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NFL Picks Against the Spread: Preseason Week 3, 2012



NFL Picks (Preseason 2012): 3-4-1 (-$380)

NFL Picks (2012): 1-2-1 (-$350)
NFL Picks (2011): 137-133-12 (-$1,925)
NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$6,080)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$3,370)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$4,330)
If you don't quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.



Arizona Cardinals (1-2) at Tennessee Titans (1-1)
Line: Titans by 3.

Thursday, 8:00 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

Ken Whisenhunt doesn't put too much stock into these preseason games. He's coming off a win, so maybe he'll take it easy. Mike Munchak, on the other hand, has shown that he cares more. There's not a big sample size though, which is why I'm making this a small play.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.
  • Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Titans.
  • Ken Whisenhunt is 8-15 in preseason games.
  • Ken Whisenhunt is 2-3 in Preseason Week 3 games.
  • Mike Munchak is 4-2 in preseason games.


    Preseason Week 3 NFL Pick: Titans 27, Cardinals 16
    Titans -3 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100






    Philadelphia Eagles (2-0) at Cleveland Browns (2-0)
    Line: Browns by 3.5.

    Friday, 7:30 ET

    The Game. Edge: None.
    Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

    Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

    Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

    ***

    The Eagles just played Monday in what was their dress rehearsal. They'll be sitting their starters. The Browns, as a young team, can't really afford to do that. I think that gives them an edge, especially considering that they're coming off much more rest.


    The Psychology. Edge: None.
    No psychological edge found.


    The Vegas. Edge: .
    Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.
  • Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Browns.
  • Andy Reid is 23-31 in preseason games.
  • Andy Reid is 8-5 in Preseason Week 3 games (3-10 in Week 4).
  • Pat Shurmur is 3-3 in preseason games.


    Preseason Week 3 NFL Pick: Browns 23, Eagles 13
    Browns -3.5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220







    New England Patriots (1-1) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-1)
    Line: Patriots by 6.

    Friday, 7:30 ET

    The Game. Edge: None.
    Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

    Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

    Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

    ***

    The Patriots sat all of their starters Monday night, so they're going to treat this game as their dress rehearsal. Greg Schiano hasn't shown that he cares about preseason contests, so New England might be able to win easily.


    The Psychology. Edge: None.
    No psychological edge found.


    The Vegas. Edge: .
    Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.
  • Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Patriots.
  • Bill Belichick is 29-23 in preseason games.
  • Bill Belichick is 6-6 in Preseason Week 3 games.
  • Greg Schiano is 1-1 in preseason games.


    Preseason Week 3 NFL Pick: Patriots 31, Buccaneers 17
    Patriots -6 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220







    Pittsburgh Steelers (1-1) at Buffalo Bills (0-2)
    Line: Bills by 1.

    Saturday, 7:00 ET

    The Game. Edge: None.
    Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

    Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

    Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

    ***

    Mike Tomlin loves winning preseason games. Chan Gailey doesn't. The one thing keeping me from making this a huge play is that Gailey is 2-0 in Week 3. However, he beat Marvin Lewis and Jack Del Rio in those contests, and those coaches definitely didn't take their matchup as seriously as Tomlin will.


    The Psychology. Edge: None.
    No psychological edge found.


    The Vegas. Edge: .
    Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.
  • Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Steelers.
  • Mike Tomlin is 17-6 in preseason games.
  • Mike Tomlin is 4-1 in Preseason Week 3 games.
  • Chan Gailey is 3-7 in preseason games.
  • Chan Gailey is 2-0 in Preseason Week 3 games.


    Preseason Week 3 NFL Pick: Steelers 26, Bills 20
    Steelers +1 (3 Units) -- Correct; +$300



    Leave a comment

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    GB Paul 11-13-2012 10:51 pm xxx.xxx.xxx5.46 (total posts: 8)
    12     20

    p.s. The Bears still suck!
    GB Paul 11-13-2012 10:48 pm xxx.xxx.xxx5.46 (total posts: 8)
    5     5

    RGIII (v. PHI)or
    Palmer (v. NO)
    PureLock 11-13-2012 10:15 pm xxx.xxx.xxx8.29 (total posts: 98)
    15     11

    Hello Folks,

    For the NBA tonight:

    Portland at Sacramento: 10:00PM

    TOP PLAY: Traiblazers(+2.5) for 20 units

    San Antonia at L.A.Lakers: 10:30PM

    TOP PLAY: Lakers(pk) for 20 units

    As Alway, GLTA
    GURUBALL 11-13-2012 09:35 pm xxx.xxx.xxx6.15 (total posts: 6)
    4     3

    And that's why I don't bet NBA. Hahah ima stick to NFL AND CFL. Tooo many fucccckin games to cap in NBA.
    RaW 11-13-2012 08:21 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.165 (total posts: 3)
    11     3

    Anyone else loving teasers this week? I'm seeing GB,Atl,Pats and a few more great teasers.
    GURUBALL 11-13-2012 07:56 pm xxx.xxx.xxx9.33 (total posts: 261)
    5     4

    LOL @The most ballerish man in the world...SOMETHIN LIKE THAT, PRETTY CLOSE HAHAH

    @JETHRO THANKS BRO.... LETS GET IT AGAIN NEXT WEEK!

