PGA Picks (2024 Mexico Open): -$45
PGA Picks (2024 Cognizant): +$200
PGA Picks (2024 Arnold Palmer): -$400
PGA Picks (2024 Players Championship): +$1,500
PGA Picks (2024 Valspar): -$290
PGA Picks (2024 Houston Open): -$395
PGA Picks (2024 Valero Texas Open): +$3,025
PGA Picks (2024 Masters): +$625
PGA Picks (2024): +$3,820
PGA Picks (2023): +$7,020
PGA Picks (2020): +$270
Arnold Palmer Invitational
PGA Bets for the RBC Heritage:
We hit back-to-back winners with Akshay Bhatia at 68/1 during the Valero Texas Open, and then Scottie Scheffler at +480 during the Masters. It’s nice to be on a hot streak after we had some bad luck to start the year.
I’m not going to bet Scheffler this week. This is not a great course fit for him. Sure, he could win it because he’s the best golfer on the planet, but he doesn’t have a huge built-in advantage like he did at the Masters. Besides, his wife is due soon, and Scheffler said he would withdraw if his wife were to go into labor. This was only a very minor concern last week, but with the date quickly approaching, there’s added risk.
Ludvig Aberg to win the RBC Heritage +1450 (Bookmaker)
Ludvig Aberg finished second at the Masters, and he happens to be second in my model behind Scheffler this week. The case could be made that Aberg is the second-best golfer in the world right now despite the fact that he’s playing in just his first full season. I think he’s the most likely person to win the RBC Heritage if Scheffler is excluded, so his number (+1450) is excellent compared to Scheffler’s +450.
Betting 1.5 Units to win 21.75 (to win +1450)
Matt Fitzpatrick to win the RBC Heritage +3050 (Bookmaker)
Matt Fitzpatrick won this tournament last year. He’s a great fit for this course, so that wasn’t a surprise. He’s in the top 10 of my model, and he’s been hot lately. He finished fifth at the Players, 10th at the Valero Texas Open, and 22nd at the Masters.
Betting 1 Unit to win 30.5 (to win +3050)
Sahith Theegala to win the RBC Heritage +4050 (Bookmaker)
Sahith Theegala is a great fit for this course, ranking fifth in my model. Coincidentally, he finished fifth at this tournament last year. He’s had fifth-, sixth- and ninth-place finishes since Feb. 11, so it feels like he’s right on the cusp of winning. He provides great value at 40/1.
Betting 1 Unit to win 40.5 (to win +4050)
Matthieu Pavon to win the RBC Heritage +9050 (Bookmaker)
Someone needs to explain this number to me. Matthieu Pavon is not some no-name scrub who spiked one tournament this year. He won the Farmers Insurance Open, then followed that up with third at Pebble Beach. And just last week, he finished 12th at the Masters. Pavon ranks in the top five of my model this week, so 90/1 seems like a steal.
Betting 0.5 Units to win 45.25 (to win +9050) Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel
Emiliano Grillo to win the RBC Heritage +14050 (Bookmaker)
Emiliano Grillo is a great bet at 140/1. He has two top-10 finishes this year, and he was seventh at this tournament last year. He didn’t make the cut at the Masters, but this is a much friendlier golf course for him, as he specializes in accuracy, approach and putting, which is what you need to win at Hilton Head.
Betting 0.25 Units to win 35.13 (to win +14050)
PGA Bets for the Masters:
It was nice to hit our first huge bet of the year, getting Akshay Bhatia at 68/1. It was very tilting down the stretch when Denny McCarthy was making everything near the green, so it was shocking when McCarthy dunked the ball into the water during the first overtime hole. We’ll definitely take it as we move on to the Masters, which features all the best golfers in the world. This is the first tournament of the year where we have to worry about the LIV golfers competing with Scottie Scheffler and everyone else on the PGA Tour.
Scottie Scheffler to win the Masters +480 (Bookmaker)
There’s no way I’m not betting Scottie Scheffler as a built-in hedge on my card. I’d recommend for you to do that with Scheffler or Jon Rahm, but not both. Scheffler is the best golfer on the planet right now, and he appears to have fixed his putting issue. He’s the best fit for this course, ranking No. 1 in the model. Scheffler finished second in his previous showing, but he didn’t even have his “A” game for that tournament.
