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NFL Picks Against the Spread: Preseason Week 2, 2012



NFL Picks (Preseason 2012): 1-2-1 (-$350)

NFL Picks (2012): 1-2-1 (-$350)
NFL Picks (2011): 137-133-12 (-$1,925)
NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$6,080)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$3,370)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$4,330)
If you don't quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.



Miami Dolphins (0-1) at Carolina Panthers (0-1)
Line: Panthers by 4.

Friday, 8:00 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

I don't have much for you this week because there are too many unknowns with all of these damn new coaches. Joe Philbin may want to win his first game though. He should be able to do it against Ron Rivera, who is just 1-4 in the preseason. However, there's not much data here, so this is going to be a small play.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.
  • Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Dolphins.
  • Joe Philbin is 0-1 in preseason games.
  • Ron Rivera is 1-4 in preseason games.
  • Ron Rivera is 0-1 in Preseason Week 2 games.


    Preseason Week 2 NFL Pick: Dolphins 23, Panthers 20
    Dolphins +4 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110






    Kansas City Chiefs (1-0) at St. Louis Rams (0-1)
    Line: Chiefs by 1.

    Saturday, 8:00 ET

    The Game. Edge: None.
    Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

    Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

    Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

    ***

    The Rams were embarrassed last Sunday. Jeff Fisher will probably want to secure his first victory as head coach of the Rams.


    The Psychology. Edge: None.
    No psychological edge found.


    The Vegas. Edge: .
    Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.
  • Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Rams.
  • Romeo Crennel is 9-8 in preseason games.
  • Romeo Crennel is 2-2 in Preseason Week 2 games.
  • Jeff Fisher is 31-26 in preseason games.
  • Jeff Fisher is 9-5 in Preseason Week 2 games.


    Preseason Week 2 NFL Pick: Rams 20, Chiefs 17
    Rams +1 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100







    Indianapolis Colts (1-0) at Pittsburgh Steelers (0-1)
    Line: Steelers by 4.

    Sunday, 8:00 ET

    The Game. Edge: None.
    Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

    Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

    Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

    ***

    I don't know what Chuck Pagano wants to do in the preseason, but Mike Tomlin loves winning these meaningless games. He's coming off a loss, so he's probably pissed off.


    The Psychology. Edge: None.
    No psychological edge found.


    The Vegas. Edge: .
    Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.
  • Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Steelers.
  • Chuck Pagano is 1-0 in preseason games.
  • Mike Tomlin is 16-6 in preseason games.
  • Mike Tomlin is 3-2 in Preseason Week 2 games.


    Preseason Week 2 NFL Pick: Steelers 27, Colts 17
    Steelers -4 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220







    Philadelphia Eagles (1-0) at New England Patriots (1-0)
    Line: Patriots by 2.

    Monday, 8:00 ET

    The Game. Edge: None.
    Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

    Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

    Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

    ***

    I normally don't bet on Andy Reid in the preseason, but there's a caveat here. The Eagles will be playing their starters into the third quarter because they can't do that next week. Thanks to a schedule screw-up, Philadelphia takes on the Browns next weekend as well as Week 1 of the regular season. In other words, Reid will be treating this like Week 3 of the exhibition campaign, which is when he usually does very well.


    The Psychology. Edge: None.
    No psychological edge found.


    The Vegas. Edge: .
    Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.
  • Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: None.
  • Andy Reid is 22-31 in preseason games.
  • Andy Reid is 5-7 in Preseason Week 2 games (8-5 in Week 3).
  • Bill Belichick is 29-22 in preseason games.
  • Bill Belichick is 6-6 in Preseason Week 2 games.


