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NFL Picks Against the Spread: Preseason Week 2, 2012



NFL Picks (Preseason 2012): 1-2-1 (-$350)

NFL Picks (2012): 1-2-1 (-$350)
NFL Picks (2011): 137-133-12 (-$1,925)
NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$6,080)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$3,370)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$4,330)
If you don't quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.



Miami Dolphins (0-1) at Carolina Panthers (0-1)
Line: Panthers by 4.

Friday, 8:00 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

I don't have much for you this week because there are too many unknowns with all of these damn new coaches. Joe Philbin may want to win his first game though. He should be able to do it against Ron Rivera, who is just 1-4 in the preseason. However, there's not much data here, so this is going to be a small play.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.
  • Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Dolphins.
  • Joe Philbin is 0-1 in preseason games.
  • Ron Rivera is 1-4 in preseason games.
  • Ron Rivera is 0-1 in Preseason Week 2 games.


    Preseason Week 2 NFL Pick: Dolphins 23, Panthers 20
    Dolphins +4 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110






    Kansas City Chiefs (1-0) at St. Louis Rams (0-1)
    Line: Chiefs by 1.

    Saturday, 8:00 ET

    The Game. Edge: None.
    Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

    Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

    Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

    ***

    The Rams were embarrassed last Sunday. Jeff Fisher will probably want to secure his first victory as head coach of the Rams.


    The Psychology. Edge: None.
    No psychological edge found.


    The Vegas. Edge: .
    Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.
  • Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Rams.
  • Romeo Crennel is 9-8 in preseason games.
  • Romeo Crennel is 2-2 in Preseason Week 2 games.
  • Jeff Fisher is 31-26 in preseason games.
  • Jeff Fisher is 9-5 in Preseason Week 2 games.


    Preseason Week 2 NFL Pick: Rams 20, Chiefs 17
    Rams +1 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100







    Indianapolis Colts (1-0) at Pittsburgh Steelers (0-1)
    Line: Steelers by 4.

    Sunday, 8:00 ET

    The Game. Edge: None.
    Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

    Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

    Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

    ***

    I don't know what Chuck Pagano wants to do in the preseason, but Mike Tomlin loves winning these meaningless games. He's coming off a loss, so he's probably pissed off.


    The Psychology. Edge: None.
    No psychological edge found.


    The Vegas. Edge: .
    Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.
  • Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Steelers.
  • Chuck Pagano is 1-0 in preseason games.
  • Mike Tomlin is 16-6 in preseason games.
  • Mike Tomlin is 3-2 in Preseason Week 2 games.


    Preseason Week 2 NFL Pick: Steelers 27, Colts 17
    Steelers -4 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220







    Philadelphia Eagles (1-0) at New England Patriots (1-0)
    Line: Patriots by 2.

    Monday, 8:00 ET

    The Game. Edge: None.
    Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

    Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

    Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

    ***

    I normally don't bet on Andy Reid in the preseason, but there's a caveat here. The Eagles will be playing their starters into the third quarter because they can't do that next week. Thanks to a schedule screw-up, Philadelphia takes on the Browns next weekend as well as Week 1 of the regular season. In other words, Reid will be treating this like Week 3 of the exhibition campaign, which is when he usually does very well.


    The Psychology. Edge: None.
    No psychological edge found.


    The Vegas. Edge: .
    Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.
  • Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: None.
  • Andy Reid is 22-31 in preseason games.
  • Andy Reid is 5-7 in Preseason Week 2 games (8-5 in Week 3).
  • Bill Belichick is 29-22 in preseason games.
  • Bill Belichick is 6-6 in Preseason Week 2 games.


    Preseason Week 2 NFL Pick: Eagles 22, Patriots 21
    Eagles +2 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



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    theguru66 11-07-2012 07:54 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.190 (total posts: 295)
    4     4

    Real real quick with one early NBA play before I write the others. 6-6 so far this season in the Association and obviously that stinks but it's early and it's time to get some distance over .500.

    7:05, In the beginning of the season I was a big fan of the Suns but they have really showed me nothing so far this season. However with how bad they've been playing they are STILL favored against the Bobcats on the road, that should tell you something. I think they get well against a Bobcats team without Henderson who is out 4 to 6 weeks. Ben Gordon and Walker and Sessions could all be the same guy in different uniforms. That's a lot of shots being hosted from everywhere with nothing that exciting in the middle. I think Gortat goes nutty and the Suns win 99-93. Lay the 3.

