NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 19, 2015

NFL Picks (Preseason 2015): 7-10-1 (-$1,420)
NFL Picks (Week 1, 2015): 10-6 (+$940)
NFL Picks (Week 2, 2015): 9-7 (-$895)
NFL Picks (Week 3, 2015): 7-9 (-$870)
NFL Picks (Week 4, 2015): 6-8-1 (-$360)
NFL Picks (Week 5, 2015): 6-6-2 (+$55)
NFL Picks (Week 6, 2015): 5-8-1 (-$690)
NFL Picks (Week 7, 2015): 4-9-1 (-$860)
NFL Picks (Week 8, 2015): 5-8-1 (+$520)
NFL Picks (Week 9, 2015): 8-5 (+$280)
NFL Picks (Week 10, 2015): 6-8 (-$610)
NFL Picks (Week 11, 2015): 5-6-3 (-$2,010)
NFL Picks (Week 12, 2015): 6-10 (-$1,050)
NFL Picks (Week 13, 2015): 8-7-1 (+$195)
NFL Picks (Week 14, 2015): 11-5 (+$1,550)
NFL Picks (Week 15, 2015): 7-7-2 (+$110)
NFL Picks (Week 16, 2015): 8-8 (+$390)
NFL Picks (Week 17, 2015): 8-8 (+$910)
NFL Picks (Week 18, 2015): 3-1 (+$580)

NFL Picks (2015): 129-136-9 (-$3,235)
NFL Picks (2014): 143-133-7 (-$1,885)
NFL Picks (2013): 144-131-8 (+$5,580)
NFL Picks (2012): 130-145-8 (-$5,760)
NFL Picks (2011): 137-133-12 (-$1,925)
NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$6,080)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$3,370)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$4,330)
If you don’t quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.

Vegas betting action updated Jan. 17, 12:25 p.m. ET. Follow @walterfootball for updates.

Go to Week 19 NFL Picks – Saturday Games

Seattle Seahawks (11-6) at Carolina Panthers (15-1)
Line: Panthers by 3. Total: 43.
Walt’s Calculated Line: Panthers -2.5.
Sunday, Jan. 17, 1:00 ET
Comment on this game

The Game. Edge: None.

Emmitt on the Brink Season 8 concludes! Emmitt and his crew defeated Kim Jong-un and saved America. Read all about Emmitt’s heroics and how Roger Goodell was involved with Kim Jong-un. Also, Greg Hardy and Jared Fogle finally receive justice.

A reminder that Jerks of the Week for this week is up, so just click the link. This week’s jerks entry is December Heat Wave, where stupid kids annoy me and my new neighbor gets angry about something I did.

HATE MAIL: Lots of hate mail this week, as usual. Here’s a long one from the comment boards, written by someone who bashed me despite the winning week:

This has to be written by a 13-year-old, right? I can’t see an adult attacking someone because of their name. That’s just dumb.

Here are posts from two other idiots:

Sucking balls, getting pounded by sharps… sounds like I’m living Matt Millen’s fantasy!

These two were even dumber:

I love how people attack our mock drafts, yet we’ve had some of the most accurate mocks on the Web the past three years. Tip for you haters: If you’re going to post hateful comments, do some research first and attack weaknesses; not strengths! And please, for the love of God, wait until the game is over so you don’t look like a moron like Vegas Effect.

Here’s someone else who made himself look incredibly stupid on my Facebook wall:

Let’s hope this man’s sexual ability isn’t as premature as his Facebook posting.

SEATTLE OFFENSE: The Seahawks could barely do anything last Sunday, but can you blame them? They were playing in the third-coldest playoff game of all time, all while battling a fierce Minnesota defense. The opponent doesn’t get any easier, as Carolina’s stop unit is one of the league’s best, but at least the conditions will be more favorable this week.

