NFL Picks Against the Spread: Preseason Week 1, 2012

NFL Picks (Preseason 2011): 11-4 (+$1,340)
NFL Picks (Week 1, 2011): 5-9-2 (-$575)
NFL Picks (Week 2, 2011): 6-8-2 (-$1,030)
NFL Picks (Week 3, 2011): 10-5-1 (+$610)
NFL Picks (Week 4, 2011): 7-9 (-$970)
NFL Picks (Week 5, 2011): 9-4 (-$270)
NFL Picks (Week 6, 2011): 5-7-1 (-$1,290)
NFL Picks (Week 7, 2011): 4-8-1 (-$820)
NFL Picks (Week 8, 2011): 3-10 (-$1,145)
NFL Picks (Week 9, 2011): 7-7 (+$695)
NFL Picks (Week 10, 2011): 9-7 (+$490)
NFL Picks (Week 11, 2011): 6-7-1 (-$1,060)
NFL Picks (Week 12, 2011): 7-9 (-$435)
NFL Picks (Week 13, 2011): 11-5 (+$1,000)
NFL Picks (Week 14, 2011): 7-7-2 (-$220)
NFL Picks (Week 15, 2011): 9-6-1 (+$640)
NFL Picks (Week 16, 2011): 7-9 (-$550)
NFL Picks (Week 17, 2011): 7-8-1 (+$315)
NFL Picks (Week 18, 2011): 3-1 (+$1,100)
NFL Picks (Week 19, 2011): 2-2 (-$150)
NFL Picks (Week 20, 2011): 2-0 (+$500)
NFL Picks (Week 21, 2011): 0-1 (-$100)

NFL Picks (2011): 137-133-12 (-$1,925)
NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$6,080)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$3,370)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$4,330)
If you don't quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.

Washington Redskins (0-0) at Buffalo Bills (0-0)
Line: Redskins by 2.
Thursday, 7:00 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

Chan Gailey doesn't care about Week 1 of the preseason. His team has scored 20 points in two contests, including a 42-17 blowout loss to the Redskins in 2010. Washington will want Robert Griffin to gain some confidence, so Mike Shanahan may play him more than Gailey will Ryan Fitzpatrick.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.

Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


The Trends. Edge: Redskins.

Mike Shanahan is 46-22 in preseason games.

Mike Shanahan is 12-5 in Preseason Week 1 games.

Chan Gailey is 3-5 in preseason games.

Chan Gailey is 0-2 in Preseason Week 1 games.


Preseason Week 1 NFL Pick: Redskins 24, Bills 10
Redskins -2 (4 Units) -- Incorrect; -$440

---

Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0) at Philadelphia Eagles (0-0)
Line: Eagles by 1.
Thursday, 7:30 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

Mike Tomlin is one of the most intense coaches in football. He really wants to win these preseason games. Andy Reid, meanwhile, usually doesn't give a damn unless it's Week 3.

UPDATE: I'm dropping this down to one unit because the Eagles may want to win this game for their coach.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.

Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


The Trends. Edge: Steelers.

Mike Tomlin is 16-5 in preseason games.

Mike Tomlin is 4-2 in Preseason Week 1 games.

Andy Reid is 21-31 in preseason games.

Andy Reid is 6-8 in Preseason Week 1 games.


Preseason Week 1 NFL Pick: Steelers 20, Eagles 17
Steelers +1 (1 Unit) -- Push; $0

---

Baltimore Ravens (0-0) at Atlanta Falcons (0-0)
Line: Falcons by 1.5.
Thursday, 7:30 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

I'm adding this pick as of Thursday morning. Mike Smith doesn't care much about the non-Week 3 preseason games; he's a combined 3-9 in Preseason Weeks 1, 2 and 4. John Harbaugh, meanwhile, is 10-2 in exhibition contests the past three years.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.

Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


The Trends. Edge: Ravens.

Joh Harbaugh is 11-5 in preseason games.

John Harbaugh is 3-1 in Preseason Week 1 games.

