NFL Picks Against the Spread: Preseason Week 2, 2012

NFL Picks (Preseason 2012): 1-2-1 (-$350)

NFL Picks (2012): 1-2-1 (-$350)
NFL Picks (2011): 137-133-12 (-$1,925)
NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$6,080)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$3,370)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$4,330)
If you don't quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.

Miami Dolphins (0-1) at Carolina Panthers (0-1)
Line: Panthers by 4.
Friday, 8:00 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

I don't have much for you this week because there are too many unknowns with all of these damn new coaches. Joe Philbin may want to win his first game though. He should be able to do it against Ron Rivera, who is just 1-4 in the preseason. However, there's not much data here, so this is going to be a small play.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.

Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


The Trends. Edge: Dolphins.

Joe Philbin is 0-1 in preseason games.

Ron Rivera is 1-4 in preseason games.

Ron Rivera is 0-1 in Preseason Week 2 games.


Preseason Week 2 NFL Pick: Dolphins 23, Panthers 20
Dolphins +4 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110

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Kansas City Chiefs (1-0) at St. Louis Rams (0-1)
Line: Chiefs by 1.
Saturday, 8:00 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

The Rams were embarrassed last Sunday. Jeff Fisher will probably want to secure his first victory as head coach of the Rams.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.

Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


The Trends. Edge: Rams.

Romeo Crennel is 9-8 in preseason games.

Romeo Crennel is 2-2 in Preseason Week 2 games.

Jeff Fisher is 31-26 in preseason games.

Jeff Fisher is 9-5 in Preseason Week 2 games.


Preseason Week 2 NFL Pick: Rams 20, Chiefs 17
Rams +1 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100

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Indianapolis Colts (1-0) at Pittsburgh Steelers (0-1)
Line: Steelers by 4.
Sunday, 8:00 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

I don't know what Chuck Pagano wants to do in the preseason, but Mike Tomlin loves winning these meaningless games. He's coming off a loss, so he's probably pissed off.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.

Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


The Trends. Edge: Steelers.

Chuck Pagano is 1-0 in preseason games.

Mike Tomlin is 16-6 in preseason games.

Mike Tomlin is 3-2 in Preseason Week 2 games.


Preseason Week 2 NFL Pick: Steelers 27, Colts 17
Steelers -4 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220

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Philadelphia Eagles (1-0) at New England Patriots (1-0)
Line: Patriots by 2.
Monday, 8:00 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

I normally don't bet on Andy Reid in the preseason, but there's a caveat here. The Eagles will be playing their starters into the third quarter because they can't do that next week. Thanks to a schedule screw-up, Philadelphia takes on the Browns next weekend as well as Week 1 of the regular season. In other words, Reid will be treating this like Week 3 of the exhibition campaign, which is when he usually does very well.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.

Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


The Trends. Edge: None.

Andy Reid is 22-31 in preseason games.

Andy Reid is 5-7 in Preseason Week 2 games (8-5 in Week 3).

Bill Belichick is 29-22 in preseason games.

Bill Belichick is 6-6 in Preseason Week 2 games.


Preseason Week 2 NFL Pick: Eagles 22, Patriots 21
Eagles +2 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200

