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NFL Picks Against the Spread: Preseason Week 3, 2012



NFL Picks (Preseason 2012): 3-4-1 (-$380)

NFL Picks (2012): 1-2-1 (-$350)
NFL Picks (2011): 137-133-12 (-$1,925)
NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$6,080)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$3,370)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$4,330)
If you don't quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.



Arizona Cardinals (1-2) at Tennessee Titans (1-1)
Line: Titans by 3.

Thursday, 8:00 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

Ken Whisenhunt doesn't put too much stock into these preseason games. He's coming off a win, so maybe he'll take it easy. Mike Munchak, on the other hand, has shown that he cares more. There's not a big sample size though, which is why I'm making this a small play.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.
  • Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Titans.
  • Ken Whisenhunt is 8-15 in preseason games.
  • Ken Whisenhunt is 2-3 in Preseason Week 3 games.
  • Mike Munchak is 4-2 in preseason games.


    Preseason Week 3 NFL Pick: Titans 27, Cardinals 16
    Titans -3 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100






    Philadelphia Eagles (2-0) at Cleveland Browns (2-0)
    Line: Browns by 3.5.

    Friday, 7:30 ET

    The Game. Edge: None.
    Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

    Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

    Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

    ***

    The Eagles just played Monday in what was their dress rehearsal. They'll be sitting their starters. The Browns, as a young team, can't really afford to do that. I think that gives them an edge, especially considering that they're coming off much more rest.


    The Psychology. Edge: None.
    No psychological edge found.


    The Vegas. Edge: .
    Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.
  • Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Browns.
  • Andy Reid is 23-31 in preseason games.
  • Andy Reid is 8-5 in Preseason Week 3 games (3-10 in Week 4).
  • Pat Shurmur is 3-3 in preseason games.


    Preseason Week 3 NFL Pick: Browns 23, Eagles 13
    Browns -3.5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220







    New England Patriots (1-1) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-1)
    Line: Patriots by 6.

    Friday, 7:30 ET

    The Game. Edge: None.
    Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

    Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

    Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

    ***

    The Patriots sat all of their starters Monday night, so they're going to treat this game as their dress rehearsal. Greg Schiano hasn't shown that he cares about preseason contests, so New England might be able to win easily.


    The Psychology. Edge: None.
    No psychological edge found.


    The Vegas. Edge: .
    Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.
  • Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Patriots.
  • Bill Belichick is 29-23 in preseason games.
  • Bill Belichick is 6-6 in Preseason Week 3 games.
  • Greg Schiano is 1-1 in preseason games.


    Preseason Week 3 NFL Pick: Patriots 31, Buccaneers 17
    Patriots -6 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220







    Pittsburgh Steelers (1-1) at Buffalo Bills (0-2)
    Line: Bills by 1.

    Saturday, 7:00 ET

    The Game. Edge: None.
    Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

    Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

    Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

    ***

    Mike Tomlin loves winning preseason games. Chan Gailey doesn't. The one thing keeping me from making this a huge play is that Gailey is 2-0 in Week 3. However, he beat Marvin Lewis and Jack Del Rio in those contests, and those coaches definitely didn't take their matchup as seriously as Tomlin will.


    The Psychology. Edge: None.
    No psychological edge found.


    The Vegas. Edge: .
    Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.
  • Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Steelers.
  • Mike Tomlin is 17-6 in preseason games.
  • Mike Tomlin is 4-1 in Preseason Week 3 games.
  • Chan Gailey is 3-7 in preseason games.
  • Chan Gailey is 2-0 in Preseason Week 3 games.


    Preseason Week 3 NFL Pick: Steelers 26, Bills 20
    Steelers +1 (3 Units) -- Correct; +$300



    Leave a comment

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    GURUBALL 09-29-2012 07:04 pm xxx.xxx.xxx9.33 (total posts: 261)
    13     6

    THANK ME LATER.....

    (WISCONSIN UNDER 51) 25 UNITS
    (OREGON ST. +3) 7 UNITS
    (FRESNIO ST. -7) 5 UNITS

    OFF TO PARTY IT UP IN OAKLAND, BE BACK WITH THE HITTERS TOMORROW.

    GLTA!
    GURUBALL 09-29-2012 06:43 pm xxx.xxx.xxx9.33 (total posts: 261)
    24     16

    WHERE MY HATERS NOW?....

    THATS WHAT I THOUGHT.
    KILLED IT TODAY. HIT 2 PARLAYS TODAY. STR8 STACKIN' LIKE PANCAKES.....5-2 TODAY +37 UNITS FOR THE WEEK...JUS WAITING ON AZ ST. BUT IM SURE THEY COVER...
    LETS KEEP CHUGGIN'....

    GLTA!!

