NFL Sharps Picks: Week 14
NFL Sharps Picks: Week 14
This is a compilation of what the top handicappers in the Las Vegas Hilton Super Contest are selecting each week. I'd like to thank Matvei for sending this over and providing great analysis for it.
Here's how to read the chart below:
- The first team is the sharps' pick.
- The first number is how many sharps are taking that team.
- The figure in the parantheses is the difference between the number of sharps taking that team versus the number of sharps betting against them.
- The second team is the opponent.
- The number at the end is the number of sharps taking the opponent.
Here's this week's Sharps picks:
Seattle 16 [16*] St Louis 0
San Francisco 21 [15] Arizona 6
Detroit 13 [13*] Minnesota 0
Atlanta 15 [12] Carolina 3
New England 12 [9] Washington 3
Houston 14 [8] Cincinnati 6
NY Giants 12 [8] Dallas 4
Green Bay 13 [7] Oakland 6
San Diego 7 [5] Buffalo 2
Tampa Bay 6 [3] Jacksonville 3
Tennessee 11 [2] New Orleans 9
Miami 7 [2] Philadelphia 5
NY Jets 6 [2] Kansas City 4
Chicago 7 [1] Denver 6
Indianapolis 3 [1] Baltimore 2
Matvei's Analysis:
Please note that the Seahawks and Lions both have much better lines in the contest than they do at the moment in Vegas (both -7), which ought to explain the preponderance of action on their side(s).
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gary james
12-11-2011
03:42 am
xxx.xxx.xxx.210
(total posts: 1)
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have to agree with some other comments on here and this is pretty much meaningless from a gambling perspective as they all back the favs.........i dont need a sharp to tell me who the fav is. Far better that it was restricted to the ones who can make it pay with some judicious weeding.
db
12-04-2011
05:18 pm
xxx.xxx.xxx7.20
(total posts: 1)
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"sharps". lol.
Pftf
12-04-2011
09:39 am
xxx.xxx.xxx9.40
(total posts: 1)
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I never knew to be a sharp u just had to pick all the favorites
Genny
11-20-2011
07:56 am
xxx.xxx.xxx9.22
(total posts: 1)
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This was so much more useful when you told us what the best sharps were picking... =(
Graham
11-12-2011
09:35 pm
xxx.xxx.xxx.151
(total posts: 1)
50
42
Whos the better play for RB this weekend Kevin Smith UP! or LT DOWN!
Walter
11-12-2011
09:03 pm
xxx.xxx.xxx4.88
(total posts: 2)
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The top entrants in the LV Hilton Super Contest.
db
11-07-2011
09:10 pm
xxx.xxx.xxx.135
(total posts: 1)
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who are these "sharps" anyway? just random people in a contest? the consensus picks have been no more consistent than Walt or any other amateur handicapper out there.
Matvei
11-06-2011
10:11 pm
xxx.xxx.xxx8.99
(total posts: 2)
20
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Whoops, that should also say Miami - not Kansas City (Vegas took a lot of money on KC).
Great news is that Vegas lost a lot of money this week. :D
Matvei
11-06-2011
12:06 am
xxx.xxx.xxx8.99
(total posts: 2)
29
21
Hey, I screwed that up - on the bit about the Vegas ticket it should say "Tennessee a close sixth".
Still pulling for the Browns +11, but I like them a lot less without Hillis to grind down the clock. Sorry for missing Week 8!
bird
10-28-2011
06:38 pm
xxx.xxx.xxx.167
(total posts: 1)
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@WALT & MATVEI
When are NFL WEEK 8 SHARPS PICKS being posted? The analysis helps....somewhat haha except when its rigged bird
Scott
10-24-2011
10:53 pm
xxx.xxx.xxx2.36
(total posts: 1)
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Yea Im seeing referee shenanigans in the Jacksonville game!!
Obi One
10-23-2011
08:21 pm
xxx.xxx.xxx.140
(total posts: 3)
20
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Regression to the mean happening as I type......Wow! Many unexpected results today.
The nr 2 team in the contest, Iced Tea, went 5-0 and is the new leader, as many top 40 teams have a minimum of 2 losses.
Fthesharps
10-23-2011
02:36 pm
xxx.xxx.xxx.145
(total posts: 1)
21
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You'd think that if so many sharps like Tennessee, that would be a good thing...
VitaminD
10-23-2011
12:46 pm
xxx.xxx.xxx1.57
(total posts: 1)
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Love this input. Keep this going!
Obi One
10-22-2011
08:12 pm
xxx.xxx.xxx.140
(total posts: 3)
22
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@anonymous
True. However, over the last 3 years the winner has won with a total of around 55 points. Somewhere around ~65% capping. Looking at the leaderboard right now, where most teams have around 21-23 points, it would mean that the top teams will most probably go 30-20 over the final 10 weeks of the contest, As they regress back to the mean. |
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