It’s difficult to move the chains on the Panthers, for sure, but Russell Wilson could have some success. He finished on a hot streak to close out the season, thanks to changes made on the offensive line, as well as the emergence of Doug Baldwin. Josh Norman should be able to handle Baldwin, but as long as Wilson continues to have more time in the pocket than during the first half of the season, he should perform better than he did in the previous meeting, where he was 18-of-30 for 241 yards and a touchdown to go along with 53 rushing yards.

The wild card is Marshawn Lynch. He was a late scratch last week, so the Seahawks can’t exactly rely on him being on the field. Lynch struggled earlier in the year anyway, so if he’s still not 100 percent, perhaps it’d be better to go with Christine Michael once more. Regardless, I don’t see Seattle running very well against the Panthers, who were seventh versus the rush during the regular season.

CAROLINA OFFENSE: The Panthers won’t have much luck pounding the rock either. The Seahawks are even better against the run than Carolina is, ranking No. 2 in that regard. They even limited Adrian Peterson and the Vikings to 58 yards on 26 attempts, which was highly impressive. If Peterson couldn’t have success, why would Stewart?

Cam Newton will have to carry his team to victory, but that’s nothing new to him. He has done that all year, both in terms of passing and scrambling. He got the job done via the former in the first meeting between the teams, generating a very impressive comeback. However, he was just 20-of-36 for 269 yards, two touchdowns (one passing, one rushing) and two interceptions in that contest. And that wasn’t even against Seattle’s defense at full strength.

The Seahawks are much better on this side of the ball right now, so I think they’ll be able to limit Newton. The one caveat, however, is that Seattle happens to be weak to tight ends, so I could see Greg Olsen having a big game. The Seahawk secondary will smother all of Newton’s other targets, however.

RECAP: This spread is begging for Carolina money. I feel like the public would wager on the Panthers if they were -6, especially in the wake of the Seahawks’ near-loss at Minnesota.

Something is keeping this line down, and I imagine that the books are afraid that the sharps would pound Seattle at more than +3. I’m leaning that way as well, though I think there’s a very strong chance that this will push at a field goal.

The Panthers don’t have a great home-field advantage, and they were a bit shaky to close out the season. They averaged just 0.5 more yards per play than the Buccaneers in the finale; they lost to the Falcons; they nearly blew a huge lead to the Giants; the Saints nearly beat them prior to the shutout victory over Atlanta, and so on.

Speaking of the Buccaneers, Falcons, Giants and Saints, all of those teams are just meh. That got me thinking: When was the last time Carolina battled a tough opponent? The answer is Green Bay back in Week 9, and the Packers weren’t even playing well back then.

I like the Seahawks here, but only for two units. I’m a bit concerned for Seattle and its brutal traveling schedule; the team had to fly out to Minnesota and go back home, and now it has to play a 1 p.m. game on the East Coast. I don’t understand why Roger Goodell is screwing over the Seahawks once again with an early start time, but perhaps the players will be able to use it as motivation.

WEDNESDAY THOUGHTS: This spread is -3 at Bovada, but -2.5 elsewhere. Like I said, the books are begging for Carolina money. There’s a ton of action coming in on the Panthers, predictably.

FINAL THOUGHTS: I still like the Seahawks, and I’m glad to be getting +3 on Bovada. I think what we saw with Carson Palmer applies in this contest, as Cam Newton is expected to win without having any sort of playoff success (beating Ryan Lindley can’t possibly count). The Seahawks should at least push, and the sharps apparently think the same, as they’ve been betting Seattle.

The Psychology. Edge: None.
No edge found.

The Vegas. Edge: Seahawks.

No surprise people are betting against the Seahawks after they nearly lost.

Percentage of money on Carolina: 71% (50,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: None.

Worst Bye: Playoff teams coming off byes are 18-30 ATS since 2003.

Road Warriors: Playoff teams coming off a road win in Round 1 are 12-3 ATS in Round 2 since 2005.

Russell Wilson is 11-3 ATS as an underdog.

Seahawks are 29-38 ATS on the road since 2006 if they’re not coming off an away loss.

Seahawks are 6-12 ATS on the road vs. teams that average 24+ ppg since 2007.

Opening Line: Panthers -3.