Betting 2 Units to win 9.6 (to win +480)
Hideki Matsuyama to win the Masters +2200 (FanDuel/DraftKings)
Aside from Scottie Scheffler, there may not be a hotter golfer on the PGA Tour than Hideki Matsuyama. In his previous four tournaments, he’s finished first, 12th, sixth, and seventh. He’s also a great fit for this course, which isn’t a surprise because he won the Masters in 2021. He’s sixth in the model, so he’s definitely worth a bet at 22/1.
Betting 1 Unit to win 22 (to win +2200) Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel
Will Zalatoris to win the Masters +4550 (Bookmaker)
Will Zalatoris had a back injury last year that knocked him out for most of the 2023 season, but he has been rounding into shape lately. He has recently posted second- and fourth-place finishes, and he could be 100 percent for the Masters. Zalatoris ranks eighth in the model, and he’s finished second and sixth in his two appearances at the Masters, so he seems like a steal at 45/1.
Betting 1 Unit to win 45.5 (to win +6850)
Sahith Theegala to win the Masters +5000 (FanDuel)
Everyone on our After Dark Show loved Sahith Theegala. Watch here:
I’m on board. He’s 11th in my model, but he’s done very well at the Masters, so he seems like a steal at 50/1. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.
Betting 0.5 Units to win 25 (to win +5000) Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel
Si Woo Kim to win the Masters +8550 (Bookmaker)
Si Woo Kim has been hot lately, finishing sixth and 17th in his previous two tournaments. He’s also a great fit for this course, ranking fifth in the model. Kim also has a solid history at the Masters, finishing 12th a few years ago.
Betting 0.35 Units to win 29.92 (to win +8550)
Sergio Garcia to win the Masters +12000 (FanDuel)
Sergio Garcia is my ultra long shot to win at 120/1. He somehow came up fourth in the model because of some terrific scrambling and par-five scoring numbers. He also excels at approach, which is very important for the Masters. Also, course history is a plus for Garcia, who won the Masters in 2017. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.
Betting 0.25 Units to win 30 (to win +12000) Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel
Hedge: Ludvig Aberg to win the Masters +750 (Caesars)
Scottie Scheffler is up two strokes on Ludvig Aberg as of this writing. I’m going to hedge with Aberg for 0.25 units.
Betting 0.25 Units to win 1.87 (to win +750)
PGA Bets for the Valero Texas Open:
Scottie Scheffler missed a 3-foot putt to send the Houston Open into overtime versus Stephan Jaegar this past weekend. Bummer. Scheffler’s not in the field this week, so it’s wide open. Rory McIlroy deserves to be the favorite, but I will not be betting him at about 9/1.
Corey Conners to win the Valero Texas Open +3050 (Bookmaker)
Corey Conners won this tournament last year, and that was no fluke. Conners’ game is a terrific fit for this course; in fact, he ranks No. 1 in my model, even ahead of McIlroy. Conners’ ranks in off the tee, par-five scoring and approach are all high. He’s a great bargain at 30/1.
Betting 1 Unit to win 30.5 (to win +3050)
Keith Mitchell to win the Valero Texas Open +6500 (FanDuel)
Keith Mitchell comes in fourth in my model. He ranks highly in off the tee and approach. He’s finished in the top 20 in four of his six previous tournaments, including ninth at the Cognizant Classic, so he’s been golfing well lately.
Betting 0.5 Units to win 30.25 (to win +4050) Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel
Akshay Bhatia to win the Valero Texas Open +6850 (Bookmaker)
Akshay Bhatia is sixth in the model. He ranks in the top 40 in off the tee and approach. He’s come close to winning recently, finishing 11th and 17th in the previous two tournaments.
Betting 0.5 Units to win 34.25 (to win +6850)
Erik Van Rooyen to win the Valero Texas Open +9050 (Bookmaker)
Erik Van Rooyen is fifth in the model. His approach game isn’t stellar, but he’s tremendous off the tee, and he’s great in par-five scoring. He’s been hot lately as well. Prior to the Players Championship, he finished second, eighth, and 25th.
