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NFL Picks Against the Spread: Preseason Week 3, 2011



NFL Picks (Preseason 2011): 5-1 (+$420)

NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$6,080)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$3,370)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$4,330)
If you don't quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.



Green Bay Packers (1-1) at Indianapolis Colts (0-2)
Line: Packers by 9.

Friday, 8:00 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

This line looks crazy, but it can be justified. The Colts don't give a damn about preseason games. In fact, they battled the Packers in Week 3 of the exhibition last year. Green Bay rolled, 59-24.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.
  • Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Packers.
  • Mike McCarthy is 10-12 in preseason games.
  • Jim Caldwell is 1-9 in preseason games.


    Preseason Week 3 NFL Pick: Packers 38, Colts 10
    Packers -9 (4 Units) -- Incorrect; -$440
    Packers 24, Colts 21





    St. Louis Rams (2-0) at Kansas City Chiefs (0-2)
    Line: Rams by 2.5.

    Friday, 8:00 ET

    The Game. Edge: None.
    Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

    Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

    Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

    ***

    Preseason games are beneath Todd Haley, who has an abysmal 1-9 record in exhibition contests. Steve Spagnuolo, meanwhile, is a solid 8-2.


    The Psychology. Edge: None.
    No psychological edge found.


    The Vegas. Edge: .
    Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.
  • Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Rams.
  • Steve Spagnuolo is 8-2 in preseason games.
  • Steve Spagnuolo is 2-0 in Preseason Week 2 games.
  • Todd Haley is 1-9 in preseason games.


    Preseason Week 3 NFL Pick: Rams 24, Chiefs 17
    Rams -2.5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200
    Rams 14, Chiefs 10






    Miami Dolphins (2-0) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-1)
    Line: Buccaneers by 4.5.

    Saturday, 7:30 ET

    The Game. Edge: None.
    Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

    Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

    Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

    ***

    Raheem Morris is pissed about getting debacled by the Patriots, but I'm still taking the points. Tony Sparano (11-3) really cares about winning preseason games. Morris (4-6), not so much.


    The Psychology. Edge: None.
    No psychological edge found.


    The Vegas. Edge: .
    Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.
  • Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Dolphins.
  • Tony Sparano is 11-3 in preseason games.
  • Raheem Morris is 4-6 in preseason games.


    Preseason Week 3 NFL Pick: Dolphins 23, Buccaneers 20
    Dolphins +4.5 (3 Units) -- Correct; +$300
    Buccaneers 17, Dolphins 13


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    scratchy_too 02-24-2013 03:12 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.107 (total posts: 1)
    2     2

    @callmethan

    which book do you use, to get these races?
    coalcracker 02-24-2013 01:42 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.131 (total posts: 42)
    3     2

    San Antonio -8.5 5000 units

    Ohio State/Michigan St ov 130 1000 units
    Duke -16 1000 units
    Virginia Tech +2.5 1000 units

    chuckster 02-24-2013 01:25 pm xxx.xxx.xxx8.76 (total posts: 44)
    3     2

    Waiting to see if NHL Anaheim coach plays his A goalie today as opposed to his B goalie. Seem to me like a no-brainer, but I'm still trying to learn the deal on this NHL thing. In NBA today: Three team eight point teaser with: Mavericks +5.5, Warriors +6, Thunder -1.5. With the exception of finding out who the goaltender will be today for Anaheim, that's going to be it for me. BTW: Tony Parker (Spurs) OUT for tonights game. GLTA.
    checking in 02-24-2013 01:23 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.127 (total posts: 19)
    2     2

    I check-in here from time to time and see some new cappers and some old. One capper, guru66, used to be pretty good. But, I do not see him on here anymore. Anyone know what happened?
    chuckster 02-24-2013 11:27 am xxx.xxx.xxx8.76 (total posts: 44)
    2     2

