at just $11 million a season, I love it.

Grade: A

Nuggets re-sign Deandre Jordan for 1 year, minimum

This was an obvious move as they need talent with their big men when Jokic sits and Jordan’s been his reserve for awhile.

Grade: B

Bulls re-sign Patrick Williams for 5 years, $90 million

The former No. 4 pick is only 22 and is an elite defender and excellent shooter and this is a steal of a contract as he can still be a stud. Williams should continue to start at the 4 and this was another big time move for the Bulls who have actually had made some nice moves so far.

Grade: A-

Raptors re-sign Scottie Barnes for 5 years, $270 million dollars

Scottie Barnes will be signing a max contract for 5 seasons, it just needs ink to paper when free agency starts. He’s their star and franchise player after 3 seasons and will stay said player for another 6 seasons. We knew this deal was going to be made, so there’s not much that needs to be said, but it is too much money.

Grade: B+

Kings re-sign Malik Monk for 4 years, $78 million dollars

This is a massive win for the Kings keeping their third scorer and arguably the No. 1 bench guard in the league. He would easily have made 100+ million when he hit free agency, but he fits so well he made the wise choice to stay. They couldn’t lose him.

Grade: A+

Pacers sign Siakam for 4 years, $190 million

This technically will have to wait, but the Pacers traded a lot for All-Star big about half into the season and he helped them win 2 playoff series. He gives them excellent two way play and 22-6-5 stars giving them a second star. There was little doubt that they would let him walk and he wanted to stay so there was no doubt they would quickly agree on a deal. This is too much money for Siakam but they had to pay him.

Grade: A-

NBA Picks Against the Spread

Walt — Sat, 20 Jul 2024 20:30:06 +0000

NBA Picks (Jan. 8-14) 8-8 (-$210)
NBA Picks (Jan. 15-21) 7-7 (-$120)
NBA Picks (Jan. 22-28) 8-6 (+$80)
NBA Picks (Jan. 29-Feb. 4) 11-6 (+$750)
NBA Picks (Feb. 5-11) 8-7 (+$315)
NBA Picks (Feb. 12-18) 5-3 (+$190)
NBA Picks (Feb. 19-25) 3-6 (-$410)
NBA Picks (Feb. 26-March 3) 12-2 (+$1,620)
NBA Picks (March 4-10) 8-7 (+$190)
NBA Picks (March 11-17) 8-5-1 (+$315)
NBA Picks (March 18-24) 8-5 (+$205)
NBA Picks (March 25-31) 6-9 (-$520)
NBA Picks (April 1-7) 7-5 (+$690)
NBA Picks (April 8-14) 7-5 (+$505)
NBA Picks (Play-in Tournament) 2-4 (-$315)
NBA Picks (First Round + MIN/DEN Game 1) 13-20 (-$905)
NBA Picks (Second Round) 16-12 (+$200)
NBA Picks (Conference Finals) 12-6 (+$920)
NBA Picks (Finals) 4-4 (-$205)

2023-24 NBA Picks: 153-127-1 (+$3,285)
2022-23 NBA Picks: 61-69-4 (-$1,400)
2021-22 NBA Picks: 73-60-3 (+$2,815)
2020-21 NBA Picks: 98-96-5 (+$1,045)
2019-20 NBA Picks: 47-46-1 (+$450)
2018-19 NBA Picks: 114-98-4 (+$3,550)
2017-18 NBA Picks: 63-66-2 (-$1,850)
2016-17 NBA Picks: 51-67-2 (-$4,620)
2015-16 NBA Picks: 93-95-6 (-$1,305)
2014-15 NBA Picks: 62-53-4 (+$250)
2013-14 NBA Picks: 59-51-4 (+$760)
2012-13 NBA Picks: 51-45 (+$1,180)
2011-12 NBA Picks: 38-46-1 (-$3,005)
2010-11 NBA Picks: 113-89-4 (+$2,690)
2009-10 NBA Picks: 116-98-4 (+$1,375)
2008-09 NBA Picks: 122-119-6 (-$2,280)
2007-08 NBA Picks: 104-88-8 (+$1,485)
Follow @walterfootball for updates.

NBA Picks for the 2023-24 Season:

NBA Picks for Monday, June 17, 2024

Boston Celtics at Dallas Mavericks.
Line: Celtics by 7.
8:30 PM ET

We got our win with the Mavericks, finally. Now, it’s time for the Celtics to finish this series. Boston mailed in Game 4, but will put forth more effort in this game. Kristaps Porzingis will also be available, in all likelihood. The Mavericks would’ve had a chance in this series if Porzingis were out, but Porzingis being back in action changes everything.

Player Prop: Jayson Tatum’s over did not hit in Game 4 because of foul trouble and the blowout. I think Tatum goes under in Game 5. Tatum doesn’t shoot as well at home, plus Porzingis’ potential return means he’ll have to do less than usual. The best number is under 27.5 -120 at BetMGM. You can Get $158 in bonus bets from BetMGM by clicking the link.

If you’re looking for the best DFS content on the Web, sign up for Stokastic for the greatest projections and ownership data. Sign up with this link or use promo code WALTERFOOTBALL for 25% off!

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Celtics -7 +106 (2 Units) – Bookmaker
NBA Player Prop: Jayson Tatum under 27.5 points -120 (1 Unit) – BetMGM Get $158 in bonus bets from BetMGM

NBA Picks for Friday, June 14, 2024 (1-1, +$95)

Boston Celtics at Dallas Mavericks.
Line: Mavericks by 1.
8:30 PM ET

It’s extremely difficult to close out a series on the road against a good team. There have also been just nine sweeps in NBA Finals history. Is this series so lopsided that we’ll see a 10th sweep? Perhaps, but only if the Mavericks mail it in tonight. Conversely, if they try hard, they should be able to salvage at least one victory at home, especially against a Boston team that has slacked off on occasion throughout this year’s playoff run.

Player Prop: I like the Jayson Tatum over points. Yes, over. We’ve been fading Tatum at home, where he delegates more to the role players. Tatum, however, is a much better shooter on the road. His over points hit in Game 3, and I think it’ll happen again with Kristaps Porzingis nursing his injury. The best number is over 27.5 -105 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Mavericks -1 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Jayson Tatum over 27.5 points -105 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$105

NBA Picks for Wednesday, June 12, 2024 (1-1, -$100)

Boston Celtics at Dallas Mavericks.
Line: Mavericks by 3.
8:30 PM ET

Are the Celtics really going to sweep the Mavericks? I highly doubt it, especially with Kristaps Porzingis now nursing a leg injury. He may play, but if he does, he may not be 100 percent.

Bonus bet: I’m betting the Celtics to win 4-2 in this series at +500 (FanDuel). I’ll be shocked if the Mavericks don’t win at least one game, and with Porzingis hurt, Dallas could get two victories. Player Prop: I like the Jayson Tatum over points. Yes, over. We’ve been fading Tatum at home, where he delegates more to the role players. Tatum, however, is a much better shooter on the road, so I think he’ll get over his struggles with a big game tonight. The best number is over 26.5 -110 at DraftKings. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Mavericks -3 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Jayson Tatum over 26.5 points -110 (1 Unit) – DraftKings — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Sunday, June 9, 2024 (1-1, -$100)

Dallas Mavericks at Boston Celtics.
Line: Celtics by 6.
8:00 PM ET

When it was announced Kristaps Porzingis would play, I didn’t think he’d be 100 percent. He definitely was, as he had a great performance in Game 1. I know believe Boston will win this series. However, we’ve seen the Celtics be no-shows in Game 2. They could slack off here, while the Mavericks will shoot better by default than they did on Thursday. They shot just 25 percent from three, which has to regress to the mean.

Player Prop: I like the Jayson Tatum under points. We’ve been fading Tatum at home, where he delegates more to the role players. Dallas’ defense should be able to limit him anyway. The best number is under 26.5 -120 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Mavericks +6 +104 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Jayson Tatum under 26.5 points -120 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Thursday, June 6, 2024 (1-1, -$100)

Dallas Mavericks at Boston Celtics.
Line: Celtics by 6.
8:30 PM ET

The Celtics haven’t been tested in the playoffs without Kristaps Porzingis. They beat the Heat, who didn’t have Jimmy Butler. They then took on the Jarrett Allen-less Cavaliers, who lost Donovan Mitchell halfway through the series. After that, it was the Pacers, who kept things close in three games even though they didn’t have Tyrese Haliburton for the two battles in Indiana. I’m not saying Boston isn’t a great team, but the case can be made that Dallas is better. The Mavericks dismantled the Timberwolves, who beat the defending-champion Nuggets. They beat the No. 1 seed Thunder in six, though the series would have gone five had Luka Doncic not hurt his knee in Game 4. The Mavericks have been so much better since the trade deadline, and it seems like people are just beginning to realize this.

Player Prop: I like the Jayson Tatum under points. We’ve been fading Tatum at home, where he delegates more to the role players. Dallas’ defense should be able to limit him anyway. The best number is under 27.5 -118 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Mavericks +6 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Jayson Tatum under 27.5 points -118 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Tuesday, May 28, 2024 (1-1, +$90)

Dallas Mavericks at Minnesota Timberwolves.
Line: Timberwolves by 4.
8:30 PM ET

The Timberwolves shot lights out in Game 4, while Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving were 7-of-21 and 6-of-18 from the field, respectively. Despite this, Minnesota barely won! The Mavericks look to have Minnesota’s number, and Doncic plays better on the road anyway.

Player Prop: I like the Karl-Anthony Towns under. This should come as no surprise, as Towns has been a big choke artist at home. We’ve been fading him in Minnesota for a while, so hopefully we can win one more time. The best number is under 20.5 -108 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Mavericks +4 -101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Karl-Anthony Towns under 20.5 points -108 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$110

NBA Picks for Tuesday, May 28, 2024 (2-0, +$325)

Minnesota Timberwolves at Dallas Mavericks.
Line: Timberwolves by 1.
8:30 PM ET

The Timberwolves had a legitimate chance to win every game in this series. They’ve all been close, so why can’t they win once against a team that has mailed in some games during the playoffs this year? And for what it’s worth, the sharps are on Minnesota.

Player Prop: I like the Luka Doncic under. Game 3 marked the first time Doncic reached 30-plus points in a playoff home game, so this number is inflated. The best number is under 30.5 -108 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Timberwolves -1 +112 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$225
NBA Player Prop: Luka Doncic under 30.5 points -108 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Monday, May 27, 2024 (2-0, +$300)

Boston Celtics at Indiana Pacers.
Line: Celtics by 7.
8:00 PM ET

It’s difficult to close out good teams on the road in the playoffs. The Celtics have shown that they’ll be no-shows in some games, and that could once again be the case tonight because they’re up 3-0 in the series. The Pacers nearly won two of the three games thus far, so they could win tonight before ultimately falling in Game 5.

Player Prop: I like the Pascal Siakam under. We bet Siakam two days ago, and we’ll do it again, as there’s regression to the mean after his absurd shooting in the first two games. The best number is under 23.5 -120 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Pacers +7 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Pascal Siakam under 23.5 points -120 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Sunday, May 26, 2024 (0-2, -$310)

Minnesota Timberwolves at Dallas Mavericks.
Line: Timberwolves by 1.
8:00 PM ET

Are the Mavericks really going to sweep this series? I don’t think so, especially after they shot their load in the Game 2 comeback. The Timberwolves could be up 2-0 right now with some better luck, and this is despite Anthony Edwards shooting miserably in both games. Meanwhile, Luka Doncic is dealing with two injuries.

Player Prop: I like the Luka Doncic under points prop. As mentioned, he is dealing with two injuries. He has also yet to reach 30 points in any playoff home game. The best number is under 30.5 -112 at DraftKings. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Timberwolves -1 +115 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Luka Doncic under 30.5 points -112 (1 Unit) – DraftKings — Incorrect; -$110

NBA Picks for Saturday, May 25, 2024 (2-0, +$310)

Boston Celtics at Indiana Pacers.
Line: Celtics by 6.
8:00 PM ET

The Celtics didn’t sweep the Jimmy Butler-less Heat. They didn’t sweep the Jarrett Allen-less Cavaliers. Are they going to sweep the Pacers? Maybe, but probably not. The Pacers play well at home, so I like getting six points with them, even if Tyrese Haliburton doesn’t play.

Player Prop: I like the Pascal Siakam under. Siakam has been on a tear through two games. He scored 28 points on Thursday, but did so on 13-of-17 shooting. It’d be shocking if he were that efficient again. Also, Siakam’s point toals with and without Haliburton are the same, so I don’t get why he’d get a bump if Haliburton is out. The best number is under 23.5 -106 at FanDuel. You can Get $158 in bonus bets from BetMGM by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Pacers +6 +104 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
NBA Player Prop: Pascal Siakam under 23.5 points -106 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Friday, May 24, 2024 (1-1, -$100)

Dallas Mavericks at Minnesota Timberwolves.
Line: Timberwolves by 6.
8:30 PM ET

The Mavericks have shown that they’ll mail in some games in the playoffs, and they could do that tonight after winning Game 1 in Minnesota. Meanwhile, I don’t expect Anthony Edwards to shoot 6-of-16 from the field again.

Player Prop: Is it a Minnesota home game? Then, I’m betting Karl-Anthony Towns’ under prop bet. Towns has been a choke artist at home, and the role players tend to do more as hosts anyway. The best number is under 20.5 +100 at BetMGM. You can Get $158 in bonus bets from BetMGM by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Timberwolves -6 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Karl-Anthony Towns under 20.5 points +100 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Thursday, May 23, 2024 (2-0, +$310)

Indiana Pacers at Boston Celtics.
Line: Celtics by 9.5.
8:00 PM ET

The public is pounding the Pacers at a high rate, which is not a surprise because everyone just saw Game 1 go to overtime. However, the Celtics blew multiple double-digit leads and shot way worse from the free throw line. Boston is a much better team than the defensively inept Pacers, so I’m expecting a big win tonight.

Player Prop: I like the Jayson Tatum under points bet. We hit the Tatum under in regulation on Tuesday. The problem was that the game went to overtime. Tatum doesn’t score as much at home, as the role players often do more in Boston. The best number is under 30.5 -118 at DraftKings. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Celtics -9.5 +105 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
NBA Player Prop: Jayson Tatum under 30.5 points -118 (1 Unit) – DraftKings — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Wednesday, May 22, 2024 (2-0, +$305)

Dallas Mavericks at Minnesota Timberwolves.
Line: Timberwolves by 3.5.
8:30 PM ET

We’ve had the worst luck lately. We were beaten on two last-second shots in the Celtics-Cavaliers series, and we just had our second under points prop bet loss because of overtime. Hopefully variance swings the other way beginning tonight. I like the Mavericks. The Timberwolves have to be exhausted from a great comeback in altitude, while Dallas continues to surprise. The Mavericks have been a terrific defensive team since the trade deadline, so they’ll have a shot to pull the upset in Minnesota, where the Timberwolves lost twice to Denver.

Player Prop: I like the Karl-Anthony Towns under points bet. I talked about how Towns has turned into a choke artist, especially at home. That should continue tonight against Dallas’ terrific interior defense. The best number is under 20.5 -128 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Mavericks +3.5 +103 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$205
NBA Player Prop: Karl-Anthony Towns under 20.5 points -128 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Tuesday, May 21, 2024 (0-2, -$310)

Indiana Pacers at Boston Celtics.
Line: Celtics by 11.
8:00 PM ET

The public is backing the Pacers because this spread is high. However, Indiana really shouldn’t be in the Eastern Conference Finals. The Pacers have lucked out with battling a Giannis-less Bucks team and then an injury-ravaged Knicks squad. The Celtics have one their Game 1s by 20 and 13.

