NFL Picks Against the Spread: Preseason Week 3, 2012

NFL Picks (Preseason 2012): 3-4-1 (-$380)

NFL Picks (2012): 1-2-1 (-$350)
NFL Picks (2011): 137-133-12 (-$1,925)
NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$6,080)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$3,370)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$4,330)
If you don't quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.

Arizona Cardinals (1-2) at Tennessee Titans (1-1)
Line: Titans by 3.
Thursday, 8:00 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

Ken Whisenhunt doesn't put too much stock into these preseason games. He's coming off a win, so maybe he'll take it easy. Mike Munchak, on the other hand, has shown that he cares more. There's not a big sample size though, which is why I'm making this a small play.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.

Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


The Trends. Edge: Titans.

Ken Whisenhunt is 8-15 in preseason games.

Ken Whisenhunt is 2-3 in Preseason Week 3 games.

Mike Munchak is 4-2 in preseason games.


Preseason Week 3 NFL Pick: Titans 27, Cardinals 16
Titans -3 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100

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Philadelphia Eagles (2-0) at Cleveland Browns (2-0)
Line: Browns by 3.5.
Friday, 7:30 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

The Eagles just played Monday in what was their dress rehearsal. They'll be sitting their starters. The Browns, as a young team, can't really afford to do that. I think that gives them an edge, especially considering that they're coming off much more rest.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.

Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


The Trends. Edge: Browns.

Andy Reid is 23-31 in preseason games.

Andy Reid is 8-5 in Preseason Week 3 games (3-10 in Week 4).

Pat Shurmur is 3-3 in preseason games.


Preseason Week 3 NFL Pick: Browns 23, Eagles 13
Browns -3.5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220

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New England Patriots (1-1) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-1)
Line: Patriots by 6.
Friday, 7:30 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

The Patriots sat all of their starters Monday night, so they're going to treat this game as their dress rehearsal. Greg Schiano hasn't shown that he cares about preseason contests, so New England might be able to win easily.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.

Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


The Trends. Edge: Patriots.

Bill Belichick is 29-23 in preseason games.

Bill Belichick is 6-6 in Preseason Week 3 games.

Greg Schiano is 1-1 in preseason games.


Preseason Week 3 NFL Pick: Patriots 31, Buccaneers 17
Patriots -6 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220

---

Pittsburgh Steelers (1-1) at Buffalo Bills (0-2)
Line: Bills by 1.
Saturday, 7:00 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

Mike Tomlin loves winning preseason games. Chan Gailey doesn't. The one thing keeping me from making this a huge play is that Gailey is 2-0 in Week 3. However, he beat Marvin Lewis and Jack Del Rio in those contests, and those coaches definitely didn't take their matchup as seriously as Tomlin will.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.

Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


The Trends. Edge: Steelers.

Mike Tomlin is 17-6 in preseason games.

Mike Tomlin is 4-1 in Preseason Week 3 games.

Chan Gailey is 3-7 in preseason games.

Chan Gailey is 2-0 in Preseason Week 3 games.


Preseason Week 3 NFL Pick: Steelers 26, Bills 20
Steelers +1 (3 Units) -- Correct; +$300

