NFL Picks Against the Spread: Preseason Week 4, 2011

@Gordy

It dig strike me as odd that Walter was big on big favorites.

I don't blame him though. He's been losing. You can't knock him for trying to think a lil different. I think it actually shows how bad his luck(or should I say timing) has been since it really backfired on him this week.

Walter is just struggling with his picks like everyone else does at one point.

@Gordy,

good points made. Walt opened my eyes to a lot of angles and trends that usually get overlooked by the "square" bettor, and his picks have indeed made me money in the past. but this year it seems like he's really puttin way too much stock into that kinda stuff, and with the crazy lock-shortened offseason, it's almost become like each week is its own season now. past trends are useless in this upside down year.

The only plays of Walts that I thought were questionable were laying double digits with the Ravens and Giants for 3 units each, He rarely ever in 7 years has bet heavily on DD faves, not sure why you would switch your strategy now, I was also surprised to see he was on GB for 4 units last week. I know its easy to go back and question things now but going away from your own strategy after 7 years kinda shows where his confidence is at right now as a capper. Also takes his Game of Month down to a 3 unit play, if you werent confident in them for 6 units then why he play it at 3 units? Why play it all

This game's been a bowl of turd punch... gonna have a night cap and spill some thoughts on Week 9. I'll stick around for feedback til I'm sure I won't lose my fantasy matchup, which is in serious jeopardy of happening after that BS Romo bomb.

ATL -7 @ IND (get your bets in now)

NO -7.5 v TB (obvious revenge game, deflated line cuz of NO's stinker today, TB is a young team and a prime candidate to "spoil" their bye week)

NYJ +1.5 @ BUF (could/should be a great game, but comin off a bye I don' t think Rex is ready to pass the torch yet to the next up-and-coming team in that division)

WAS +3.5 v SF (Sf traveling west-to-east yet again; Shanahan just got shut out today for the first time ever as coach; last-gasp chance for Washington to remain in division race; i gotta be right sooner or later about the 'skins as my underdog pick)

TEN -3 v CIN (i like that the Titans appear ready to give Javon Ringer more playin time, plus they'll be rested and prepared all week playin a 2nd home game in a row while cincy has to travel all the way back home from the west coast tonight, and then travel again to ohio for the game)

NYG +9 @ NE (dawned on me today that the pats have had the most relentless schedule in the league, and after this game they have the Jets rematch in NY. NYG's been far from impressive, but they can cover 9 against a patriots team that seems to be gettin somewhat worn out if you ask me)

PIT -3.5 v BAL (big-time revenge game if there ever was one, this line might grow to a TD by week's end. the ravens' offense right now is basically either Rice up the gut or back-shoulder fade to Boldin, and neither of those plays are gonna work against the Steelers)

Got smashed this week

He's down what, $1,000 now for the week? $1,100?

Walt is actually down more than 4G's but he doesnt include all of his losses. Eventually, I guess, he hopes we will lose track.

Hey Chris, if Walt said jump off the bridge would you do it? He's ICE COLD. Every week has been the same. When are you going to wake up??

Looks like its cat food again this week, THANKS WALT. Took it in the A$$ like a champ again. But next week you'll snap out of it right?

okay .. seeing Don Rickles and Joe Pesci in a commercial was the highlight of my Football Sunday. How sad is that?

We are almost halfway done Walter and your down 4gs plus. What happened?

I will stay with Walt, becuase one week he will win all the games and I could have a chance on winning a big pool . only need 1 week to get my money back. $2000 or more if I win a week. so keep up the great job. if you like to beat go against walt next week. you might win big time then. or go somewhere eles for your picks.

It's early, and the only game he's gotten right so far was a product of a bull**** front-door cover

Looks like Walt will hit on the Eagles game too.

@ajl,

yea, dude seems to have everything figured out... except for the part where he gets his own web address right.

it's early but looks like i was right about philly so far... they're definitely havin their best game of the year so far. over should be a lock at this rate, too, cuz it's not like the C-boys are just gonna be shut down.