Betting 0.4 Units to win 36.2 (to win +9050)
Kevin Dougherty to win the Valero Texas Open +40000 (FanDuel)
Yes, 400/1. Kevin Dougherty has somehow come up second in my model, so he’s worth a shot. Dougherty ranks insanely high in off the tee, which is great for this course. He also does well in par-five scoring. His short game sucks, so hopefully that doesn’t hurt him too much on this course. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.
Betting 0.1 Units to win 40 (to win +40000) Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel
Hedge: Denny McCarthy to win the Valero Texas Open +450 (Bookmaker)
Akshay Bhatia looks great to win as of Sunday morning. He’s -15, while the next-closest golfer, Denny McCarthy, is -11. After that, the next score is -8. I’m going to take out a two-unit hedge on McCarthy, just in case Bhatia implodes on Sunday.
Betting 2 Units to win 9 (to win +450)
PGA Bets for the Houston Open:
Xander Schauffele didn’t come through for us last week, finishing fifth after a late charge on Sunday. Congrats to Peter Malnati for winning. If you didn’t see Malnati’s teary-eyed post-tournament interview, it’s worth watching.
Scottie Scheffler is back on the menu this week, which means we’re going to be betting him. However, there are some long shots of interest.
Scottie Scheffler to win the Houston Open +275 (FanDuel)
Scottie Scheffler was already the best golfer in the world prior to March despite his issues with the putter. After taking some time off and changing his putter, Scheffler has been putting extremely well. In fact, he finished first in putting on Sunday of the Players Championship, which is insane. If Scheffler continues to putt at a high level, no one is going to beat him. I know +275 sucks to bet, but Scheffler should be closer to +100 in this field. You can Get $158 in bonus bets from BetMGM by clicking the link.
Betting 3 Units to win 8.25 (to win +275) Get $158 in bonus bets from BetMGM
Alex Noren to win the Houston Open +4050 (Bookmaker)
Alex Noren checks in second in my model behind Scottie Scheffler. Noren is a great fit for this course, and he’s been golfing well lately, finishing ninth and 19th in his previous two tournaments.
Betting 0.5 Units to win 20.25 (to win +4050) Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel
Billy Horschel to win the Houston Open +7050 (Bookmaker)
Billy Horschel is third in my model behind Scheffler and Noren. Horschel finished ninth three tournaments ago. He’s a good golfer who has what it takes to win if Scheffler inexplicably slips up.
Betting 0.3 Units to win 21.15 (to win +7050)
Andrew Novak to win the Houston Open +14550 (Bookmaker)
Here’s my long shot to win. Andrew Novak is 145/1 at Bookmaker, yet he’s fourth in my model. He’s had some great finishes recently as well. In four of his previous five tournaments, Novak has finished eighth, eighth, ninth, and 17th.
Betting 0.15 Units to win 21.83 (to win +14550) Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel
PGA Bets for the Valspar Championship:
Congrats if you hit with Scottie Scheffler last week. It was the first time we bet a favorite this year, and it paid off. If Scheffler has figured out his putting, he’s going to win so tournaments this year.
Scheffler is not in the field this week, so it’s wide open. My pick to win is Xander Schauffele, but he’s the favorite and priced unfavorably at +650. I may want to bet him live at some point, but the only golfer I’d bet at that number is Scheffler.
Doug Ghim to win the Valspar Championship +5000 (FanDuel)
Doug Ghim is a great bet to win the Valspar. He’s finished 13th, 12th, eighth, 16th, and 16th in his previous five tournaments. He fits this course extremely well. In a diminished field, he could definitely win this week. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.
Betting 1 Unit to win 50 (to win +5000) Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel
Billy Horschel to win the Valspar Championship +10551 (Bookmaker)
Billy Horschel is 105/1, yet he’s actually No. 1 in my model. He’s third in greens in regulation and does well in par-three scoring, both of which are key for this course. Horschel finished ninth two tournaments ago, and this is a weak field outside of Schauffele and Sam Burns.
Betting 0.5 Units to win 52.75 (to win +10551)
Ben Silverman to win the Valspar Championship +20000 (FanDuel)
Ben Silverman has three top-20 finishes this year, and now he’ll be playing in a weaker field. Silverman projects well for this course because he scores highly in the two major categories and also putts well. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.
