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NFL Picks Against the Spread: Preseason Week 3, 2012



NFL Picks (Preseason 2012): 3-4-1 (-$380)

NFL Picks (2012): 1-2-1 (-$350)
NFL Picks (2011): 137-133-12 (-$1,925)
NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$6,080)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$3,370)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$4,330)
If you don't quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.



Arizona Cardinals (1-2) at Tennessee Titans (1-1)
Line: Titans by 3.

Thursday, 8:00 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

Ken Whisenhunt doesn't put too much stock into these preseason games. He's coming off a win, so maybe he'll take it easy. Mike Munchak, on the other hand, has shown that he cares more. There's not a big sample size though, which is why I'm making this a small play.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.
  • Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Titans.
  • Ken Whisenhunt is 8-15 in preseason games.
  • Ken Whisenhunt is 2-3 in Preseason Week 3 games.
  • Mike Munchak is 4-2 in preseason games.


    Preseason Week 3 NFL Pick: Titans 27, Cardinals 16
    Titans -3 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100






    Philadelphia Eagles (2-0) at Cleveland Browns (2-0)
    Line: Browns by 3.5.

    Friday, 7:30 ET

    The Game. Edge: None.
    Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

    Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

    Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

    ***

    The Eagles just played Monday in what was their dress rehearsal. They'll be sitting their starters. The Browns, as a young team, can't really afford to do that. I think that gives them an edge, especially considering that they're coming off much more rest.


    The Psychology. Edge: None.
    No psychological edge found.


    The Vegas. Edge: .
    Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.
  • Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Browns.
  • Andy Reid is 23-31 in preseason games.
  • Andy Reid is 8-5 in Preseason Week 3 games (3-10 in Week 4).
  • Pat Shurmur is 3-3 in preseason games.


    Preseason Week 3 NFL Pick: Browns 23, Eagles 13
    Browns -3.5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220







    New England Patriots (1-1) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-1)
    Line: Patriots by 6.

    Friday, 7:30 ET

    The Game. Edge: None.
    Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

    Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

    Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

    ***

    The Patriots sat all of their starters Monday night, so they're going to treat this game as their dress rehearsal. Greg Schiano hasn't shown that he cares about preseason contests, so New England might be able to win easily.


    The Psychology. Edge: None.
    No psychological edge found.


    The Vegas. Edge: .
    Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.
  • Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Patriots.
  • Bill Belichick is 29-23 in preseason games.
  • Bill Belichick is 6-6 in Preseason Week 3 games.
  • Greg Schiano is 1-1 in preseason games.


    Preseason Week 3 NFL Pick: Patriots 31, Buccaneers 17
    Patriots -6 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220







    Pittsburgh Steelers (1-1) at Buffalo Bills (0-2)
    Line: Bills by 1.

    Saturday, 7:00 ET

    The Game. Edge: None.
    Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

    Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

    Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

    ***

    Mike Tomlin loves winning preseason games. Chan Gailey doesn't. The one thing keeping me from making this a huge play is that Gailey is 2-0 in Week 3. However, he beat Marvin Lewis and Jack Del Rio in those contests, and those coaches definitely didn't take their matchup as seriously as Tomlin will.


    The Psychology. Edge: None.
    No psychological edge found.


    The Vegas. Edge: .
    Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.
  • Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Steelers.
  • Mike Tomlin is 17-6 in preseason games.
  • Mike Tomlin is 4-1 in Preseason Week 3 games.
  • Chan Gailey is 3-7 in preseason games.
  • Chan Gailey is 2-0 in Preseason Week 3 games.


    Preseason Week 3 NFL Pick: Steelers 26, Bills 20
    Steelers +1 (3 Units) -- Correct; +$300



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    BIG TIME BRO!!! 02-27-2013 07:32 pm xxx.xxx.xxx0.67 (total posts: 105)
    4     2

    WET SLOPPY WHISTLE WEDNESDAY i have a 3:30 PST game on my card so gonna make it quick