Player Prop: I like the Jayson Tatum under points bet. We made money fading Tatum in the opening round. We’re going against Tatum again because he’s not as productive at home as he is on the road. Also, there’s a good chance this will be a blowout. The best number is under 29.5 -111 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Celtics -11 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Jayson Tatum under 29.5 points -111 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$110

NBA Picks for Sunday, May 19, 2024 (0-2, -$305)

Minnesota Timberwolves at Denver Nuggets.
Line: Nuggets by 5.
8:00 PM ET

Yesterday sucked, as we had a failed cover in an outright win, and an under points bet that lost by 0.5. Let’s hope for better luck tonight. The play is the Nuggets again. They quit after getting down early in Minnesota, saving their energy for Game 7. They’re the better team with Jamal Murray healthy, so they should be able to win. Let’s hope they cover as well.

Player Prop: I like the T.J. McConnell under points bet. McConnell’s minutes have decreased in recent games because Tyrese Haliburton is seeing more action as the games in this series become more important. McConnell also doesn’t shoot nearly as well on the road as he does at home. The best number is under 9.5 -104 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Nuggets -5 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: T.J. McConnell under 9.5 points -104 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$105

NBA Picks for Saturday, May 18, 2024 (0-2, -$315)

Oklahoma City Thunder at Dallas Mavericks.
Line: Mavericks by 4.5.
8:00 PM ET

The Nuggets and Knicks couldn’t close out their series in Game 6. The difference between those games and this one is that Dallas will be playing at home, a situation where it’s much easier to conclude a series. The Mavericks would have won the series already had Luka Doncic not gotten hurt in Game 4. They should be able to take care of business tonight.

Player Prop: I like the Luka Doncic under points bet. Doncic isn’t as productive at home as he is on the road because the role players can handle more responsibility in Dallas. Doncic went under this point total in the closing game of the opening round where he played 43 minutes. The best number is under 28.5 -115 at DraftKings. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Mavericks -4.5 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Luka Doncic under 28.5 points -115 (1 Unit) – DraftKings — Incorrect; -$115

NBA Picks for Friday, May 17, 2024 (2-0, +$310)

New York Knicks at Indiana Pacers.
Line: Pacers by 6.
8:30 PM ET

The public is backing the underdog tonight, which makes the Pacers more appealing than they already are. New York is missing four key players, so the Game 5 win may look like a fluke after tonight’s result.

Player Prop: I like the Josh Hart under points bet. Role players typically play worse on the road, and that applies to Hart, who averages four fewer points per away game than he does in New York. Coming off a win, Hart may not be so desperate. This game could be a blowout as well. The best number is under 15.5 -125 at DraftKings. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Pacers -6 +106 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
NBA Player Prop: Josh Hart under 15.5 points -125 (1 Unit) – DraftKings — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Thursday, May 16, 2024 (1-1, -$100)

Denver Nuggets at Minnesota Timberwolves.
Line: Timberwolves by 1.5.
8:30 PM ET

We’ve been beaten on the final shot in two of the past three nights. Hopefully we get better variance going forward. Anyway, the Timberwolves are cooked. They looked so dominant to start the series, but the Nuggets getting a million days off to get Jamal Murray healthy completely transformed this series. Denver should deliver the knockout punch tonight.

Player Prop: I like the Karl-Anthony Towns under points bet. Murray getting healthier was one catalyst for Denver rebounding. The other is Karl-Anthony Towns checking out. Towns has been terrible lately, and he tends to be far less productive at home. The best number is under 20.5 -122 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Nuggets +1.5 +103 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Karl-Anthony Towns under 20.5 points -122 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Wednesday, May 15, 2024 (1-1, -$100)

Cleveland Cavaliers at Boston Celtics.
Line: Celtics by 16.
7:00 PM ET

There might be some sticker shock with this number, but remember that the Cavaliers couldn’t even beat the Magic on the road. Now, they’re going to have to win in Boston without Donovan Mitchell, Jarrett Allen, and perhaps Caris LeVert.

Player Prop: I like the Jayson Tatum under points bet. We’re going back to fading Tatum at home, where he scores far less than he does on the road. Tatum had just 16 points in Game 5 of the opening round, and like that game, this one could easily be a blowout. The best number is under 29.5 -110 at BetMGM. You can Get $158 in bonus bets from BetMGM by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Celtics -16 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Jayson Tatum under 29.5 points -110 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Tuesday, May 14, 2024 (1-1, +$85)

Minnesota Timberwolves at Denver Nuggets.
Line: Nuggets by 4.5.
7:00 PM ET

I was all over the Timberwolves to start this series, but something has changed. Jamal Murray was not healthy to begin this series, but the million days off between Games 2 and 3 allowed that to change. Murray being close to 100 percent has tilted this series heavily toward Denver. The Timberwolves look lost now, so I expect the Nuggets to finish them off quickly.

Player Prop: I like the Nikola Jokic under points bet. Jokic is playing at home, so the supporting cast can do more, and his team has enjoyed two consecutive victories, so he won’t be desperate to score a ton. The best number is under 29.5 -115 at DraftKings. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Nuggets -4.5 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Nikola Jokic under 29.5 points -115 (1 Unit) – DraftKings — Incorrect; -$115

NBA Picks for Monday, May 13, 2024 (1-1, -$95)

Boston Celtics at Cleveland Cavaliers.
Line: Celtics by 9.
7:00 PM ET

The Celtics are the play once again. We’ve seen them really focus on the road, especially after their Game 2 sleepwalking blunders. They’re just a much better team than the Cavaliers, so they should be able to win easily once again.

Player Prop: I like the Luka Doncic under points bet. It’s the same reason we bet the Doncic under two days ago. Doncic’s offensive output decreases following wins, and it’s also not as potent at home. The best number is under 28.5 +102 at DraftKings. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Celtics -9 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Luka Doncic under 28.5 points +102 (1 Unit) – DraftKings — Correct; +$105

NBA Picks for Sunday, May 12, 2024 (2-0, +$310)

New York Knicks at Indiana Pacers.
Line: Pacers by 6.
3:30 PM ET

The Knicks are in rough shape. OG Anunoby and Mitchell Robinson are out in addition to Julius Randle. They are incredibly thin, and yet the public is betting them at a three-quarters clip. Unless Donte DiVincenzo hits a billion threes again, it’ll be difficult for New York to hang with Indiana.

Player Prop: I like the Tyrese Haliburton under points bet. Haliburton has averaged just 16 points per game following wins in the playoffs this year, and he averages a point fewer per game at home because the role players can do more as hosts. The best number is under 21.5 -118 at FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Pacers -6 +106 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
NBA Player Prop: Tyrese Haliburton under 21.5 points -118 (1 Unit) – DraftKings — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Saturday, May 11, 2024 (2-0, +$300)

Boston Celtics at Cleveland Cavaliers.
Line: Celtics by 7.5.
8:30 PM ET

The Celtics could have told us that they’d be a complete no-show in Game 2. They cost us some money, but I suspect that they’ll bounce back in Game 3, just as they did versus Miami in the prior series.

Player Prop: I like the Luka Doncic under points bet. Doncic has averaged just 24.5 points per game off a win in the playoffs, and he has yet to score 30-plus points in such a situation. He’s also at home, where the role players can do more. The best number is under 30.5 -105 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Celtics -7.5 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Luka Doncic under 30.5 points -105 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Friday, May 10, 2024 (0-2, -$305)

Denver Nuggets at Minnesota Timberwolves.
Line: Timberwolves by 4.
9:30 PM ET

We’ve backed the Timberwolves in the first two games, so why stop now? I think it’s a huge mistake to think that the Nuggets can rebound from down 0-2 so easily. This is a team that trailed by double digits to the Lakers in all but one game in the opening round. The writing was on the wall that there was something wrong with them, and now Jamal Murray is hurt. Meanwhile, the Timberwolves smoked the Suns and dominated the Nuggets in an important Game 2 for Denver. The Nuggets have no answer for Minnesota.

Player Prop: I like the Donte DiVincenzo under points bet. DiVincenzo has been hot lately with three performances of 20-plus, but he’s had most of his best games at home. Of his three road playoff games, DiVincenzo has scored single digits twice. I know he’s playing more now, but I don’t expect the shots to fall as frequently for him in Indiana. The best number is under 20.5 -105 at DraftKings. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Timberwolves -4 +104 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Donte DiVincenzo under 20.5 points -105 (1 Unit) – DraftKings — Incorrect; -$105

NBA Picks for Thursday, May 9, 2024 (1-1, -$100)

Cleveland Cavaliers at Boston Celtics.
Line: Celtics by 13.5.
7:00 PM ET

I’m backing the Celtics again. As I wrote a couple of days ago, the Cavaliers couldn’t even win in Orlando. How are they going to contend with Boston at all? This should be an easy blowout.

Player Prop: I like the Jayson Tatum under points bet. Same reason as Game 1: Tatum failed to cross 27 points in all four matchups against Cleveland this year. Furthermore, he exceeded 27 points only once in the opening-round series against Miami. Granted, many of those games were blowouts, but I suspect that there will be a similar outcome tonight. The best number is under 27.5 -120 at DraftKings. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Celtics -13.5 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Jayson Tatum under 27.5 points -120 (1 Unit) – DraftKings — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Wednesday, May 8, 2024 (1-1, -$100)

Indiana Pacers at New York Knicks.
Line: Knicks by 4.
8:00 PM ET

This seems like an even series that will go seven. The Pacers easily could have won Game 1, so in a true coin flip, I’ll take the four points.

Player Prop: I like the Jalen Brunson under points bet. Brunson has five straight games of 39 or more points, but three of them came on the road. Brunson averages 2.1 fewer points per game at home, and the only reason he went over in one of the games against the 76ers is because the contest went to overtime. Otherwise, Brunson wouldn’t have this streak of 39-plus points. The best number is under 37.5 -110 at DraftKings. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Pacers +4 +102 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Jalen Brunson under 37.5 points -110 (1 Unit) – DraftKings — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Tuesday, May 7, 2024 (2-0, +$305)

Cleveland Cavaliers at Boston Celtics.
Line: Celtics by 13.
7:00 PM ET

The Cavaliers couldn’t even beat the Magic in Orlando, and they’re somehow supposed to hang with Boston? This should be a blowout. I suspect the Celtics will win this series in five games at the very most.

Player Prop: I like the Jayson Tatum under points bet. Tatum failed to cross 27 points in all three matchups against Cleveland this year. Furthermore, he exceeded 27 points only once in the opening-round series against Miami. Granted, many of those games were blowouts, but I suspect that there will be a similar outcome tonight. The best number is under 27.5 -111 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Celtics -13 +103 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$205
NBA Player Prop: Jayson Tatum under 27.5 points -111 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Monday, May 6, 2024

Minnesota Timberwolves at Denver Nuggets.
Line: Nuggets by 5.
10:00 PM ET

There’s something wrong with the Nuggets. They trailed the Lakers by double digits in almost every game, and then they dropped a game to the Timberwolves at home. Jamal Murray is not 100 percent. The Timberwolves, meanwhile, swept the Suns and took it to Denver in Game 1. And yet, they’re five-point dogs? How does that make sense?

Player Prop: I like the Jamal Murray under points bet. Murray is dealing with a calf strain, so he’s not quite himself. Also, the Nuggets are at home, so the role players can handle more of the responsibility. The best number is under 22.5 -118 at DraftKings. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Timberwolves +5 +105 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
NBA Player Prop: Jamal Murray under 22.5 points -118 (1 Unit) – DraftKings — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Sunday, May 5, 2024 (0-2, -$320)

Orlando Magic at Cleveland Cavaliers.
Line: Cavaliers by 3.
1:00 PM ET

The home team has won every game in this series, so Cleveland has to win Game 7, right? I really don’t think so. In fact, home teams in this situation in playoff history are just 4-7 against the spread, not including the NBA Finals. The Cavaliers have been hurt by the Jarrett Allen injury (even if he plays, he may not be 100 percent), and everyone looked scared to shoot the ball in the fourth quarter besides Donovan Mitchell.

Player Prop: I like the Donovan Mitchell under points bet. He just scored 50 points, but that was the only time he eclipsed 30 in this series. He’ll also be at home, where the role players will be more involved. The best number is under 29.5 -120 at BetMGM. You can Get $158 in bonus bets from BetMGM by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Magic +3 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Donovan Mitchell under 29.5 points -120 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Incorrect; -$120

NBA Picks for Saturday, May 4, 2024 (1-1, +$95)

Minnesota Timberwolves at Denver Nuggets.
Line: Nuggets by 4.
7:00 PM ET

These Nuggets aren’t the same dominant team we saw last year. The Lakers led by double digits against them in most of their matchups. The Timberwolves are much better than the Lakers, and they were 3-1 against the spread against Denver during the regular season. The Timberwolves embarrassed the Suns, so I think they can hang with Denver.

Player Prop: I like the Nikola Jokic under points bet. In 23 career games against Karl-Anthony Towns, Jokic has cracked 27 points only three times. He’s also playing at home, so the role players may do a lot of the work. The best number is under 28.5 -106 at Caesars, followed by 28.5 -120 at DraftKings. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Timberwolves +4 -101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Nikola Jokic under 28.5 points -106 (1 Unit) – Caesars — Incorrect; -$105

NBA Picks for Friday, May 3, 2024 (2-0, +$300)

Cleveland Cavaliers at Orlando Magic.
Line: Magic by 4.
7:00 PM ET

We backed the Magic at home in Games 3 and 4, and we’ll be doing that again tonight. Orlando is so much better at home, while Cleveland sucks on the road. Also, Jarrett Allen is banged up, which has really tilted this series toward the Magic despite Cleveland being up in the series.

Player Prop: I like the Luka Doncic under points bet. Doncic is coming off a 35-point performance, so this is a good opportunity to catch some regression. He’ll be playing at home, so the role players will contribute more than they would on the road, which could limit Doncic’s scoring output. The best number is under 33.5 -108 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Magic -4 -101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Luka Doncic under 33.5 points -108 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Wednesday, May 1, 2024 (1-1, -$100)

Miami Heat at Boston Celtics.
Line: Celtics by 13.
7:30 PM ET

As I wrote yesterday, it’s difficult to close out a series on the road. The Celtics are at home, but they’re coming off two dominant wins in Miami. I doubt we’ll see them at 100 percent tonight, given that they’re coming off travel and now are at home, where they’ll have more distractions. The Heat are an extremely well coached, veteran team, so they won’t give up so easily. Boston will win this game, but Miami should keep it close.

Player Prop: I like the Paul George under points bet. Hopefully we get better luck tonight, as we had Brunson under correct in regulation, but overtime took him over his prop. George is coming off a huge game, but he has scored fewer than 25 points in the other three games in this series. The best number is under 24.5 -115 at BetMGM. You can Get $158 in bonus bets from BetMGM by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Heat +13 +103 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Paul George under 24.5 points -115 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Tuesday, April 30, 2024 (1-1, +$100)

Indiana Pacers at Milwaukee Bucks.
Line: Pacers by 3.5.
9:30 PM ET

It’s difficult to close a series out on the road. The Nuggets couldn’t even do it to the Lakers in Game 4. I know that the Bucks are missing two players, but Tyrese Haliburton is banged up for the Pacers. I expect him to play, but if he’s not 100 percent, the Bucks could certainly take this one before inevitably losing in Game 6.