    Preseason Week 2 NFL Pick: Eagles 22, Patriots 21
    Eagles +2 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



    Leave a comment

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    NOIDEA 09-24-2012 07:41 pm xxx.xxx.xxx4.30 (total posts: 107)
    6     7

    @ BIG BOB I DONT THINK IT WILL BE A BLOW OUT .... BUT I THINK G. BAY WILL GET IT DONE.. AGAIN NO REFS NEEDED. I JUST FLEW UP MY 5 BOYS UP TO REF THIS GAME AGES 6 8 9 12 AND 15 THEY KNOW FOOTBALL ...AS SEEN ON T.V. THELL GET IT RIGHT.
    big bob 09-24-2012 07:26 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.138 (total posts: 1)
    6     49

    You guys are way over thinking this one....gb and over is the bet and its an easy one....84 % are betting gb....normally anything over 80% you best go the other way so the Seattle bettors have a great point if this game was played yesterday....this is MNF and Aaron Rodgers will put at least 35 on the board and the rookie will struggle.....38- 17 green bay
    TheBreadMan 09-24-2012 07:24 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.206 (total posts: 7)
    5     5

    At the bar in a small town where I live , the owner has a pet monkey and the monkey picks one team ,and over or under ,out of a hat every monday night. Tonight he picked Seattle and the under.
    Magoo 09-24-2012 07:05 pm xxx.xxx.xxx4.82 (total posts: 2)
    11     5

    Take seahawks +3.5 and up. This is 2012 not 2011.
    Pablo Cruise 09-24-2012 06:55 pm xxx.xxx.xxx5.44 (total posts: 3)
    4     7

    Haven't posted picks here before but I have been doing pretty well so far this season (hopefully that wasn't the kiss of death).

    @ACE - Roll with the under at 46 in tonight's game.
    NOIDEA 09-24-2012 06:41 pm xxx.xxx.xxx4.30 (total posts: 107)
    5     6

    @ MURF ... THEN DONT PLAY IT... JUST SIT AND WAIT FOR SOMETHING YOU LIKE. OR YOU CAN TAKE THE 3.5 OR GO M LINE HAWKS. ILL STICK WITH WHO I THINK CAN GET TO THE PLAYOFFS AND IN THIS GAME ITS G.BAY.
    NOIDEA 09-24-2012 06:38 pm xxx.xxx.xxx4.30 (total posts: 107)
    5     6

    OH ONE MORE THING .......NO REFS...... NEEDED TONIGHT... LETS PLAY THIS ONE LIKE PLAYIN IN A PARK SOMWHERE.
    Murfdigidy 09-24-2012 06:37 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.247 (total posts: 3)
    5     6

    Im torn, obviously everyone likes GB because they're the better team, but this line is shady, which means go against the public and take Seattle. Im so torn, Nothing kills me more though than taking a team I have zero confidence in to play a sound team like GB on MNF. I mean 80% of money on GB, instincts tell me take Seattle...ugh
    NOIDEA 09-24-2012 06:34 pm xxx.xxx.xxx4.30 (total posts: 107)
    5     12

    @ ACE I COULD SEE THE UNDER. BUT IM GOING TO DO WHAT I ALLWAYS DO AND PLAY WHAT I THINK IS THE BETTER TEAM. IT WILL BE LOUD TONIGHT IN SEATTLE AND ARRON WILL HAVE TO GO WITH HAND SIGNALS. WHEN IT COMES TO THE HAWKS I CAN SEE LYNCH GETTIN HIS BUT I THINK G BAYS D FENCE CAN HANDLE THE WIDE OUTS OF THE HAWKS... CAN WILSON STEP... AND I MEEN THAT AS IN ...COULD YOU GET ME A STEP LATTER... STEP UP... AGAIN G. BAY NEEDS A WIN. I JUST BELEVE WITH JONES IN 2 NIGHT THEY WILL FIND A WAY TO WIN THIS GAME...FINLEY AND G. NELSON WILL STEP UP I HOPE G.L. NO DROPED BALLS TONIGHT G.BAY.
    Consider it done 09-24-2012 06:32 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.110 (total posts: 22)
    7     6

    Wekk 4 picks fellas

    Falcons will destroy Panthaers at home...take 7 pts.