    1. PENN ST +13 (the NITTANY LIONS are not good, as amatter of fact they stink. But they have been playing competitively as of late and for whatever reason they play MICH tough. Just over a week ago they game the WOLVERINES all they cld handle only losing 79-71 @ ANN ARBOR. PSU has lost by a combined 15 pts in their last 3 to IOWA, MICH, and ILL. Thats pretty solid, and i cant find a time where MICH beat PSU on their campus by doubke digits. Tis MICH team hasnt looked sharp in quite a whike and outside of BURKE i feel they are over hyped. MICH is only 2-4 ATS in its last 6 on the ROAD)

    2. PISTONS +7 (this game has already be talked about, just see below. I cant support the WIZ as this high as a favorite as they dont have a good track record, not does the spread seem warranted. I say -4 tops and thats pushing it IMO. DET ML play as i do the "wrinkle ATS and SPRINKLE ML)

    3. GRIZZ/MAVS UNDER 189 (got on this earlier as it was a LEAN, but i felt like the line would only come down and it has. DIRK is still recovering/battling knee probs, and DALLAS isnt really a youthful bunch. Going against the tough D of MEMPHIS is only gonna soell trouble in this BACK-TO-BACK for the MAVS. As they had enough trouble scoring at HOME against the BUCKS)

    4. GEORGIA/VANDY UNDER 111 (Totally missed this on my LEANS this morning. UGA cant score and neither can VANDY. Both play D. The END!!! Another awful dripping PIG. 1st to 50 wins.....that is if anybody even gets there. This will look like a rec leauge school for ages 8-10)

    5. SDSU/NEW MEXICO OVER 131 (should be plenty of scoring as the LOBOS really bring it at HOME in front of their crowd. SDSU is good enough to keep it close within the +5.5 but i tink the LOBOS score lots tonight)

    5-PACK so far. NHL has me torn so i am off of it. GL fellas
    speedy 02-27-2013 07:14 pm xxx.xxx.xxx8.67 (total posts: 3)
    2     2

    i'm leaning on michigan on the road but can't pull the trigger...12.5/13 is a lot of points on the road against a division rivalry and a team that has lost 14 in a row. stupid sh!t happens in these games...the wolverines SHOULD send the lions to the showers for a jerry sandusky type party but will they???

    I also like the over in the UCONN game but didn't play it (as of yet) will wait to see if the line moves any...oh, and the Hoyas have 71% of the money on them minus 1.5 with no line movement. If vegas is giving away money then they will be giving away some of mine to the Hoyas backers. lots of road team action and no movement usually means vegas will be stacking the road team wagers up at the end of the night...

    gl what ever you play
    speedy 02-27-2013 07:07 pm xxx.xxx.xxx8.67 (total posts: 3)
    2     2

    UCONN plus 1.5 too much money on gtwn and no line movement. I like UCONN to step it up at home in a big game for them.

    ML parlay knicks/rockets - both of these teams play well at home but i cant lay big numbers this late in the season

    5 pt teaser nyk -2.5 / rockets -3.5 - like i noted above, i think these numbers are good for the two home teams. nyk have 3 days of rest and houston plays well at home. much more comfortable taking them as smaller home favorites.

    GL Playas
    callmethan 02-27-2013 03:55 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.226 (total posts: 53)
    2     7

    Another winner!

    I am running at 75% over the last 2 months.

    My big Tips are 4/4.


    chuckster 02-27-2013 02:56 pm xxx.xxx.xxx8.76 (total posts: 44)
    4     3

    NBA teaser: GS +16, Mem plus a half, one open spot. NHL Par: Mont/Tor Under 5, Anaheim -125, one open spot. GLTA.
    BIG TIME BRO!!! 02-27-2013 01:48 pm xxx.xxx.xxx0.67 (total posts: 105)
    2     2

    Early LEANS for WET WHISTLE WEDNEDSDAY

    NBA

    GRIZz/MAVS UNDER 189
    PISTONS +7

    NCAA

    PENN ST +13
    PITT -17
    WEST VA PICK EM
    IOWA/PURDUE OVER 133
    NEW MEXICO -5.5
    STANFORD -4

    NHL

    LEAFS ML
    KINGS ML

    GL GENTS
    callmethan 02-27-2013 01:42 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.186 (total posts: 2)
    2     2

    Kempton (uk racing)

    19:00 betdaq handicapp

    FLAMBOROUGH BREEZE WIN
    BIG TIME BRO!!! 02-27-2013 01:37 am xxx.xxx.xxx0.67 (total posts: 105)
    2     2