Betting 0.25 Units to win 50 (to win +20000) Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel
Hayden Springer to win the Valspar Championship +35000 (FanDuel)
Hayden Springer is my super long shot to win this tournament. I can’t believe he’s 350/1. Springer finished third at the Puerto Rico Open a couple of weeks ago. He rates highly in greens in regulation and par-three scoring, and he also putts well. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.
Betting 0.15 Units to win 52.5 (to win +35000) Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel
Xander Schauffele to win the Valspar Championship +1600 (FanDuel)
As promised above, I wanted to bet Xander Schauffele at a better number. He was +625, but he’s now 16/1. He’s four strokes back of the lead, which seems doable. Schauffele is the best golfer in this field, and I believe he will win. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.
Betting 1 Unit to win 16 (to win +1600) Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel
PGA Bets for the Players Championship:
Shane Lowry looked like he had a chance once again on Sunday as our 75/1 long shot, but he and everyone else got steamrolled by Scottie Scheffler.
The Players Championship is one of the toughest courses on the tour. Seventeen of the 18 holes have water hazards. We’re looking at golfers with high greens-in-regulation percentages, as well as those who have good form at the moment.
Scottie Scheffler to win the Players Championship +550 (every sportsbook)
I seldom bet the favorite, but if Scottie Scheffler figured out his putter, the entire PGA tour is in trouble because he could go on a Tiger Woods-type run and win everything. Scheffler is the best ball striker on tour, but his putting has been terrible. Yet, he was first in putting during the final round last weekend! Whatever Scheffler did during his week off is paying dividends. If it continues, he’ll win this tournament easily. He’s first in greens-in-regulation percentage, and no one has better form than him. He even won this tournament last year. When factoring everything in, +550 actually seems like a good deal.
Betting 3 Units to win 16.5 (to win +550)
Si-Woo Kim to win the Players Championship +5500 (FanDuel)
We can take some long shots to accompany our Scottie Scheffler bet. Si-Woo Kim is a previous winner at this tournament. He’s 17th in greens-in-regulation percentage and has performed well lately. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.
Betting 0.5 Units to win 27.5 (to win +5500) Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel
Tony Finau to win the Players Championship +6000 (FanDuel)
Tony Finau is 11th in greens-in-regulation percentage, and he’s great with his irons. In three of the past four tournaments, he’s gone sixth, 13th, and 19th. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.
Betting 0.5 Units to win 30 (to win +6000) Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel
Keith Mitchell to win the Players Championship +10000 (FanDuel)
Keith Mitchell is one of two extreme long shots at 100/1. Mitchell is third in greens-in-regulation percentage. In his previous three tournaments, he’s finished 17th, 19th, and ninth. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.
Betting 0.25 Units to win 25 (to win +10000) Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel
Doug Ghim to win the Players Championship +11000 (FanDuel)
Doug Ghim is my second long shot. Ghim has been hot this year. In his previous four tournaments, he’s finished 16th, eighth, 12th, and 13th. Speaking of 13th, that would be Ghim’s ranking in greens-in-regulation percentage. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.
Betting 0.25 Unit to win 27.5 (to win +11000) Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel
PGA Bets for the Arnold Palmer Invitational:
Ugh. For the second week in a row, we had someone 41/1 or better tied on Sunday, only to see them choke.
The Arnold Palmer Classic features one of the toughest golf courses on the tour. It requires golfers to be excellent in all metrics, particularly in approach.
Xander Schauffele to win the Arnold Palmer Invitational +1850 (Bookmaker)
Xander Schauffele is my pick to win the Arnold Palmer. He has no flaws in his game. He could be a bit more accurate, but he’s great elsewhere. He’s also been so close to winning this year. He’s gotten 10th, third, ninth and fourth place in four of his five events.
Betting 1.5 Units to win 27.75 (to win +1850)
Collin Morikawa to win the Arnold Palmer Invitational +2650 (Bookmaker)
Collin Morikawa is pretty close to Xander Schauffele. Morikawa is great at everything except putting, which isn’t as prevalent on this course as it is on some others. He has gotten top 20 in all but one tournament this year, including fifth at the Sentry.
