NFL Picks Against the Spread: Preseason Week 3, 2011
NFL Picks (Preseason 2011): 5-1 (+$420)
NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$6,080)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$3,370)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$4,330)
If you don't quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.
NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$6,080)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$3,370)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$4,330)
If you don't quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.
Green Bay Packers (1-1) at Indianapolis Colts (0-2)
Line: Packers by 9.
Friday, 8:00 ET
The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.
Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.
Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.
***
This line looks crazy, but it can be justified. The Colts don't give a damn about preseason games. In fact, they battled the Packers in Week 3 of the exhibition last year. Green Bay rolled, 59-24.
The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.
The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.
The Trends. Edge: Packers.
Preseason Week 3 NFL Pick: Packers 38, Colts 10
Packers -9 (4 Units) -- Incorrect; -$440
Packers 24, Colts 21
St. Louis Rams (2-0) at Kansas City Chiefs (0-2)
Line: Rams by 2.5.
Friday, 8:00 ET
The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.
Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.
Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.
***
Preseason games are beneath Todd Haley, who has an abysmal 1-9 record in exhibition contests. Steve Spagnuolo, meanwhile, is a solid 8-2.
The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.
The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.
The Trends. Edge: Rams.
Preseason Week 3 NFL Pick: Rams 24, Chiefs 17
Rams -2.5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200
Rams 14, Chiefs 10
Miami Dolphins (2-0) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-1)
Line: Buccaneers by 4.5.
Saturday, 7:30 ET
The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.
Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.
Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.
***
Raheem Morris is pissed about getting debacled by the Patriots, but I'm still taking the points. Tony Sparano (11-3) really cares about winning preseason games. Morris (4-6), not so much.
The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.
The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.
The Trends. Edge: Dolphins.
Preseason Week 3 NFL Pick: Dolphins 23, Buccaneers 20
Dolphins +4.5 (3 Units) -- Correct; +$300
Buccaneers 17, Dolphins 13
|
Satan
10-31-2011
07:47 pm
xxx.xxx.xxx.126
(total posts: 191)
 15
 13
lookin over some of the props now, Takeo Spikes OVER 7 tackles + assists seems like a good bet. Suzy Kolber said earlier today that KC wants to focus on gettin Battle more involved, and you'd assume Spikes will be responsible for him on the majority of downs.
Gordy
10-31-2011
07:46 pm
xxx.xxx.xxx.205
(total posts: 22)
11
15
Really having a tough time on this one., What are you playing Satan?
Satan
10-31-2011
07:42 pm
xxx.xxx.xxx.126
(total posts: 191)
13
19
That's a nice prop, though if there's a Gates TD prop, that's probably a better bet. Rivers needs Gates as his blanky, and there's no Eric Berry to patrol the seams.
In the meantime, Jackson will probably draw Brandon Flowers, who is becoming one of the best CBs in the game. As we saw last week, V-Jax can be shut down.
@Forum
10-31-2011
07:24 pm
xxx.xxx.xxx.121
(total posts: 1)
15
17
V-Jack hasn't scored in two games,....prop bet to score a td tonight= +110
seemes to be jumping off the screen at me. Whatdoyouall think?
Satan
10-31-2011
06:48 pm
xxx.xxx.xxx.126
(total posts: 191)
16
15
I'm gonna fade Seattle until this guy gets fired... Seattle was the right pick yesterday, but their coach didn't want to win and he screwed me over in the process.
http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/stevekelley/2016652872_kelley31.html
LuvTheOver
10-31-2011
05:14 pm
xxx.xxx.xxx0.75
(total posts: 3)
14
13
Correction- only 4 games went OVER. Means 8 Games went UNDER.
andy w
10-31-2011
05:13 pm
xxx.xxx.xxx2.57
(total posts: 12)
17
22
The NFL is completely whack this year. Teams are undisciplined, show up when they feel like it .. look at all the dropped passes and egregious penalties in key situations. The officials still don't know what constitutes an illegal hit, and wtf was that anyway where the officials questioned whether Romo threw a forward pass or not? As far as I'm concerned, no game is a lock anymore.
Yet Walter has found a magical formula for sucking, and we should be eternally grateful to him for that rather than constantly knocking him. Until he can turn it around, fading him is clearly the best strategy.
