NFL Picks Against the Spread: Preseason Week 4, 2012

NFL Picks (Preseason 2012): 5-6-1 (-$420)

NFL Picks (2012): 1-2-1 (-$350)
NFL Picks (2011): 137-133-12 (-$1,925)
NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$6,080)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$3,370)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$4,330)
If you don't quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.

Buffalo Bills (0-3) at Detroit Lions (1-2)
Line: Lions by 3.
Thursday, 7:00 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

As I discussed last week, Chan Gailey doesn't care about winning preseason games. Jim Schwartz does, so he may want to finish strong with a victory after losing at Oakland this past weekend.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.

Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


The Trends. Edge: Lions.

Chan Gailey is 3-8 in preseason games.

Chan Gailey is 0-2 in Preseason Week 4 games.

Jim Schwartz is 11-4 in preseason games.

Jim Schwartz is 3-0 in Preseason Week 4 games.


Preseason Week 4 NFL Pick: Lions 26, Bills 13
Lions -3 (3 Units) -- Correct; +$300

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Kansas City Chiefs (1-2) at Green Bay Packers (1-2)
Line: Packers by 1.
Thursday, 7:00 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

Mike McCarthy doesn't give a damn about Week 4 preseason games. I'm not sure if Romeo Crennel does, but he may want to end the exhibition on a high note after getting blown out against Seattle.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.

Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


The Trends. Edge: Chiefs.

Romeo Crennel is 9-10 in preseason games.

Romeo Crennel is 2-2 in Preseason Week 4 games.

Mike McCarthy is 13-14 in preseason games.

Mike McCarthy is 1-5 in Preseason Week 4 games.


Preseason Week 4 NFL Pick: Chiefs 17, Packers 10
Chiefs +1 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220

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New York Jets (0-3) at Philadelphia Eagles (3-0)
Line: Eagles by 5.5.
Thursday, 6:30 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

I cannot believe the Eagles are favored by this much. Andy Reid completely mails in the last preseason game every year, so there's no reason the spread should be this high. Rex Ryan, meanwhile, will want his team to get into the end zone. This is my August NFL Pick of the Month because this line is so ridiculous.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.

Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


The Trends. Edge: Jets.

Rex Ryan is 6-9 in preseason games.

Rex Ryan is 2-1 in Preseason Week 4 games.

Andy Reid is 24-31 in preseason games.

Andy Reid is 3-10 in Preseason Week 4 games.


Preseason Week 4 NFL Pick: Jets 17, Eagles 16
Jets +5.5 (7 Units - August NFL Pick of the Month) -- Incorrect; -$770

---

Carolina Panthers (2-1) at Pittsburgh Steelers (2-1)
Line: Steelers by 3.5.
Thursday, 7:00 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

Mike Tomlin is insane and loves to win these meaningless preseason games. Ron Rivera doesn't seem to care one way or the other. I wish this spread weren't larger than a field goal, but Pittsburgh is still worth a moderately sized wager; Tomlin has won all five of his Week 4 preseason games by 16, 16, 11, 3 and 16 ponts, so odds say that he's going to cover.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.

Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


The Trends. Edge: Steelers.

Ron Rivera is 3-4 in preseason games.

Ron Rivera is 0-1 in Preseason Week 4 games.

Mike Tomlin is 18-6 in preseason games.

Mike Tomlin is 5-0 in Preseason Week 4 games.


Preseason Week 4 NFL Pick: Steelers 19, Panthers 6
Steelers -3.5 (3 Units) -- Incorrect; -$330