Player Prop: I like the Jalen Brunson under points bet. Brunson went nuts in Game 4, but whenever a player has an absurd scoring total in the playoffs, they usually regress to the mean in the next game. Brunson scored 22 and 24 in New York in this series, so I imagine the Knicks role players will have a greater role now that they’re playing at home again. The best number is under 33.5 -103 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Bucks +3.5 +103 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$205
NBA Player Prop: Jalen Brunson under 33.5 points -103 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$105

NBA Picks for Monday, April 29, 2024 (1-1, +$75)

Boston Celtics at Miami Heat.
Line: Celtics by 11.
7:30 PM ET

This is a high number, but it’s high for a reason. The Celtics absolutely destroyed the Heat in Games 1 and 3. They took Game 2 for granted, but I doubt they do that again in this series. Miami is just outmatched.

Player Prop: I like the Lou Dort under points bet. As mentioned multiple times recently, role players generally do worse on the road. Lou Dort is coming off a good performance, so regression to the mean is likely as well. The best number is under 9.5 -130 at BetMGM. You can Get $158 in bonus bets from BetMGM by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Celtics -11 +103 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$205
NBA Player Prop: Lou Dort under 9.5 points -130 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Incorrect; -$130

NBA Picks for Sunday, April 28, 2024 (1-1, -$100)

New York Knicks at Philadelphia 76ers.
Line: 76ers by 6.
1:00 PM ET

The 76ers would be up 2-1 in this series had their coach just called a timeout. They’re the much better team as long as Joel Embiid is playing, while the Knicks don’t have the same juice when they can’t feed off the crowd.

Player Prop: I like the Donte DiVincenzo under points bet. As mentioned yesterday with our Caris LeVert bet, role players generally do worse on the road. The best number is under 13.5 -105 at BetMGM. You can Get $158 in bonus bets from BetMGM by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: 76ers -6 +106 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Donte DiVincenzo under 13.5 points -105 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Saturday, April 27, 2024 (2-0, +$300)

Cleveland Cavaliers at Orlando Magic.
Line: Magic by 3.
1:00 PM ET

So much for the report that Khris Middleton was injured. Anyway, I’m taking Orlando here for the same reason I bet them in Game 3. I expect this to be a home-dominated series with both young teams being so much worse on the road.

Player Prop: I like the Caris LeVert under points bet. LeVert scored 15 points in a blowout in Game 3. This game won’t be as lopsided, but role players generally do worse on the road. The best number is under 9.5 -120 at BetMGM. You can Get $158 in bonus bets from BetMGM by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Magic -3 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Caris LeVert under 9.5 -120 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Friday, April 26, 2024 (0-2, -$305)

Milwaukee Bucks at Indiana Pacers.
Line: Pacers by 7.
5:30 PM ET

The Bucks were already without Giannis Antetokounmpo, and now they’ll be expected to overcome an injured Khris Middleton. In addition to being out-coached, they’re also outmatched with their injuries, as Damian Lillard can only do so much.

Player Prop: I like the Khris Middleton under points bet. As I said, Middleton is dealing with an injury and may not be 100 percent. The best number is under 18.5 -105 at BetMGM. You can Get $158 in bonus bets from BetMGM by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Pacers -7 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Khris Middleton under 18.5 -105 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Incorrect; -$105

NBA Picks for Thursday, April 25, 2024 (1-1, +$100)

Cleveland Cavaliers at Orlando Magic.
Line: Magic by 3.
7:00 PM ET

The Cavaliers haven’t trailed yet in this series. Will that continue for the next two games? I don’t think so, especially given how bad Cleveland is on the road. The Cavaliers are 2-8 in their previous 10 road games, while the Magic play so much better at home.

Player Prop: I like the Jarrett Allen under points bet. Allen has been great thus far in the series, but he’s bound to regress to the mean. The best number is under 14.5 +100 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Magic -3 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Jarrett Allen under 14.5 +100 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$100

NBA Picks for Wednesday, April 24, 2024 (0-2, -$300)

New Orleans Pelicans at Oklahoma City Thunder.
Line: Thunder by 7.
9:30 PM ET

The Pelicans covering Game 1 was painful to watch because I almost bet them. I’ll go with them tonight. They nearly won Game 1 despite Brandon Ingram and C.J. McCollum playing poorly, so they could easily upset the overrated Thunder.

Player Prop: I like the Josh Giddey under points bet. Giddey isn’t as productive with everyone healthy, and the Pelicans play outstanding defense. The best number is under 9.5 +102 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Pelicans +7 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Josh Giddey under 9.5 points +102 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$100

NBA Picks for Tuesday, April 23, 2024 (1-1, +$90)

Dallas Mavericks at Los Angeles Clippers.
Line: Mavericks by 2.
10:00 PM ET

Everything that could have went wrong went wrong for the Mavericks on Sunday, kind of like for us last night when D’Angelo Russell hit every three-pointer he attempted. The Mavericks were out of sorts and looked like they were overconfident. Everything should shift back to normalcy tonight, as the Mavericks are a much better team than the Kawhi Leonard-less Clippers.

Player Prop: I like the James Harden under points bet. Harden was on fire in Game 1, so regression to the mean is likely. Harden is also a known choke-artist in the playoffs, so with a lead in the series, I’d expect him to struggle tonight. The best number is under 19.5 -110 at BetMGM. You can Get $158 in bonus bets from BetMGM by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Mavericks -2 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: James Harden under 19.5 points -110 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Incorrect; -$110

NBA Picks for Monday, April 22, 2024 (0-1, -$315)

Los Angeles Lakers at Denver Nuggets.
Line: Nuggets by 8.
10:00 PM ET

The Nuggets continue to own the Lakers, and if that wasn’t bad enough for Los Angeles, LeBron James hurt his wrist at the end of Game 1. The Nuggets should be able to win convincingly yet again.

Player Prop: I like the D’Angelo Russell under points bet. Russell has been held to 13 points or fewer in every playoff game against Denver. The best number is under 16.5 -115 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Nuggets -8 +105 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: D’Angelo Russell under 16.5 points -115 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$115

NBA Picks for Sunday, April 21, 2024 (0-2, -$320)

Dallas Mavericks at Los Angeles Clippers.
Line: Mavericks by 3.
3:30 PM ET

The Mavericks have been incredible in the second half of the year, thanks in part to the Daniel Gafford acquisition. Gafford has been a defensive stalwart for the Mavericks, so he’ll help them against the Clippers, who probably won’t have Kawhi Leonard available. The Clippers are just 7-7 without Leonard this season (3-4 versus playoff teams.)

Player Prop: I like the Ivica Zubac under points bet. As mentioned, Gafford has improved Dallas’ defense markedly. Here are Zubac’s scoring outputs against Gafford in five career matchups: 5, 12, 2, 10, and 4. The best number is under 11.5 -120 at BetMGM. You can Get $158 in bonus bets from BetMGM by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Mavericks -3 -101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Ivica Zubac under 11.5 points -120 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Incorrect; -$120

NBA Picks for Saturday, April 20, 2024 (1-2, -$100)

Phoenix Suns at Minnesota Timberwolves.
Line: Timberwolves by 1.5.
3:30 PM ET

The Suns are my favorite of the longer shots (15/1 or better) to win the championship. They have a very favorable first-round matchup. The Suns dominated the Timberwolves in the regular season, as Minnesota’s usually great defense couldn’t do anything to stop what Phoenix was doing.

NBA Pick: Suns +1.5 +104 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200

Los Angeles Lakers at Denver Nuggets.
Line: Nuggets by 7.5.
9:30 PM ET

This number seems very short. The Nuggets swept the Lakers in the playoffs last year, and then they swept the regular-season series this year. The Nuggets are well rested and will have the altitude advantage against an older team.

Player Prop: I like the Anthony Davis under points bet. In his past six matchups against Nikola Jokic, Davis has scored 23 or fewer points all but once. This is a major reason why Denver has dominated the matchup. The best number is under 23.5 +110 at DraftKings. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Nuggets -7.5 +105 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
NBA Player Prop: Anthony Davis under 23.5 points +110 (1 Unit) – DraftKings — Incorrect; -$110

NBA Picks for Wednesday, April 17, 2024 (1-1, -$100)

Miami Heat at Philadelphia 76ers.
Line: 76ers by 5.5.
7:00 PM ET

I know 76er fans are terrified of this matchup because the Heat have owned their team in the past, but just look at how the Warriors played yesterday. Miami is another has-been, while the 76ers project much better going forward because of Joel Embiid’s return to the lineup. Philadelphia was 47-35 overall this year, but was 31-8 with Embiid in the lineup! Had Embiid remained healthy all year, the 76ers would be the No. 2 seed, so we’re getting them at a great discount with this -5.5 line.

Player Prop: I like the Bam Adebayo under points bet. He never does well against Joel Embiid. Here are his previous four scoring outputs against Embiid: 14, 14, 13, and 6. The best number is under 17.5 -120 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: 76ers -5.5 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Bam Adebayo under 17.5 points -120 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Tuesday, April 16, 2024 (0-2, -$320)

Los Angeles Lakers at New Orleans Pelicans.
Line: Pelicans by 2.
7:30 PM ET

The Pelicans were debacled at the hands of the Lakers on Sunday, causing a 1.5-point shift in the line for the same matchup. Let’s take that value, as the Pelicans were working Brandon Ingram back into the lineup on Sunday. Ingram played just 23 minutes, so he’ll see way more action tonight. The public is pounding this Laker team because of the Sunday blowout, yet everyone is ignoring that the Lakers nearly lost to the Grizzlies, and suffered double-digit defeats in two games recently.

Player Prop: I like the D’Angelo Russell under points bet. He’s coming off a 19-point output, which doesn’t appear likely again because the Pelicans play outstanding defense against point guards. Russell had a 14-point performance against New Orleans earlier in the season. The best number is under 17.5 -118 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Pelicans -2 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: D’Angelo Russell under 17.5 points -118 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$120

NBA Picks for Sunday, April 14, 2024 (1-2, -$110)

Portland Trailblazers at Sacramento Kings.
Line: Kings by 16.
3:30 PM ET

There’s nothing to suggest that the Kings deserve to be favored by 16 points versus anyone, even against Portland. They’re 1-5 straight up in their previous six games, so a team reeling like this down the stretch should be faded. Besides, Portland has been competitive lately, failing to cover the spread only once in their previous seven contests.

NBA Pick: Blazers +16 +105 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200

Utah Jazz at Golden State Warriors.
Line: Warriors by 9.5.
3:30 PM ET

There’s a chance the Warriors end up with the eighth seed, but that would require a lot to happen. Are they going to risk injury for a slight chance to be the No. 8 seed? I’m not even convinced they play their starters the entire game, or even at all. They haven’t even played well lately as a whole, going 1-4 against the spread in their previous five games.

Player Prop: Rudy Gobert seems like a great fade. He’s coming off a 25-point output, but there should be regression to the mean. This matchup is much tougher than the one he had against Atlanta. In fact, Gobert has scored only four points in each of the two matchups versus Phoenix this year. The best number is under 13.5 -110 at BetMGM. You can Get $158 in bonus bets from BetMGM by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Jazz +9.5 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Rudy Gobert under 13.5 points -110 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Incorrect; -$110

NBA Picks for Thursday, April 11, 2024 (1-1, +$105)

Golden State Warriors at Portland Trailblazers.
Line: Warriors by 13.5.
10:00 PM ET

The Warriors don’t seem to be a good-enough team to consistently win by two touchdowns. I know Portland is the opponent, but the Trailblazers have been a covering machine of late. They’ve beaten the number against the Celtics, Pelicans and Magic, so why couldn’t they do the same to Golden State?

Player Prop: Jalen Duren seems like a nice fade. He’s scored well lately, but has enjoyed easy matchups. In tougher spots, he’s scored between 8-11 points of late, and this is another one against Nikola Vucevic. The best number is under 13.5 -105 at BetMGM. You can Get $158 in bonus bets from BetMGM by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Trailblazers +13.5 +104 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
NBA Player Prop: Jalen Duren under 13.5 points -105 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Incorrect; -$105

NBA Picks for Wednesday, April 10, 2024 (1-1, -$100)

Orlando Magic at Milwaukee Bucks.
Line: Magic by 2.
8:00 PM ET

The Bucks won a big statement game against the Celtics yesterday, but they’re apparently punting this game because they’re resting Giannis Antetokounmpo (Bucks are 3-3 without him this year.) Meanwhile, the Magic lost last night, as it was fairly evident that they were looking ahead to this matchup. This is their chance to make a statement.

Player Prop: I’ve been fading top players, which is a strategy that worked very well earlier in the year. That has not been the case lately, and I think it’s because the stars are getting amped up for the playoffs. So, we’re going to shift gears and fcus on support players. With that in mind, Brook Lopez seems like a nice fade. He’s scored well lately, but the Magic play great defense against centers. In two meetings against Orlando this year, Lopez has scored a combined 23 points. The best number is under 12.5 -120 at BetMGM. You can Get $158 in bonus bets from BetMGM by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Magic -2 +102 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Brook Lopez under 12.5 points -120 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Tuesday, April 9, 2024 (2-1, +$310)

Orlando Magic at Houston Rockets.
Line: Magic by 2.5.
8:00 PM ET

There was no NBA last night, so let’s make it up with two NBA picks today. The first will be the Rockets. The Magic haven’t been that great recently, and they could be distracted with a tough game against Milwaukee tomorrow.

NBA Pick: Rockets +2.5 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200

Washington Bullets at Minnesota Timberwolves.
Line: Timberwolves by 16.
8:00 PM ET

Minnesota is another team that could be distracted. The Timberwolves have the Nuggets coming up tomorrow and could completely overlook Washington. The question is if we can trust the Bullets, and I think we can. They’re 6-4-1 ATS in their previous 11 games, and they’ve covered the spread against some good teams.

Player Prop: I like Shai Gilgeous-Alexander under 28.5 points. SGA is dealing with some sort of quad injury and has had trouble scoring lately as a result. The Kings also play decent enough defense to limit him. The best number is under 28.5 -102 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Bullets +16 +104 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
NBA Player Prop: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander under 28.5 points -102 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$100

NBA Picks for Sunday, April 7, 2024 (1-0, +$200)

Philadelphia 76ers at San Antonio Spurs.
Line: 76ers by 6.5.
7:00 PM ET

I can’t believe what happened last night. The Pistons, as 9.5-point dogs were up NINE late in the fourth quarter, yet missed the cover by half a point because the Nets went on a 19-0 run to end the game. Unreal. Let’s hope for better luck today with the 76ers. We’re seeing a deflated spread with them because they played last night. However, no 76er was on the court for more than 27 minutes, so the team should have fresh legs. They’ll also be highly motivated because they’re looking to skyrocket up the standings with Joel Embiid back from his injury.

Player Prop: I like Nicolas Claxton under 11.5 points. The Nets have been eliminated from the playoffs, so it seems as though the veterans’ minutes are being scaled back a bit. This is also a very difficult matchup for Claxton. The best number is under 11.5 -118 at DraftKings. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: 76ers -6.5 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Nicolas Claxton under 11.5 points -118 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — No action; $0

NBA Picks for Saturday, April 6, 2024 (1-1, -$100)

Detroit Pistons at Brooklyn Nets.
Line: Nets by 9.5.
8:00 PM ET

The Pistons won’t have Cade Cunningham tonight. They’re 4-11 without Cunningham, which sounds terrible until you consider that six of their losses without him were by single digits, which would cover the spread tonight. So, the Pistons either win or lose by single digits two-thirds of the time without Cunningham, which sounds good to me. They should be able to cover against the Nets, who may have low motivation after being eliminated from the playoffs recently. Oh, and I know the Pistons played last night, but only one player was on the court for more than 25 minutes, so they should have fresh legs.

