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NFL Picks Against the Spread: Preseason Week 3, 2012



NFL Picks (Preseason 2012): 3-4-1 (-$380)

NFL Picks (2012): 1-2-1 (-$350)
NFL Picks (2011): 137-133-12 (-$1,925)
NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$6,080)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$3,370)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$4,330)
If you don't quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.



Arizona Cardinals (1-2) at Tennessee Titans (1-1)
Line: Titans by 3.

Thursday, 8:00 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

Ken Whisenhunt doesn't put too much stock into these preseason games. He's coming off a win, so maybe he'll take it easy. Mike Munchak, on the other hand, has shown that he cares more. There's not a big sample size though, which is why I'm making this a small play.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.
  • Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Titans.
  • Ken Whisenhunt is 8-15 in preseason games.
  • Ken Whisenhunt is 2-3 in Preseason Week 3 games.
  • Mike Munchak is 4-2 in preseason games.


    Preseason Week 3 NFL Pick: Titans 27, Cardinals 16
    Titans -3 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100






    Philadelphia Eagles (2-0) at Cleveland Browns (2-0)
    Line: Browns by 3.5.

    Friday, 7:30 ET

    The Game. Edge: None.
    Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

    Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

    Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

    ***

    The Eagles just played Monday in what was their dress rehearsal. They'll be sitting their starters. The Browns, as a young team, can't really afford to do that. I think that gives them an edge, especially considering that they're coming off much more rest.


    The Psychology. Edge: None.
    No psychological edge found.


    The Vegas. Edge: .
    Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.
  • Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Browns.
  • Andy Reid is 23-31 in preseason games.
  • Andy Reid is 8-5 in Preseason Week 3 games (3-10 in Week 4).
  • Pat Shurmur is 3-3 in preseason games.


    Preseason Week 3 NFL Pick: Browns 23, Eagles 13
    Browns -3.5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220







    New England Patriots (1-1) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-1)
    Line: Patriots by 6.

    Friday, 7:30 ET

    The Game. Edge: None.
    Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

    Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

    Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

    ***

    The Patriots sat all of their starters Monday night, so they're going to treat this game as their dress rehearsal. Greg Schiano hasn't shown that he cares about preseason contests, so New England might be able to win easily.


    The Psychology. Edge: None.
    No psychological edge found.


    The Vegas. Edge: .
    Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.
  • Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Patriots.
  • Bill Belichick is 29-23 in preseason games.
  • Bill Belichick is 6-6 in Preseason Week 3 games.
  • Greg Schiano is 1-1 in preseason games.


    Preseason Week 3 NFL Pick: Patriots 31, Buccaneers 17
    Patriots -6 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220







    Pittsburgh Steelers (1-1) at Buffalo Bills (0-2)
    Line: Bills by 1.

    Saturday, 7:00 ET

    The Game. Edge: None.
    Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

    Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

    Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

    ***

    Mike Tomlin loves winning preseason games. Chan Gailey doesn't. The one thing keeping me from making this a huge play is that Gailey is 2-0 in Week 3. However, he beat Marvin Lewis and Jack Del Rio in those contests, and those coaches definitely didn't take their matchup as seriously as Tomlin will.


    The Psychology. Edge: None.
    No psychological edge found.


    The Vegas. Edge: .
    Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.
  • Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Steelers.
  • Mike Tomlin is 17-6 in preseason games.
  • Mike Tomlin is 4-1 in Preseason Week 3 games.
  • Chan Gailey is 3-7 in preseason games.
  • Chan Gailey is 2-0 in Preseason Week 3 games.


    Preseason Week 3 NFL Pick: Steelers 26, Bills 20
    Steelers +1 (3 Units) -- Correct; +$300



    Leave a comment

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    TheBreadMan 09-25-2012 12:12 am xxx.xxx.xxx.206 (total posts: 7)
    6     5

    The monkey picked it at my local bar. Monkey paw ! Follow the monkey ! Everyone got their tab cut in half by the owner !!!....The monkey picks every monday and thursday night .
    BHPicks 09-25-2012 12:10 am xxx.xxx.xxx.126 (total posts: 29)
    4     48

    Another winning night at BHPicks! We have won every week of the NFL Regular Season including going 5-3 in Week 3! In the past 8 nights we have gone 21-8 overall! In the past 16 nights for our Premium Picks we are an AMAZING 33-14-1! We are killing the bookies for the month as we are an OUTSTANDING 53-34-2!!

    PS. We had Packers -3 which should have been a winner! Hopefully the REAL refs will be back soon!
    Spaguetti 09-25-2012 12:10 am xxx.xxx.xxx.253 (total posts: 13)
    11     5

    my only pic of the week, and this happends. I don't like this, i'm not gonna be betting anymore, goodluck guys.
    Jmac 09-25-2012 12:08 am xxx.xxx.xxx.250 (total posts: 229)
    11     5

    That worthless call has nothing to do
    With capping a game just a plain ole
    Crappy call that's it
    theguru66 09-25-2012 12:03 am xxx.xxx.xxx.161 (total posts: 3)
    11     6

    I've watched more football then some of you have been alive and that was the worst call I've ever seen. Hands down. Now you guys know why this handicapping game is so FU*KING hard.