Opening Total: 44.

Weather: .

Week 19 NFL Pick: Panthers 17, Seahawks 16
Seahawks +3 (2 Units) — Incorrect; -$220
Under 43 (0 Units) — Incorrect; $0
Panthers 31, Seahawks 24

Pittsburgh Steelers (10-6) at Denver Broncos (12-4)
Line: Broncos by 7. Total: 41.
Walt’s Calculated Line: Broncos -4.
Sunday, Jan. 17, 4:30 ET
Comment on this game

The Game. Edge: None.

This week on CBS, we’re going to have Jim Nantz and Phil Simms calling the shots instead the great preseason homers like Kevin Reilly, Ron Wolfley and Don Tollefson, inept ESPN guys Emmitt, Herman Edwards and Matt Millen, and mindless automatons like Dan Fouts. Here’s what it would sound like if these seven clowns (and some special guests) were calling this game:

Reilly: Welcome to the city of Denver, home of dirty hippies and hookers! That’s what mother called Denver, anyway, and mother is always right. Tonight, the Denver Broncos take on the Pittsburgh Penguins. Guys… wait, what are you doing here?

Jim Nantz: Hello friends, and welcome to Peyton Manning’s first playoff game. Peyton Manning will be playing tonight against a team that doesn’t have Peyton Manning on it. Peyton Manning, the future Hall of Famer, looks like the Peyton Manning of old, which means he’s Peyton Manning the future Hall of Famer. Peyton Manning also makes so many great commercials. Peyton Manning Peyton Manning Peyton Manning. Did I mention that Peyton Manning is playing again?

Phil Simms: We talked about that, Jim. We talked about Peyton Manning, and then we talked about how we talked about Peyton Manning. You know what, Jim? That was a great time when we talked about Peyton Manning, Jim. Or when we talked about how we were talking about how we talked about Peyton Manning, Jim. The only thing that was better was when the tables have switched, and we talked about talking about having talked about talking about Peyton Manning, Jim.

Jim Nantz: Peyton Manning Peyton Manning Peyton Manning Peyton Manning Peyton Manning Peyton Manning Peyton Manning Peyton Manning Peyton Manning Peyton Manning Peyton Manning Peyton Manning Peyton Manning Peyton Manning Peyton Manning Peyton Manning Peyton Manning Peyton Manning Peyton Manning Peyton Manning Peyton Manning Peyton Manning Peyton Manning Peyton Manning Peyton Manning Peyton Manning Peyton Manning Peyton Manning Peyton Manning Peyton Manning Peyton Manning.

Phil Simms: We talked about that, Jim. We talked about talking about having talked about talking about having talked about talking about having talked about talking about having talked about talking about having talked about Peyton Manning, Jim. Do I need to repeat myself, Jim? Why, don’t mind if I do, Jim. We talked about talking about having talked about talking about having talked about talking about having talked about talking about having talked about talking about having talked about Peyton Manning, Jim. How about once more, Jim? We talked about talking about having talked about talking about having talked about talking about having talked about talking about having talked about talking about having talked about Peyton Manning, Jim.

Jim Nantz: Oooohhh Peyton Manning! Ooooohhh OooOOHHH OHHHHHHHHHHHHH PEYTON MANNING OHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH!!!

Tollefson: You two are homos.

Charles Davis: Did you know that there are lots of types of homos, Tolly? Let’s begin with homosexuals, Tolly. And then we can transition to Homo sapiens, Tolly. If a man is gay, he’s both a homosexual and Homo sapien, Kevin. And then there’s…

Reilly: You’re calling me gay!? You’re the gay one!

Millen: Now, now, gentlemen, I know both of you aren’t gay, as you would’ve accepted my kielbasa-insertion advances by now. So, with that in mind, let’s avoid name-calling and getting me excited for no reason.

Wolfley: I’M EXCITED, GUYS. PEYTON MANNING IS PLAYING TONIGHT AND ACCORDING TO A TERRORIST ORGANIZATION NAMED AL-JAZEERA HE TOOK STEROIDS. I TOOK A SAMPLE OF PEYTON MANNING’S URINE AND I TESTED IT. IT CAME UP POSITIVE, SO I DRANK IT.