Mike Smith is 6-10 in preseason games.

Mike Smith 1-3 in Preseason Week 1 games.


Preseason Week 1 NFL Pick: Ravens 23, Falcons 17
Ravens +1.5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200

---

Cleveland Browns (0-0) at Detroit Lions (0-0)
Line: Lions by 3.
Friday, 7:30 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

This will be a small wager. Jim Schwartz loves winning preseason games, so this would be a larger bet if the Browns weren't preparing their rookies for regular-season action.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.

Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


The Trends. Edge: Lions.

Pat Shurmur is 1-3 in preseason games.

Jim Schwartz is 10-2 in preseason games.

Jim Schwartz is 2-1 in Preseason Week 1 games.


Preseason Week 1 NFL Pick: Lions 27, Browns 16
Lions -3 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110

Leave a comment Name Comment Verification: click on image to refresh it   Jay 12-23-2011 12:13 pm xxx.xxx.xxx5.34 (total posts: 3) 14     41 Be sure to check out this weeks NFL key picks and Bowl Game Picks at www.gamblersdiaries.com NickMoney 12-23-2011 10:19 am xxx.xxx.xxx.131 (total posts: 4) 24     15 I have been riding Gator's picks and im greatly appreciative. I even varied my units according to him tier setup he had yesterday which worked to my advantage. Keep them coming gator! waltersucks 12-23-2011 04:39 am xxx.xxx.xxx6.26 (total posts: 77) 13     16 YO GuySmyly walter's goin 2 start betting the nose picking league pick a good 1 walter Waltersucks 12-23-2011 04:22 am xxx.xxx.xxx7.84 (total posts: 1) 22     14 Walter's Dolphins pick of the month is a joke The Dolphins ain't even the pick of the week Take the Patriots 34- Dolphins 21 Yo walter I'll take them 7 units GuySmyly 12-23-2011 03:29 am xxx.xxx.xxx.217 (total posts: 28) 131     85 No offense Walt but your picks have kinda sucked this year....have you ever thought of maybe giving up on the NFL and start betting on the Lingerie Football League (LFL)?? It might look something like this: Seattle Slvts (5-9) at Detroit Dykes (11-3) Line: Dykes by 9.5. Total: 48. Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 15): Dykes -9. Walt's Projected Line (After Week 15): Dykes -9. Saturday, Dec. 24, 1:00 ET The Slvts early season scoring woes were rectified when they hired their new offensive coordinator. But quarterback Clarissa Cl1torus suffered a 4th quarter cameltoe sprain in her last game and it looks like she'll be out for the year. That means the Slvts will have to rely on running back Valerie Vvlva to carry the load. Vvlva is PMSing this week and the last time she had mad cow disease she gashed New York's defense for 182 yards and 2 touchdowns. But don't expect Vvlva to have a very good game against a Dykes' defense that loves to stuff the box. Middle linebacker Stacy Strapon leads the league in tackles so you can count on her to fill the hole. With my luck Strapon will miss a tackle and the Slvts will end with a tight backdoor cover. But no matter how big the spread is the Dykes always seem to lick it. Week 16 LFL Pick: Dykes 34, Slvts 17 Dykes -9.5. (7 units LFL pick of the month} Over 48 (0 units) 1234 12-23-2011 03:26 am xxx.xxx.xxx.217 (total posts: 28) 14     11 TEST Newbie 12-23-2011 01:32 am xxx.xxx.xxx.249 (total posts: 171) 15     29 @Legendary Dynamo: with the miss out of the way, the rest of your picks will hit right? I'm in and waiting to make the bets! MATGEE 12-23-2011 12:25 am xxx.xxx.xxx.227 (total posts: 3) 49     11 WOW, the referees have won just another game tonight, what a debacle b88 12-23-2011 12:17 am xxx.xxx.xxx.217 (total posts: 1) 12     9 @Tom. Packers overrated based on their previous games being unable to cover the spread, Walt wasnt implying their team, he is a capper.. Not sure about his Texans pick, short week visitor has been a solid play to bet against since Thur night football started, plus rookie QB, but that is hindsight. Only decent play for the weekend, CAR, public all over it as I believe they should. Bucs down and out, dont trust their coach, players complacent, Panthers with more to proove with a new coach and rookie QB playing for pride and their job.. eaglesjavi 12-23-2011 12:07 am xxx.xxx.xxx.209 (total posts: 1) 15     10 @Gator Doing an unreal job at picking these games. All I can say is thanks and like Steve said keep 'em coming! I'm not even going to ask where you get all the info but it's clear you know what you're doing. One question after football season is over are you still going to be posting on here? Anyway keep it up and have a great Xmas that goes for everyone! Mike 12-22-2011 11:32 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.198 (total posts: 2) 9     9 Guruball killing us man!!!! 10 min late instead of early this time!!! Good luck* Steve 12-22-2011 11:27 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.100 (total posts: 1) 16     11 @Gator...another great night 5-2. Keep them coming, not sure if anyone else is riding the picks but I am and I appreciate the help. Guruball 12-22-2011 09:10 pm xxx.xxx.xxx39.5 (total posts: 1) 9     142 Plays of the day BOISE ST 15 units HOUSTON 25 units GLTA! #Guruball#49er Mike 12-22-2011 08:40 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.198 (total posts: 2) 12     11 I have following this site for almost five years. Walt is good at picking games although, he is having a bad year! Dynamo and Guruball have been making great picks but they usually post 10 min before game! Good Luck everyone cheers* jb29 12-22-2011 08:35 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.252 (total posts: 1) 11     10 @NYTony, nice copy and paste from predictem.com. I took the colts too though, so GL Pages: 1 2 ...1010 1011 1012 10131014 1015 1016 ...1475 1476

