NFL Picks Against the Spread: Preseason Week 3, 2012

NFL Picks (Preseason 2012): 3-4-1 (-$380)

NFL Picks (2012): 1-2-1 (-$350)
NFL Picks (2011): 137-133-12 (-$1,925)
NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$6,080)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$3,370)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$4,330)
If you don't quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.

Arizona Cardinals (1-2) at Tennessee Titans (1-1)
Line: Titans by 3.
Thursday, 8:00 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

Ken Whisenhunt doesn't put too much stock into these preseason games. He's coming off a win, so maybe he'll take it easy. Mike Munchak, on the other hand, has shown that he cares more. There's not a big sample size though, which is why I'm making this a small play.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.

Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


The Trends. Edge: Titans.

Ken Whisenhunt is 8-15 in preseason games.

Ken Whisenhunt is 2-3 in Preseason Week 3 games.

Mike Munchak is 4-2 in preseason games.


Preseason Week 3 NFL Pick: Titans 27, Cardinals 16
Titans -3 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100

---

Philadelphia Eagles (2-0) at Cleveland Browns (2-0)
Line: Browns by 3.5.
Friday, 7:30 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

The Eagles just played Monday in what was their dress rehearsal. They'll be sitting their starters. The Browns, as a young team, can't really afford to do that. I think that gives them an edge, especially considering that they're coming off much more rest.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.

Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


The Trends. Edge: Browns.

Andy Reid is 23-31 in preseason games.

Andy Reid is 8-5 in Preseason Week 3 games (3-10 in Week 4).

Pat Shurmur is 3-3 in preseason games.


Preseason Week 3 NFL Pick: Browns 23, Eagles 13
Browns -3.5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220

---

New England Patriots (1-1) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-1)
Line: Patriots by 6.
Friday, 7:30 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

The Patriots sat all of their starters Monday night, so they're going to treat this game as their dress rehearsal. Greg Schiano hasn't shown that he cares about preseason contests, so New England might be able to win easily.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.

Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


The Trends. Edge: Patriots.

Bill Belichick is 29-23 in preseason games.

Bill Belichick is 6-6 in Preseason Week 3 games.

Greg Schiano is 1-1 in preseason games.


Preseason Week 3 NFL Pick: Patriots 31, Buccaneers 17
Patriots -6 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220

---

Pittsburgh Steelers (1-1) at Buffalo Bills (0-2)
Line: Bills by 1.
Saturday, 7:00 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

Mike Tomlin loves winning preseason games. Chan Gailey doesn't. The one thing keeping me from making this a huge play is that Gailey is 2-0 in Week 3. However, he beat Marvin Lewis and Jack Del Rio in those contests, and those coaches definitely didn't take their matchup as seriously as Tomlin will.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.

Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


The Trends. Edge: Steelers.

Mike Tomlin is 17-6 in preseason games.

Mike Tomlin is 4-1 in Preseason Week 3 games.

Chan Gailey is 3-7 in preseason games.

Chan Gailey is 2-0 in Preseason Week 3 games.


Preseason Week 3 NFL Pick: Steelers 26, Bills 20
Steelers +1 (3 Units) -- Correct; +$300