Fouts: And here’s what he means by drank it. He had a cup of Peyton Manning’s urine. Or perhaps it was a jug. Or a bottle. Or a canister. Or a flask. Regardless, he opened this holder of liquids, put it to his mouth and had it go down his throat. Now, some of you might confuse the act of drinking with the act of eating, and to that I say, I don’t blame you. Sometimes, I don’t know whether to drink cake or eat milk, but I just stick the substance into my mouth and allow my throat to do all of the work.

Emmitt: Doug, sometime I am confusion as well, too, also. Sometime I say my favorite metamorph which is that you can have your cake and drink it, too. But whenever I say this metamorph, everybody lookin’ at me funny like I have two square eye and three nose on my head.

Herm: IT’S HAVE YOUR CAKE AND DRINK IT, TOO! I MEAN, IT’S HAVE YOUR CAKE AND DRINK IT, TOO! WAIT, HERM JUST SAID THE EXACT SAME THING! HERM NEEDS TO TRY AGAIN! IT’S HAVE YOUR CAKE AND DRINK IT, TOO! WAIT! WHY IS HERM REPEATING THE SAME SENTENCE!? WHY CAN’T HERM GET IT RIGHT!? MAYBE THERE’S A BUG IN HERM! BUT NOT A BUG THAT CRAWLS AND EATS GRASS! I MEAN LIKE A COMPUTER BUG! NOT THAT A COMPUTER HAS AN INSECT INSIDE! SOMETIME IT MIGHT HAVE A REAL BUG! LIKE IF A BUG CRAWLED INSIDE! THEN IT WOULD HAVE BOTH KINDS OF BUGS IF SOMETHING WAS WRONG WITH IT! HERM HAS A COMPUTER BUG! A COMPUTER VIRUS! IT’S MAKING HERM SICK! COUGH, COUGH! LET HERM TRY AGAIN! LET HERM HAVE REDEMPTION! OK HERE IT GOES! IT’S HAVE YOUR CAKE AND DRINK IT, TOO! HERM SCREWED UP AGAIN! DEFINITELY A BUG! DEFINITELY A VIRUS! HERM’S GOT A VIRUS! GOTTA GO INTO DEBUG MODE! GOING INTO DEBUG MODE! Uhh… umm…

Reilly: GOOD! I’M GLAD YOU HAVE A VIRUS! I HOPE IT’S THE EBOLA VIRUS BECAUSE YOU’RE AN A**HOLE! We’ll be back right after this!

PITTSBURGH OFFENSE: Jim Nantz, if you’re reading this, please forgive me. I know you and your splooged pants want me to discuss Peyton Manning first, but I have to begin with the Steelers because of their injury situation. Ben Roethlisberger has been telling everyone that he has multiple torn ligaments in his shoulder. Antonio Brown, meanwhile, is dealing with concussion symptoms.

As of this writing, it sounds as though Roethlisberger is going to play, while Brown should be considered doubtful. Many question Roethlisberger’s ability to perform well – about 70 percent of the betting action is on Denver, after all – but I think he’ll be fine. We’ve seen Roethlisberger play possum before with his injuries, only to thrive on the football field. I think he’ll be fine, but not great if Brown doesn’t suit up. Roethlisberger still has Martavis Bryant, Markus Wheaton and Heath Miller at his disposal, so that’s not bad. However, Denver’s defense will make things difficult. The Broncos were missing their starting safeties in the previous matchup, so they’ll have a better chance to contain Pittsburgh’s scoring attack, even if Brown is cleared.

It’d be nice for Roethlisberger if he could hand the ball off to his running backs and watch them pick up chunks of yardage. That’s unrealistic, however, as Denver maintains the No. 1 run defense in the NFL. It also doesn’t appear as though DeAngelo Williams will play, though I liked what I saw out of Fitzgerald Toussaint. Though he sounds like a French pastry, Toussaint showed solid skills when catching the ball out of the backfield, and I expect Roethlisberger to rely on him if he doesn’t have his No. 1 receiver.