Player Prop: I like Anthony Davis under 23.5 points. Davis just dominated Washington, making him an easy fade, especially with the Timberwolves on deck tomorrow. The Cavaliers play great post defense, so they should be able to limit Davis. The best number is under 23.5 -105 at DraftKings. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Pistons +9.5 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Anthony Davis under 23.5 points (1 Unit) – DraftKings — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Friday, April 5, 2024 (1-1, +$90)

New York Knicks at Chicago Bulls.
Line: Bulls by 2.
8:00 PM ET

The Knicks had a great win against the Kings last night, but it may have been a Pyrrhic victory. Four of their players logged 38-plus minutes, so there could be fatigue tonight, especially after traveling.

Player Prop: I like Jalen Brunson under 28.5 points. Brunson has had some monster games lately, making him an easy fade, especially after he logged 38 minutes last night. The Bulls defend point guards extremely well, making it more likely that the under will hit. The best number is under 28.5 -118 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

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I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Bulls -2 +104 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
NBA Player Prop: Jalen Brunson under 28.5 -118 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$120

NBA Picks for Thursday, April 4, 2024 (1-1, +$100)

Denver Nuggets at Los Angeles Clippers.
Line: Nuggets by 3.
10:00 PM ET

The Nuggets shouldn’t be favored on the road against good teams. They’re much weaker away from home; they even have a negative point differential on the road! The Clippers will be without Kawhi Leonard, but they’re 2-2 in home games without Leonard this season.

Player Prop: I like Joel Embiid under 25.5 points. Embiid is back, but is on a minutes restriction. He’s also not in shape; he was bent over and gasping for air in the fourth quarter versus the Thunder. Plus, Miami has a great interior defense. The best number is under 26.5 -115 at Bet365. If you don’t have access to Bet365, the next-best number is under 25.5 +112 at Caesars. You can Bet $5 And Get $150 Or Get A First Bet Safety Net Up To $1,000 from Bet365 by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Clippers +3 +103 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$205
NBA Player Prop: Joel Embiid under 25.5 +112 (1 Unit) – Caesars — Incorrect; -$100

NBA Picks for Wednesday, April 3, 2024 (1-1, +$100)

Detroit Pistons at Atlanta Hawks.
Line: Hawks by 10.5.
7:30 PM ET

The Trae Young-less Hawks don’t deserve to be favored by this many points over anyone, and this is a bad spot for them anyway. They’re coming off a big win versus Chicago and have to battle the Mavericks tomorrow. The Pistons, meanwhile, have been a covering machine since Christmas.

Player Prop: I like Jarrett Allen under 16.5 points. Allen’s had some big performances lately, so now seems like a good time to fade him, especially against a great Phoenix defense. The best number is under 16.5 -111 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Pistons +10.5 +104 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
NBA Player Prop: Jarrett Allen under 16.5 points -111 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$110

NBA Picks for Tuesday, April 2, 2024 (1-0, +$210)

Oklahoma City Thunder at Philadelphia 76ers.
Line: Thunder by 1.5.
7:30 PM ET

I mentioned Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s quad injury a couple of days ago. Given the injury, and the fact that the Thunder have a big game against the Celtics tomorrow, I could see Oklahoma City taking it easy tonight. The 76ers, meanwhile, have been a covering machine lately, going 7-2 against the spread in their previous nine games.

Player Prop: I like Gilgeous-Alexander under 28.5 points. SGA has been bothered by a quad injury, and the Thunder may limit his minutes tonight with the Celtics on deck. The 76ers also defend point guards very well. The best number is under 28.5 -122 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: 76ers +1.5 +106 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
NBA Player Prop: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander under 28.5 points -122 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — No action; $0

NBA Picks for Monday, April 1, 2024 (1-1, +$85)

Atlanta Hawks at Chicago Bulls.
Line: Bulls by 1.5.
8:00 PM ET

We bet the Bulls yesterday and won. We’ll be fading them tonight. They’re coming off a big win, but now have to play on no rest with travel. Five of their players logged 33-plus minutes last night.

Player Prop: I like DeAndre Ayton under 18.5 points. Ayton has been on a scoring spree lately, so it’s a good time to fade him. He’s going against an Orlando team with a great paint defense, and he may not see any fourth-quarter action in a potential blowout. The best number is under 18.5 -115 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Hawks +1.5 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: DeAndre Ayton under 18.5 points -115 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$115

NBA Picks for Sunday, March 31, 2024 (2-0, +$310)

Chicago Bulls at Minnesota Timberwolves.
Line: Timberwolves by 7.5.
7:00 PM ET

The Timberwolves are coming off a big statement win over the Nuggets, which you would think would inflate this spread. Instead, the Timberwolves are favored by just eight or so. Interesingly enough, there’s a ton of sharp money coming in on Chicago. I suspect the sharps believe Minnesota will be flat off its big win, and that’s the same conclusion I came to before looking at the flow of money.

Player Prop: I like Shai Gilgeous-Alexander under 28.5 points. Gilgeous-Alexander is bothered by some sort of a quad injury, which would explain his low output recently. He’ll also be battling one of the top defenses in the NBA. The best number is under 28.5 -115 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Bulls +7.5 +104 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
NBA Player Prop: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander under 28.5 points -115 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Saturday, March 30, 2024 (1-1, -$100)

Memphis Grizzlies at Orlando Magic.
Line: Magic by 13.
7:00 PM ET

Maybe there is something wrong with the Magic, who have now dropped three in a row. Their main guys played 33-plus minutes last night, so they could have tired legs against the Grizzlies, who are 3-3 against the spread in their previous six games. During this six-game stretch, they’ve battled the Thunder, Kings, Warriors, Nuggets, and Lakers.

Player Prop: I like Zion Williamson under 25.5 points. Williamson has scored 28, 29, and 36 points in his previous three games, so he’s an easy fade tonight versus the Celtics, who play usually play great defense. The best number is under 25.5 -102 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Grizzlies +13 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Zion Williamson under 25.5 points -102 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Friday, March 29, 2024 (0-2, -$320)

Los Angeles Clippers at Orlando Magic.
Line: Magic by 1.
7:00 PM ET

We’ve bet against the Clippers from time to time, and it’s mostly worked. The Clippers are overrated, going 3-10 against the spread in their previous 13 games. The Magic, meanwhile, had been hot until a recent two-game skid, but this is a nice rebound spot for them in a statement game.

Player Prop: I like Victor Wembanyama under 20.5 points. People love to bet Wembanyama overs, but New York has one of the best paint defenses in the NFL. Wembanyama scored just 14 points in the previous matchup. The best number is under 20.5 -118 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Magic -1 +107 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Victor Wembanyama under 20.5 points -118 (1 Unit) – DraftKings — Incorrect; -$120

NBA Picks for Thursday, March 28, 2024 (0-2, -$300)

Boston Celtics at Atlanta Hawks.
Line: Celtics by 16.5.
7:30 PM ET

This is a high number, but it’s high for a reason. The Celtics have been ripping everyone to shreds, while the Hawks exerted way too much energy last night versus the Blazers. Four of their key players were on the court for 31-plus minutes, so they’ll have tired legs tonight.

Player Prop: I like Clint Capela under 11.5 points. The Celtics have a top-10 interior defense, which would explain why Capela scored four points against Boston in an earlier matchup this season. There’s also a high likelihood of a blowout. The best number is under 11.5 +105 at DraftKings. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Celtics -16.5 +104 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Clint Capela under 11.5 points +105 (1 Unit) – DraftKings — Incorrect; -$100

NBA Picks for Wednesday, March 27, 2024 (2-1, +$100)

Portland Trailblazers at Atlanta Hawks.
Line: Hawks by 10.
7:30 PM ET

We’re going with two picks today. The first is Portland. We backed the Trailblazers versus the Nuggets recently and were rewarded with a win. They’ve been playing better recently, so this spread is way too high. The Hawks are coming off a win versus the Celtics, so they could be deflated, especially with games against Boston and Milwaukee on the horizon.

NBA Pick: Trailblazers +10 +105 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200

Houston Rockets at Oklahoma City Thunder.
Line: Thunder by 6.5.
8:00 PM ET

The Thunder played a tough game against the Pelicans last night, with five of their players logging 31-plus minutes. It’ll be tough for them to get up for the Rockets, who are on a 12-1 ATS tear. The Rockets won’t have Alperen Sengun, but they’re 7-1 without Sengun this year.

Player Prop: I like Tyrese Haliburton under 19.5 points. We appeared to have the Haliburton prop correct on Monday until the Pacers re-inserted him into the game despite being up 20 with four minutes remaining. Hopefully we’ll have better luck tonight. I’m fading Haliburton again in this very difficult matchup. The best number is under 19.5 -125 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Rockets +6.5 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Tyrese Haliburton under 19.5 points -125 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Tuesday, March 26, 2024 (1-1, +$105)

Los Angeles Lakers at Milwaukee Bucks.
Line: Bucks by 9.
7:30 PM ET

Yesterday was brutal. The eight-point underdog Jazz were winning or tied for three quarters, yet lost by 10 at the end. And then, Tyrese Haliburton was under his point total when the Pacers brought him back into the game with four minutes remaining despite being up 20. His first shot was a made three. Unreal. Anyway, I like the Lakers tonight, as they’re desperate for wins, while the Bucks are sitting comfortably in second place in the East. LeBron James won’t play tonight, but the Lakers are 5-4 straight up without James, which includes wins over the Bucks and Celtics.

Player Prop: I like C.J. McCollum to go under 19.5 points. The Thunder defend point guards well, as evidenced by McCollum’s 12-point output in the previous meeting. McCollum has scored a ton of points in the past two games, so he’s due for some regression. The best number is under 19.5 -105 at BetMGM. You can Get $158 in bonus bets from BetMGM by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Lakers +9 +106 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; -$210
NBA Player Prop: C.J. McCollum under 19.5 points -105 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Incorrect; -$105

NBA Picks for Monday, March 25, 2024 (0-2, -$315)

Dallas Mavericks at Utah Jazz.
Line: Mavericks by 8.
6:00 PM ET

This is a no-brainer for most people. The Mavericks have been very hot. The Jazz have struggled for the most part. How can you not bet Dallas? Well, we’re going with Utah. This is a nice revenge spot for the Jazz against the Mavericks, who may be unfocused because they have a huge game against Sacramento coming up tomorrow.

Player Prop: Victor Wembanyama is out, so I’m loading up another player prop. I like Tyrese Haliburton under 18.5 points. Haliburton has had issues getting to 20 ever since returning from injury. He has a tough matchup tonight after playing 33 minutes yesterday, so he’s unlikely to get there. The best number is under 18.5 -114 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Jazz +8 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Tyrese Haliburton under 18.5 points -114 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$115

NBA Picks for Sunday, March 24, 2024 (1-1, -$100)

Cleveland Cavaliers at Miami Heat.
Line: Heat by 3.
6:00 PM ET

The banged-up Heat are 3-6 in their previous nine games, and their only wins have come against the Pistons (twice) and Cavaliers. This is a nice revenge spot for Cleveland.

Player Prop: I like Bam Adebayo under 17.5 points. Adebayo has scored 20-plus in three of his previous four games, so this low number may lure in some over bettors. Keep in mind that the Cavaliers have a great paint defense. The best number is under 17.5 +100 at BetMGM. You can Get $158 in bonus bets from BetMGM by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Cavaliers +3 +107 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Bam Adebayo under 17.5 points +100 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Saturday, March 23, 2024 (2-0, +$315)

Denver Nuggets at Portland Trailblazers.
Line: Nuggets by 12.
10:00 PM ET

The Trailblazers are not a good basketball team, but they’ve been a covering machine lately, going 9-4 against the spread in their previous 13 games. They’ve covered versus some good teams like the Thunder, Timberwolves and Knicks, so why can’t they cover against the Nuggets, who are not nearly the same team on the road? Also, there’s some chatter that Nikola Jokic could miss this game. I like the Blazers regardless, but Jokic’s absence will obviously be a huge boost for Portland.

Player Prop: I like Nicolas Claxton under 10.5 points. Claxton just had a big game, so this is a nice time to fade him, especially against one of the best paint defenses in the NBA. In two games against the Knicks this year, Claxton has six and eight points. There’s also a decent chance that this game will be a blowout. The best number is under 10.5 -120 at BetMGM. You can Get $158 in bonus bets from BetMGM by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Trailblazers +12 +107 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$215
NBA Player Prop: Nicolas Claxton under 10.5 points -120 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Friday, March 22, 2024 (2-0, +$310)

Memphis Grizzlies at San Antonio Spurs.
Line: Spurs by 5.5.
8:00 PM ET

The Spurs should not be favored by this many points. They’re 4-11 in their previous 15 games and 2-6 in their past eight. The Grizzlies aren’t good either, but they’ve lost to some tough opponents lately. They’ve beaten some of their lesser competition in the past few weeks.

Player Prop: I like Jarrett Allen under 17.5 points. Allen has been hot lately, so it’s a good time to go against him. He has a very tough matchp against the Timberwolves, and there’s some blowout potential in this game. The best number is under 17.5 -120 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Grizzlies +5.5 +105 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
NBA Player Prop: Jarrett Allen under 17.5 points -104 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Thursday, March 21, 2024 (1-1, -$100)

Atlanta Hawks at Phoenix Suns.
Line: Suns by 9.
10:30 PM ET

We bet the Suns yesterday and will be fading them tonight. Their three main guys played 35-plus minutes last night, so there will be fatigue against a well-rested Hawks team that recently beat the Clippers.

Player Prop: I like Jalen Brunson under 27.5 points. Brunson has been on a tear lately, but that has caused this number to be inflated. The Nuggets defend point guards extremely well, which would explain why Brunson had just 21 points in his previous matchup versus Denver. There’s also some blowout potential in this game. The best number is under 27.5 -104 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Hawks +9 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Jalen Brunson under 27.5 points -104 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Wednesday, March 20, 2024 (1-0, +$200)

Philadelphia 76ers at Phoenix Suns.
Line: Suns by 9.5.
10:00 PM ET

The Suns are on a 2-8 ATS skid, but they’ve battled so many tough opponents lately. Conversely, the 76ers have had an easy schedule recently. This has caused a reduced number, yet the public is backing the bad team.

Player Prop: I like Bam Adebayo under 18.5 points. Adebayo has gone above 20 points in his previous three games, so the over 18.5 must look appealing. However, the Cavaliers play great interior defense and should keep Adebayo from dominating. The best number is under 18.5 -108 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Suns -9.5 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Bam Adebayo under 18.5 points -108 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — No action; $0

NBA Picks for Tuesday, March 19, 2024 (1-1, -$100)

Denver Nuggets at Minnesota Timberwolves.
Line: Nuggets by 8.
9:00 PM ET

The Timberwolves went all out to beat the Jazz last night. Four of their players logged 33-plus minutes, and now they have to travel to play Denver on no rest. This can’t end well for Minnesota.