    Wow, I'm speechless
    Jmac 09-24-2012 11:58 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.250 (total posts: 229)
    10     5

    35 years of football
    This is the worst call ever
    To bad the 5 kids weren't
    There to replace them worthless awipes
    Easy call there too much money on
    Green Bay plain and simple
    Conspiracy Poop
    Jmac 09-24-2012 11:53 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.250 (total posts: 229)
    11     7

    I had the under and won
    But I'm a packer fan turrible
    NOIDEA 09-24-2012 11:51 pm xxx.xxx.xxx4.30 (total posts: 107)
    12     5

    IM DONE ENOUGHS ENOUGH PERIOD. NO MORE BETS TILL THE ROOKS ARE OUT.
    Jmac 09-24-2012 11:50 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.250 (total posts: 229)
    11     5

    Boycott these worthless refs
    I hear ya
    dtran 09-24-2012 11:27 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.222 (total posts: 2)
    111     8

    Stupid football, the refs control the gam
    andy w 09-24-2012 11:26 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.111 (total posts: 206)
    14     6

    They should dress the replacement officials in clown costumes.

    Wouldn't make the games any easier to watch, but it'd be a pretty cool fashion statement.
    breezy 09-24-2012 08:37 pm xxx.xxx.xxx4.81 (total posts: 3)
    4     5

    Not 100% confident because Seattle has looked great (losing 20-16 to Arizona in week 1 all of a sudden looks pretty good) and because it's a tough crowd on a cross-country trip. But nonetheless, if you break it down to the bare bones, its the Packers by 3 over the Seahawks. So i'm going with the better team and the much better, more experienced QB.

    Packers -3
    Under 46
    Packers 1Q -.5

    1 unit on each!
    GL to everyone tn!
    Johnny 09-24-2012 08:31 pm xxx.xxx.xxx8.64 (total posts: 15)
    4     8

    Going with GB -3.5 and over 45.5
    1 unit each.
    Guru where you at?
    dtran 09-24-2012 08:25 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.222 (total posts: 2)
    4     8

    1st sea +2.5 2 unit
    1st sea + over 3 unit

    GL to myself
    NOIDEA 09-24-2012 08:16 pm xxx.xxx.xxx4.30 (total posts: 107)
    5     10

    @ EDDYCASH... IF THE LINE HAS MOVED FROM OPENING @3 TO NOW 4... THATS A LARGE MOVE.... HUGH BET IN NEVADA... IM ON G.BAY BUT ON THE M.LINE 450$... OH AND AGAIN I HAVE SENT MY FIVE BOYS AGES 6 8 9 12 AND 15 TO REF THE GAME TONIGHT.


    Fantasy Football Rankings - July 29


    2016 NFL Mock Draft - July 24


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    My Team-by-Team ATS Record
    This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

    Cowboys: 9-7
    Bears: 7-7
    Bucs: 8-8
    49ers: 8-9
    Eagles: 7-10
    Lions: 11-5
    Falcons: 5-10
    Cardinals: 10-5
    Giants: 7-9
    Packers: 8-8
    Panthers: 8-9
    Rams: 7-9
    Redskins: 9-7
    Vikings: 7-9
    Saints: 13-4
    Seahawks: 9-10
    Bills: 12-4
    Bengals: 8-8
    Colts: 11-6
    Broncos: 8-11
    Dolphins: 11-5
    Browns: 3-13
    Jaguars: 7-8
    Chargers: 11-6
    Jets: 8-8
    Ravens: 9-6
    Texans: 10-5
    Chiefs: 6-11
    Patriots: 10-8
    Steelers: 6-10
    Titans: 5-7
    Raiders: 9-7
    Divisional: 51-44 (2011-12: 90-93)
    2x Game Edge: 14-22 (2011-12: 41-40)
    2x Psych Edge: 35-26 (2011-12: 57-54)
    2x Vegas Edge: 40-38 (2011-12: 89-104)
    2x Trend Edge: 24-23 (2011-12: 48-55)
    Double Edge: 9-10 (2011-12: 17-23)
    Triple Edge: 1-0 (2011-12: 1-1)
    Quad Edge: 0-0 (2011: 0-0)

    2003 Preseason: 3 | 4 | 5
    2003 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 20 | XXXVIII
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    2005 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XL
    2006 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
    2006 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLI
    2007 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
    2007 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLII |
    2008 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
    2008 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLIII |
    2009 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLIV |
    2010 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
    2010 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLV |
    2011 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
    2011 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLVI |
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