    Good night last night as I not only get my 3 TEAM TEASER WIN, but also got a NBA par win with Heat and Over 198 in Utah/Clippers. Did not post this yesterday, but after some re-thinking on NHL, I played a par yesterday with: Kings and Blues and got it. For today in NHL: I'm going with: Bruins and Chicago in a three team open par. Back later with some NBA. Congrats to all winners and GLTA.
    fast pick'er 02-24-2013 10:39 am xxx.xxx.xxx7.55 (total posts: 1)
    2     2

    Today's lock:

    ND-3.5 (5 units)

    Good Luck!
    callmethan 02-24-2013 10:04 am xxx.xxx.xxx.205 (total posts: 13)
    2     2

    Soryy everyone on Bovada that wants me to put American races.

    Idont watch them so I dont know much about them.

    Also I find uk more exciting and easier to win.

    Any site other that Bovada offer these races. Maybe because Americans are banned from most sites that this is the problem
    callmethan 02-24-2013 10:01 am xxx.xxx.xxx.205 (total posts: 13)
    7     2

    Towecester (uk racing)

    14:20

    Cayman Island e/w small bet

    good luck !
    Pharmf119 02-24-2013 08:00 am xxx.xxx.xxx.183 (total posts: 1)
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    chuckster 02-23-2013 03:32 pm xxx.xxx.xxx8.76 (total posts: 44)
    2     2

    Tough day in NBA for me last night as I lose two -three team pars in the middle spot with the Spurs losing late in OT to the Warriors. Hedged against the Spurs in each one of my pars and when the dust had settled I had a Push evening. Today in the NBA for me: Three team par with: Miami -7.5, Utah/Clippers Over 198, one open spot. A three team 8 point teaser with: Denver -1.5, Pacers +3.5, Hawks +12.5. Congrats to winners and GLTA.
    BIG TIME BRO!!! 02-23-2013 01:48 pm xxx.xxx.xxx0.67 (total posts: 105)
    105     2

    I am late as i am already on the OVER 124 in CLEMSON/MARYLAND which is lookin great so far. Heres a sample size for SAGGY SACK SATURDAY

    WAKE FOREST +7.5 (pretty strong at HOME. Awful on the ROAD. They should be up for the suddenly struggling CANES. Dint be shocked if WF pulls the upset. The CANES have neem flirting with losses lately)

    CAL -1 (i hope this isnt. Trap, because i LOVE the BERKLEY BEARS. They keep winning and are basically a PICK EM against a crap team that doesnt play well at HOME. STANFORD was a bigger favorite @-2;5 a few nights ago. And now the better/hotter BAY AREA team is only -1? CAL should win this by 6-8 pts)

    GEORGETOWM +7 (i must be missing something, but why are the SIZZLIN HOYAS getting no respect? They were a +6 against CINCI on the ROAD last week and i love me some CUSE, but G-TOWN has a legit shot at winning this game SU. They beat CINCI as a BIG DOG on the ROAD. I know CINCI is nowhe near the caliber of CUSE. But G-TOWN is solid. If my memory serves me correct they are great ATS as a DOG of 4 or more this season)

    NC ST/UNC OVER 159 (thats a large total. So there can be no room for error......and there shouldnt be. UNC is really playin good ball. I was hoping they wouldnt be such big favorites (-5.5). Too much for my liking against a NC ST team that is struggling and has done so all season on the ROAD. But enough about that. These pricks can score. The END. Both teams should visit the 80's producing an OVER)

    FLORIDA -18 (they are gonna roast some HOG today. These GATORS havent forgot when they visited ARK a few wks back and got their $H!T PUSHED IN........BUG TIME BRO!!! Revenge is not the only factor here. Homecourt has been BIG TIME for THE GATORS and they are def the cream of the crop in the SEC. This one will get ugly as ARK struggles on the ROAD. They may be down 20-5 before the 1st TV timeour)

    TEXAS A&M -1.5 (AGGIES playimg solid ball and homecourt should be more than enouh to take down the VOLS)

    MAPLE QUEEFS ML -115 (playing good puck and have been solid on the ROAD. Not sold on OTTAWA)

