NFL Picks Against the Spread: Preseason Week 4, 2012

NFL Picks (Preseason 2012): 5-6-1 (-$420)

NFL Picks (2012): 1-2-1 (-$350)
NFL Picks (2011): 137-133-12 (-$1,925)
NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$6,080)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$3,370)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$4,330)
If you don't quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.

Buffalo Bills (0-3) at Detroit Lions (1-2)
Line: Lions by 3.
Thursday, 7:00 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

As I discussed last week, Chan Gailey doesn't care about winning preseason games. Jim Schwartz does, so he may want to finish strong with a victory after losing at Oakland this past weekend.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.

Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


The Trends. Edge: Lions.

Chan Gailey is 3-8 in preseason games.

Chan Gailey is 0-2 in Preseason Week 4 games.

Jim Schwartz is 11-4 in preseason games.

Jim Schwartz is 3-0 in Preseason Week 4 games.


Preseason Week 4 NFL Pick: Lions 26, Bills 13
Lions -3 (3 Units) -- Correct; +$300

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Kansas City Chiefs (1-2) at Green Bay Packers (1-2)
Line: Packers by 1.
Thursday, 7:00 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

Mike McCarthy doesn't give a damn about Week 4 preseason games. I'm not sure if Romeo Crennel does, but he may want to end the exhibition on a high note after getting blown out against Seattle.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.

Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


The Trends. Edge: Chiefs.

Romeo Crennel is 9-10 in preseason games.

Romeo Crennel is 2-2 in Preseason Week 4 games.

Mike McCarthy is 13-14 in preseason games.

Mike McCarthy is 1-5 in Preseason Week 4 games.


Preseason Week 4 NFL Pick: Chiefs 17, Packers 10
Chiefs +1 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220

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New York Jets (0-3) at Philadelphia Eagles (3-0)
Line: Eagles by 5.5.
Thursday, 6:30 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

I cannot believe the Eagles are favored by this much. Andy Reid completely mails in the last preseason game every year, so there's no reason the spread should be this high. Rex Ryan, meanwhile, will want his team to get into the end zone. This is my August NFL Pick of the Month because this line is so ridiculous.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.

Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


The Trends. Edge: Jets.

Rex Ryan is 6-9 in preseason games.

Rex Ryan is 2-1 in Preseason Week 4 games.

Andy Reid is 24-31 in preseason games.

Andy Reid is 3-10 in Preseason Week 4 games.


Preseason Week 4 NFL Pick: Jets 17, Eagles 16
Jets +5.5 (7 Units - August NFL Pick of the Month) -- Incorrect; -$770

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Carolina Panthers (2-1) at Pittsburgh Steelers (2-1)
Line: Steelers by 3.5.
Thursday, 7:00 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

Mike Tomlin is insane and loves to win these meaningless preseason games. Ron Rivera doesn't seem to care one way or the other. I wish this spread weren't larger than a field goal, but Pittsburgh is still worth a moderately sized wager; Tomlin has won all five of his Week 4 preseason games by 16, 16, 11, 3 and 16 ponts, so odds say that he's going to cover.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.

Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


The Trends. Edge: Steelers.

Ron Rivera is 3-4 in preseason games.

Ron Rivera is 0-1 in Preseason Week 4 games.

Mike Tomlin is 18-6 in preseason games.

Mike Tomlin is 5-0 in Preseason Week 4 games.


Preseason Week 4 NFL Pick: Steelers 19, Panthers 6
Steelers -3.5 (3 Units) -- Incorrect; -$330