LuvTheOver
10-31-2011
05:12 pm
xxx.xxx.xxx0.75
(total posts: 3)
12
17
Only 4 games went under yesterday. tonight will be OVER. No angle on Stats. Vegas will push this game OVER.
tom
10-31-2011
04:57 pm
xxx.xxx.xxx4.50
(total posts: 1)
13
13
idk was leaning toards bolts..but.rivers has been unimpressive..cassel is home..its been week of dog esp early sunday game..ill take the dog n 3..fyi..norv turner is coach..so ill give bolts 3...n still take chiefs..love the under as well espically if chiefs can run it
BeerGuy
10-31-2011
04:54 pm
xxx.xxx.xxx.185
(total posts: 9)
13
11
San Diego -3 over Kansas City
Kansas City is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games against AFC West teams and the Chargers will be looking for a rebound game after a horrible showing last weekend. I think the under may be the way to go on this one thou?!?! KC may be an active dog thou which can push it to the over. But the last 3 games between these 2 squads it went under. SD should play better defence this game after giving up so many points last game. KC is playing better defence. The under is 5-2 for the Chargeers following a straight up lose. 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings with these two teams, and KC is 5-0 with the under when they face a conference opponents. Thoughts?
b88
10-31-2011
04:45 pm
xxx.xxx.xxx.241
(total posts: 1)
14
12
congrats to all those who keep going against Walts picks.. last 4 weeks I keep convincing myself this is the week he pulls through.. but obviously it doesnt happen, and this week he went completly backwards. im tapped out, but ill make one more attempt and go completly against his picks next week.
I dont see Rivers going into Arrowhead with nothing but confidence, not only that but Walt picked the Chiefs so feeling good about the chargers covering easily. Also the Under has been pretty consistent as well. 31-10 S.D.
49ers
10-31-2011
04:42 pm
xxx.xxx.xxx.253
(total posts: 2)
16
12
I will put my bet 5 units each for 1st half SD (-1.5) and over 22.5. Any suggestion ?
Gordy
10-31-2011
03:05 pm
xxx.xxx.xxx.205
(total posts: 22)
16
11
@Satan
Great points its hard to imagine that Rivers continues his poor play on the road I guess I just always try to find a way to take the home dog on MNF and Arrowhead will be rockin. My heaviest lean as of now is on the Under, I did a bit more research and 8 of the last 11 meetings between Sd-KC have the final score has been below 45pts. Still unsure on a side play though
Newbie
10-31-2011
02:59 pm
xxx.xxx.xxx3.96
(total posts: 3)
13
16
I still can't beieve the Saints game. After their major blowout over the Colts, they are shut out by the Rams! What a reality check!
Pats Fan
10-31-2011
02:42 pm
xxx.xxx.xxx0.41
(total posts: 1)
18
19
Jerks of the Week: All you hate-mailers. Hang in there Walt....
|
2013 Fantasy Football Rankings - May 17
Charlie's 2014 NFL Mock Draft - May 16
2014 NFL Mock Draft - May 15
2013 NBA Mock Draft - May 3
NFL Picks - Feb. 3
Note: For legality purposes, this Web site does not promote or advocate gambling. This is solely for entertainment purposes only.
Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 21, 2012): 1-0 (+$100)
Last Week's 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Week 21, 2012): 0-0 ($0)
Last Week's 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Week 21, 2012): 0-0 ($0)
Last Week Over-Under (Week 21, 2012): 0-1 ($0)
Last Week's Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks (Week 21, 2012): -$400
2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)
2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$5,760)
2012 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 45-50-2, 47.4% (-$2,130)
2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650)
2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)
2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685
1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%)
2000 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 128-123-8 (51.0%)
2001 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 127-122-7 (51.0%)
2002 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%)
2003 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%)
2004 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 157-123-8 (56.1%)
2005 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 156-126-11 (55.3%)
2006 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-135-9 (52.8%)
2007 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$2,550)
2008 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-140-7, 51.4% (+$2,620)
2009 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-124-9, 54.9% (+$3,370)
2010 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$6,080)
2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,925)
2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%)
2003 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-51-2 (50.5%)
2004 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-44-3 (59.6%)
2005 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 77-61-1 (55.8%)
2006 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-61-4 (51.6%)
2007 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 83-59-5, 58.5% (+$4,110)
2008 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-57-3, 43.6% (-$3,510)
2009 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 49-35-3, 58.3% (+$2,260)
2010 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 51-38-4, 57.3% (+$3,180)
2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715)
2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
2003 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 16-13-1 (55.2%)
2004 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-11 (62.1%)
2005 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%)
2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%)
2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420)
2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055)
2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330)
2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790)
2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)
2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)
2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775
2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865
2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200
2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590
2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)
2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640)