DENVER OFFENSE: OK, Nantz. Take a breath. I’m finally getting to Manning. Unfortunately, you’re not going to like what you’re about to read.

Manning is a liability. There, I said it. I know this will get me banned from the Journalists Who Like to Suck Manning’s Wang Federation, but so be it. Manning has become a hindrance, and the Broncos would be better off starting Brock Osweiler, who had success versus Pittsburgh in the previous matchup until he hurt his shoulder. Manning showed absolutely nothing in his brief action against the Chargers. He handed the ball off a few times versus San Diego’s 29th-ranked run defense, he dinked and dunked, and then he missed some passes downfield. He effectively looked like the same Manning who was very mediocre in the first six weeks of the season.

The Broncos will have to run the ball well to win this game, but I don’t see that happening. The Steelers are 10th versus the rush, so C.J. Anderson and Ronnie Hillman won’t have much success on the ground. Also, Pittsburgh has recorded the most sacks in the NFL to date, so the team will get to Manning behind his putrid offensive line.

RECAP: I nearly made this my January NFL Pick of the Month. I really did. I couldn’t go through with it because Roethlisberger’s effectiveness is up in the air. Brown’s absence also hurts. There were just too many unknowns to justify a seven-unit wager.

I am willing, however, to bet four units on the Steelers. There’s no way in hell the Broncos should be favored by about a touchdown against a competent team. No way. Not with Manning, at this stage of his career. Manning isn’t very good anymore, and he doesn’t have the running game or offensive line to support him. Despite this, there have been so many outlandish things said of Manning. I mentioned Nantz and Simms, but they seriously sounded like they were rubbing each other’s nipples while talking about Manning. Meanwhile, Tom Jackson said that Manning is back to the quarterback we saw when the Broncos were 6-0. Guess what? That’s not good – because that version of Manning sucked!

Oh, and to top it off, Manning will be participating in a playoff game. I’m sorry, members of the Journalists Who Like to Suck Manning’s Wang Federation, but Manning chokes more than a female porn star in the postseason. He has an awful track record in big games, save for when he gets to battle terrible quarterbacks like Rex Grossman and the like.

This spread has been inflated because of the Manning hoopla. The Steelers are the way to go, provided Roethlisberger’s arm doesn’t fall off during the week. If Brown is cleared, I may increase this wager, so stay tuned or follow me @walterfootball.

WEDNESDAY THOUGHTS: This spread was taken off the board at 5Dimes, which is disconcerting because they’re a sharp book. I guess we’ll see what happens, but I still love the Steelers. Check back later though.

FINAL THOUGHTS: Panthers-Seahawks was a public versus sharps dynamic. This one is as well. The casual bettors are pounding the Broncos, while the professionals have taken the Steelers; Pinnacle is listing the Broncos at -7 +102, which is begging for money on the host. Meanwhile, Bovada has listed Pittsburgh at +7 +105, which looks great to me. I’m sticking with four units on the Steelers. I considered a fifth unit – that’s how confident I am in yet another Peyton Manning choke job – but there are still some question marks with Roethlisberger’s health that gives me a bit of pause. That said, I’ll be surprised if the Broncos run away with this.

The Psychology. Edge: Steelers.

It’s January, so we know what Peyton Manning’s mentality is.

The Vegas. Edge: Steelers.

Bettors believe Peyton Manning is truly back.

Percentage of money on Denver: 72% (96,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: Steelers.

Worst Bye: Playoff teams coming off byes are 18-30 ATS since 2003.

Road Warriors: Playoff teams coming off a road win in Round 1 are 12-3 ATS in Round 2 since 2005.

Ben Roethlisberger is 9-5 ATS in the playoffs (6-4 as a favorite).

Peyton Manning is 5-13 ATS in the playoffs (excluding games against terrible QBs: Jake Plummer, Trent Green, Rex Grossman).