Leave a comment Name Comment Verification: click on image to refresh it   Satan 10-30-2011 03:54 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.126 (total posts: 191) 13     13 thank God Webster didn't try to score on that pick... so far, this underdogs experiment has worked out pretty well for me, and who knows, Indy might sneak in the back door here if they can get an onside... Fade Walt 10-30-2011 03:51 pm xxx.xxx.xxx2.75 (total posts: 22) 28     12 Looks like Walt is going to lose 9 units on the early games. Enough said. Satan 10-30-2011 03:01 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.126 (total posts: 191) 13     12 woo-hoo! T-Jax is startin for Seattle... never thought i'd actually be excited for that, but just watch this line move now... SEA might end up bein favored within a half hour. Satan 10-30-2011 02:57 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.126 (total posts: 191) 13     14 i didn't touch this Cards game, wish i picked them instead of the Colts, though... Baltimore was so obviously looking ahead to Pittsburgh next week... nycsportzfan 10-30-2011 02:36 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.164 (total posts: 6) 11     12 welp, there goes 6units down the tubes for walt with the GIants and Ravens...lol When are these Lines gonna stop going so high? This is the freaking NFL! Just because there is a blowout one week, dosen't mean its gonna always happen! Walt Sucks 10-30-2011 01:35 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.110 (total posts: 7) 16     13 Fade Walt's picks, he is horrible. He will likely lose money again this week, bet on it. Satan 10-30-2011 01:18 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.126 (total posts: 191) 13     13 I went with only dogs for the noon games: Indy+8.5 Minny+3 Rams+13.5 Fins+9.5 At 3:00, I like WAS +4, DET -3, and SEA +1.5 Saw a stat the other day that said it all: there's never been this many teams with a record .500 or better through the first 7 weeks of the season. With the parity this year, obviously ANYTHING can happen, so for this week, I'm experimenting a little with actually GETTING points for once. beamer 10-30-2011 12:59 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.196 (total posts: 2) 14     14 Thanks CLEMSON!!! 5 units on balt 2 units on giants 2 units on Carolina Good luck all Newbie Capper 10-30-2011 12:55 pm xxx.xxx.xxx9.69 (total posts: 1) 12     17 Im going all in with Walt this week. I think this is redemption week.Good Luck all! Gordy 10-30-2011 12:39 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.149 (total posts: 20) 12     11 Lot of sharp money on the fish, I already bet Giants but now not so confident Brenton 10-30-2011 12:32 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.204 (total posts: 2) 11     14 Vikings and over should be a even slugfest. AP is in beast mode saints rams terrible giants miami terrible bills beck and grossman are interception machines lions and under tim teblow had to pull a miracle to beat the crappy dolphins pats brady is the man bengals seahawks blow cowboys phili to inconsistent 49ers under truth 10-30-2011 12:30 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.172 (total posts: 12) 12     12 whats ur picks satan dog killer 10-30-2011 12:25 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.166 (total posts: 3) 13     13 Play Bal big!! Play sea big!! Leans are Cleve..teams off bye are 3-9ats Leans on indi..inflated spread after blow out Lean Stl +15.. team that blow out falls flat on next game. Lean on wash Plus points, pub is all over cam Lean on Hou..Jax falls flat after big win Plus short week to prepare in the road. On top, foster is healthy. Lean on det, teeballs is a fluke Lean on Mia..Nyg got beat at home by sea before and they were the worst team on the road. Silent Reader 10-30-2011 12:24 pm xxx.xxx.xxx9.17 (total posts: 4) 22     14 Balt now down to -11 and still dropping...What is up! @WALT 10-30-2011 12:15 pm xxx.xxx.xxx0.98 (total posts: 1) 20     11 WHERE ARE NFL WEEK 8 SHARPS PICKS??? MAKING MY DECISIONS NOW... GOOD LUCK!!! bird Pages: 1 2 ...1147 1148 1149 11501151 1152 1153 ...1475 1476

2013 Fantasy Football Rankings - June 20


2014 NFL Mock Draft - June 18


Charlie's 2014 NFL Mock Draft - June 17


2013 NBA Mock Draft - May 22


NFL Picks - Feb. 3

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Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 21, 2012): 1-0 (+$100)
Last Week's 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Week 21, 2012): 0-0 ($0)
Last Week's 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Week 21, 2012): 0-0 ($0)
Last Week Over-Under (Week 21, 2012): 0-1 ($0)
Last Week's Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks (Week 21, 2012): -$400

2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)

2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$5,760)
2012 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 45-50-2, 47.4% (-$2,130)
2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650)
2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)
2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685

1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%)
2000 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 128-123-8 (51.0%)
2001 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 127-122-7 (51.0%)
2002 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%)
2003 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%)
2004 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 157-123-8 (56.1%)
2005 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 156-126-11 (55.3%)
2006 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-135-9 (52.8%)
2007 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$2,550)
2008 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-140-7, 51.4% (+$2,620)
2009 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-124-9, 54.9% (+$3,370)
2010 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$6,080)
2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,925)

2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%)
2003 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-51-2 (50.5%)
2004 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-44-3 (59.6%)
2005 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 77-61-1 (55.8%)
2006 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-61-4 (51.6%)
2007 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 83-59-5, 58.5% (+$4,110)
2008 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-57-3, 43.6% (-$3,510)
2009 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 49-35-3, 58.3% (+$2,260)
2010 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 51-38-4, 57.3% (+$3,180)
2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715)

2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
2003 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 16-13-1 (55.2%)
2004 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-11 (62.1%)
2005 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%)
2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%)
2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420)
2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055)
2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330)
2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790)
2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)

2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)

2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775
2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865
2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200
2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590

2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)
2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640)
2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)
2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)

Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 1,876-1,720-106, 52.2% (+$6,915)
Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 611-545-31 (52.9%)
Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 253-225-7 (52.9%)
Career Over-Under: 1409-1408-42 (50.0%)
Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 22-14-1 (61.1%)
Career NFL Picks of the Month: 24-16 (60.0%)