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NFL Picks Against the Spread: Preseason Week 2, 2012



NFL Picks (Preseason 2012): 1-2-1 (-$350)

NFL Picks (2012): 1-2-1 (-$350)
NFL Picks (2011): 137-133-12 (-$1,925)
NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$6,080)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$3,370)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$4,330)
If you don't quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.



Miami Dolphins (0-1) at Carolina Panthers (0-1)
Line: Panthers by 4.

Friday, 8:00 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

I don't have much for you this week because there are too many unknowns with all of these damn new coaches. Joe Philbin may want to win his first game though. He should be able to do it against Ron Rivera, who is just 1-4 in the preseason. However, there's not much data here, so this is going to be a small play.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.
  • Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Dolphins.
  • Joe Philbin is 0-1 in preseason games.
  • Ron Rivera is 1-4 in preseason games.
  • Ron Rivera is 0-1 in Preseason Week 2 games.


    Preseason Week 2 NFL Pick: Dolphins 23, Panthers 20
    Dolphins +4 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110






    Kansas City Chiefs (1-0) at St. Louis Rams (0-1)
    Line: Chiefs by 1.

    Saturday, 8:00 ET

    The Game. Edge: None.
    Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

    Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

    Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

    ***

    The Rams were embarrassed last Sunday. Jeff Fisher will probably want to secure his first victory as head coach of the Rams.


    The Psychology. Edge: None.
    No psychological edge found.


    The Vegas. Edge: .
    Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.
  • Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Rams.
  • Romeo Crennel is 9-8 in preseason games.
  • Romeo Crennel is 2-2 in Preseason Week 2 games.
  • Jeff Fisher is 31-26 in preseason games.
  • Jeff Fisher is 9-5 in Preseason Week 2 games.


    Preseason Week 2 NFL Pick: Rams 20, Chiefs 17
    Rams +1 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100







    Indianapolis Colts (1-0) at Pittsburgh Steelers (0-1)
    Line: Steelers by 4.

    Sunday, 8:00 ET

    The Game. Edge: None.
    Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

    Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

    Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

    ***

    I don't know what Chuck Pagano wants to do in the preseason, but Mike Tomlin loves winning these meaningless games. He's coming off a loss, so he's probably pissed off.


    The Psychology. Edge: None.
    No psychological edge found.


    The Vegas. Edge: .
    Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.
  • Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Steelers.
  • Chuck Pagano is 1-0 in preseason games.
  • Mike Tomlin is 16-6 in preseason games.
  • Mike Tomlin is 3-2 in Preseason Week 2 games.


    Preseason Week 2 NFL Pick: Steelers 27, Colts 17
    Steelers -4 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220







    Philadelphia Eagles (1-0) at New England Patriots (1-0)
    Line: Patriots by 2.

    Monday, 8:00 ET

    The Game. Edge: None.
    Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

    Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

    Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

    ***

    I normally don't bet on Andy Reid in the preseason, but there's a caveat here. The Eagles will be playing their starters into the third quarter because they can't do that next week. Thanks to a schedule screw-up, Philadelphia takes on the Browns next weekend as well as Week 1 of the regular season. In other words, Reid will be treating this like Week 3 of the exhibition campaign, which is when he usually does very well.


    The Psychology. Edge: None.
    No psychological edge found.


    The Vegas. Edge: .
    Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.
  • Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: None.
  • Andy Reid is 22-31 in preseason games.
  • Andy Reid is 5-7 in Preseason Week 2 games (8-5 in Week 3).
  • Bill Belichick is 29-22 in preseason games.
  • Bill Belichick is 6-6 in Preseason Week 2 games.


    Preseason Week 2 NFL Pick: Eagles 22, Patriots 21
    Eagles +2 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



    Leave a comment

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    JETHRO 11-12-2012 06:30 pm xxx.xxx.xxx7.86 (total posts: 349)
    3     4

    NBA:
    2 UNITS: CHICAGO -3
    DENVER -4.5
    DALLAS -7
    MN/DAL. OVER 191.5

    1 UNIT: MILW. +4
    ATL. +3
    MILW/PHIL UNDER 190.5
    OKC/DET UNDER 195
    ChoMp 11-12-2012 06:28 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.174 (total posts: 1)
    7     3

    Chicago bulls
    Utah jazz
    To the bank 11-12-2012 05:51 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.223 (total posts: 17)
    8     4

    I'd be concerned takin the steelers tonight as "easy money." Vegas slaughtered the public this weekend so you know everyone is gonna try and make up for their loses on tonight's game. don't be surprised with a 21-10 final and a narrow chiefs cover
    Pick leech 11-12-2012 05:40 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.164 (total posts: 40)
    3     8

    I think I'm gonna play a Steeler slaughter and the under (31-3).

    Any of you NBA experts have a game or 2 to recommend to help a degenerate gambler fill out a parlay? Any help would be appreciated and I won't hold it against you if you miss it.

    Good luck tonight.
    theguru66 11-12-2012 05:18 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.164 (total posts: 5)
    4     8

    @zebra

    Game is in Pittsburgh
    bfs 11-12-2012 05:18 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.190 (total posts: 2)
    4     6

    I understand Todd Haley maybe wanting to crush his former team. However, Romeo Crennel was Haley's Defensive Coordinator for a season and will more than likely know his tendencies also. I wouldn't put too much stock in it, seems like a wash to me.
    ZEBRA 11-12-2012 04:58 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.106 (total posts: 16)
    3     8

    Keep it up Walt.............love the 3/4 unit plays this season.