    Early NBA pick:

    Suns -3

    Good luck and I'll be back in a few with some more.
    Johnny 11-07-2012 07:44 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.242 (total posts: 12)
    4     5

    How do you guys feel about these picks?
    San Antonio -1.5
    Philadelphia 76ers -1.5
    Dorkbeavis 11-07-2012 07:33 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.246 (total posts: 6)
    7     4

    Sorry, one more thing. Mr. Walter is 0-4 in his prognostications involving the Falcons last four games. He always takes the opponent and he always (almost always anyways) loses. I took the Big Birds on a Super Bowl bet before the season and my $50 will net $1,550 once the whistle sounds on the season. Yes, the 'Aints could win, of course, but I'll take the Big Birds less than a field goal against any team. But don't listen to me; I live near Atlanta.
    Dorkbeavis 11-07-2012 07:14 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.246 (total posts: 6)
    5     5

    I forgot to say I covered SEVEN out of eight bets last weekend, so The Great Dorkbeavis has real cred. The only one I lost was Buffalo. I would wax odious on Mr. Walter; however, he did give beneficial insight on a couple of my winners. Can't win 'em all. He did almost scare me away from the Falcons (OK, Mr. Walter should have won that one), but the Birds have flown high most of the year and I keep a cashin' in!! Oh, and I've finally jumped on P. Manning's bandwagon (what is that anyway). Deal with it my brothers. Warning to my colleagues: E. Manning is a perennial dud in Nov., Dec.
    Dorkbeavis 11-07-2012 07:01 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.246 (total posts: 6)
    15     7

    I think Mr. Walter is on the pipe. He doesn't think Indy should be favored over anyone on the road. Do I need to look again or isn't Indy 5-3 and have the Jags won more than ONE game? (Good complex rhetorical question - people can learn from me.) And the Lags don't have Mr. Luck. I agree with him regarding a team that has covered two consecutive times as road dogs; they tend to be over-favored. But I would be more concerned if Indy were playing a team that is at least close to a .500 record. I say Mr. Walter will lose and we will win!!! He gets too buried in his deep stacks of statistical scenarios. Bless his heart.
    BHPicks 11-07-2012 06:40 pm xxx.xxx.xxx5.74 (total posts: 1)
    3     5

    Free Pick:

    76ers -1

    Premium Picks

    Wizards - Celtics
    Bowling Green - Ohio
    omie_g 11-07-2012 05:53 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.134 (total posts: 1)
    8     7

    Solid NBA Pick for Tonight

    As a Toronto native and a Raptors fan, I know that games between Raps and Mavs are usually close. But this is the Raps 4th game in 5 nights and their best player Kyle Lowry won't be playing. I'm taking the Mavs tonight.

    Dallas Mavericks -7
    RetirementPlan 11-07-2012 05:29 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.116 (total posts: 1)
    7     7

    Feedback on these NBA moneyline picks?

    Minnesota
    Houston
    Dallas
    Sacramento
    San Antonio

    $100 5 team parlay
    reddog 11-07-2012 05:05 pm xxx.xxx.xxx8.23 (total posts: 5)
    5     9

    Another good reason to fade the Giants is ; they were given every opportunity to win against the Steelers, the refs did everything possible to try and give them the advantage but eventually, just said to themselves, we did all we can if they cant win with this, than to hell with them. Plus the fact that we are getting 7 pts should make this thev play of the week. I do have to give credit to Mike Tomlin though, he made some great coaching decisions, when he went for the td instead of the kick, he knew that nyg would not be able to get out, and they would get another chance to score a major. Which of course they did.
    JETHRO 11-07-2012 05:00 pm xxx.xxx.xxx7.86 (total posts: 349)
    5     6

    @PURELOCK.
    GOOD PICKS. I LIKE ORLANDO AS A TOP PLAY TONIGHT. AS WIERD AS THE O/U WAS IN THE F.B. GAME LAST NIGHT @ 70+ WITH EVERYONE TAKING THE OVER- TONITES TOTAL CREEPS ME OUT AT 48 LIKE TRYING TO SUCKER EVERYONE INTO AN UNDER. I KNOW B.G. HAS A RELENTLESS DEFENSE AND HAS PLAYED EVERY GAME UNDER, ALL TRENDS EVENTUALLY END AND I THINK IT'S TONITE. B.G./OVER.
    bigtrip 11-07-2012 04:55 pm xxx.xxx.xxx6.11 (total posts: 1)
    6     9

    Vegas did get killed Sunday but wasn't it time for them to give a little back. The public has been slaughtered this year, Vegas is still way ahead.
    PureLock 11-07-2012 04:33 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.218 (total posts: 236)
    5     12

    Adding:

    Memphis at Milwaukee: 8:00PM
    Pick: Bucks(-1) for 6units

    For Football, I put out Bonus for people who like to play parley have some idea that all but I hardly play U/O in football.