Player Prop: I like Dennis Schroder under 13.5 points. Schroder has been playing more minutes lately, and he’s been about 50-50 to land over 13 points. It’ll be tough for him to do that tonight because the Pelicans defend point guards better than anyone. In Schroder’s previous meeting against the Pelicans, he scored a grand total of zero points. The best number is under 13.5 -120 at BetMGM. You can Get $158 in bonus bets from BetMGM by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Nuggets -8 +107 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Dennis Schroder under 13.5 points -120 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Monday, March 18, 2024 (0-2, -$320)

Minnesota Timberwolves at Utah Jazz.
Line: Timberwolves by 5.5.
9:00 PM ET

The Timberwolves are banged up and have been on a 3-7 ATS skid as a result. Making matters worse for them, they have to battle the Nuggets tomorrow. This is a revenge game for the Jazz, who just lost by 19 to Minnesota on Saturday.

Player Prop: I like Jalen Johnson under 17.5 points. Johnson has been on a tear lately, but this is the second half of a back-to-back, and the Lakers defend fours rather well. The best number is under 17.5 -120 at BetMGM. You can Get $158 in bonus bets from BetMGM by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Jazz +5.5 +106 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Jalen Johnson under 17.5 points -120 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Incorrect; -$120

NBA Picks for Sunday, March 17, 2024 (1-1, +$100)

Miami Heat at Detroit Pistons.
Line: Heat by 5.
3:00 PM ET

The Heat are banged up and have been on a 2-5 ATS skid as a result. They continue to be overvalued, so Detroit looks like a great play today. The Pistons have been a covering machine since the new year, going 24-13 against the spread since Christmas.

Player Prop: I like Victor Wembanyama under 21.5 points. Everyone loves betting on Wembanyama, but he has a very difficult matchup tonight versus the Nets, who do a great job against centers. Wembanyama went under in the first matchup, and I think that happens again. The best number is under 21.5 -106 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Pistons +5 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Victor Wembanyama under 21.5 points -106 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$105

NBA Picks for Saturday, March 16, 2024 (2-0, +$300)

Washington Bullets at Chicago Bulls.
Line: Bulls by 10.5.
8:00 PM ET

The Bullets are a horrific basketball team, going 4-8 against the spread in their previous 12 games. The Bulls haven’t had a great record recently either, but they’ve played against so many tough opponents. They should be able to clobber Washington tonight.

Player Prop: I like Keyonte George under 18.5 points. George has been on fire lately, so everyone will want to bet his over. However, he’s on a second leg of a back-to-back and will be battling the team that has the best defense against point guards. The best number is under 18.5 -102 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Bulls -10.5 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Keyonte George under 18.5 points -102 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Friday, March 15, 2024 (2-0, +$310)

Los Angeles Clippers at New Orleans Pelicans.
Line: Pelicans by 6.5.
8:00 PM ET

Aside from their most recent slip-up, the Pelicans have been on a tear, as Zion Williamson has caught fire. The Clippers, conversely, played last night with five players logging 31 or more minutes. They’ll be too tired to battle the Pelicans tonight.

Player Prop: I like Kawhi Leonard under 23.5 points. Not even factoring in a lack of rest, Leonard is a great under bet against a tremendous defense. In three games against the Pelicans this year, Leonard has scored 20, 19, and 15 points. The best number is under 23.5 -108 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Pelicans -6.5 +104 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
NBA Player Prop: Kawhi Leonard under 23.5 points -108 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Thursday, March 14, 2024 (0-2, -$305)

Phoenix Suns at Boston Celtics.
Line: Celtics by 5.
7:30 PM ET

Jacob Camenker gave me the heads up about this terrible spot for the Celtics. They’re coming home from a long trip on the West Coast, and now they have to deal with a talented team that wants revenge from a recent defeat. Jayson Tatum played way too many minutes in a couple of games recently, so with that and the jet lag, the Celtics could be in for a long night.

Player Prop: I like DeAndre Ayton under 17.5 points. Ayton went nuts with 33 points last night, but he also logged 40 minutes. I imagine he’ll be exhausted against the top paint defense in the NBA, so he’ll struggle to score. The best number is under 17.5 -104 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Suns +5 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: DeAndre Ayton under 17.5 points -104 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$105

NBA Picks for Wednesday, March 13, 2024 (1-1, -$100)

Atlanta Hawks at Portland Trailblazers.
Line: Hawks by 4.5.
10:00 PM ET

The Hawks have played good basketball lately, beating the Knicks, Cavaliers and Magic recently. They’ll be able to handle this atrocious Portland team with ease and cover this low number.

Player Prop: I like Tyrese Haliburton under 19.5 points. The Bulls defend point guards very well, and Haliburton could have tired legs after playing 36 minutes last night. The best number is under 19.5 -125 at BetMGM. You can Get $158 in bonus bets from BetMGM by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Hawks -4.5 +103 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Tyrese Haliburton under 19.5 points -125 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Wednesday, March 13, 2024 (1-1, -$100)

NBA Picks for Tuesday, March 12, 2024 (1-1, -$100)

Boston Celtics at Utah Jazz.
Line: Celtics by 5.
9:00 PM ET

The Celtics clobbered the Blazers by 20-plus points last night, so you’d think that many of their starters didn’t play that much. That, however, is not the case. Six Boston players logged 30-plus minutes, so the team will be fatigued tonight, especially given that it’ll be shorthanded without Jaylen Brown and Al Horford. The Celtics could also have one eye on their next matchup against the Suns.

Player Prop: I like Victor Wembanyama under 22.5 points. The Rockets have a great paint defense, which is why in three games against them this year, Wembanyama has scored 21, 15, and 10 points. The best number is under 22.5 -120 at BetMGM. You can Get $158 in bonus bets from BetMGM by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Jazz +5 +106 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Victor Wembanyama under 22.5 points -120 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Monday, March 11, 2024 (1-0-1, +$100)

Phoenix Suns at Cleveland Cavaliers.
Line: Suns by 6.
7:30 PM ET

We faded the Cavaliers last night, but we’ll be backing them today. None of their starters played more than 30 minutes yesterday, so there isn’t any worry about fatigue. Cleveland was saving its energy for this game, and the Suns have a game coming up against the Celtics.

Player Prop: I like Jusuf Nurkic under 11.5 rebounds. We lost on the hook with Nurkic a few nights ago, but I like him to go under again, as the Cavaliers are a great rebounding team and should keep him off the glass. The best number is under 11.5 -120 at DraftKings. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Cavaliers +6 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Push; $0
NBA Player Prop: Jusuf Nurkic under 11.5 rebounds -120 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Sunday, March 10, 2024 (2-0, +$300)

Brooklyn Nets at Cleveland Cavaliers.
Line: Cavaliers by 6.5.
7:00 PM ET

We faded the Nets last night, but we’re backing them today. They’re desperate for a win, while Cleveland is in a tough spot. The Cavaliers are coming off an overtime win versus Minnesots and will be playing tomorrow against the Suns, so they could have one eye on that game.

Player Prop: I like Jarrett Allen under 19.5 points. Allen is coming off a 33-point performance, so people will want to bet his over. However, the Nets defend well in the paint. They limited Allen to 14 and 12 points in two meetings earlier this year. The best number is under 19.5 -120 at BetMGM. You can Get $158 in bonus bets from BetMGM by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Nets +6.5 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Jarrett Allen under 19.5 points -120 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Saturday, March 9, 2024 (1-2, -$100)

Chicago Bulls at Los Angeles Clippers.
Line: Clippers by 7.5.
7:30 PM ET

There was some speculation that Kawhi Leonard and/or Paul George wouldn’t play this afternoon, but they’ll both be on the court. However, I expect the effort level to be low with a game against the Bucks looming tomorrow. Also, the Clippers are on a 3-9 ATS skid and remain overvalued.

NBA Pick: Bulls +7.5 +104 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200

Brooklyn Nets at Charlotte Hornets.
Line: Nets by 5.5.
7:00 PM ET

Speaking of teams on skids, the Nets are overvalued as well on their 5-9-1 ATS funk. The Hornets have done a good job of keeping many of their games close, and it wouldn’t surprise me if they managed to pull the upset tonight.

Player Prop: I like Jusuf Nurkic under 10.5 rebounds. The Celtics are one of the better rebounding teams in the NBA, so it’s no surprise that in 10 career games against the Celtics in which Nurkic played 25 or more minutes, he’s had double-digits rebounds only three times. The best number is under 10.5 +100 at BetMGM. You can Get $158 in bonus bets from BetMGM by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Hornets +5.5 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Jusuf Nirkic +100 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Incorrect; -$100

NBA Picks for Friday, March 8, 2024 (2-0, +$300)

Minnesota Timberwolves at Cleveland Cavaliers.
Line: Cavaliers by 3.
7:30 PM ET

Let’s try fading the Timberwolves again. They put a bit too much into the Pacers game last night, with Anthony Edwards and Rudy Gobert playing 38 and 40 minutes, respectively. They’ll have tired legs against the Cavaliers tonight.

Player Prop: I like Jimmy Butler under 22.5 points. Butler played 38 minutes last night, so he could be exhausted by the second half. Also, the Thunder defend wings well and could easily have a huge lead in this game, prompting Miami to sit Butler in the fourth quarter. The best number is under 22.5 +100 at BetMGM. You can Get $158 in bonus bets from BetMGM by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Cavaliers -3 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Jimmy Butler under 22.5 points +100 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Thursday, March 7, 2024 (0-2, -$300)

Minnesota Timberwolves at Indiana Pacers.
Line: Pacers by 2.
7:30 PM ET

The Timberwolves have failed to cover their previous five games. They lost to the Clippers in a very favorable spot and then struggled to beat an injury-ravaged Portland team. Now, Minnesota goes on the road for the first time since Feb. 15. The Pacers should be able to win this game.

Player Prop: I like Rudy Gobert under 15.5 points. We’re seeing an inflated number because Karl-Anthony Towns is out, but the last time Gobert played without Towns, he scored just 13 points against the Spurs’ dreadful defense. The Pacers play good defense in the paint, so Gobert should be held to fewer than 16 points. The best number is under 15.5 +100 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Pacers -2 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Rudy Gobert under 15.5 points +100 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$100

NBA Picks for Wednesday, March 6, 2024 (1-2, -$120)

Los Angeles Clippers at Houston Rockets.
Line: Clippers by 7.
7:30 PM ET

As far as back-to-back games are concerned, this is a very difficult spot for the Rockets. They’re coming off a win in which four of their players were on the court for 36-plus minutes. They’ll have tired legs against the Clippers, who have Paul George rounding into shape as he returns from injury.

NBA Pick: Clippers -7 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200

Sacramento Kings at Los Angeles Lakers.
Line: Lakers by 1.
8:00 PM ET

We’re fading the other Los Angeles team tonight. The Lakers just had some big wins against the Thunder and Clippers, but they were in good spots in those games. They were also very fortunate in that comeback versus the Clippers. I expect things to turn against them tonight, as the Kings aren’t in a negative situation and should be able to win as a consequence.

Player Prop: This is from the first game, but I like Alperen Sengun under 21.5 points. He scored 46 points last night, so everyone’s going to want to bet his over. However, Sengun has gone over 21 points just twice in his previous 12 games, and this is a much tougher matchup than the one he had versus San Antonio. The best number is under 21.5 -120 at DraftKings. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Kings +1 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Alperen Sengun under 21.5 points -120 (1 Unit) – DraftKings — Incorrect; -$120

NBA Picks for Tuesday, March 5, 2024 (1-1, -$100)

San Antonio Spurs at Houston Rockets.
Line: Rockets by 7.
8:00 PM ET

The Rockets are coming off a big win against a distracted Suns team, and they have to battle the Clippers tomorrow, so this is a rough spot for a team that’s 3-9 straight up in its previous 12 games. Victor Wembanyama is listed as questionable, but it’s only for “shoulder soreness,” so he should play with no game scheduled for tomorrow.

Player Prop: I like Jayson Tatum under 28.5 points. The Cavaliers are a great defensive team that has limited Tatum in two games, holding him to point totals that are less than his season average. The best number is under 28.5 -120 at BetMGM. You can Get $158 in bonus bets from BetMGM by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Spurs +7 +105 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Jayson Tatum under 28.5 points -120 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Monday, March 4, 2024

Oklahoma City Thunder at Los Angeles Lakers.
Line: Lakers by 1.
10:30 PM ET

Our winning streak was bound to come to an end at some point, but maybe we’ll be able to start a new one. I like the Lakers tonight. They’ve ramped up their minutes in an effort to make the playoffs, while the Thunder are coming off an exhausting win over Phoenix late last night. Four Thunder players were on the court for 30-plus minutes, so they could be feeling it tonight, especially after travel.

Player Prop: I like DeAndre Ayton under 15.5 points. We faded Ayton in this matchup recently, and I want to do so again. The Timberwolves are a great defensive team, and they’ll be motivated after yesterday’s loss. Also, this game could easily be a blowout, negating any fourth-quarter run for Ayton. The best number is under 15.5 +100 at BetMGM. You can Get $158 in bonus bets from BetMGM by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Lakers -1 +104 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
NBA Player Prop: DeAndre Ayton under 15.5 points +100 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — No action

NBA Picks for Sunday, March 3, 2024 (0-2, -$305)

Los Angeles Clippers at Minnesota Timberwolves.
Line: Timberwolves by 3.
3:30 PM ET

We’re going to fade the Clippers again. They haven’t played very well recently, so this number is short. The Timberwolves are a hungry team with lots to prove, so this seems like a statement game for them.

Player Prop: I like Kawhi Leonard under 24.5 points. The Timberwolves are one of the best defensive teams in the NBA, which would explain why Leonard had just 18 points in the previous matchup versus Minnesota. The best number is under 24.5 -105 at BetMGM. You can Get $158 in bonus bets from BetMGM by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Timberwolves -3 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Kawhi Leonard under 24.5 points -105 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Incorrect; -$105

NBA Picks for Saturday, March 2, 2024 (2-0, +$300)

Houston Rockets at Phoenix Suns.
Line: Suns by 9.
9:00 PM ET

The Rockets’ recent results haven’t been great, but they’ve played a very difficult schedule lately. Granted, this is another tough opponent, but this spread is so high. You have to wonder about the Suns’ incentive in this game as well; they just beat the Rockets two nights ago, and they have to battle the Thunder tomorrow.

Player Prop: I like Anthony Davis under 12.5 rebounds. The Nuggets are a great rebounding team, which would explain why Davis logged nine and eight rebounds against Denver in two matchups this year. Also, Davis has clocked in a ton of minutes in some recent games and is dealing with sore ankles, so perhaps he’ll get some more rest tonight. The best number is under 12.5 -105 at BetMGM. You can Get $158 in bonus bets from BetMGM by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Rockets +9 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Anthony Davis under 12.5 rebounds -105 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Friday, March 1, 2024 (2-0, +$310)

Charlotte Hornets at Philadelphia 76ers.
Line: 76ers by 10.
7:00 PM ET

This spread is ridiculous. The 76ers are 4-8 straight up and against the spread since losing Joel Embiid. They also haven’t won a single game by more than seven points without Embiid. Yet, this spread is in the double digits. I know the Hornets played last night, but only two starters logged more than 30 minutes. Also, Charlotte is 6-4 against the spread on the second leg of back-to-backs this year.