Betting 1 Unit to win 26.5 (to win +2650)
Sam Burns to win the Arnold Palmer Invitational +2750 (Bookmaker)
Sam Burns is in the top five of my model, but I wasn’t sure if I wanted to bet him at a price lower than 35/1. However, Jacob Camenker told me that he has Burns No. 1 in his model, so perhaps there’s a reason that Burns is just +2750.
Betting 1 Unit to win 27.5 (to win +2750)
Jake Knapp to win the Arnold Palmer Invitational +6000 (FanDuel)
Jake Knapp is a 29-year-old rookie who has been awesome this year. In his previous three tournaments, he’s finished third, first, and fourth. It was remarkable how well he did last weekend after winning the Mexico Open. He grades out extremely well in the model, so 60/1 seems like a great value. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.
Betting 0.5 Units to win 30 (to win +6000)
Shane Lowry to win the Arnold Palmer Invitational +7500 (FanDuel)
We’re riding with Shane Lowry again as one of our two long shots. Lowry is a great fit for this course, as he excels in all the major categories essential for the Arnold Palmer. Hopefully he doesn’t choke on Sunday again! You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.
Betting 0.5 Unit to win 37.5 (to win +7500)
Mathieu Pavon to win the Arnold Palmer Invitational +9000 (FanDuel)
Mathieu Pavon has been one of the best golfers this year. In three of his five tournaments, he’s finished third, first, and seventh. He’s great in all categories, so 90/1 seems like a steal. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.
Betting 0.5 Units to win 45 (to win +9000)
PGA Bets for the Cognizant Classic:
What a disappointment. Sami Valimaki had the Mexico Open for the taking, but hit the water on 10 and that was that. I tweeted out a hedge on Jake Knapp, so we got that at least.
We move on to the Cognizant Classic, which is the first year it’s being called the Cognizant Classic, so I’m not sure why it’s a “classic.” I know this used to be the Honda Classic, but still.
This course is the opposite of the Mexico Open. The Mexico Open called for great driving distance, while the Cognizant Classic contains so many water hazards that accuracy is most important, followed by approach play.
Shane Lowry to win the Cognizant Classic +4151 (Bookmaker)
Shane Lowry is first in my model. He’s extremely accurate. He’s ranked highly in approach. He tends to play well on water-heavy courses. He has a great course history. He finished second and fifth at this tournament in the past two seasons. He’s a steal at 41/1 at Bookmaker.
Betting 1.25 Units to win 51.89 (to win +4151)
Daniel Berger to win the Cognizant Classic +5250 (Bookmaker)
Daniel Berger is right behind Lowry in my model. He’s a very similar golfer to Lowry. He also has a great course and course-type history. The last time he played at this course, he finished fourth.
Betting 1 Unit to win 52.5 (to win +5250)
Chris Kirk to win the Cognizant Classic +4001 (Bookmaker)
Chris Kirk is third in my model. He won this tournament last year, and he’s been excellent thus far this season with a win at the Sentry nearly two months ago.
Betting 1 Unit to win 40.01 (to win +4001)
Seppulon Straka to win the Cognizant Classic +4501 (Bookmaker)
We rode Seppulon Straka to victory last year at the John Deere Classic, so let’s do that again at this tournament! Straka won the Honda Classic two years ago, and he’s an amazing fit for this course.
Betting 1 Unit to win 45.01 (to win +4501)
Carson Young to win the Cognizant Classic +12500 (BetMGM)
Here’s my long shot to win this tournament. Carson Young has made great strides to improve his game – he just finished eighth at the Mexico Open, which wasn’t even a tremendous course fit for him – and now he may be ready to take down a PGA tournament. His accuracy and approach metrics are both excellent, so he’s a great fit for this course. Unlike the other bets, the best number can be found at BetMGM. You can Get $158 in bonus bets from BetMGM by clicking the link.
Betting 0.25 Units to win 31.25 (to win +12500) Get $158 in bonus bets from BetMGM
Hedges:
Shane Lowry is in a great position to win, but it’s worth hedging. I like Austin Eckroat – he rated relatively highly in my model – and I’m not a believer in this David Skinns guy, so I will do the following:
Austin Eckroat to win +350 (2 Units) – BetMGM
David Skinns to win +800 (0.5 Units) – BetMGM
You can Get $158 in bonus bets from BetMGM by clicking the link.