    See all you tomorrow, as good luck for tonight all, Peaceeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee
    PureLock 11-07-2012 04:13 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.218 (total posts: 236)
    6     17

    Tuesday was not too bad, could be worst. But from now on I try not to play UNDER/OVER like I did in Football.

    Here is my picks for Wednesday:

    Orlando at Minnesota: 8:00PM
    Pick: Magic(+5.5) for 8units

    Phoenix at Charlotte: 7:00PM
    Pick: Bobcats(+3) for 5units

    San Antonio at L.A.Clippers: 10:30PM
    Pick: Spurs(-1) for 8units

    For College Football: This is crazy line that Vagas giving out, I smell so fishy.....

    Bowling Green at Ohio: 8:00PM
    Pick: BG(+2) for 2units: Bonus: Take:UNDER(48)

    As Alway GLTA
    JETHRO 11-07-2012 04:06 pm xxx.xxx.xxx7.86 (total posts: 349)
    7     4

    WALT, YOU FORGOT TO MENTION THAT THE GIANTS ARE GOING INTO THEIR BYE WEEK SO ANOTHER GOOD REASON TO FADE 'EM.
    JETHRO 11-07-2012 03:58 pm xxx.xxx.xxx7.86 (total posts: 349)
    13     5

    B.G./OHIO
    B.G. 4-1 ATS L5 ON RD IN SERIES
    OHIO 1-5 ATS L6 LINED GAMES
    MAC HOME FAVES 13-8 IN CONF. PLAY
    B.G. ONLY TEAM IN COUNTRY WHERE ALL GAMES UNDER TOTAL AND L5 GAMES NO OPP. HAS SCORED MORE THAN 12 AGAINST THEM. RANK 16TH OR BETTER IN 6 KEY DEFENSIVE CATEGORIES.
    L3 GAMES IN SERIES AVG. 70.7 PPG
    B.G. OFF BYE AND OHIO PLAYING 3RD GAME IN 12 DAYS. THOUGHT TOLEDO WOULD DO IT LAST NIGHT BUT YA'LL WERE RIGHT ABOUT BALL ST. FOR A MAC GAME THOUGHT IT WAS VERY GOOD.


    Fantasy Football Rankings - July 23


    2015 NBA Mock Draft - July 1


    2015 NFL Mock Draft - June 10


    NFL Free Agents


    NFL Picks - Feb. 2




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    Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 21, 2013): 1-0 (+$700)
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    My Team-by-Team ATS Record
    This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

    Cowboys: 9-7
    Bears: 7-7
    Bucs: 8-8
    49ers: 8-9
    Eagles: 7-10
    Lions: 11-5
    Falcons: 5-10
    Cardinals: 10-5
    Giants: 7-9
    Packers: 8-8
    Panthers: 8-9
    Rams: 7-9
    Redskins: 9-7
    Vikings: 7-9
    Saints: 13-4
    Seahawks: 9-10
    Bills: 12-4
    Bengals: 8-8
    Colts: 11-6
    Broncos: 8-11
    Dolphins: 11-5
    Browns: 3-13
    Jaguars: 7-8
    Chargers: 11-6
    Jets: 8-8
    Ravens: 9-6
    Texans: 10-5
    Chiefs: 6-11
    Patriots: 10-8
    Steelers: 6-10
    Titans: 5-7
    Raiders: 9-7
    Divisional: 51-44 (2011-12: 90-93)
    2x Game Edge: 14-22 (2011-12: 41-40)
    2x Psych Edge: 35-26 (2011-12: 57-54)
    2x Vegas Edge: 40-38 (2011-12: 89-104)
    2x Trend Edge: 24-23 (2011-12: 48-55)
    Double Edge: 9-10 (2011-12: 17-23)
    Triple Edge: 1-0 (2011-12: 1-1)
    Quad Edge: 0-0 (2011: 0-0)

    2003 Preseason: 3 | 4 | 5
    2003 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 20 | XXXVIII
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    2005 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
    2005 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XL
    2006 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
    2006 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLI
    2007 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
    2007 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLII |
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    2008 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLIII |
    2009 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLIV |
    2010 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
    2010 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLV |
    2011 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
    2011 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLVI |
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