    COYOTES ML -120 (OILERS suck. The end)

    Thats all for now. GL fellas and let that BALLSACK SAG on this wonderful SATURDAY



    coalcracker 02-23-2013 01:15 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.131 (total posts: 42)
    2     2

    Miami -7 5000 units
    Kansas -23.5 2500 units
    Memphis ov 135 1000 units
    Hawaii -12 1000 units
    BIG TIME BRO!!! 02-23-2013 02:52 am xxx.xxx.xxx8.21 (total posts: 9)
    8     2

    FINGER-A-FRIEND FRIDAY was a success tonight as i hit 4 out of 5. Lets take a look.

    Loss- BUTLER - 3 (ohhhhh these pricks really let me down. Cruising in the 1st half they came out in the 2nd half an gave it away as soon as the ball was inbounded. Had numerous times to take reblead back down the stretch but refused. My only hicup of the night)

    WIN - blazers/la lakers OVER 203 (these lakers cant cover and i had a feeling as i sttated in my write-up. But. The pricks can score as this thing came in OVER early. Nice cap as these meetings continue to go over)

    WIN - BULLS -6.5 (cake walk as CHI rips the cats by 30)

    WIN - RAPTORS +2 (won outright as they continue to win an NY continues to lose)

    WIN - Sabers/Canucks UNDER 5 (1-0 Canucks as this was te PORKY PIG of the night)

    Sitting at 13-7-1 for the week. Getting hammered currently so hopefully i can post 2morrow. Bet of luck pals




    2013 Fantasy Football Rankings - May 21


    2014 NFL Mock Draft - May 21


    Charlie's 2014 NFL Mock Draft - May 20


    2013 NBA Mock Draft - May 3


    NFL Picks - Feb. 3




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    My Team-by-Team ATS Record
    This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

    Cowboys: 8-8 (W2)
    Bears: 6-10 (L1)
    Bucs: 8-7 (L1)
    49ers: 8-10 (W1)
    Eagles: 8-8 (L1)
    Lions: 8-7 (L2)
    Falcons: 4-12 (L4)
    Cardinals: 11-5 (W3)
    Giants: 6-9 (L6)
    Packers: 7-11 (L1)
    Panthers: 9-7 (W4)
    Rams: 9-7 (L1)
    Redskins: 9-8 (L1)
    Vikings: 6-10 (W1)
    Saints: 7-9 (W2)
    Seahawks: 9-9 (L3)
    Bills: 6-10 (L3)
    Bengals: 8-8 (W1)
    Colts: 9-8 (L2)
    Broncos: 4-13 (L1)
    Dolphins: 9-6 (W1)
    Browns: 7-8 (W1)
    Jaguars: 7-9 (L1)
    Chargers: 7-9 (L1)
    Jets: 8-8 (L1)
    Ravens: 12-8 (W2)
    Texans: 9-7 (W1)
    Chiefs: 8-8 (W2)
    Patriots: 10-7 (W1)
    Steelers: 7-8 (W1)
    Titans: 8-8 (L1)
    Raiders: 6-10 (L1)
    Divisional: 42-50 (2011: 48-43)
    2x Game Edge: 20-18 (2011: 21-22)
    2x Psych Edge: 28-31 (2011: 29-23)
    2x Vegas Edge: 40-49 (2011: 49-55)
    2x Trend Edge: 28-31 (2011: 20-24)
    Double Edge: 6-17 (2011: 11-6)
    Triple Edge: 0-1 (2011: 1-0)
    Quad Edge: 0-0 (2011: 0-0)

    2003 Preseason: 3 | 4 | 5
    2003 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 20 | XXXVIII
    2004 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
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    2005 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XL
    2006 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
    2006 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLI
    2007 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
    2007 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLII |
    2008 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
    2008 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLIII |
    2009 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLIV |
    2010 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
    2010 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLV |
    2011 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
    2011 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLVI |
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