PGA Bets for the Mexico Open:
The Gensis Invitational didn’t go so well, as Hideki Matsuyama not only won, but broke the course record. We didn’t have him ranked highly in the model, so the course may not have been diagnosed correctly. I think the Mexico Open is more predictable.
Taylor Pendrith to win the Mexico Open +2850 (Bookmaker)
Tony Finau is No. 1 in my model, but he’s +750 or so. Taylor Pendrith is right behind Finau at No. 2, and yet he’s +2850 at Bookmaker. This course calls for either great power or tremendous long iron play, and Pendrith is fantastic in both regards.
Betting 1.5 Units to win 42.75 (to win +2850)
Davis Thompson to win the Mexico Open +4250 (Bookmaker)
Davis Thompson is third in the model. He’s a top-15 player when it comes to long irons, and he has enough power to blast the ball past the bunkers on this course. Thompson is 35/1 in most places, but you can get +4250 at Bookmaker.
Betting 1 Unit to win 42.5 (to win +4250)
Brandon Wu to win the Mexico Open +4853 (Bookmaker)
Brandon Wu has mastered this course. In the past two years, he’s finished third and second. Now, Jon Rahm is gone, so Wu has a great chance to win it. Wu is a great irons player and putts extremely well on this grass. He’s fifth in the model.
Betting 1 Unit to win 48.53 (to win +4853)
Sami Valimaki to win the Mexico Open +11000 (FanDuel)
Here’s my long shot. Sami Valimaki is a European golfer who hits the ball with great power. He won a tournament on the European tour in October. I wouldn’t like him against the top PGA golfers, but this is not a strong field by any means. Valimaki ranks fourth in the model, yet is 110/1! Unlike the other picks, the best sportsbook for this wager is FanDuel. You can Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.
Betting 0.25 Units to win 27.5 (to win +11000) Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel
Jake Knapp Hedge +110 (FanDuel)
Posted on Twitter.
Betting 3 Units to win 3.3 (to win +110) Get $150 in bonus bets from FanDuel
PGA Bets for the Genesis Invitational:
The NFL season is over, so our golf picks are back! I don’t like making golf bets in January anyway because the layoff could impact everyone’s game, which skews the stats as a result. Now that we’ve had some tournaments to begin the 2024 season, we have some good data to hopefully make some great bets like we did in 2023.
Sam Burns to win the Genesis Invitational +2250 (Bookmaker)
I’m jealous of those who were able to get Sam Burns at 35/1, and even 25/1. This number has been hammered down for good reason. Burns is actually No. 1 in my model. He’s been hot to start 2024, finishing in the top 10 in the previous three events. I don’t mind 22/1 on Burns when he’s my No. 1 golfer this week.
Betting 1 Unit to win 22.5 (to win +2250)
Wyndham Clark to win the Genesis Invitational +4650 (Bookmaker)
This number is shocking. Wyndham Clark is one of the top golfers in the world. He’s won three tournaments since May 2023. He’s also a perfect fit for this golf course with his great power. And yet, he’s just 46.5/1? Clark is No. 2 in my model this week, so I’m more than happy to bet him at +4650.
Betting 1 Unit to win 46.5 (to win +4650)
Sahith Theegala to win the Genesis Invitational +3500 (DraftKings)
Sahith Theegala is knocking on the door of a trophy with two top-five finishes this season. He’s a great fit for this golf course – he’s fifth in my model – so he’s a great bet at 35/1. Shopping around is key, as I’ve seen Theegala as low as 22/1 at some books. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.
Betting 1 Unit to win 35 (to win +3500) Get $200 in bonus bets from DraftKings
Kurt Kitayama to win the Genesis Invitational +9050 (Bookmaker); to finish top 10 +500 (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM)
Kurt Kitayama is my long shot this week. He’s about 90/1 despite being 11th in my model. He has great power, so he’s a great fit for this course. I’m also going to take a shot on him finishing in the top 10 at 5/1, which you can find at any sportsbook.
Betting 0.5 Units to win 45.25 (to win +9050)
Betting 0.5 Units to win 2.5 (top 10 +500)
To check out our 2023 PGA Picks, click the link.