2014 NFL Mock Draft - June 18


Charlie's 2014 NFL Mock Draft - June 17


2013 Fantasy Football Rankings - June 16


2013 NBA Mock Draft - May 22


NFL Picks - Feb. 3

Note: For legality purposes, this Web site does not promote or advocate gambling. This is solely for entertainment purposes only.

Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 21, 2012): 1-0 (+$100)
Last Week's 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Week 21, 2012): 0-0 ($0)
Last Week's 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Week 21, 2012): 0-0 ($0)
Last Week Over-Under (Week 21, 2012): 0-1 ($0)
Last Week's Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks (Week 21, 2012): -$400

2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)

2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$5,760)
2012 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 45-50-2, 47.4% (-$2,130)
2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650)
2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)
2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685

1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%)
2000 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 128-123-8 (51.0%)
2001 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 127-122-7 (51.0%)
2002 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%)
2003 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%)
2004 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 157-123-8 (56.1%)
2005 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 156-126-11 (55.3%)
2006 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-135-9 (52.8%)
2007 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$2,550)
2008 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-140-7, 51.4% (+$2,620)
2009 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-124-9, 54.9% (+$3,370)
2010 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$6,080)
2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,925)

2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%)
2003 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-51-2 (50.5%)
2004 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-44-3 (59.6%)
2005 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 77-61-1 (55.8%)
2006 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-61-4 (51.6%)
2007 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 83-59-5, 58.5% (+$4,110)
2008 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-57-3, 43.6% (-$3,510)
2009 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 49-35-3, 58.3% (+$2,260)
2010 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 51-38-4, 57.3% (+$3,180)
2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715)

2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
2003 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 16-13-1 (55.2%)
2004 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-11 (62.1%)
2005 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%)
2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%)
2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420)
2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055)
2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330)
2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790)
2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)

2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)

2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775
2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865
2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200
2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590

2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)
2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640)
2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)
2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)

Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 1,876-1,720-106, 52.2% (+$6,915)
Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 611-545-31 (52.9%)
Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 253-225-7 (52.9%)
Career Over-Under: 1409-1408-42 (50.0%)
Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 22-14-1 (61.1%)
Career NFL Picks of the Month: 24-16 (60.0%)