Player Prop: I like Tyrese Haliburton under 18.5 points. Haliburton has been in a swoon lately, going under 18.5 points in nine of his previous 12 games. It doesn’t project to get any better tonight because the Pelicans are a great defensive team. The best number is under 18.5 -120 at BetMGM. You can Get $158 in bonus bets from BetMGM by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Hornets +10 +104 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
NBA Player Prop: Tyrese Haliburton under 18.5 points -120 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Thursday, Feb. 29, 2024 (2-0, +$305)

Golden State Warriors at New York Knicks.
Line: Warriors by 5.
7:30 PM ET

We’re continuing our fade of the Knicks, who are now 6-7 straight up and 4-9 against the spread since Julius Randle suffered an injury. The Warriors, meanwhile, would have a much better record than they do now had Draymon Green not been suspended earlier in the season.

Player Prop: I like Alperen Sengun under 10.5 rebounds. The Suns are one of the best rebounding teams in the NBA, so they should be able to keep Sengun off the glass. The best number is under 10.5 -135 at BetMGM. There’s also under 9.5 +110 at FanDuel, but Sengun has so many games with exactly 10 rebounds, so I’d rather be safe. You can Get $158 in bonus bets from BetMGM by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Warriors -5 +103 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$205
NBA Player Prop: Alperen Sengun under 10.5 rebounds -135 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Wednesday, Feb. 28, 2024 (2-0, +$300)

Los Angeles Lakers at Los Angeles Clippers.
Line: Clippers by 3.
10:00 PM ET

I’ve recently talked about how the Clippers are fading a bit during this mid-season swoon of theirs. They are 1-6 against the spread in their previous seven games, and they’ll be without Paul George tonight.

Player Prop: I like Jarrett Allen under 16.5 points. Allen typically has trouble against Nikola Vucevic, scoring 13 and 10 in his previous two matchups against him. Allen also played 33 minutes last night, so there could be some fatigue. The best number is under 16.5 -115 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Lakers +3 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Jarrett Allen under 16.5 points -115 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Tuesday, Feb. 27, 2024 (1-0, +$210)

New Orleans Pelicans at New York Knicks.
Line: Pelicans by 4.
7:30 PM ET

We’re fading New York again tonight. The Knicks are now 6-6 straight up and 4-8 against the spread without Julius Randle. They also must be exhausted from last night’s game in which three starters logged 34-plus minutes, including two with 40-plus minutes.

Player Prop: I like Jalen Brunson under 30.5 points. The Pelicans are great at shutting down point guards – he scored just 14 points against them in the previous matchup – and he logged 40 minutes last night, so he has to be exhausted. The best number is under 30.5 -110 at BetMGM. You can Get $158 in bonus bets from BetMGM by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Pelicans -4 +105 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
NBA Player Prop: Jalen Brunson under 30.5 points -110 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — No action; $0

NBA Picks for Monday, Feb. 26, 2024 (3-0, +$500)

Detroit Pistons at New York Knicks.
Line: Knicks by 10.5.
7:30 PM ET

We have two sides tonight. The first is Detroit once again. I’ve been saying this for a while, but the Pistons are underrated. They have a terrible record, but they are often competitive. They’re 13-5 against the spread in their previous 18 games, and their ATS record could be so much better than that. Meanwhile, the Knicks are just 5-6 since Julius Randle went down, and they have just three wins of more than 10 points.

NBA Pick: Pistons +10.5 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200

Miami Heat at Sacramento Kings.
Line: Kings by 6.
10:00 PM ET

We backed the Kings last night, but we’re going to fade them today. They had a huge victory versus the Clippers, but it came at a price with their four main guys logging 33 or more minutes. Battling the underrated Heat on no rest will be difficult.

Player Prop: I like Domantas Sabonis under 19.5 points. He has to be exhausted from last night, and Miami provides an extremely difficult matchup. The best number is under 19.5 -111 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Heat +6 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Domantas Sabonis under 19.5 points -111 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Sunday, Feb. 25, 2024 (1-1, +$100)

Sacramento Kings at Los Angeles Clippers.
Line: Clippers by 4.5.
9:30 PM ET

The Clippers have tons of talent on their team, but they’re in a mid-season funk of sorts. They’ve covered just one of their previous six games and appear to be overvalued against a gritty Kings team that recently beat the Nuggets.

Player Prop: I like Nikola Vucevic under 18.5 points. He’s been hot lately, but there’s bound to be regression to the mean, especially against the Pelicans, who have a great interior defense. The last time Vucevic played against the Pelicans, he scored a whopping six points. The best number is under 18.5 -110 at BetMGM. You can Get $158 in bonus bets from BetMGM by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Kings +4.5 +104 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
NBA Player Prop: Nikola Vucevic under 18.5 points -110 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Incorrect; -$110

NBA Picks for Saturday, Feb. 24, 2024 (1-1, +$95)

Orlando Magic at Detroit Pistons.
Line: Magic by 7.
9:00 PM ET

We’ve bet the Pistons a couple of times recently. They have a terrible record, but they’re better than that. They’re 12-5 against the spread in their previous 17 games, and their past three non-covers were all very close to the spread.

Player Prop: I like Karl-Anthony Towns under 21.5 points. He’s been about 50 percent to go under that total in the past dozen games, yet he’s battling a Nets team that is pretty solid defensively in the paint. Also, Towns had a big game last night, so he could be limited on a back-to-back. In every single back-to-back game this year, Towns has scored equal or fewer points than he did in the previous game. The best number is under 21.5 -115 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Pistons +7 +106 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
NBA Player Prop: Karl-Anthony Towns under 21.5 points -115 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$115

NBA Picks for Friday, Feb. 23, 2024 (1-1, -$100)

Milwaukee Bucks at Minnesota Timberwolves.
Line: Timberwolves by 5.
9:00 PM ET

Last night was a disaster, but hopefully we can rebound. Speaking of having to rebound, the Bucks were just 3-7 heading into the All-Star break. They’re an overrated and poorly coached team. The Timberwolves, meanwhile, have something to prove.

Player Prop: I like Tyrese Maxey under 25.5 points. This is about his seasonal average, yet he’s battling a Cavaliers team that defends guards extremely well. Maxey is coming off a 40-minute outing last night, so he could be a bit limited in this game. The best number is under 25.5 -108 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Timberwolves -5 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Tyrese Maxey under 25.5 points -105 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Thursday, Feb. 22, 2024

Phoenix Suns at Dallas Mavericks.
Line: Suns by 1.
7:30 PM ET

The Suns have more talent than their record indicates, and that’s because they’ve taken one too many games lightly in the first half of the regular season. Given how long the season is, however, I can’t blame them. It’s the second half of the season now though, so I expect Phoenix to turn up the heat, especially in tougher matchups like this one.

NBA Pick: Suns -1 +102 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200

Charlotte Hornets at Utah Jazz.
Line: Jazz by 10.
9:00 PM ET

We have a second pick tonight. I’m going with the Jazz even though they’re favored by 10. The public is all over Charlotte, probably because the Hornets have won three in a row. However, they’ve beaten pedestrian teams during that stretch. The last real opponent they battled, the Bucks, destroyed them, 120-84. Also, the Hornets lost all the momentum they had with this absurdly long break.

Player Prop: I like Jarrett Allen under 15.5 points. This is about his seasonal average, yet he’s battling a Magic team that defends the paint very well. In three games against the Magic this year, Allen has scored 14, four, and eight points. The best number is under 15.5 -128 at BetMGM. You can Get $158 in bonus bets from BetMGM by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Jazz -10 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Jarrett Allen under 15.5 points -105 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Incorrect; -$105

NBA Picks for Thursday, Feb. 15, 2024 (1-1, -$100)

Golden State Warriors at Utah Jazz.
Line: Jazz by 1.
9:00 PM ET

The Warriors played a tough game against the Clippers last night. They lost, but many of their starters logged major minutes, so I could see them taking this game lightly tonight. The Jazz are coming off a blowout loss to the Lakers, so they’ll be motivated to rebound.

Player Prop: I like DeAndre Ayton under 14.5 points. He scored 22 points in this matchup a couple of nights ago, but the Timberwolves were coming off an exhausting back-to-back. Minnesota’s fresh legs will help the team use its great paint defense to shut down Ayton in what easily could be a blowout. The best number is under 14.5 -128 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Jazz -1 +105 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: DeAndre Ayton under 14.5 points -128 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Wednesday, Feb. 14, 2024 (1-1, -$100)

Sacramento Kings at Denver Nuggets.
Line: Nuggets by 6.
9:00 PM ET

We faded the Nuggets a couple of nights ago against the Bucks, and won. Denver was humiliated, so the team will be extra focused tonight, especially after losing to Sacramento recently. Speaking of the Kings, three of their starters played 37-plus minutes last night, and now they have to play a game in altitude on no rest. This seems like a very difficult spot, even with Jamal Murray likely sidelined for Denver.

Player Prop: I like Wendell Carter under 12.5 points. This is slightly above his seasonal average of 11.5, yet he’s battling a Knicks team that has a great paint defense. Carter has failed to score more than 10 points in three of his previous five games, and he’s coming off a 31-minute outing last night, so he could be a bit tired, given that he usually logs 26-28 minutes. The best number is under 12.5 -115 at ESPNBet, and if you don’t have that, you can get under 12.5 -120 at DraftKings. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Nuggets -6 +105 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Wendell Carter under 12.5 points -115 (1 Unit) – ESPNBet — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Tuesday, Feb. 13, 2024

Miami Heat at Milwaukee Bucks.
Line: Bucks by 7.5.
8:00 PM ET

We bet the Bucks last night, but we’ll be fading them today. They’re coming off a great statement victory over the Nuggets, so it wouldn’t surprise me at all if they punted this game. The Heat, conversely, have a lot to prove, and they’ve been playing much better since getting healthier.

Player Prop: I like Domantas Sabonis under 13.5 rebounds. This is slightly above his seasonal average of 13.2, yet he’s battling a Phoenix team that cleans up the glass better than any other team. In two of his three matchups against the Suns, Sabonis has had 12 or fewer rebounds. The best number is under 13.5 -115 at DraftKings. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Heat +7.5 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Domantas Sabonis under 13.5 rebounds -115 (1 Unit) – DraftKings — Incorrect; -$115

NBA Picks for Monday, Feb. 12, 2024 (2-0, +$305)

Denver Nuggets at Milwaukee Bucks.
Line: Bucks by 1.
8:00 PM ET

I know Khris Middleton is out, but I still love the Bucks tonight. The Nuggets will be better come May and June, but they’re so poor on the road. They’re 10-17 against the spread, and they’ve been outscored overall, so it will be difficult for them to win in Milwaukee.

Player Prop: I like Jaren Jackson under 26.5 points. He’s been on a scoring tear recently, but he’s had a ton of easy matchups. The Pelicans are great at defending the paint, so Jackson could have issues tonight. The best number is under 26.5 -105 at DraftKings. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Bucks -1 +102 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$205
NBA Player Prop: Jaren Jackson Jr. under 26.5 points -105 (1 Unit) – DraftKings — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Sunday, Feb. 11, 2024 (1-1, +$90)

Sacramento Kings at Oklahoma City Thunder.
Line: Thunder by 3.5.
7:30 PM ET

Yesterday, I wrote that not all back-to-back games are created equal. The Thunder played yesterday, but they got debacled. No one played 30 minutes. It was an embarrassing showing, so I think they’ll play for pride today. Meanwhile, the Kings are coming off a big statement win over the Nuggets and could be flat as a result.

Player Prop: I like Bam Adebayo to go under 10.5 rebounds. This is exactly his seasonal average, yet he’s battling one of the best rebounding teams in the NBA. In two matchups against the Celtics this year, Adebayo has grabbed five and seven rebounds. Also, with Jimmy Butler out, this could be a blowout, so Adebayo may not see fourth-quarter action. The best number is under 10.5 -108 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Thunder -3.5 -101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Bam Adebayo under 10.5 rebounds -108 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$110

NBA Picks for Saturday, Feb. 10, 2024 (1-1, +$75)

Cleveland Cavaliers at Toronto Raptors.
Line: Cavaliers by 9.
7:30 PM ET

Not all back-to-back games are created equal. The Raptors played a very difficult game last night versus the Rockets in which five players logged 34 or more minutes. They’ll be exhausted against a superior team that has no reason not to be focused for this game. The Raptors beat the Cavaliers in their previous meeting, so Cleveland may want revenge.

Player Prop: I like Nikola Vucevic to go under 18.5 points. He’s hit at least 20 in four straight games, so there might be some hesitation. However, he’s battling the Magic, who have a great paint defense. In two games against New Orleans this year, Vucevic has scored 17 and 10 points. The best number is under 18.5 -125 at BetMGM. You can Get $158 in bonus bets from BetMGM by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Cavaliers -9 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Nikola Vucevic under 18.5 points -125 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Incorrect; -$125

NBA Picks for Friday, Feb. 9, 2024 (2-0, +$310)

Denver Nuggets at Sacramento Kings.
Line: Kings by 3.
7:00 PM ET

It was pretty obvious that the Kings were looking ahead to this game when they lost to the Pistons two nights ago. I think they’ll be up to the challenge against the Nuggets, who played a tough game against the Lakers last night.

Player Prop: I like Anthony Davis to go under 26.5 points. His seasonal average is less than that at 25.2, and he’s battling the Pelicans, who have a great paint defense. In two games against New Orleans this year, Davis has scored 20 and 16 points. The best number is under 26.5 -118 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Kings -3 +105 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
NBA Player Prop: Anthony Davis under 26.5 points -118 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Thursday, Feb. 8, 2024 (1-1, -$100)

San Antonio Spurs at Orlando Magic.
Line: Magic by 10.
7:00 PM ET

The Spurs were blown out by the Heat last night, but as I wrote a couple of days ago, there’s a big difference between Orlando and Miami despite their similar records. This should be a close game. And note that the Spurs shouldn’t be fatigued because no one on the team logged more than 32 minutes last night, with only two players even crossing 30.

Player Prop: I like Nic Claxton to go under 12.5 points. His seasonal average is just 10.4, and he’s battling the Cavaliers, who have a great paint defense. In two games against Cleveland this year, Claxton has a total of 20 points. The best number is under 12.5 -114 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Spurs +10 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Nic Claxton under 12.5 points -114 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Wednesday, Feb. 7, 2024 (2-0, +$305)

Detroit Pistons at Sacramento Kings.
Line: Kings by 12.5.
10:00 PM ET

I’ve said this recently, but the Pistons have been a covering machine despite owning a terrible record. They’ve stayed within 11 points of the Clippers, Bucks (twice), Timberwolves and Cavaliers in the past month. They should be able to hang with the Kings, who might be distracted with a battle against the Nuggets coming up in two days.

Player Prop: I like Victor Wembanyama to go under 21.5 points. His seasonal average is lower than that (20.4), and he hasn’t gone over 21 points in his past three games. Now, he gets a Miami team that has a great paint defense in a game that could easily be a blowout. The best number is under 21.5 -115 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Pistons +12.5 +103 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$205
NBA Player Prop: Victor Wembanyama under 21.5 points -115 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Tuesday, Feb. 6, 2024 (1-1, +$85)

Orlando Magic at Miami Heat.
Line: Heat by 3.5.
7:30 PM ET

Yesterday sucked. We had the Hawks +4, and they lost by five. We also had James Harden under 9.5 assists, and he had 10.

Let’s rebound with the Heat. Miami and Orlando have similar records, but the Heat have dealt with a ton of injuries this season. They’re finally all healthy, so I expect them to do quite well moving forward. With that in mind, this spread is short of what it should be.