    FUCCC YA HATERSSSSS

    CHUUUUCCCHHHHHH
    Pablo Cruise 09-29-2012 06:19 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.144 (total posts: 3)
    4     6

    Shoulda poste it befor eit went off. :-) Oh well
    Pablo Cruise 09-29-2012 06:17 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.144 (total posts: 3)
    4     5

    My play today is the over in the S Florida game.
    theguru66 09-29-2012 03:51 pm xxx.xxx.xxx1.31 (total posts: 1)
    52     6

    When I saw the over under of the Baylor West Virginia game at 85 I thought why aren't I taking the over?!? Bad no play, they made a new rule for this game, first team to punt loses!!! Hahaha
    GURUBALL 09-29-2012 03:30 pm xxx.xxx.xxx9.33 (total posts: 261)
    13     50

    HAVENT READ THE FORUM IN A BIT. BUT TO THE FAGGG THAT SAYS I HAD A LOSING WEEK WHEN THEY DONT KNOW MY PLAYS LAST WEEK. I HAD SOME LOSES BUT ENDED UP WINNING CUZ MY PATS PLAY.ITS ALL DOCUMENTED. I DONT GIVE A FUCCC BUT WHEN SHUT THAT MOUTH IF YOU DON'T KNOW SHHITT...
    LAUGHIN AT THE DUD WHOP KEEPS POSTING UNDER MY NAME..
    HILARIOUS.....SIMP.

    ANYWAYS, I HAVE A INSIDE INFO PLAY TOMORROW THAT I'M POUNDING LIKE A DIRTY SLLUTT...

    BE PREPARED FOR A BIG PAYDAY THIS WEEK YA'LL. ;0 THANKS ME LATER....
    GURUBALL 09-29-2012 03:14 pm xxx.xxx.xxx9.33 (total posts: 261)
    10     5

    LETS KEEP IT GOING...

    ADDING
    (OHIO ST +2) 20 UNITS
    (OHIO ST UNDER 41.5) 15 UNITS
    (OHIO -23.5) 7 UNITS
    (ARIZONA ST. -2) 5 UNITS

    GLTA!
    CoinFlip 09-29-2012 02:57 pm xxx.xxx.xxx0.90 (total posts: 87)
    4     6

    Walt again you find good reason to avoid a bet, but then over rule your own logic

    "I don't like to lay double digits in divisional matchups this early in the season, so that's the only thing holding me back from making this a huge play. Baltimore should win big."

    the first part plus the short week + all the effort in NE game

    yes they are the better team that should win but 2 cover 12 points was a bit risky, picking BAL as a guess was ok but this game should had been for zero bets
    BHPicks 09-29-2012 02:04 pm xxx.xxx.xxx7.82 (total posts: 193)
    5     11

    FREE PICK:

    Ohio State - Michigan State Under 43

    To read the analysis for this pick go to:
    www.BHPicks.com/freepicks.html

    PREMIUM PICKS:

    Tennessee - Georgia (Spread & OU)
    Texas - Oklahoma State
    Wisconsin - Nebraska
    Oregon State - Arizona

    To purchase these picks go to:
    www.BHPicks.com/premiumpicks.html
    NOIDEA 09-29-2012 01:54 pm xxx.xxx.xxx7.87 (total posts: 4)
    28     9

    SO AFTER LAST NIGHTS G.BAY RIP OFF I WAS SO PISSED I E MAILED BOVADA....THEY REPLYED WITH .... AFTER THE RIP OFF WE WILL KEEP THE MONEY ....BUT... WE WILL DO EVERYTHING POSSIBLE TO MAKE THINGS RIGHT FOR OUR CUSTOMERS... WELL I GOT A 50$ FREE PLAY ...WOOP THE FKKIE DO... SO I PLAYED A 3 TEAM PARLAY M.LINE... PATS. G.BAY AND DENVER TO ALL WIN SRT UP ...IT ONLY PAYS 74$ FOR 50$ BUT ILL USE IT AND LET THE REST OF MY MONEY REST THIS WEEKEND.... SIGNED ....F.U.# 26 HOPE YOU FALL OFF A DONKEY AND GET PISSED ON BY IT....
    GStar 09-29-2012 01:16 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.240 (total posts: 3)
    6     6

    Ok here are my bets for the rest of the weekend:

    Winnipeg -2.5

    San Diego -0.5

    Denver -6.5
    Sanek 09-29-2012 01:09 pm xxx.xxx.xxx1.33 (total posts: 1)
    3     4