    Also pretty solid in NCAA

    Looking toward PIT and under play. Maybe UNDER KC total. In Yeras past it was a no brainer taking double digits in KC....such a solid home field advantage...NOT THIS SEASON though

    chuckster 11-12-2012 04:57 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.210 (total posts: 309)
    3     5

    Okay, three team 10 point teaser with Pittsburgh -2.5, two open spots. GLTA.
    chuckster 11-12-2012 04:42 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.210 (total posts: 309)
    4     5

    Got first two spots of my NBA 3 tm. eight point teaser last night. Filling third spot with OK City +1.5 tonight. Congrats to all winners and GLTA.
    Mark D 11-12-2012 04:21 pm xxx.xxx.xxx1.64 (total posts: 1)
    17     5

    Low 40's and showers, could be a good night for the under
    theguru66 11-12-2012 04:05 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.164 (total posts: 5)
    127     90

    Good afternoon passengers, I have a few minutes so I'll just do this now before it gets busy. 34-27-3 and we're inching towards 10 over. Let's get to 8 tonight shall we?

    Let's start by saying that as you know, I'm a Steelers fan but believe it or not that helps me handicap them. I am gonna use that tonight as I feel this is a perfect spot for a Steelers blow out. Listen, the Steelers don't play blow out football but tonight I feel that one factor will play a huge factor. That factor is Todd Haley. He was fired by the Chiefs and has a team now that can do some major damage. Not to mention their playing well AND the love playing on Monday Night Football. He is gonna want to crush this team. The Chiefs offense is horrible and I don't see them scoring much. This will probably be a close game early but the Steelers should eventually pull away. This is how I see this game in a short perspective, if the Chiefs score first or lead for the first time all season they might cover but if the Steelers score early and often like 10-0 or 14-0 the Chiefs will go right to sleep. I think the latter is more likely to happen, 33-7 final.

    This line is currently down to 12 1/2, but even at 13 I like it. If you can get that half a point get it.

    Good Luck everyone, tickets please.
    DreDay 11-12-2012 03:53 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.190 (total posts: 1)
    5     7

    Heat Heat Heat play it
    GURUBALL 11-12-2012 03:47 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.147 (total posts: 6)
    13     6

    GOOD TO SEE FOLKS WINNING THIS WEEK!! CONGRATS ALL AND GOOD SHIIIT!! LOOKS LIKE IM BACK TO ABOUT 100 UNITS FOR THE YEAR. CAN'T COMPLAIN .. BRB WID FINAL PLAYS YEEEEEE
    buddyo96701 11-12-2012 03:37 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.161 (total posts: 19)
    4     6

    Walturd, you ugly dog. Keep up the good picks. Riding on your back has given me 2 winning weekends in a row. I refuse to bet on Chiefs tonight so I'm taking the winnings from from a great Sunday morning and regrouping for next week. Don't gloat like a pig when you win and don't cry like a baby when you lose. Oh, by the way you should make Thursdays a no play cuz that is where you really stink as bad as Andy Reid or Rex Ryan. Seriously you need to tighten your Thursdays up a bit.
    GURUBALL 11-12-2012 03:35 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.147 (total posts: 6)
    12     4

    UP ABOUT 45 THIS WEEK! NEEDED THAT 1.
    ON THAT NOTE IMA TAKE THE POINTS TONIGHT...
    LETS KEEP IT UP Y'ALL!! GLTA!
    PAYYYCEE FROM THE WILD WILD WEST..


    2014 NFL Mock Draft - April 24


    2014 NBA Mock Draft - April 23


    NFL Free Agents - April 22


    2015 NFL Mock Draft - April 17


    Fantasy Football Rankings - March 28


    NFL Picks - Feb. 2




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    My Team-by-Team ATS Record
    This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

    Cowboys: 9-7
    Bears: 7-7
    Bucs: 8-8
    49ers: 8-9
    Eagles: 7-10
    Lions: 11-5
    Falcons: 5-10
    Cardinals: 10-5
    Giants: 7-9
    Packers: 8-8
    Panthers: 8-9
    Rams: 7-9
    Redskins: 9-7
    Vikings: 7-9
    Saints: 13-4
    Seahawks: 9-10
    Bills: 12-4
    Bengals: 8-8
    Colts: 11-6
    Broncos: 8-11
    Dolphins: 11-5
    Browns: 3-13
    Jaguars: 7-8
    Chargers: 11-6
    Jets: 8-8
    Ravens: 9-6
    Texans: 10-5
    Chiefs: 6-11
    Patriots: 10-8
    Steelers: 6-10
    Titans: 5-7
    Raiders: 9-7
    Divisional: 51-44 (2011-12: 90-93)
    2x Game Edge: 14-22 (2011-12: 41-40)
    2x Psych Edge: 35-26 (2011-12: 57-54)
    2x Vegas Edge: 40-38 (2011-12: 89-104)
    2x Trend Edge: 24-23 (2011-12: 48-55)
    Double Edge: 9-10 (2011-12: 17-23)
    Triple Edge: 1-0 (2011-12: 1-1)
    Quad Edge: 0-0 (2011: 0-0)

    2003 Preseason: 3 | 4 | 5
    2003 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 20 | XXXVIII
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    2005 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XL
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    2006 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLI
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    2009 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLIV |
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    2010 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLV |
    2011 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
    2011 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLVI |
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