Peyton Manning is 3-8 SU vs. 3-4 Defenses in the playoffs (6-4 SU vs. 4-3 Defenses).

Opening Line: Broncos -6.

Opening Total: .

Weather: .

Week 19 NFL Pick: Steelers 20, Broncos 17
Steelers +7 +105 (4 Units) — Push; $0
Under 41 (0 Units) — Correct; $0
Broncos 23, Steelers 16

Week 19 NFL Picks – Saturday Games
Kansas City at New England, Green Bay at Arizona

Prop/Teaser/Parlay Picks
A list of some of my favorite team/player prop picks this week
(Offense & defensive ROY picks to be counted whenver winners are announced.) Picks carried over on a week-to-week basis will be in black.

Teaser: Patriots PK, Seahawks +8.5 (1 Unit) — Correct; +$100

I talked about wanting to bet the Patriots moneyline. This is a safer way to do it, as I also love Seattle on the teaser, getting them through three and seven.

2024 NFL Mock Draft - April 16

NFL Power Rankings - Feb. 22

Fantasy Football Rankings - Feb. 19

NFL Picks - Feb. 12

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Note: For legality purposes, this Web site does not promote or advocate gambling. This is solely for entertainment purposes only.

Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 18, 2023): 10-6 (-$415)
Last Week's 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Week 18, 2023): 3-1 (+$460)
Last Week's 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Week 18, 2023): 1-1 (-$40)
Last Week Over-Under (Week 18, 2023): 7-9 ($0)
Last Week's Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks (Week 18, 2023): -$15

2023 NFL Picks of the Month: 1-4, 20.0% (-$2,480)

2023 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-135-7, 50.4% (-$7,735)
2023 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 43-38-3, 53.1% (+$520)
2023 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 28-27-1, 50.9% (-$3,110)
2023 Season Over-Under: 139-128-3, 52.1% (+$100)
2023 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,630

1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%)
2000 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 128-123-8 (51.0%)
2001 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 127-122-7 (51.0%)
2002 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%)
2003 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%)
2004 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 157-123-8 (56.1%)
2005 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 156-126-11 (55.3%)
2006 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-135-9 (52.8%)
2007 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$3,585)
2008 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-140-7, 51.4% (+$6,105)
2009 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-124-9, 54.9% (+$4,235)
2010 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$5,880)
2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,335)
2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$7,445)
2013 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$7,825)
2014 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 143-133-7, 51.8% (-$1,885)
2015 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 134-138-12, 49.3% (-$3,215)
2016 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-127-10, 53.8% (+$780)
2017 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-140-8, 49.5% (-$4,300)
2018 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 140-134-14, 51.3% (+$845)
2019 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 149-128-9, 53.6% (+$1,200)
2020 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 138-124-7, 52.7% (+$9,350)
2021 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 153-141-2, 51.9% (+$210)
2022 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 154-134-8, 53.5% (+$9,860)

2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%)
2003 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-51-2 (50.5%)
2004 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-44-3 (59.6%)
2005 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 77-61-1 (55.8%)
2006 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-61-4 (51.6%)
2007 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 83-59-5, 58.5% (+$4,110)
2008 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-57-3, 43.6% (-$3,510)
2009 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 49-35-3, 58.3% (+$2,260)
2010 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 51-38-4, 57.3% (+$3,180)
2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715)
2012 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 45-50-2, 47.4% (-$2,130)
2013 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 38-42, 47.5% (-$2,890)
2015 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 47-44-1, 51.6% (-$820)
2016 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 42-35-3, 54.5% (+$475)
2017 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 32-40-3, 43.8% (-$2,395)
2018 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-41-2, 55.9% (+$2,670)
2019 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-36-2, 55.0% (+$655)
2020 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 47-43-3, 52.2% (-$1,965)
2021 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 50-50, 50.0% (-$1,570)
2022 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 56-44-2, 56.0% (+$1,860)