    Steven Ditto.What date each year is the schedule nmllaroy released? Is today on par with years past? Just by watching Goodell give his reasoning why he released it sounded fishy to me. Does anyone else think that this might have been a small publicity stunt to make the NFL look like the good guys in trying to be positive about the ongoing mediation? Judges should always be impartial, but America is about perception first and foremost.As asinine as the NFL has been with their demeanor in deciding when to meet, for how long, and with who (decertification), I'm surprised the schedule's matchup dates weren't just all TBA. ;0
    Jmac 09-29-2012 01:05 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.250 (total posts: 229)
    6     6

    Ohio-23
    South Carolina -21
    $$$$
    12th man 09-29-2012 12:08 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.223 (total posts: 17)
    10     6

    @nero
    I dont know who Fitzgerald is, but Bills QB Ryan Fitzpatrick hasnt thrown an INT since the opener and has 8 TD passes since. The Ralph is the ultimate factor in this contest so I dont know about the Pats "winning comfortably."
    GStar 09-29-2012 12:05 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.240 (total posts: 3)
    4     6

    Picked up 2 units on the CFL game but lost of BYU (should have followed my gut).

    For CFL tonight i like Winnipeg -2.5.

    For NFL I'm looking at Chargers -1.5 and maybe Texans -12.5.


    2014 NFL Mock Draft - April 24


    2014 NBA Mock Draft - April 23


    NFL Free Agents - April 22


    2015 NFL Mock Draft - April 17


    Fantasy Football Rankings - March 28


    NFL Picks - Feb. 2




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    Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 21, 2013): 1-0 (+$700)
    Last Week's 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Week 21, 2013): 0-0 ($0)
    Last Week's 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Week 21, 2013): 0-0 ($0)
    Last Week Over-Under (Week 21, 2013): 0-1 ($0)
    Last Week's Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks (Week 21, 2013): +$300

    2013 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-0, 100% (+$3,900)

    2013 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$5,580)
    2013 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 38-42, 47.5% (-$2,890)
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    2013 Season Over-Under: 132-130-5, 50.4% (-$340)
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    1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%)
    2000 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 128-123-8 (51.0%)
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    2002 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%)
    2003 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%)
    2004 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 157-123-8 (56.1%)
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    2006 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-135-9 (52.8%)
    2007 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$2,550)
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    2009 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-124-9, 54.9% (+$3,370)
    2010 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$6,080)
    2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,925)
    2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$5,760)
    2013 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$5,580)

    2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%)
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    2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715)
    2012 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 45-50-2, 47.4% (-$2,130)

    2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
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    2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)
    2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650)

    2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
    2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
    2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
    2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
    2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
    2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
    2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
    2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
    2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
    2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
    2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)
    2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)

    2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
    2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775
    2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865
    2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200
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    2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685

    2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
    2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)
    2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
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    2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)
    2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)

    Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 2,022-1,851-112, 52.2% (+$12,405)
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    Career Over-Under: 1541-1537-46 (50.1%)
    Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 22-14-1 (61.1%)
    Career NFL Picks of the Month: 30-16 (65.2%)



    My Team-by-Team ATS Record
    This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

    Cowboys: 9-7
    Bears: 7-7
    Bucs: 8-8
    49ers: 8-9
    Eagles: 7-10
    Lions: 11-5
    Falcons: 5-10
    Cardinals: 10-5
    Giants: 7-9
    Packers: 8-8
    Panthers: 8-9
    Rams: 7-9
    Redskins: 9-7
    Vikings: 7-9
    Saints: 13-4
    Seahawks: 9-10
    Bills: 12-4
    Bengals: 8-8
    Colts: 11-6
    Broncos: 8-11
    Dolphins: 11-5
    Browns: 3-13
    Jaguars: 7-8
    Chargers: 11-6
    Jets: 8-8
    Ravens: 9-6
    Texans: 10-5
    Chiefs: 6-11
    Patriots: 10-8
    Steelers: 6-10
    Titans: 5-7
    Raiders: 9-7
    Divisional: 51-44 (2011-12: 90-93)
    2x Game Edge: 14-22 (2011-12: 41-40)
    2x Psych Edge: 35-26 (2011-12: 57-54)
    2x Vegas Edge: 40-38 (2011-12: 89-104)
    2x Trend Edge: 24-23 (2011-12: 48-55)
    Double Edge: 9-10 (2011-12: 17-23)
    Triple Edge: 1-0 (2011-12: 1-1)
    Quad Edge: 0-0 (2011: 0-0)

    2003 Preseason: 3 | 4 | 5
    2003 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 20 | XXXVIII
    2004 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
    2004 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XXXIX
    2005 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
    2005 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XL
    2006 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
    2006 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLI
    2007 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
    2007 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLII |
    2008 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
    2008 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLIII |
    2009 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLIV |
    2010 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
    2010 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLV |
    2011 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
    2011 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLVI |
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