    Gosh damnit......MY TAINT should be TICKLED PINK!!! Went 2-1-1 on my posyed picks but most of my leans were dead on as they were about 7-3 tonight. Quick recap

    WIN - MAGIC/76ers UNDER 187 (just a bunch of underacheiving pigs playing a pick-up game for millions of dollars. No big deal)

    LOSS - NEBRASKA/WISCONSIN UNDER 113 (WTF drugs did the GINGER JEW and the BADGERS take today??? They made everything. I had NEBRASKA pegged for mid-40's (scored 46 pts) but not in my wildest dreams did i have WISC scoring 44 1st half pts and finishing with 77 for a team total. Simply disgusting)

    PUSH - WAKE/FLA ST. UNDER 138 (didnt look good at half as FSU had a 40-34 lead. Jumped off of FSU -6 for some damn reason tonight. BIG TIME mistake but this game was dripping and should have "came in" like a creampie finishing move by a male pornstar! 74-62 after WF makes a FT with 20 secs left in the game and they foul? Intentionally f'ing fould down 12 with 17 secs left? Get a life you pricks and go find some Sorority skanks to explore from the local campus. Dont do that to me. Naturally FSU hits their 2 FT's pushing me on the total. Damn college pricks)

    WIN - CAPS/CANES UNDER 5.5 (Nice blank job by WSH as they donut hole the CA-CANES 3-0)

    Took some personal plays for a better night, but upset i got hosed on WF/FSU and took off TENN +9 as those pricks won SU and jumped off of the BAMA UNDER which came in rather easily, but still a solid night. Hope all did well. WET MY WHISTLE is ome deck 2morrow GL

    Kurt 02-27-2013 12:21 am xxx.xxx.xxx4.68 (total posts: 3)
    2     2

    Good job big time bro
    You had a great night that's
    Why I follow you. Jethro is another
    Good one. Nice job to him to.

    Now I wish guru 66 would come back
    Kurt 02-27-2013 12:21 am xxx.xxx.xxx4.68 (total posts: 3)
    2     2

    Good job big time bro
    You had a great night that's
    Why I follow you. Jethro is another
    Good one. Nice job to him to.

    Now I wish guru 66 would come back
    chuckster 02-26-2013 11:48 pm xxx.xxx.xxx8.76 (total posts: 44)
    2     2

    Well, Bulls teased to minus a half tonight cost me my fourth straight teaser win. Had to happen sooner or later. Congrats to winners and GLTA.
    chuckster 02-26-2013 11:18 pm xxx.xxx.xxx8.76 (total posts: 44)
    2     2

    Adding San Jose game Under 5.5 in second spot of my Bruin parlay. Just lost my first NHL parlay in four. Had to happen sooner or later. Trying to squeeze out my NBA teaser tonight, but it's gonna be real close. GLTA.
    BIG TIME BRO!!! 02-26-2013 07:30 pm xxx.xxx.xxx8.50 (total posts: 4)
    2     2

    Making it a PIG Day as i love UNDERS

    Magic/76ers Under 187

    wisconsin/nebraska Under 113 (under 100 actually)

    wf/fsu Under 138 (1st meeting was a pig. I like more swine)

    Canes/Caps Under 5.5

    A 4-pack of pig. Gl fellas in a hurry

    chuckster 02-26-2013 04:35 pm xxx.xxx.xxx8.76 (total posts: 44)
    2     2

    One more play in NHL for today: Three team par with Boston -150, two open spots. Good luck to everyone.
    chuckster 02-26-2013 04:10 pm xxx.xxx.xxx8.76 (total posts: 44)
    2     2

    NBA today: Three team eight point teaser with: Orl/Philly Under 196, Bulls minus a half, Mavericks +2.5. Going for 4 straight NBA teasers today, along with going for 4 straight "win-win" NHL parlays. Good luck today folks!