Player Prop: I like Nikola Vucevic to go under 26.5 points + rebounds. His combined seasonal average (27.7) is a bit higher, but this is an incredibly difficult matchup. Minnesota just held Alperen Sengun to 25 points + rebounds even though his combined seasonal average is 30.9. The best number is under 26.5 -115 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Heat -3.5 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Nikola Vucevic under 26.5 points + rebounds -115 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$115

NBA Picks for Monday, Feb. 5, 2024 (0-3, -$450)

Los Angeles Clippers at Atlanta Hawks.
Line: Clippers by 4.
7:30 PM ET

The Clippers have been on fire, but this is a tough scheduling spot for them. They’re coming off a tough win versus Miami last night, making this the second of a back-to-back and the third game in four nights. This is also the final game of their East Coast road trip. The Hawks, meanwhile, have beaten the Suns and Warriors recently, so they should be able to pull the upset.

Player Prop: I like James Harden to go under 9.5 assists. His seasonal average is 8.5, and he has failed to hit double-digit assists in three of his five previous games. The Hawks do a great job of limiting assists to opposing point guards, and the Clippers’ scoring could be down tonight because of the fatigue. The best number is under 9.5 -125 at DraftKings. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.

Player Prop: I’m betting the Miles Bridges under 24.5 points. His average is 20.7, and he has gone over 21 just once in his previous seven games. The Lakers have a great paint defense, so they should be able to limit Bridges rather well. The best number is under 24.5 -125 at BetMGM. You can Get $158 in bonus bets from BetMGM by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Hawks +4 -101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: James Harden under 9.5 assists -125 (1 Unit) – DraftKings — Incorrect; -$125
NBA Player Prop: Miles Bridges under 24.5 points -125 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Incorrect; -$125

NBA Picks for Sunday, Feb. 4, 2024 (2-1, +$190)

Milwaukee Bucks at Utah Jazz.
Line: Jazz by 3.
8:00 PM ET

This spread is begging for the public to bet Milwaukee. The Bucks are coming off a game last night in which they erased a 24-point deficit, so they must be exhausted. Giannis Antetokounmpo, Damian Lillard and Khris Middleton all logged 38-plus minutes, so it wouldn’t completely shock me if some of them rested for this game. Also, consider that the Bucks have been a money pit this year. They’re 4-13 against the spread in their previous 17 games!

Player Prop: I like Terry Rozier’s under points prop, which is 15.5. His average on the season is north of 20, but he’s averaging just 10.8 points per game since joining the Heat. In fact, he’s gone over 15 points only once. The Clippers play outstanding defense against guards, so it’ll be difficult for Rozier to score 16-plus. The best number is under 15.5 -110 at BetMGM. You can Get $158 in bonus bets from BetMGM by clicking the link.

Player Prop: I’m adding Alperen Sengun under points + rebounds. The Timberwolves have a great paint defense, and Sengun’s stats have decreased recently. He had just 24 points + rebounds the last time he played against Minnesota. The best number is under 28.5 -104 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Jazz -3 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Terry Rozier under 15.5 points -110 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Incorrect; -$110
NBA Player Prop: Alperen Sengun under 28.5 points + rebounds -104 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Saturday, Feb. 3, 2024 (2-1, $0)

Sacramento Kings at Chicago Bulls.
Line: Bulls by 2.5.
8:00 PM ET

This is a tough scheduling spot for the Kings. It’s their second of a back-to-back and third in four nights. The Bulls have covered five of their previous seven, so I like their chances of continuing to play well.

Player Prop: I like Anthony Davis’ under points prop, which is 26.5. His average is 25.3, so he’d have to exceed his average for us to lose against the Knicks, who have one of the best paint defenses in the NBA. Davis has gone over 26 points just once in his previous six games. The best number is under 26.5 -113 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

I’m adding an under points prop on Victor Wembanyama, which currently sits at 20.5. The Cavaliers have one of the best paint defenses in the NBA, so they should be able to hold Wembanyama under his seasonal average, which is also 20.5. The best number is under 20.5 +100 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Bulls -2.5 +103 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Anthony Davis under 26.5 points -113 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100
NBA Player Prop: Victor Wembanyama under 20.5 points +100 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Friday, Feb. 2, 2024 (1-1, -$100)

Golden State Warriors at Memphis Grizzlies.
Line: Warriors by 7.5.
8:00 PM ET

It’s nice that I don’t have to change half the copy here because I’m once again going with the Grizzlies +7.5 with the same vig of +101. The Grizzlies have played extremely well lately, covering their previous six and 10 of their past 14. The Warriors, conversely, are 5-10 straight up in their previous 15 games. They don’t deserve to be favored by this many points on the road against a competitive team.

Player Prop: I like Kyle Kuzma’s under points prop, which is 22.5. His average is 22.0, yet he’s battling the Heat, a team that has one of the best paint defenses in the league. Also, Kuzma has failed to score more than 22 points in six of his previous nine games. The best number is under 22.5 -110 at BetMGM. You can Get $158 in bonus bets from BetMGM by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Grizzlies +7.5 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Kyle Kuzma under 22.5 points -110 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Thursday, Feb. 1, 2024 (2-0, +$300)

Cleveland Cavaliers at Memphis Grizzlies.
Line: Cavaliers by 7.5.
8:00 PM ET

We’re going to fade the Cavaliers again. Their spreads have been inflated too much, creating some great value with the opposing underdog. Memphis has been a live dog lately, covering their previous five and nine of their past 13. The Cavaliers could be tired from last night’s close call against the Pistons.

Player Prop: Even though I like Memphis to cover, I’m going to fade Jaren Jackson Jr. once again. His points prop continues to be inflated. The best number is under 25.5 +100 at DraftKings. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Grizzlies +7.5 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Jaren Jackson Jr. under 25.5 points +100 (1 Unit) – DraftKings — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Wednesday, Jan. 31, 2024 (2-0, +$310)

Detroit Pistons at Cleveland Cavaliers.
Line: Cavaliers by 12.
7:00 PM ET

The Cavaliers have been on a tear lately, but this spread has gotten out of control. Cleveland also plays against Memphis tomorrow night, so I’m not sure the team will be 100-percent focused for this game. The Pistons don’t have a good record by any means, but they’ve been a covering machine as of late.

Player Prop: We’ve gotten screwed on our previous two center props with opposing injuries. Hopefully that doesn’t happen tonight. I like Nic Claxton to go under 11.5 rebounds. His season average is 10.4, so we’re already over that. The Suns clean up the glass well, too. Claxton had just seven rebounds the last time he played against the Suns. The best number is under 11.5 -105 at BetMGM. You can Get $158 in bonus bets from BetMGM by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Pistons +12 +104 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
NBA Player Prop: Nic Claxton under 11.5 rebounds -105 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Tuesday, Jan. 30, 2024 (1-1, +$85)

Indiana Pacers at Boston Celtics.
Line: Celtics by 7.5.
7:30 PM ET

I’m confused as to why this spread is so high. The Celtics are short-handed with Al Horford out and Kristaps Porzingis and Luke Kornet potentially sidelined as well. They also must be exhausted from last night’s comeback victory against the Pelicans. The Pacers have been hot lately, and they’ll be getting Tyrese Haliburton back into the lineup.

Player Prop: Clint Capela’s season points average is 11.3. His prop tonight is 11.5, yet he’s battling one of the best paint defenses in the NBA. He’s gone over 11 points just once in his previous six games, so I like him to go under again. The best number is under 11.5 -115 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Pacers +7.5 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Clint Capela under 11.5 points -115 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$115

NBA Picks for Monday, Jan. 29, 2024 (1-2, -$35)

Philadelphia 76ers at Portland Trailblazers.
Line: 76ers by 9.5.
10:00 PM ET

The 76ers are pretty banged up and have a tougher game tomorrow night against the Warriors. I could see them taking it easy against the Blazers, who have been more competitive lately.

Player Prop: The Suns are one of the best rebounding teams in the NBA. Bam Adebayo’s rebounding prop is exactly his season average (10.5), so it shouldn’t be too hard to ask him to go under. He grabbed 10 boards in the previous matchup against the Suns, and that’s when everyone was out and his usage was way up. The best number is under 10.5 -115 at BetMGM. You can Get $158 in bonus bets from BetMGM by clicking the link.

Player Prop: The Celtics have an amazing defense, especially against fours. Zion Williamson is unlikely to score more than 21.5 points, which is about his average. Plus, there’s always a chance this game is a blowout. The best number is under 21.5 -122 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Trailblazers +9.5 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Bam Adebayo under 10.5 rebounds -115 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Incorrect; -$115
NBA Player Prop: Zion Williamson under 21.5 points -122 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$120

NBA Picks for Sunday, Jan. 28, 2024 (1-1, -$100)

Oklahoma City Thunder at Detroit Pistons.
Line: Thunder by 13.
2:00 PM ET

The Pistons played most of their starters 35-plus minutes yesterday in an exhausting game against the Bullets, who play at the fastest pace in the NBA. Now, they have an early game against a far superior Thunder team that has been demolishing its competition. I don’t see this game being close.

Player Prop: Jaren Jackson’s points prop is 30.5. That’s an insane number, given that he’s gotten more than 30 points just twice since Dec. 15. I know other players are out for the Grizzlies, but the Pacers have an extremely strong paint defense. Also, this game has major blowout potential. The best number is under 30.5 -115 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Thunder -13 +105 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Jaren Jackson under 30.5 points -115 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Saturday, Jan. 27, 2024 (2-0, +$305)

Sacramento Kings at Dallas Mavericks.
Line: Kings by 4.
9:00 PM ET

Luka Doncic had an amazing 73-point performance last night, so I imagine everyone’s going to want to bet him tonight, especially as an underdog. However, I imagine Doncic and his team will be exhausted after their track meet against the Hawks, so I like the Kings to cover tonight.

Player Prop: Joel Embiid’s under rebounds prop looks good. Embiid has gone over 10 rebounds just once in his previous seven games, and Denver cleans up the glass extremely well. Embiid had just seven rebounds in this very matchup recently. The best number is under 10.5 +100 at DraftKings. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.

Player Prop: Kawhi Leonard’s points prop makes no sense to me. It’s 26.5, yet he has scored 27 or more in just one of his previous 10 games. His average on the season is just 23.5. And Boston has a great defense. The best number is under 26.5 -122 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Kings -4 +102 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$205
NBA Player Prop: Joel Embiid under 10.5 rebounds +100 (1 Unit) – DraftKings — No action; $0
NBA Player Prop: Kawhi Leonard under 26.5 points -122 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Friday, Jan. 26, 2024 (1-1, -$100)

Oklahoma City Thunder at New Orleans Pelicans.
Line: Pelicans by 1.5.
8:00 PM ET

The Thunder have won four in a row and eight of their previous 10. Impressive stuff. However, most of the opponents they’ve beaten have been poor or injury-ravaged teams. This is a step up in competition compared to the opponents in most of their victories. Also, this is Oklahoma City’s third game in four nights, so there could be some fatigue.

Player Prop: Damian Lillard averages 11.1 rebounds + assists per game, so that’s a bit above his prop tonight of 10.5. However, the Cavaliers shut down point guards with ease. In three matchups against Cleveland this year, Lillard’s rebounds + assists totals have been: 5, 7, and 6. The best number is under 10.5 -115 at DraftKings. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Pelicans -1.5 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Damian Lillard under 10.5 rebounds + assists -115 (1 Unit) – DraftKings — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Thursday, Jan. 25, 2024 (2-0, +$300)

Minnesota Timberwolves at Brooklyn Nets.
Line: Timberwolves by 3.
8:00 PM ET

The Timberwolves played a tough game last night in which most of their starters played 35-plus minutes. It’s going to be tough for them to muster the same energy tonight against the rested Nets.

Player Prop: Joel Embiid just scored 70 points, so it’s reasonable to expect some regression to the mean. He averages 47.7 points + rebounds per game, yet the line today is 49.5. The Pacers defend the paint extremely well, so I like the Embiid under. The best number is under 49.5 -118 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Nets +3 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Joel Embiid under 49.5 -118 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Wednesday, Jan. 24, 2024 (1-1, -$100)

Portland Trailblazers at Houston Rockets.
Line: Rockets by 11.
8:00 PM ET

The Blazers have to be exhausted from last night’s tight battle against the Thunder. It’ll be tough for them to muster the same sort of energy against the Rockets, whom they match up poorly against because they can’t defend bigs or point guards.

Player Prop: Speaking of being incapable of defending point guards, Fred VanVleet’s points + assists looks great tonight. VanVleet averages 25.8 points + assists, yet the line is just 24.5 despite him being in a great matchup. The best number is over 24.5 -1115 at BetMGM. You can Get $1,500 in bonus bets from BetMGM by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Rockets -11 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Fred VanVleet over 24.5 points + assists -115 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Tuesday, Jan. 23, 2024 (0-2, -$320)

Denver Nuggets at Indiana Pacers.
Line: Nuggets by 5.5.
7:00 PM ET

The Pacers are in a tough scheduling spot. This is their fourth game in six nights, and they’ll be short-handed with Tyrese Haliburton ruled out. The Nuggets, conversely, are pretty well rested. I could also see Nikola Jokic being motivated after seeing Joel Embiid score 70 last night.

Player Prop: I like Jokic, but the best matchup in this game belongs to Aaron Gordon, who went for 20 points and 10 rebounds the last time he played Indiana. The Pacers are very weak to power forwards, so Gordon should have another big game in the points + rebounds categories. The best number is over 21.5 -120 at BetMGM. You can Get $1,500 in bonus bets from BetMGM by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Nuggets -5.5 +106 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Aaron Gordon over 21.5 points + rebounds -120 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Incorrect; -$120

NBA Picks for Monday, Jan. 22, 2024 (1-1, +$95)

Cleveland Cavaliers at Orlando Magic.
Line: Cavaliers by 3.
7:00 PM ET

Franz Wagner is back for the Magic, but playing a second leg of a back-to-back could have some stress on his endurance. This could mean that the Cavaliers win. Cleveland has been hot lately, so it should get another win tonight.

Player Prop: The Hornets have a horrific interior defense, so Rudy Gobert should be able to do anything he pleases tonight. Gobert averages 27.7 points + rebounds per game, so all he needs to do is get to his average in this easy matchup. The best number is over 27.5 -115 at BetMGM. You can Get $1,500 in bonus bets from BetMGM by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Cavaliers -3 +104 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
NBA Player Prop: Rudy Gobert over 27.5 points + rebounds -115 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Incorrect; -$115

NBA Picks for Sunday, Jan. 21, 2024 (1-2, -$300)

Denver Nuggets at Washington Bullets.
Line: Nuggets by 13.5.
7:00 PM ET

I was wrong about the Bullets last night. Their loss to the Spurs was pathetic, and now they have to battle a Denver team that has battled nothing but tough opponents recently. This is a huge step down in competition for the Nuggets, who should be able to win this game easily.

Player Prop: We won with Isaiah Hartenstein’s rebounding prop several nights ago because the Bullets can’t rebound. This is why I like Nikola Jokic’s rebounding prop tonight. Jokic averages 11.9 rebounds per game, so all he needs to do is hit his average against the worst-rebounding team in the league. The best number is over 11.5 -125 at ESPN Bet. If you don’t have that, you can find -129 at Caesars and then -130 at BetMGM. You can Get $1,500 in bonus bets from BetMGM by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Nuggets -13.5 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Nikola Jokic over 11.5 rebounds -125 (1 Unit) – ESPN Bet — Correct; +$100

Boston Celtics at Houston Rockets.
Line: Celtics by 11.5.
7:30 PM ET

The Rockets used up all their energy in an overtime battle against the Jazz last night. It’s going to be tough for them to summon the strength to battle the Celtics tonight. Boston just crushed Houston by 32. If the Rockets had more time and energy, they could maybe tilt things in their favor in this game, but that’ll be difficult considering the circumstances.

