NFL Picks Against the Spread: Preseason Week 3, 2011

NFL Picks (Preseason 2011): 5-1 (+$420)

NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$6,080)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$3,370)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$4,330)
If you don't quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.

Green Bay Packers (1-1) at Indianapolis Colts (0-2)
Line: Packers by 9.
Friday, 8:00 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

This line looks crazy, but it can be justified. The Colts don't give a damn about preseason games. In fact, they battled the Packers in Week 3 of the exhibition last year. Green Bay rolled, 59-24.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.

Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


The Trends. Edge: Packers.

Mike McCarthy is 10-12 in preseason games.

Jim Caldwell is 1-9 in preseason games.


Preseason Week 3 NFL Pick: Packers 38, Colts 10
Packers -9 (4 Units) -- Incorrect; -$440
Packers 24, Colts 21

---

St. Louis Rams (2-0) at Kansas City Chiefs (0-2)
Line: Rams by 2.5.
Friday, 8:00 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

Preseason games are beneath Todd Haley, who has an abysmal 1-9 record in exhibition contests. Steve Spagnuolo, meanwhile, is a solid 8-2.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.

Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


The Trends. Edge: Rams.

Steve Spagnuolo is 8-2 in preseason games.

Steve Spagnuolo is 2-0 in Preseason Week 2 games.

Todd Haley is 1-9 in preseason games.


Preseason Week 3 NFL Pick: Rams 24, Chiefs 17
Rams -2.5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200
Rams 14, Chiefs 10

---

Miami Dolphins (2-0) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-1)
Line: Buccaneers by 4.5.
Saturday, 7:30 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

Raheem Morris is pissed about getting debacled by the Patriots, but I'm still taking the points. Tony Sparano (11-3) really cares about winning preseason games. Morris (4-6), not so much.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.

Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


The Trends. Edge: Dolphins.

Tony Sparano is 11-3 in preseason games.

Raheem Morris is 4-6 in preseason games.


Preseason Week 3 NFL Pick: Dolphins 23, Buccaneers 20
Dolphins +4.5 (3 Units) -- Correct; +$300
Buccaneers 17, Dolphins 13

Leave a comment Name Comment Verification: click on image to refresh it   Blair 01-01-2012 09:47 pm xxx.xxx.xxx7.82 (total posts: 193) 20     11 @WalterSucks: Giants/Cowboys line opened at -1 and that's when I put my 5 Units on it! I hop on my games early, not last minute! Calling someone a dumbs when you obviously don't watch the lines is uncalled for! Question 01-01-2012 09:37 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.196 (total posts: 2) 13     10 Curious...what number did you guys get for the Titans/Texans game? Something fishy going on with my guy. I would REALLY appreciate it if you'd post what you got on that one. I got them at +1....ALLEDGEDLY!! Lol! Mike 01-01-2012 09:28 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.124 (total posts: 1) 11     10 Are you going to parlay them Guru??? Guruball 01-01-2012 09:25 pm xxx.xxx.xxx62.7 (total posts: 46) 16     15 5-6 for today but still up for the day. Shouldnt have went against Walters top plays... All good.. Winners tonight for sure... PLAYS OF THE DAY OVER 48 25 units NYG -3 15 units GLTA! #Guruball#49er Waltersucks 01-01-2012 09:15 pm xxx.xxx.xxx6.41 (total posts: 9) 65     38 Just put 1 u on gmen -3 Waltersucks 01-01-2012 09:06 pm xxx.xxx.xxx6.41 (total posts: 9) 84     284 Cainer if it's a real site f-ing update it and if you talked to me like that face to face I would smack you dude you never fight in your life like I said blairhattonpick got the line at -1 f-ing dumb a s s it's -3 FUqer 01-01-2012 09:03 pm xxx.xxx.xxx3.94 (total posts: 63) 14     12 only one team lost out of the top 7 publicly backed teams.. I picked the Giants in this one, but you almost have to go with the Cowboys. Out of the few years I have been tracking, I have never seen a week, where only one team out of the top 7 publicly backed teams covered for vegas Scott Farkus 01-01-2012 08:51 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.205 (total posts: 1) 10     12 Hey Phil Elliott if you would have waited till kickoff you would have gotten HOU @ +1.5 & the missed 2pt would have been great. Watch the way the line is going & use it next time! B 01-01-2012 08:38 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.126 (total posts: 1) 15     11 Cowboys 5 units , mark it down. Bigleftygolfer 01-01-2012 08:32 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.195 (total posts: 37) 12     8 Steelers have two turnovers in a row with 8 minutes left it was like they were playing not to cover! The more I watch the games the more I think the fix is in. I won three units with sd but lost three plus the vig with Pittsburgh seems like horrible teams look like super bowl caliber teams this week during the fourth quarter. I.e. rams and browns! Zack 01-01-2012 08:32 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.139 (total posts: 16) 10     51 So who do y'all got tonight fellas? Cainer 01-01-2012 08:31 pm xxx.xxx.xxx4.38 (total posts: 2) 35     43 Hey Waltersucks, you do know that the lines move right? A few sites I look at had the Giants -1 earlier in the week. And learn to spell stupid before you call someone one. Idiot... waltersucks 01-01-2012 06:00 pm xxx.xxx.xxx6.26 (total posts: 77) 44     48 blairhattonpicks.com pick of the week gaints -1 stuiped the gaints are -3 this guys makes his lines up Chad 01-01-2012 05:57 pm xxx.xxx.xxx1.77 (total posts: 82) 19     16 Lions knocked out a 9 team teaser for me. How do you let a backup QB destroy your defense like that? You've got to be %(&*$#%* kidding me Anyone have Gary Kubiaks Address?? 01-01-2012 05:50 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.237 (total posts: 1) 11     16 Anyone? Pages: 1 2 ...989 990 991 992993 994 995 ...1475 1476