    I AM NOT AN NBA GAMBLER BUT I AM PUTTING 5 UNITS ON THE WIZARDS, WE'LL SEE WHAT HAPPENS HA


    GLTA!
    chuckster 11-13-2012 05:04 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.210 (total posts: 309)
    312     38

    Wouldn't Trust Cutler in a big game if he told me..... "Water is wet."
    Dorkbeavis 11-13-2012 04:53 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.246 (total posts: 6)
    4     17

    Again, I only lost one game out of four on Sunday. And it cost me a lot. Because the Mighty Kittens, I mean, the Bears, had ZERO offense. What a joke. How has this team won seven games. I haven't watched them at all this season, except for the highlights. And they looked really tough. Every bet going forward is going to be against the Mighty Kittens. Good defense, but the offense is junior varsity. Bye, bye Kittens, no Super Bowl this year.
    Dorkbeavis 11-13-2012 04:42 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.246 (total posts: 6)
    20     4

    "Bills are 13-8 ATS after playing the New England Patriots since 1999."

    I like to review the stats that might help me make an informed decision. But what the hell is this stat?? How could this possibly have any affect on the next game for the Bills?? It's like, "The Bills are 13-8 after at least 10 players had colonoscopies the week before." (That reminds me, I need to have one.)

    It's good to dig deep, but not this deep! (Pun intended)
    the answer 11-13-2012 04:20 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.158 (total posts: 7)
    6     4

    KU/Mich St. Over 130 - lock it in.
    chuckster 11-13-2012 03:29 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.210 (total posts: 309)
    2     3

    @BD/V: Again agree completely. On Walts NBA site, I posted the Pacers as well for a eight point teaser -1.5. Also put in that same teaser New York +1.5, with one open spot at the moment. Leaning real heavy towards teasing the Total in that Knicks game Up and going Under..for that final third spot. GLTA.
    BigDaddyVladdy 11-13-2012 02:54 pm xxx.xxx.xxx24.6 (total posts: 158)
    14     2

    Been traveling a bit lately, and haven't had time to post over here... Finally back this week for about a week or so, and taking off to cancun for a long deserved vacation.

    In any case, i have an NBA game that realyl stands out today.. Paceers -8 vs Toronto. Toronto is banged up as is, with lowry, fields, and anderson missing the game, and they just played a triple over time game last night. I doubt they'll have the legs to keep up with Pacers in the 2nd half of the game. Hate taking big favorites, but I think this is a great play.

    Pacers -8

    Good luck to everyone,
    BDV
    drew 11-13-2012 02:18 pm xxx.xxx.xxx2.95 (total posts: 1)
    3     8

    please go back to the old way thank you
    chuckster 11-13-2012 01:38 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.210 (total posts: 309)
    3     2

    @GB Paul: (laugh out loud), could not agree more with your post. These QB posers that the Media have "told" us are fantastic QB s is a MYTH. From way back QBDK, Cutler, Romo, are a but a shadow of the "Super six"...or seven if you include Eli Manning. The others (of course) are: in no particular order: Rogers, Brady, Peyton Manning, Brees, Big Ben, Rivers. To be fair there are some promising QB s on the horizon, but for now that's where they are..the horizon. If you have not been "Playing" the above Greats consistently, you are missing out long term. WORSE, if you are consistently "FADING" these quarterbacks you are getting HURT long term. GLTA.
    GB Paul 11-13-2012 12:45 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.182 (total posts: 1)
    29     3

    Rodgers to Cutler, "so...you scored 6 points against the Texans...that's cute. We scored 6 touchdowns!"


    2014 NFL Mock Draft - April 24


    2014 NBA Mock Draft - April 23


    NFL Free Agents - April 22


    2015 NFL Mock Draft - April 17


    Fantasy Football Rankings - March 28


    NFL Picks - Feb. 2




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    My Team-by-Team ATS Record
    This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

    Cowboys: 9-7
    Bears: 7-7
    Bucs: 8-8
    49ers: 8-9
    Eagles: 7-10
    Lions: 11-5
    Falcons: 5-10
    Cardinals: 10-5
    Giants: 7-9
    Packers: 8-8
    Panthers: 8-9
    Rams: 7-9
    Redskins: 9-7
    Vikings: 7-9
    Saints: 13-4
    Seahawks: 9-10
    Bills: 12-4
    Bengals: 8-8
    Colts: 11-6
    Broncos: 8-11
    Dolphins: 11-5
    Browns: 3-13
    Jaguars: 7-8
    Chargers: 11-6
    Jets: 8-8
    Ravens: 9-6
    Texans: 10-5
    Chiefs: 6-11
    Patriots: 10-8
    Steelers: 6-10
    Titans: 5-7
    Raiders: 9-7
    Divisional: 51-44 (2011-12: 90-93)
    2x Game Edge: 14-22 (2011-12: 41-40)
    2x Psych Edge: 35-26 (2011-12: 57-54)
    2x Vegas Edge: 40-38 (2011-12: 89-104)
    2x Trend Edge: 24-23 (2011-12: 48-55)
    Double Edge: 9-10 (2011-12: 17-23)
    Triple Edge: 1-0 (2011-12: 1-1)
    Quad Edge: 0-0 (2011: 0-0)

    2003 Preseason: 3 | 4 | 5
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