    Chargers are so much better than the chiefs..a point and a half? please take SD

    Bengal are so much better ..a point and a half? please take Cin

    Giants are tough, road tough, super bowl champs.....oh and we get 2 points too?...OK. NY
    vik 09-24-2012 06:28 pm xxx.xxx.xxx4.37 (total posts: 1)
    20     6

    shocked you didn't see the cardinals win coming, with the eagles being so terribly overrated and the cardinals as streaking home dogs.
    Ace 09-24-2012 06:17 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.112 (total posts: 7)
    5     5

    Interesting stats:
    - Aaron Rodgers is 19-13-1 ATS on the road.
    - The Seahawks are 7-2-1 ATS when playing at home on a Monday night.

    My gut tells me to go with GB but I will layoff given that my gut has produced mixed results this weekend (lost with SF and DET, won with KC and NE, push with NYJ).

    I like the under in this game. I think the Seahawks will play ball control, with GB's aerial attack limited due to a hobbled Jennings and a pedestrian running game. Thoughts anyone?
    Shrimp 09-24-2012 06:17 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.141 (total posts: 2)
    8     5

    Seahawks +3.
    Fade Walter.
    Fade the public.
    Cash in.
    NOIDEA 09-24-2012 06:04 pm xxx.xxx.xxx4.30 (total posts: 107)
    14     4

    TELL YOU WHAT IM GOING TO BUY INTO MY OWN PLAN I WONT PLAY ANY MORE N.F.L. GAMES UNTILL THURSDAY ... L.M.F.A.O.
    puzzleboy 09-24-2012 05:58 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.134 (total posts: 1)
    8     25

    take the seahawks tonight. Here's why: everyone else is on the packers.


    2014 NFL Mock Draft - April 16


    NFL Free Agents - April 16


    2015 NFL Mock Draft - April 10


    Fantasy Football Rankings - March 28


    2014 NBA Mock Draft - March 26


    NFL Picks - Feb. 2




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    Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 21, 2013): 1-0 (+$700)
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    My Team-by-Team ATS Record
    This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

    Cowboys: 9-7
    Bears: 7-7
    Bucs: 8-8
    49ers: 8-9
    Eagles: 7-10
    Lions: 11-5
    Falcons: 5-10
    Cardinals: 10-5
    Giants: 7-9
    Packers: 8-8
    Panthers: 8-9
    Rams: 7-9
    Redskins: 9-7
    Vikings: 7-9
    Saints: 13-4
    Seahawks: 9-10
    Bills: 12-4
    Bengals: 8-8
    Colts: 11-6
    Broncos: 8-11
    Dolphins: 11-5
    Browns: 3-13
    Jaguars: 7-8
    Chargers: 11-6
    Jets: 8-8
    Ravens: 9-6
    Texans: 10-5
    Chiefs: 6-11
    Patriots: 10-8
    Steelers: 6-10
    Titans: 5-7
    Raiders: 9-7
    Divisional: 51-44 (2011-12: 90-93)
    2x Game Edge: 14-22 (2011-12: 41-40)
    2x Psych Edge: 35-26 (2011-12: 57-54)
    2x Vegas Edge: 40-38 (2011-12: 89-104)
    2x Trend Edge: 24-23 (2011-12: 48-55)
    Double Edge: 9-10 (2011-12: 17-23)
    Triple Edge: 1-0 (2011-12: 1-1)
    Quad Edge: 0-0 (2011: 0-0)

    2003 Preseason: 3 | 4 | 5
    2003 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 20 | XXXVIII
    2004 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
    2004 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XXXIX
    2005 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
    2005 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XL
    2006 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
    2006 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLI
    2007 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
    2007 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLII |
    2008 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
    2008 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLIII |
    2009 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLIV |
    2010 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
    2010 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLV |
    2011 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
    2011 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLVI |
    2012 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
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