Leave a comment Name Comment Verification: click on image to refresh it   big ryan 10-30-2011 07:27 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.126 (total posts: 2) 17     11 walt is putrid and so am i......i can't pick a game...Giants are an embarrassment, Ravens out to play with dresses on , and No just gave up since the game was fixed...Pitt who wins nail bitter over indy just killed the pats??? the Nfl is f)%^&ng ridiculous. if your making $ right now you are guessing and lucky as S#&T. there is no way anyone understands this if they are paying attention. The more you watch the less you know. Chavs 10-30-2011 07:26 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.246 (total posts: 1) 29     11 And I thought I had bad days. I've never seen anyone do that bad on a Sunday. Funny thing is I myself like the 'Boys tonight! They should be able to run well and pass dink and dunk all night and win this one straight up. They should be able to contain Vick, maybe force him into bad throws. Tough call either way tonight. MAKIN THAT $$$$$ 10-30-2011 07:25 pm xxx.xxx.xxx0.13 (total posts: 2) 28     10 IF YOUR NOT FADING WALT BY NOW YOUR A FOOL!!! THIS GUY IS AWFUL! KEEP FADING WALT THE REST OF THE YEAR AND WE GONNA KEEP MAKIN THAT $$$$$$$ @McLovin 10-30-2011 07:24 pm xxx.xxx.xxx2.75 (total posts: 22) 17     13 Walt didn't lose them all. He got the 49ers-Browns game right, thanks to a bull**** front-door cover McLovin 10-30-2011 07:24 pm xxx.xxx.xxx5.24 (total posts: 36) 37     11 Correction: I missed the 49ers game. 49ers -9 (3 Units) So he's 1-9 instead on unit selections, and is DOWN about 16 units instead! What is everyone going to buy with their 32 unit surplus from today!? McLovin 10-30-2011 07:20 pm xxx.xxx.xxx5.24 (total posts: 36) 35     13 It looks like Walt is going to lose every 4 pm game that he bet on. Roughly -10 units from 1pm games and now about -9 units from 4 pm games. He's 0-8 for unit selections AND DOWN -19 units. WTG Walt. Congrats to everyone who is fading him and doubling units. You can buy some nice stuff with your winnings now! Satan 10-30-2011 07:20 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.126 (total posts: 191) 16     13 I had Pitt today, and I'm by no means a Pats fan, but DAMN is their schedule BRUTAL! If you look at it, they haven't had a single easy game yet this year (and before you say Miami, that was Week 1, when every team feels like this is their year, and they were on the road in primetime), and it doesn't get any easier until Week 13 vs. Indy. Somebody look at their schedule... they've been pretty impressive. Don't make the "bad luck" excuse again 10-30-2011 07:16 pm xxx.xxx.xxx2.75 (total posts: 22) 16     14 You would have had a winless day if it weren't for that bogus 49ers backdoor cover. THE U 10-30-2011 07:13 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.135 (total posts: 2) 12     10 @SATAN DO THE OVERS TONIGHT Satan 10-30-2011 07:11 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.126 (total posts: 191) 13     12 @Walt better not... actually, when the favorite gets it, it's called a "front door" cover... happened to me yesterday to ruin a nice 8:1 parlay I had going Go Browns!! 10-30-2011 07:10 pm xxx.xxx.xxx2.43 (total posts: 20) 14     13 I want a winless day!! Satan 10-30-2011 07:09 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.126 (total posts: 191) 11     13 looks like San Fran will at least end up w/ a field goal here. Walt better not blame this on bad luck 10-30-2011 07:06 pm xxx.xxx.xxx2.75 (total posts: 22) 16     11 It looks like the 49ers are going to get a backdoor cover. no winners here 10-30-2011 07:01 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.200 (total posts: 4) 14     12 I've never really seen anyone go 0-11. Walt has a chance to make history. Oliver Sudden 10-30-2011 07:01 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.218 (total posts: 2) 13     15 Right now Walt is 0 for 11. That's hard to do, it's like getting them all wrong on a true false test. His trends methods are invalid. If an honest coin was flipped 10 times and came up heads 7 times would you bet on heads the next flip ? In football bettors like to bet trends so the odds makers would have to make heads 4 to 5 and tails 6 to 5. I'll take tails at 6 to 5. Pages: 1 2 ...1143 1144 1145 11461147 1148 1149 ...1475 1476

2013 Fantasy Football Rankings - May 21


2014 NFL Mock Draft - May 21


Charlie's 2014 NFL Mock Draft - May 20


2013 NBA Mock Draft - May 3


NFL Picks - Feb. 3

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Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 21, 2012): 1-0 (+$100)
Last Week's 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Week 21, 2012): 0-0 ($0)
Last Week's 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Week 21, 2012): 0-0 ($0)
Last Week Over-Under (Week 21, 2012): 0-1 ($0)
Last Week's Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks (Week 21, 2012): -$400

2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)

2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$5,760)
2012 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 45-50-2, 47.4% (-$2,130)
2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650)
2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)
2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685

1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%)
2000 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 128-123-8 (51.0%)
2001 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 127-122-7 (51.0%)
2002 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%)
2003 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%)
2004 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 157-123-8 (56.1%)
2005 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 156-126-11 (55.3%)
2006 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-135-9 (52.8%)
2007 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$2,550)
2008 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-140-7, 51.4% (+$2,620)
2009 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-124-9, 54.9% (+$3,370)
2010 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$6,080)
2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,925)

2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%)
2003 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-51-2 (50.5%)
2004 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-44-3 (59.6%)
2005 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 77-61-1 (55.8%)
2006 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-61-4 (51.6%)
2007 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 83-59-5, 58.5% (+$4,110)
2008 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-57-3, 43.6% (-$3,510)
2009 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 49-35-3, 58.3% (+$2,260)
2010 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 51-38-4, 57.3% (+$3,180)
2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715)

2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
2003 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 16-13-1 (55.2%)
2004 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-11 (62.1%)
2005 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%)
2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%)
2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420)
2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055)
2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330)
2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790)
2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)

2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)

2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775
2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865
2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200
2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590

2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)
2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640)
2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)
2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)

Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 1,876-1,720-106, 52.2% (+$6,915)
Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 611-545-31 (52.9%)
Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 253-225-7 (52.9%)
Career Over-Under: 1409-1408-42 (50.0%)
Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 22-14-1 (61.1%)
Career NFL Picks of the Month: 24-16 (60.0%)