NFL Picks Against the Spread: Preseason Week 4, 2011

Hey folks, going with Tampa Bay, Pittsburgh and Col/SJ Under 5.5 in a three team par today. Back in a while with some NBA. Congrats to winners and GLTA.

The money is back baby. Stronger than ever.

1-10 Unit scale

Here are tonights picks:

Hornets -2.5 (3 Units)

I love betting against the Nets. They only look good on the roster. Hornets are playing well, especially at home. Classic public fade here, Nets having 64% of the public opening at +2 and reverse line movement to +2.5. They are 0-6 ATS against southwest division opponents this year.

76ers - 9.5 (4 Units)

Philly really needs a win bad. The started the season nicely but have hit a slump. They have the bulls coming up next. The really really need to get something going here. No better opponent to have than the Magic. They are freefalling even more. The lost of J.J. redick makes Philly look alot stronger. Predicting a blowout on this, high double digits. Orlando is 2-12 ATS against Atlantic Division opponents, 6-20 ATS when playing a team with a losing record, 0-7 ATS when playing a team with a losing record in the 2nd half of the season.

Under 197 Pacers/Warriors (1 Unit)

I think people have forgotten that the Pacers have the best defense in the NBA. The only way the warrios have a shot is to play D themselves. And I think they will. Trends slightly favor the over here, but I am sticking with the under. I think this line is a bit inflated.

Miami Heat -15.5 (2 Units)

Not a big fan of big lines bit I like it here. The Hornets just beat the kings by 15. So why shouldnt Miami? The Kings defensively cannot stop a nosebleed. If LJ and DW come out and play this will be like taking candy from a child.


Timberwolves +1.5 (3 Units)

This team is underated. The play very hard. The suns are in another slump. Rubio is being a great assist man. Pekovic is an absolute monster down low. I just dont see the suns being able to compete in this one offensively. Take the points on this one as I really like the wolves.

GLTA
Sincerely,

The $

Its TICKLE THIS TAINT TUESDAY and here are some LEANS i am working on thusfar.

NBA

NETS +2.5 (NO shouldnt be laying pts against a top 5 EAST team)
CAVS +7 (CHI struggles at HOME. BIG spread)
B-CATS/CLIPPS OVER 198.5 (LAC should be around 110 which means CHA only needs 90)

NCAA

FLA ST -6 (Typical letdown game for WF as they pull the upset of MIAMI. They are awful on the ROAD)

BAMA/AUBURN UNDER 119 (OINK OINK here PIGGY PIGGY)

WISC/NEBRASKA UNDER 113 (more swine please!!!! HUSKERS will be lucky to see the mid 40's when women were "all natural" and had bushes the size of an amazon jungle!)

AIR FORCE -4 (ACADEMY should do work at HOME)

TENN +9 (healthy spread here for a team that struggles on tge ROAD in FLA. TENN just came off a nice road win in 33 OT's against TEX A&M)

I like the HOOSIERS tonight -5. Just hate taking ROAD favorites. Especially of more than a point or 2. I dont expect IU to lose another game in the reg season, as they are sharp right now

NHL

Been struggling in NHL the past few wks and nothing i really like. Maybe BRUINS ML and WILD ML. Both are pretty juicy at -150 though

GL today guys. Gonna try and limit these plays unless i can fin edges to back all my leans

You play this wagering game of ours long enough and two things always come about in a sports season. 1. Your so COLD, you start believing in BAD voodoo, as in where in the past have I ticked off or insulted some dark sorceress??!! 2. For what ever reason you do the same exact preparation (study), and for a unspecified time period.......YOU CAN'T MAKE A BAD BET!!! As in suddenly you have enriched some all powerful God and now Sports wagering borders on some kind of FANTASY DREAM STATE!!! Anyway.. I hit my third NHL Par in a row 15 minutes ago with EDM/Chi game Under 5.5, Chicago wins 3 to 2 in OT. Congrats to all winners and talk to ya'll tomorrow.

@Speedy: Congrats on Hawks and the Wizards. I had both of those and the Wiz/Rap Under 198.5 for yet another NBA teaser win. That's the trifecta!! Hope to make it four teasers in a row tomorrow. Still waiting on my NHL par, but it's looking promising as well. GLTA.

Hawks ml

Wiz plus 5.5

Marquette plus 1.5

Gl playas!

Late games I'm leaning takin 8 for lakers undecided on celtics.

7-1 the past two days......

+7500 units.....$$$$$

NHL: Three team par with Mont/Ott Under 5, Edm/Chi Under 5.5, one open spot. NBA: going for the "trifecta" teaser win play tonight. Hawks +5, Wash (plus the points, waiting for the public to cease their play on Toronto and then I will put those eight points on top of that.) Wash/Tor game, (same deal, as the Public is pushing the Total higher, when their through, I will tease the total eight points higher and go Under. That's it for me folks, good luck out "there" tonight.

Had another good night last night, as another NBA teaser and NHL Par is in the W column. Back in a while if I like anything in basketball or hockey. Congrats to winners and GLTA.

So did we loose guru 66. I hope
Not. I miss him to. I hope we don't lose
Big time bro. I like his picks to.

Yeah been looking for guru . That sucks... Oh well

A few weeks ago there was a real a$$hole posting on here. Very childish and rude. Busting balls and posting 20 times a day filling up each page so you had to scroll thru tons of childish bs to even read posts. He would post in other ppls names so tempers started to flare. We lost a lot of good ppl that week. Damn shame. I hope they eventually come back.

Ducks coach playing his B goalie tonight...Friggin MORON!! Glad I waited, this is a no play for me now. GLTA tonight.

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