2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)
2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)
Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 1,876-1,720-106, 52.2% (+$6,915)
Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 611-545-31 (52.9%)
Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 253-225-7 (52.9%)
Career Over-Under: 1409-1408-42 (50.0%)
Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 22-14-1 (61.1%)
Career NFL Picks of the Month: 24-16 (60.0%)
Last Week's 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Week 21, 2012): 0-0 ($0)
Last Week's 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Week 21, 2012): 0-0 ($0)
Last Week Over-Under (Week 21, 2012): 0-1 ($0)
Last Week's Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks (Week 21, 2012): -$400
2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)
2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$5,760)
2012 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 45-50-2, 47.4% (-$2,130)
2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650)
2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)
2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685
1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%)
2000 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 128-123-8 (51.0%)
2001 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 127-122-7 (51.0%)
2002 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%)
2003 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%)
2004 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 157-123-8 (56.1%)
2005 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 156-126-11 (55.3%)
2006 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-135-9 (52.8%)
2007 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$2,550)
2008 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-140-7, 51.4% (+$2,620)
2009 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-124-9, 54.9% (+$3,370)
2010 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$6,080)
2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,925)
2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%)
2003 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-51-2 (50.5%)
2004 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-44-3 (59.6%)
2005 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 77-61-1 (55.8%)
2006 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-61-4 (51.6%)
2007 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 83-59-5, 58.5% (+$4,110)
2008 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-57-3, 43.6% (-$3,510)
2009 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 49-35-3, 58.3% (+$2,260)
2010 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 51-38-4, 57.3% (+$3,180)
2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715)
2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
2003 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 16-13-1 (55.2%)
2004 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-11 (62.1%)
2005 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%)
2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%)
2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420)
2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055)
2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330)
2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790)
2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)
2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)
2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775
2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865
2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200
2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590
2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)
2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640)
2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)
2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)
Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 1,876-1,720-106, 52.2% (+$6,915)
Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 611-545-31 (52.9%)
Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 253-225-7 (52.9%)
Career Over-Under: 1409-1408-42 (50.0%)
Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 22-14-1 (61.1%)
Career NFL Picks of the Month: 24-16 (60.0%)
My Team-by-Team ATS Record
This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.
| Cowboys: 8-8 (W2) |
Bears: 6-10 (L1) |
Bucs: 8-7 (L1) |
49ers: 8-10 (W1) |
| Eagles: 8-8 (L1) |
Lions: 8-7 (L2) |
Falcons: 4-12 (L4) |
Cardinals: 11-5 (W3) |
| Giants: 6-9 (L6) |
Packers: 7-11 (L1) |
Panthers: 9-7 (W4) |
Rams: 9-7 (L1) |
| Redskins: 9-8 (L1) |
Vikings: 6-10 (W1) |
Saints: 7-9 (W2) |
Seahawks: 9-9 (L3) |
| |
|
||
| Bills: 6-10 (L3) |
Bengals: 8-8 (W1) |
Colts: 9-8 (L2) |
Broncos: 4-13 (L1) |
| Dolphins: 9-6 (W1) |
Browns: 7-8 (W1) |
Jaguars: 7-9 (L1) |
Chargers: 7-9 (L1) |
| Jets: 8-8 (L1) |
Ravens: 12-8 (W2) |
Texans: 9-7 (W1) |
Chiefs: 8-8 (W2) |
| Patriots: 10-7 (W1) |
Steelers: 7-8 (W1) |
Titans: 8-8 (L1) |
Raiders: 6-10 (L1) |
| |
|
||
| Divisional: 42-50 (2011: 48-43) |
2x Game Edge: 20-18 (2011: 21-22) |
2x Psych Edge: 28-31 (2011: 29-23) |
2x Vegas Edge: 40-49 (2011: 49-55) |
| 2x Trend Edge: 28-31 (2011: 20-24) |
Double Edge: 6-17 (2011: 11-6) |
Triple Edge: 0-1 (2011: 1-0) |
Quad Edge: 0-0 (2011: 0-0) |
2003 Preseason: 3 | 4 | 5
2003 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 20 | XXXVIII
2004 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
2004 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XXXIX
2005 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
2005 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XL
2006 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
2006 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLI
2007 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
2007 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLII |
2008 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
2008 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLIII |
2009 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLIV |
2010 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
2010 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLV |
2011 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
2011 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLVI |
2012 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
2012 Season:
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