    2013 Fantasy Football Rankings - May 26


    2013 NBA Mock Draft - May 22


    2014 NFL Mock Draft - May 21


    Charlie's 2014 NFL Mock Draft - May 20


    NFL Picks - Feb. 3




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    Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 21, 2012): 1-0 (+$100)
    Last Week's 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Week 21, 2012): 0-0 ($0)
    Last Week's 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Week 21, 2012): 0-0 ($0)
    Last Week Over-Under (Week 21, 2012): 0-1 ($0)
    Last Week's Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks (Week 21, 2012): -$400

    2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)

    2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$5,760)
    2012 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 45-50-2, 47.4% (-$2,130)
    2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650)
    2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)
    2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685

    1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%)
    2000 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 128-123-8 (51.0%)
    2001 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 127-122-7 (51.0%)
    2002 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%)
    2003 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%)
    2004 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 157-123-8 (56.1%)
    2005 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 156-126-11 (55.3%)
    2006 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-135-9 (52.8%)
    2007 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$2,550)
    2008 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-140-7, 51.4% (+$2,620)
    2009 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-124-9, 54.9% (+$3,370)
    2010 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$6,080)
    2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,925)

    2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%)
    2003 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-51-2 (50.5%)
    2004 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-44-3 (59.6%)
    2005 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 77-61-1 (55.8%)
    2006 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-61-4 (51.6%)
    2007 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 83-59-5, 58.5% (+$4,110)
    2008 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-57-3, 43.6% (-$3,510)
    2009 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 49-35-3, 58.3% (+$2,260)
    2010 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 51-38-4, 57.3% (+$3,180)
    2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715)

    2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
    2003 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 16-13-1 (55.2%)
    2004 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-11 (62.1%)
    2005 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%)
    2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%)
    2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420)
    2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055)
    2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330)
    2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790)
    2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)

    2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
    2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
    2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
    2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
    2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
    2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
    2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
    2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
    2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
    2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
    2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)

    2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
    2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775
    2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865
    2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200
    2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590

    2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
    2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)
    2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
    2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640)
    2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)
    2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)

    Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 1,876-1,720-106, 52.2% (+$6,915)
    Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 611-545-31 (52.9%)
    Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 253-225-7 (52.9%)
    Career Over-Under: 1409-1408-42 (50.0%)
    Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 22-14-1 (61.1%)
    Career NFL Picks of the Month: 24-16 (60.0%)



    My Team-by-Team ATS Record
    This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

    Cowboys: 8-8 (W2)
    Bears: 6-10 (L1)
    Bucs: 8-7 (L1)
    49ers: 8-10 (W1)
    Eagles: 8-8 (L1)
    Lions: 8-7 (L2)
    Falcons: 4-12 (L4)
    Cardinals: 11-5 (W3)
    Giants: 6-9 (L6)
    Packers: 7-11 (L1)
    Panthers: 9-7 (W4)
    Rams: 9-7 (L1)
    Redskins: 9-8 (L1)
    Vikings: 6-10 (W1)
    Saints: 7-9 (W2)
    Seahawks: 9-9 (L3)
    Bills: 6-10 (L3)
    Bengals: 8-8 (W1)
    Colts: 9-8 (L2)
    Broncos: 4-13 (L1)
    Dolphins: 9-6 (W1)
    Browns: 7-8 (W1)
    Jaguars: 7-9 (L1)
    Chargers: 7-9 (L1)
    Jets: 8-8 (L1)
    Ravens: 12-8 (W2)
    Texans: 9-7 (W1)
    Chiefs: 8-8 (W2)
    Patriots: 10-7 (W1)
    Steelers: 7-8 (W1)
    Titans: 8-8 (L1)
    Raiders: 6-10 (L1)
    Divisional: 42-50 (2011: 48-43)
    2x Game Edge: 20-18 (2011: 21-22)
    2x Psych Edge: 28-31 (2011: 29-23)
    2x Vegas Edge: 40-49 (2011: 49-55)
    2x Trend Edge: 28-31 (2011: 20-24)
    Double Edge: 6-17 (2011: 11-6)
    Triple Edge: 0-1 (2011: 1-0)
    Quad Edge: 0-0 (2011: 0-0)

    2003 Preseason: 3 | 4 | 5
    2003 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 20 | XXXVIII
    2004 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
    2004 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XXXIX
    2005 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
    2005 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XL
    2006 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
    2006 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLI
    2007 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
    2007 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLII |
    2008 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
    2008 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLIII |
    2009 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLIV |
    2010 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
    2010 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLV |
    2011 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
    2011 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLVI |
    2012 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
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