2013 Fantasy Football Rankings - May 23


2013 NBA Mock Draft - May 22


2014 NFL Mock Draft - May 21


Charlie's 2014 NFL Mock Draft - May 20


NFL Picks - Feb. 3

Note: For legality purposes, this Web site does not promote or advocate gambling. This is solely for entertainment purposes only.

Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 21, 2012): 1-0 (+$100)
Last Week's 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Week 21, 2012): 0-0 ($0)
Last Week's 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Week 21, 2012): 0-0 ($0)
Last Week Over-Under (Week 21, 2012): 0-1 ($0)
Last Week's Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks (Week 21, 2012): -$400

2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)

2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$5,760)
2012 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 45-50-2, 47.4% (-$2,130)
2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650)
2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)
2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685

1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%)
2000 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 128-123-8 (51.0%)
2001 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 127-122-7 (51.0%)
2002 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%)
2003 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%)
2004 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 157-123-8 (56.1%)
2005 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 156-126-11 (55.3%)
2006 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-135-9 (52.8%)
2007 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$2,550)
2008 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-140-7, 51.4% (+$2,620)
2009 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-124-9, 54.9% (+$3,370)
2010 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$6,080)
2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,925)

2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%)
2003 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-51-2 (50.5%)
2004 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-44-3 (59.6%)
2005 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 77-61-1 (55.8%)
2006 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-61-4 (51.6%)
2007 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 83-59-5, 58.5% (+$4,110)
2008 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-57-3, 43.6% (-$3,510)
2009 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 49-35-3, 58.3% (+$2,260)
2010 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 51-38-4, 57.3% (+$3,180)
2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715)

2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
2003 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 16-13-1 (55.2%)
2004 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-11 (62.1%)
2005 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%)
2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%)
2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420)
2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055)
2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330)
2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790)
2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)

2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)

2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775
2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865
2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200
2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590

2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)
2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640)
2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)
2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)

Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 1,876-1,720-106, 52.2% (+$6,915)
Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 611-545-31 (52.9%)
Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 253-225-7 (52.9%)
Career Over-Under: 1409-1408-42 (50.0%)
Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 22-14-1 (61.1%)
Career NFL Picks of the Month: 24-16 (60.0%)