NFL Picks Against the Spread: Preseason Week 3, 2012

This is before Walt drop the unit to zero

what i wrote on the 13th
http://walterfootball.com/nflpicks2011_15early.php?1=1&p=8&id=7
"
Week 15 NFL Pick: Cowboys 23, Buccaneers 20

this is so wrong the bucs have NOTHING to play for the cowboys HOWEVER will be playing for their life for the change HOWEVER SMALL of getting into the playoffs etc

lets see who more right on this remember this

Cowboys 34, Buccaneers 10 <--
THIS is how I see it

or take Walt's advise he HAS been stellar all year!

END OF THE SEASON PLAYOFF DYNAMIC WILL COME INTO PLAY"
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and what happen Cowboys 31, Buccaneers 15
better then Walt's 3 point spread

I hope my post saved some people $$$ from taking Walt's advise, cheers

So here's my Sunday card. I hit Atlanta on thursday so going into the weekend up 4 units. Plays as follow.

1) Vikings +7 (5 units)
Have a friend that works at a vegas casino who let me know that the saints are a 95% public fade. Which is why your seeing the line go up. Usually in a game like this you'd expect the sharps to pound the game at 7.5 or higher with the home dog so if your getting it at anything above 7 congratulations. Bottom line is that Vegas rarely will just take it on the ass by that % of bets and the saints are not the same team on the road. AP should be back and the saints secondary is vulnerable. I'll be playing this one heavy.

2) Giants -6.5 (4 units)
You want to talk about a momentum game and you have the giants beating the cowboys. The Redskins are a very popular public game which you see from the line dropping from 7 down to 6.5. Thats a relatively rare line drop. The redskins are a team coming off a crushing defeat against the Pats who the redskins hung in with too the end. Giants D is exponentially better with an equally good offense. Love the Giants here.

3) Lions -1 (2 units)
A two unit play so you won't get a ton of analysis. This is my one public play who I think are on the right side here. Two teams who make a ton of penalties but the raiders are going in the wrong direction and palmer will be disturbed by the pressure the lions are able to apply.

4) All Dog Parlay (this is just for fun so play it if you want but play it small. There are 3 dogs that I really like as outright winners) These are all moneyline plays!!
Denver Broncos
Seattle Seahawks
Sandiego Chargers

Good Luck everyone and I will be playing the late game. I'll post a couple of hours before, I want to watch the reaction of the line a little more.

KC +13.5
CAR + 6.5
CLE +7
SD +2

BAL/SD U 44.5
NO/MIN O 52.5
SEA/CHI U 36

Yeah really I was just trying to help people out and get my site out there. *shrug*

@lolhotdogz

I had a look at your site and impressed to see you picking just over 77%. Don't worry about the thumb bashers. There just jealous bitter people that donate there money to the bookies every week !

take undrr KC .kc , CINCIN, PHILA

Subscribe to my blog for winning picks. Correct on Cowboys tonight and on a big winning streak.

http://lolhotdogz.tumblr.com/

Wow. I was wrong with TB. Glad the under hit.

Praise the football gods that Dallas didn't kick a junk FG at the end of the game there. The under was preserved and I'll be happy to break even

I tell you what, Dallas has tryed there hardest to give it away it the second half

Actually tonight was just a fade the public pick for me. The public cashed in on the Monday and Thursday games so I thought I'd give TB a shot. Oops! I have no idea why vegas would make this game a 7 point spread.

yes I took miami last week but the play of the year was a joke. Dynamo posted philly as his play of the year and I just thought it was funny that he would make any game play of the year let alone a meaningless game like miami vs philly. As for tonight I wonder if you'd actually watch the buccs in previous weeks before you picked them tonight ?

well i think my luck has run out..its ok gambling is bout of life..lol dallas and the over parlay isnt the smartest choices ive done in this world. dammn well isnt the dummes

That said, I do feel the fool for taking Tampa Bay. Now I need the under to hit just to break even. I hope the Bucs don't score all game lol

Wasn't dangers the guy that said Miami over Philadelphia last week was his play of the year?