Leave a comment Name Comment Verification: click on image to refresh it   Sharky 01-03-2012 06:27 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.215 (total posts: 42) 9     10 ah walt the broncos are not going to win. they may cover though. broncos can't run or pass on the steelers. Mike 01-03-2012 06:22 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.102 (total posts: 4) 13     11 @Alex: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Danny 01-03-2012 06:13 pm xxx.xxx.xxx3.11 (total posts: 8) 12     24 I think Walt has lost his mind betting 7 units on denver lol ... I actually think they wont even score in the contest unless God makes something happen Alex 01-03-2012 05:59 pm xxx.xxx.xxx1.87 (total posts: 1) 11     25 If Walt's betting the house on Denver, I'm taking Pittsburgh. SloppyJoes 01-03-2012 05:46 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.140 (total posts: 2) 12     11 If all the money is going to the Saints why are u predicting the line to go down 2 points? Another key loss in that game was Fairly. Go back and watch the 1st qter of that game where he played very very well against the best set of g's in the league. Then he re injured his foot. Delmas should also be back. The Smith injury seemed big at the time because he played so well for that split second of the season, but that had more to do with the Panthers and Packers D....he has reverted back to his average self. Not predicting a lions W but i think this team can play with anyone now Here is a gift 01-03-2012 05:43 pm xxx.xxx.xxx0.28 (total posts: 24) 13     19 NFL Playoffs: Hou -3 N.O. -10.5 Atl +3 Pitt -9 dryble 01-03-2012 05:42 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.130 (total posts: 1) 13     13 Don't forget Delmas should be back. Their pass D fell off considerably during his absence. Danny 01-03-2012 05:41 pm xxx.xxx.xxx3.11 (total posts: 8) 10     10 NFL Steelers - 9 This has to be some kind of joke. Not that I think the steelers is a strong bet because the line is so big but 7 units on the broncos is a joke. I love Tebow, his attitude towards the game is incredible. Kid has heart. A) Unfortunately he has 0 playoff experience/ Going up against a veteran QB. B) Everyone has the broncos figured out; stop the run and make them throw the ball. Unfortunately this kid will not be able to do that when going up against the #1 defense for pts allowed (14.2) #1 for yards allowed (271.8) and #1 against the pass (171.9). I see Tebow choking here as this one is for all the marbles constanly playing catch up. No way are the broncos a bet here, let alone a 7 unit selection. On the other hand I like the bengals against the texans. And I feel for the texans because unfortunately yates will not be pulling out the W here. Texans looked like superbowl contenders with shaub in but yates is not shaub. He has struggled ever since he came in. Bengals +3 Under 59 lions/saints Giants -3 Steelers - 7.5 ESPN 01-03-2012 05:36 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.140 (total posts: 2) 10     9 kinda funny(not really) how the cuse scandal doesnt get half the coverage the penn state one did/does. Couldnt have anything to do with Cuse being one of the top broadcasting schools in the country could it? Maybe because 1/4 of our employees are alums from Cuse....na couldnt be. Nice to see school pride over a childs rape Chris 01-03-2012 05:35 pm xxx.xxx.xxx6.69 (total posts: 1) 11     10 From the Marc Lawrence Mid-week newsletter: NFL Wild Card round teams off a straight up loss as a favorite are 20-10-1 ATS. That'd be DEN. I liked them anyways getting +8, just a little extra ammo for the gun. darkside 01-03-2012 05:31 pm xxx.xxx.xxx84.7 (total posts: 1) 11     20 Denver pick of the month? you got to be kidding me? NYTony 01-03-2012 05:25 pm xxx.xxx.xxx8.12 (total posts: 106) 10     10 NFL Playoffs: Hou -3 N.O. -10.5 NY -3 Den +9 That's right, the Denver Tebows will cover! Matt 01-03-2012 05:21 pm xxx.xxx.xxx0.32 (total posts: 6) 15     22 Will someone please create a fake profile and flirt with Aaron already? Walt, I nominate you. Something tells me his naughty questions will be hilarious. Chad 01-03-2012 05:20 pm xxx.xxx.xxx0.66 (total posts: 65) 14     17 @I am da man Well good luck to you sir, but I'm on the opposite side of both your picks. I like Wisconsin tonight. Donkey Puncher 01-03-2012 05:13 pm xxx.xxx.xxx9.50 (total posts: 1) 10     10 walt that is the saddest bunch of fantasy football team names I think I have ever seen in 1 league.. Pages: 1 2 ...985 986 987 988989 990 991 ...1475 1476

2013 Fantasy Football Rankings - May 25


2013 NBA Mock Draft - May 22


2014 NFL Mock Draft - May 21


Charlie's 2014 NFL Mock Draft - May 20


NFL Picks - Feb. 3

Note: For legality purposes, this Web site does not promote or advocate gambling. This is solely for entertainment purposes only.

Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 21, 2012): 1-0 (+$100)
Last Week's 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Week 21, 2012): 0-0 ($0)
Last Week's 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Week 21, 2012): 0-0 ($0)
Last Week Over-Under (Week 21, 2012): 0-1 ($0)
Last Week's Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks (Week 21, 2012): -$400

2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)

2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$5,760)
2012 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 45-50-2, 47.4% (-$2,130)
2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650)
2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)
2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685

1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%)
2000 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 128-123-8 (51.0%)
2001 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 127-122-7 (51.0%)
2002 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%)
2003 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%)
2004 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 157-123-8 (56.1%)
2005 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 156-126-11 (55.3%)
2006 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-135-9 (52.8%)
2007 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$2,550)
2008 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-140-7, 51.4% (+$2,620)
2009 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-124-9, 54.9% (+$3,370)
2010 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$6,080)
2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,925)

2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%)
2003 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-51-2 (50.5%)
2004 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-44-3 (59.6%)
2005 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 77-61-1 (55.8%)
2006 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-61-4 (51.6%)
2007 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 83-59-5, 58.5% (+$4,110)
2008 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-57-3, 43.6% (-$3,510)
2009 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 49-35-3, 58.3% (+$2,260)
2010 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 51-38-4, 57.3% (+$3,180)
2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715)

2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
2003 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 16-13-1 (55.2%)
2004 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-11 (62.1%)
2005 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%)
2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%)
2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420)
2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055)
2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330)
2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790)
2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)

2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)

2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775
2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865
2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200
2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590

2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)
2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640)
2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)
2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)

Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 1,876-1,720-106, 52.2% (+$6,915)
Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 611-545-31 (52.9%)
Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 253-225-7 (52.9%)
Career Over-Under: 1409-1408-42 (50.0%)
Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 22-14-1 (61.1%)
Career NFL Picks of the Month: 24-16 (60.0%)