Leave a comment Name Comment Verification: click on image to refresh it   Gator Fan 12-25-2011 02:23 pm xxx.xxx.xxx9.12 (total posts: 10) 23     15 We getting any picks from Gator today? Tom 12-25-2011 01:55 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.184 (total posts: 1) 9     8 Sumbody help for da pick tonite confuse Love green bay RIZZO 12-25-2011 01:44 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.187 (total posts: 1) 7     7 Nice pick on the Vikings Money Line! Goose 12-25-2011 01:40 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.250 (total posts: 1) 16     65 Teasers are SUCKER bets, period. Waltersucks 12-25-2011 01:34 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.178 (total posts: 3) 10     7 Tim you sound smart Tim 12-25-2011 12:45 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.121 (total posts: 2) 26     15 I've noticed everybody rips walt but he puts a nice analysis together and gives you his picks...Hes not putting a gun to your head saying you gotta bet this...I've checked out gators picks and blair hattons...Everybody hits once in awhile and not all the time...Losing is a part of gambling...Nobody can sit here and pick every winner to every game...Simply impossible Tim 12-25-2011 12:42 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.121 (total posts: 2) 32     12 Bears do not win tonight...No way...I dont care who they have playing qb they suck...If anything u wanna tease its you tease green bay to cover by 6 and tease the over down to 36 Jacked_Up 12-25-2011 10:23 am xxx.xxx.xxx7.99 (total posts: 4) 19     13 Walt is wrong. The packers 2 offensive lineman are back this week, as well as James Starks. I see an ass whooping of epic proportions, merry christmas chicago. Steve 12-25-2011 10:06 am xxx.xxx.xxx7.82 (total posts: 193) 10     103 www.BlairHattonPicks.com has the NFL game tonight, NBA, and NCAAB picks for todays games! Check them out! Legendary Dynamo 12-25-2011 05:15 am xxx.xxx.xxx6.79 (total posts: 34) 12     17 Split on Saturday. I expected the Cowboys to actually try and win, when Romo went out I just rolled my eyes. Oh well. Tomorrow: Bears +12 (4 units) Teaser: Bears +18 & Under 49 (4 units) I Love the bears tomorrow and the only reason they're not a 5 unit play is I want to see how the Bears newest attempt at QB will work out. Packers will treat this game like week 3 of the pre season. Too many injuries right now not to. Both tackles out makes rodgers a huge liability in the pocket. Not worth the risk. Bears win out right 20-17 samnang 12-25-2011 04:43 am xxx.xxx.xxx.156 (total posts: 1) 11     12 NBA... golden state warriors ScotteW 12-25-2011 12:23 am xxx.xxx.xxx9.12 (total posts: 10) 8     9 Anyone looking at the NBA games tomorrow or know of any good sites like this? kadoka 12-25-2011 12:20 am xxx.xxx.xxx7.59 (total posts: 6) 10     8 Merry Christmas to all kadoka 12-25-2011 12:18 am xxx.xxx.xxx7.59 (total posts: 6) 9     9 I was born and raised in the Chicago area and still live near by.I hate no team more than the bears, they and their fans along with the Chicago media SUCK.Go PACKERS!!! Cubs suck too! dom 12-25-2011 12:17 am xxx.xxx.xxx.110 (total posts: 12) 9     10 Who knew the giants were gonna kill the jets!? Pages: 1 2 ...1003 1004 1005 10061007 1008 1009 ...1475 1476

2013 Fantasy Football Rankings - June 20


2014 NFL Mock Draft - June 18


Charlie's 2014 NFL Mock Draft - June 17


2013 NBA Mock Draft - May 22


NFL Picks - Feb. 3

Note: For legality purposes, this Web site does not promote or advocate gambling. This is solely for entertainment purposes only.

Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 21, 2012): 1-0 (+$100)
Last Week's 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Week 21, 2012): 0-0 ($0)
Last Week's 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Week 21, 2012): 0-0 ($0)
Last Week Over-Under (Week 21, 2012): 0-1 ($0)
Last Week's Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks (Week 21, 2012): -$400

2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)

2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$5,760)
2012 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 45-50-2, 47.4% (-$2,130)
2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650)
2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)
2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685

1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%)
2000 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 128-123-8 (51.0%)
2001 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 127-122-7 (51.0%)
2002 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%)
2003 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%)
2004 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 157-123-8 (56.1%)
2005 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 156-126-11 (55.3%)
2006 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-135-9 (52.8%)
2007 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$2,550)
2008 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-140-7, 51.4% (+$2,620)
2009 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-124-9, 54.9% (+$3,370)
2010 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$6,080)
2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,925)

2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%)
2003 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-51-2 (50.5%)
2004 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-44-3 (59.6%)
2005 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 77-61-1 (55.8%)
2006 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-61-4 (51.6%)
2007 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 83-59-5, 58.5% (+$4,110)
2008 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-57-3, 43.6% (-$3,510)
2009 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 49-35-3, 58.3% (+$2,260)
2010 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 51-38-4, 57.3% (+$3,180)
2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715)

2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
2003 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 16-13-1 (55.2%)
2004 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-11 (62.1%)
2005 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%)
2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%)
2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420)
2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055)
2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330)
2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790)
2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)

2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)

2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775
2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865
2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200
2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590

2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)
2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640)
2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)
2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)

Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 1,876-1,720-106, 52.2% (+$6,915)
Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 611-545-31 (52.9%)
Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 253-225-7 (52.9%)
Career Over-Under: 1409-1408-42 (50.0%)
Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 22-14-1 (61.1%)
Career NFL Picks of the Month: 24-16 (60.0%)