Player Prop: Just one player prop today, which I have listed above.

NBA Pick: Celtics -11.5 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200

NBA Picks for Saturday, Jan. 20, 2024 (2-2, -$5)

San Antonio Spurs at Washington Bullets.
Line: Bullets by 3.
7:00 PM ET

The Bullets have been terrible this year with their seven victories, but they’ve done well against the spread lately, posting a 3-1-1 record in their previous five games. I like them against the Spurs, who played a tough game against the Hornets last night.

The Spurs are terrible against point guards. Tyus Jones is coming off a poor performance, but he should play well tonight. Tyus Jones is averaging 12.5 points per game, so all he needs to do is hit his average versus a tired team that doesn’t defend well in the first place. The best number is over 12.5 -112 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Bullets -3 +105 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Tyus Jones over 12.5 points -112 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100

Cleveland Cavaliers at Atlanta Hawks.
Line: Cavaliers by 3.5.
7:30 PM ET

The Hawks used up all their energy in their comeback against the Heat yesterday on Udonis Haslem jersey retirement night. This is a tough turn-around versus the Cavaliers, who are on fire with six consecutive victories.

Player Prop: Atlanta struggles against bigs, so I could see Jarrett Allen going off. I like Allen over 17.5 points. Without Evan Mobley this season, Allen is averaging 18.1 points per game, so we’re asking him to hit his average against a tired Atlanta team that can’t defend the paint. The best number is over 17.5 -106 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

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NBA Pick: Cavaliers -3.5 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Jarrett Allen over 17.5 points -106 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$105

NBA Picks for Friday, Jan. 19, 2024 (2-0, +$305)

Indiana Pacers at Portland Trailblazers.
Line: Pacers by 4.5.
10:00 PM ET

The Pacers played a tough game against the Kings last night, so I could see them being a no-show in this game. The Blazers have made some lineup changes lately and should be more competitive.

Player Prop: I expect this game to be competitive, so I like Jerami Grant to go over 19.5 points. Grant averages 21.5 points per game, so we’re just asking him to hit his usual output against one of the worst defensive teams in the NBA. The best number is over 19.5 -135 at BetMGM. You can Get $1,500 in bonus bets from BetMGM by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Trailblazers +4.5 +102 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$205
NBA Player Prop: Jerami Grant over 19.5 points -135 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Thursday, Jan. 18, 2024 (2-0, +$300)

Chicago Bulls at Toronto Raptors.
Line: Bulls by 2.5.
7:30 PM ET

The Raptors are playing on no rest and will be short-handed tonight because of the Pascal Siakam trade. Toronto is 2-4 against the spread on no rest when playing a team with rest anyway, so it’s not like they handled this sort of situation well in the first place.

Player Prop: I’m not sure what sort of drugs Jonas Valanciunas was on last night, but he put forth no effort in that game. Hopefully we’ll have better luck with Isaiah Hartenstein tonight. Hartenstein has gone over his rebounding prop of 13.5 in four of his previous six games. Washington can’t rebound, so it’s not a surprise that he pulled down 19 boards against them in a recent matchup. The best number is over 13.5 +105 at DraftKings. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Bulls -2.5 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Isaiah Hartenstein over 13.5 rebounds +105 (1 Unit) – DraftKings — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Wednesday, Jan. 17, 2024 (0-2, -$300)

Charlotte Hornets at New Orleans Pelicans.
Line: Pelicans by 11.
9:00 PM ET

The Pelicans are in a tough scheduling spot. They just beat the Mavericks, and they have to take on the Suns in two nights. I can’t see them taking the Hornets seriously, so Charlotte should be able to keep this game close.

Player Prop: Because I believe this game will be close, I like the Jonas Valanciunas over points + rebounds. The Hornets can’t defend big men at all, so Valanciunas should have a big game. The best number is over 23.5 -102 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Hornets +11 +106 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Jonas Valancinuas over 23.5 points + rebounds -102 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$100

NBA Picks for Tuesday, Jan. 17, 2024 (0-1, -$120)

Sacramento Kings at Phoenix Suns.
Line: Suns by 4.5.
9:00 PM ET

Player Prop: I don’t see a side I like tonight, but I’m going to bet over on Bradley Beal points. The Kings are very weak defensively to shooting guards, and we’ve seen Beal score into the 20s recently. The best number is over 19.5 -120 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Player Prop: Bradley Beal over 19.5 points -120 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$120

NBA Picks for Sunday, Jan. 14, 2024 (1-1, -$100)

San Antonio Spurs at Atlanta Hawks.
Line: Hawks by 7.5.
3:30 PM ET

We had success fading the Hawks a couple of nights ago, as they were inflated from their overtime victory against the 76ers. They’re still overrated and favored by way too many points. I like the Spurs to cover.

Player Prop: The Pacers play no defense, and Lauri Markkanen has been on a tear. I was suprised to see his points prop at only 24.5. The best number is over 24.5 -115 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Spurs +7.5 +105 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
Player Prop: Lauri Markkanen over 24.5 points -115 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Sunday, Jan. 14, 2024 (0-2, -$320)

Indiana Pacers at Denver Nuggets.
Line: Nuggets by 11.
3:30 PM ET

The Pacers are in for a rude awakening, as they discover how difficult life will be without Tyrese Haliburton. They’re 2-0 without Haliburton thus far, but they’ve played against two bad teams. The Nuggets are on another level, and I like how they responded after their loss to Utah.

Player Prop: The Blazers can’t defend anyone in the front court. In two games against the Blazers this year, Kevin Durant has scored 40 and 31 points, so I like him over his point total. The best number is over 25.5 -120 at BetMGM. You can Get $1,500 in bonus bets from BetMGM by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Nuggets -11 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
Player Prop: Kevin Durant over 25.5 points -120 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Incorrect; -$120

NBA Picks for Saturday, Jan. 13, 2024 (1-1, +$110)

Washington Bullets at Atlanta Hawks.
Line: Hawks by 7.
7:30 PM ET

The Bullets have been more competitive recently, so they should have a chance to cover this spread with the Hawks coming off last night’s game. Atlanta is a bit inflated now from its overtime win versus the 76ers. Aside from that game, the Hawks are 1-8 against the spread in their previous nine games.

Player Prop: The Spurs are very weak to guards, especially point guards. They allow a ton of production to that position, so Coby White will have a chance to rack up lots of assists. He’s gone over 5.5 assists in four of his previous five games anyway. The best number is over 5.5 -104 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Bullets +7 +106 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
Player Prop: Coby White over 5.5 assists -104 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$100

NBA Picks for Friday, Jan. 12, 2024 (1-1, -$100)

Toronto Raptors at Utah Jazz.
Line: Jazz by 2.
8:00 PM ET

We’ve been on the Jazz twice this week, but this seems to be a good fade spot for them after they beat the Nuggets, Bucks, and 76ers. They have to play again tomorrow night, so they may take Toronto lightly. The Raptors nearly defeated the Clippers and Lakers in their previous two games, so they’re live to win.

Player Prop: Victor Wembanyama has the easiest matchup of the night for any big man. The Hornets surrender tons of production to bigs, so Wembanyama could go nuts. I like the over 31.5 points + rebounds. The best number is over 31.5 -113 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Raptors +2 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
Player Prop: Victor Wembanyama over 31.5 -113 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Thursday, Jan. 11, 2024 (1-1, -$100)

New York Knicks at Dallas Mavericks.
Line: Knicks by 4.5.
8:30 PM ET

Luka Doncic is out for the Mavericks tonight. Before you wonder if the Mavericks can muster a win without their best player, consider that Dallas is 1-3 without Doncic this year, and the one victory was against the crappy Blazers. Dallas is 6-7 in its previous 13 games overall, so it’s not like the team is playing well anyway. The Knicks, meanwhile, are on a tear, and they have a huge advantage in the paint against the Mavericks, who can’t rebound at all.

Player Prop: We lost a heart-breaker here last night. Let’s hope we rebound with Julius Randle. As mentioned, the Mavericks struggle against bigs, and Randle has cleared the points + rebounds over total of 37.5 in five of his previous seven games anyway. The best number is over 37.5 -106 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Knicks -4.5 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
Player Prop: Julius Randle over 37.5 points + rebounds -106 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Wednesday, Jan. 10, 2024 (1-1, +$100)

Denver Nuggets at Utah Jazz.
Line: Nuggets by 6.
10:00 PM ET

The Nuggets are currently in their mid-season malaise, as they’ve posted a 3-5 ATS record in their previous eight games. The Jazz, meanwhile, have been a covering machine, and the sportsbooks haven’t accounted for that yet. It’s no surprise to see sharp money coming in on Utah.

Player Prop: I like Paul Reed over 18.5 points + rebounds. Reed is usually productive when Joel Embiid is out, and the Hawks are very weak to centers. The best number is over 18.5 -102 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Jazz +6 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
Player Prop: Paul Reed over 18.5 points + rebounds -102 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$100

NBA Picks for Tuesday, Jan. 9, 2024

Toronto Raptors at Los Angeles Lakers.
Line: Lakers by 5.
10:30 PM ET

It’s not surprising to see sharp action come in on the Lakers. The Raptors are in a tough spot tonight. They were already weak to guard play, and now they’ll be without Jakob Poeltl against Anthony Davis.

Player Prop: I like Austin Reaves over 5.5 assists. As mentioned, the Raptors give up a ton of production to guards, and Reaves has easily cleared 5.5 assists in three of his previous four games. The best number is over 5.5 -105 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Lakers -5 +106 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
Player Prop: Austin Reaves over 5.5 assists -105 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100

NBA Picks for Monday, Jan. 8, 2024

Utah Jazz at Milwaukee Bucks.
Line: Bucks by 8.
8:00 PM ET

The NBA picks are back now that the regular season is over. I’m going to kick things off with the Jazz, who are getting the sharp money tonight versus the shorthanded Bucks. Utah is weakest defensively versus guards, but Damian Lillard is out, so the Bucks can’t exploit that mismatch.

Player Prop: I like Jaylen Brown over 28.5 points. Jayson Tatum is out, and Brown averages 27.7 points per game in his career without Tatum. That’s about on par with the prop for tonight’s game, but it doesn’t take into account how bad Indiana is defensively. The best number is over 28.5 -105 at FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Jazz +8 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
Player Prop: Jaylen Brown over 28.5 points -105 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100

2024 NBA Offseason: Philadelphia 76ers

Mike Elworth — Wed, 12 Jun 2024 04:04:39 +0000

Updated: 6/12/2024

Free Agents:

Buddy Hield, UFA

Tyrese Maxey, RFA

Kelly Oubre Jr., UFA

Tobias Harris, UFA

Kyle Lowry, UFA

Robert Covington, UFA

De’Anthony Melton, UFA

Ricky Council IV, RFA

Cam Payne, UFA

Kenyon Martin Jr., UFA

2023-24 Season Overview:

Joel Embiid prior to his injury was having arguably the best season in a decade and would have been the unanimous MVP. He’s this generation’s Shaq, as he simply can no longer be stopped and defensively is a superstar too. Tyrese Maxey taking the step from talented combo guard to All-Star point guard was huge for Philadelphia, and Tobias Harris, Buddy Hield and Kelly Oubre performed very well too. Missing Embiid for so long gave the 76ers a very tough playoff road, where they could not beat the Knicks.

Holes:

A starting 4

Offseason Goals

Philadelphia’s first move will be re-signing All-Star point guard Maxey to a max contract, which he has earned. Maxey continues to grow as a talent and is a perfect star to pair with Joel Embiid.

With so many free agents, little cash and with a need to win, the 76ers have little choice but to keep their major secondary talents – Hield, Oubre and Melton. However, they cannot afford to keep Tobias Harris, who will receive a huge contract, probably from the Pistons. Philadelphia has no chance but to build the roster with players already there, trades, late draft picks and bargain purchasing.

The 76ers will have a huge hole at the four, but there’s really not much they can work with. Adding a sneakily solid free agent – perhaps Dario Saric? – would make a lot of sense. They also need to hit on their 2024 NBA draft pick with someone who fits, fixes a need and is available around pick No. 15. Devin Carter, the offensively gifted sixth man, could fit them.

Philadelphia wants Paul George, but the club would likely need to make sign and trade for him, and the only trade that makes sense is tp sign and trade to the Clippers Kelly Oubre Jr. and Buddy Hield, along with several first-round choics for the All-Star. who would then probably sign a three- or four-season max deal with the 76ers.

Potential 2024-25 Roster

PG: Tyrese Maxey, Kyle Lowry, Cam Payne

SG: De’Anthony Melton, Devin Carter, Ricky Council IV, Terquavion Smith

SF: Paul George, Kenyon Martin Jr.

PF: Dario Saric, Robert Covington

C: Joel Embiid, Paul Reed

Mike Elworth's 2023 NBA Mock Draft

Mike Elworth's 2024 NBA Mock Draft

2026 NFL Mock Draft - April 7

Fantasy Football Rankings - April 5

NFL Picks - Feb. 9

NFL Power Rankings - Jan. 26

2024 NBA Offseason: Oklahoma City Thunder

Mike Elworth — Wed, 12 Jun 2024 04:03:40 +0000

Updated: 6/12/2024

Free Agents:

Mike Muscala, UFA

Bismack Biyombo, UFA

Gordon Hayward, UFA

Aaron Wiggins, TO

Lindy Waters, TO

Isaiah Joe, TO

Keyontae Johnson, RFA

2023-24 Season Overview:

Well, somehow this young and inexperienced Thunder team led by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and a rookie big man were the No. 1 team in the West. Gilgeous-Alexander was second in MVP voting, and his incredible season was the big boost they needed. Chet Holmgren had a ridiculous rookie season, and he gave them a franchise two-way big man. Meanwhile, second-season forward Jalen Williams gave them a much needed No. 2 scorer, and Josh Giddey has become an excellent point forward. The Thunder’s depth was also excellent, and their coach was a sensei. They may not have won a title this season, but they had an incredible run.

Holes:

Bench scorer

Another scoring big

True No. 2 scorer

Offseason Goals

The Thunder will remain a title contender, and their four main guys are 25 or less. The real question is should they continue to build via draft picks or start trading assets for veteran players who fit? Honestly, there’s no point in adding waves to calm water.

There are two players who they really need to re-sign: Josh Giddey and Gordon Hayward. The very versatile and offensively talented Giddey is Oklahomad City’s second ball handler and fourth scorer. A three-season, $78 million type of deal would make a lot of sense for him. The Thunder would also be smart to keep Hayward on a cheap contract. They also need to keep at least one of their free agent bigs.

The only real note beyond those is how they handle the 2024 NBA Draft. Thanks to Houston, the Thunder will have a lottery selection – pick No. 12 – and if he is available, they should choose Cody Williams, as they need forward help, another scorer. They would also get to pair him with his big brother.

Potential 2024-25 Roster

PG: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace

SG: Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Joe, Aaron Wiggins

SF: Josh Giddey, Gordon Hayward, Jaylin Williams

PF: Jalen Williams, Cody Williams, Kenrich Williams

C: Chet Holmgren, Bismack Biyombo

Mike Elworth's 2023 NBA Mock Draft

Mike Elworth's 2024 NBA Mock Draft

2026 NFL Mock Draft - April 7

Fantasy Football Rankings - April 5

NFL Picks - Feb. 9

NFL Power Rankings - Jan. 26