Leave a comment Name Comment Verification: click on image to refresh it   EasyPicking 01-02-2012 03:07 pm xxx.xxx.xxx1.55 (total posts: 29) 11     24 Bad NBA day for me yesterday 2 losses 0 wins 15-3-0 now ats Ima get back on track today Golden state +3.5 ( 2 units ) Washington + 11 ( .5 unit ) San Antonio -5 ( .5 unit ) okla state -4.5 ( 1 unit ) GLA Bowl help 01-02-2012 12:35 pm xxx.xxx.xxx9.44 (total posts: 2) 11     13 Hey guys, looking for some opinions on the college games today. If you have a strong opinion on 1 or 2, please put it on here. Question 01-02-2012 12:18 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.196 (total posts: 2) 10     10 @BT, thats great info, thanks man! I've never used an online place because i dont know how they work and worried about their legitimacy. I really hate being at the local guys mercy as far as when he opens up, etc...so I would like to give it a try. is it just like a line of credit? You use a credit card to play? Thanks for any more info you can take the time to give me. @Everyone 01-02-2012 11:44 am xxx.xxx.xxx72.6 (total posts: 1) 9     9 What site do you guys recommend for placing bet? BT 01-02-2012 10:56 am xxx.xxx.xxx.101 (total posts: 1) 9     9 @question, you say "something fishy going on with my guy" and makes me wonder why anyone goes through a "guy" when there are so many great options on-line! The local guy I know has lost about 90% of his clients to on-line accounts and ended up closing shop. 5dimes has half juice the day/night before games in football, basketball, hockey. Ive been on-line since 2000 doesn't seem to make sense to do it any other way! Waltersucks 01-02-2012 05:31 am xxx.xxx.xxx6.41 (total posts: 9) 11     22 Nick like your input but you got it backwards 4-2 FLYERS empty net goal sends the locals home happy If the FLYERS lose I'm hitting a rangers fan wit a beer I HATE ALL NEW YORK TEAMS Guruball 01-02-2012 05:13 am xxx.xxx.xxx6.46 (total posts: 2) 11     41 +948 units NFL/NCAAFB SEASON +169 units for the week Just saw my post for the NYG earlier I actually had 25 on them and 25 over. Sorry guys...Ill try and get it in a bit earlier and not rush. Anyways, Eli's team is looking good right now. Possible Superbowl candidate... small underdog wager, pretty good odds....just a thought haha We have 6 games tomorrow to end the week. Lets kill it.....Congrats who profited, & lets continue build that bank up tomorrow! PEACE, LOVE & MONEY FOR 2012!!! Let's continue a good year ya'll.... One love. #Guruball#49er Guruball 01-02-2012 05:08 am xxx.xxx.xxx6.46 (total posts: 2) 13     21 @Mike Forreals.. That pissed me off. Especially the 2missed field goals! Glad jus lost juice. I shoulda put more on the Gs... Nick 01-02-2012 04:45 am xxx.xxx.xxx5.76 (total posts: 11) 16     15 Marion Gaborik 2g, 1a!! Lundqvist 32 saves on 34 shots. NYR 4 PHI 2 Late empty netter sends the Philly faithful home disappointed. That's my prediction. I'll look for the sign. And by the way I'm extremely jealous that you'll be at that game. I'll be in the Bay Area, CA watching it from my couch at 10am. Have a good time. BlairHattonPicks.com 01-02-2012 04:32 am xxx.xxx.xxx35.7 (total posts: 31) 10     20 NCAAB Tease and Parlay posted along with all Bowl Games at www.BlairHattonPicks.com Waltersucks 01-02-2012 01:50 am xxx.xxx.xxx6.41 (total posts: 9) 18     48 Yo yous keep thumbs down my winter classic pick FLYERS 3u Post some input on it cause I know it's some f-ing ranger fan By the way look for me on tv at the winter classic I'll have a sign walterfootball.com sucks BlairHattonPicks.com 01-02-2012 12:47 am xxx.xxx.xxx35.7 (total posts: 31) 20     9 Congrats to everyone that took the Giants!! Waltersucks 01-02-2012 12:40 am xxx.xxx.xxx6.41 (total posts: 9) 22     12 Easypicking I hope you feel better now no vega bs Waltersucks 01-02-2012 12:26 am xxx.xxx.xxx6.41 (total posts: 9) 12     10 Giants home eil have a real good season vs dallas and overrated romo how can't you see the gmen are a lock Mike 01-02-2012 12:13 am xxx.xxx.xxx6.51 (total posts: 2) 18     10 @Guru man the over was the right play... 2 or 3 missed fg not converting on 4th downs in opponents territory, and not kicking fg when they should!!! Pages: 1 2 ...987 988 989 990991 992 993 ...1475 1476

2013 Fantasy Football Rankings - May 23


2013 NBA Mock Draft - May 22


2014 NFL Mock Draft - May 21


Charlie's 2014 NFL Mock Draft - May 20


NFL Picks - Feb. 3

Note: For legality purposes, this Web site does not promote or advocate gambling. This is solely for entertainment purposes only.

Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 21, 2012): 1-0 (+$100)
Last Week's 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Week 21, 2012): 0-0 ($0)
Last Week's 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Week 21, 2012): 0-0 ($0)
Last Week Over-Under (Week 21, 2012): 0-1 ($0)
Last Week's Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks (Week 21, 2012): -$400

2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)

2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$5,760)
2012 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 45-50-2, 47.4% (-$2,130)
2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650)
2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)
2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685

1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%)
2000 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 128-123-8 (51.0%)
2001 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 127-122-7 (51.0%)
2002 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%)
2003 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%)
2004 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 157-123-8 (56.1%)
2005 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 156-126-11 (55.3%)
2006 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-135-9 (52.8%)
2007 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$2,550)
2008 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-140-7, 51.4% (+$2,620)
2009 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-124-9, 54.9% (+$3,370)
2010 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$6,080)
2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,925)

2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%)
2003 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-51-2 (50.5%)
2004 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-44-3 (59.6%)
2005 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 77-61-1 (55.8%)
2006 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-61-4 (51.6%)
2007 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 83-59-5, 58.5% (+$4,110)
2008 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-57-3, 43.6% (-$3,510)
2009 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 49-35-3, 58.3% (+$2,260)
2010 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 51-38-4, 57.3% (+$3,180)
2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715)

2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
2003 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 16-13-1 (55.2%)
2004 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-11 (62.1%)
2005 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%)
2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%)
2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420)
2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055)
2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330)
2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790)
2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)

2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)

2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775
2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865
2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200
2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590

2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)
2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640)
2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)
2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)

Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 1,876-1,720-106, 52.2% (+$6,915)
Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 611-545-31 (52.9%)
Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 253-225-7 (52.9%)
Career Over-Under: 1409-1408-42 (50.0%)
Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 22-14-1 (61.1%)
Career NFL Picks of the Month: 24-16 (60.0%)