2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
2003 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 16-13-1 (55.2%)
2004 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-11 (62.1%)
2005 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%)
2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%)
2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420)
2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055)
2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330)
2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790)
2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)
2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650)
2013 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-9-3, 65.4% (+$2,970)
2015 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-16-2, 51.5% (-$1,120)
2016 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-22-5, 48.8% (-$1,465)
2017 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 20-22-1, 47.6% (-$1,595)
2018 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 27-32-1, 45.8% (-$4,735)
2019 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 37-27-2, 57.8% (+$2,185)
2020 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 37-22-1, 62.7% (+$5,515)
2021 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-32-1, 50.0% (-$725)
2022 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 41-30-1, 57.8% (+$3,725)

2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)
2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)
2013 Season Over-Under: 132-130-5, 50.4% (-$340)
2015 Season Over-Under: 143-119-5, 54.6% ($0)
2016 Season Over-Under: 123-141-1, 46.6% (+$95)
2017 Season Over-Under: 136-139-2, 49.5% (+$640)
2018 Season Over-Under: 118-128-3, 48.0% (-$225)
2019 Season Over-Under: 126-133-4, 48.6% (-$50)
2020 Season Over-Under: 141-122-6, 53.6% ($0)
2021 Season Over-Under: 132-151-3, 46.6% ($0)
2022 Season Over-Under: 133-149-2, 47.2% (-$225)

2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775
2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865
2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200
2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590
2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685
2013 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$2,245
2015 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$855
2016 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$275
2017 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$510
2018 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,495
2019 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,715
2020 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$4,975
2021 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$3,455
2022 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$5,720

2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)
2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640)
2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)
2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)
2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)
2013 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-0, 100% (+$3,900)
2014 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,350)
2015 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$100)
2016 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-1, 83.3% (+$2,780)
2017 NFL Picks of the Month: 4-2, 66.7% (+$1,040)
2018 NFL Picks of the Month: 4-3, 57.1% (-$640)
2019 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3-1, 50.0% (-$625)
2020 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$665)
2021 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-3, 40.0% (-$920)
2022 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-4, 42.9% (-$1,615)

Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 3,420-3,152-195, 52.1% (+$21,170)
Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 1,106-983-56 (52.9%)
Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 549-485-25 (53.1%)
Career Over-Under: 2,853-2,829-74 (50.3%)
Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 23-16-1 (59.0%)
Career NFL Picks of the Month: 46-34-1 (57.5t%)

My Team-by-Team ATS Record
This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

Cowboys: 8-9	Bears: 11-4	Bucs: 6-11	49ers: 10-7
Eagles: 7-7	Lions: 9-8	Falcons: 8-9	Cardinals: 8-9
Giants: 7-9	Packers: 5-12	Panthers: 8-9	Rams: 8-9
Redskins: 14-3	Vikings: 6-9	Saints: 10-7	Seahawks: 7-9

Bills: 9-7	Bengals: 12-5	Colts: 7-10	Broncos: 9-6
Dolphins: 6-11	Browns: 11-5	Jaguars: 13-4	Chargers: 8-9
Jets: 8-9	Ravens: 11-6	Texans: 5-12	Chiefs: 5-10
Patriots: 7-9	Steelers: 11-6	Titans: 9-8	Raiders: 6-9

Divisional: 50-35 (2011-22: 558-526)	2x Game Edge: 36-24 (2011-22: 363-361)	2x Motivation Edge: 32-36 (2011-22: 478-405)	2x Spread Edge: 41-40 (2011-22: 197-168)
2x Vegas Edge: 41-38 (2011-22: 407-406)	2x Trend Edge: 15-13 (2011-22: 306-279)	Double Edge: 17-13 (2011-22: 190-172)	Triple Edge: 1-1 (2011-22: 32-36)

NBA Picks Against the Spread

2024 NFL Draft Goals

2024 NFL Draft Potential Busts

NFL Free Agent Signing Grades – Latest Signing Grades for 2024 NFL Free Agency

2024 NFL Mock Draft

2024 NFL Draft Day 3 Sleepers

NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 19, 2015

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