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NFL Picks Against the Spread: Preseason Week 2, 2011



NFL Picks (Preseason 2011): 5-1 (+$420)

NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$6,080)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$3,370)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$4,330)
If you don't quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.



Philadelphia Eagles (0-0) at Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0)
Line: Steelers by 3.

Thursday, 8:00 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

I was cautious last week because of the lockout, but I think things should be back to normal now. Mike Tomlin looked like he was going to cry after the loss to Washington. He's one of the most intense people on the planet, so I have to believe that he'll rebound with a victory over Andy Reid, who doesn't care about the preseason.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.
  • Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Steelers.
  • Mike Tomlin is 13-5 in preseason games.
  • Mike Tomlin is 4-0 after preseason losses.
  • Andy Reid is 19-30 in preseason games.


    Preseason Week 1 NFL Pick: Steelers 23, Eagles 17
    Steelers -3 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200
    Steelers 24, Eagles 14





    Washington Redskins (0-0) at Indianapolis Colts (0-0)
    Line: Redskins by 5.5.

    Friday, 7:00 ET

    The Game. Edge: None.
    Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

    Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

    Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

    ***

    The Colts don't give a damn about these silly preseason games. Curtis Painter and Dan Orlovsky should combine for half-a-dozen interceptions, as Mike Shanahan is going to put extra effort into figuring out who is quarterback is going to be.


    The Psychology. Edge: None.
    No psychological edge found.


    The Vegas. Edge: .
    Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.
  • Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Redskins.
  • Mike Shanahan is 44-21 in preseason games.
  • Mike Shanahan is 8-5 in Preseason Week 2 games.
  • Jim Caldwell is 1-8 in preseason games.


    Preseason Week 1 NFL Pick: Redskins 31, Colts 10
    Redskins -5.5 (4 Units) -- Correct; +$400
    Redskins 16, Colts 3






    Kansas City Chiefs (0-0) at Baltimore Ravens (0-0)
    Line: Ravens by 6.5.

    Friday, 7:30 ET

    The Game. Edge: None.
    Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

    Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

    Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

    ***

    Preseason games are beneath Todd Haley, who has an abysmal 1-8 record in exhibition contests. After looking terrible in Week 1, the Ravens will look to prove that they aren't completely inept. I'd bet more units if this line wasn't so high.


    The Psychology. Edge: None.
    No psychological edge found.


    The Vegas. Edge: .
    Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.
  • Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Ravens.
  • Todd Haley is 1-8 in preseason games.
  • Todd Haley is 0-2 in Preseason Week 2 games.
  • John Harbaugh is 8-5 in preseason games.
  • John Harbaugh is 2-1 in Preseason Week 2 games.


    Preseason Week 1 NFL Pick: Ravens 27, Chiefs 13
    Ravens -6.5 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100
    Ravens 31, Chiefs 13


    Leave a comment

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    JETHRO 11-12-2012 10:43 am xxx.xxx.xxx7.86 (total posts: 349)
    3     4

    FIRST OFF, GREAT JOB THIS WEEK WALT BETWEEN COLLEGE AND PRO. AND 2 ML DOGS!

    LET ME THROW THIS TO THE FORUM- DOESN'T PITTS. USUALLY PLAY WELL ON MNF? ANYONE KNOW THEIR STATS ON THIS. I THINK AFTER LAST NITE THE UNDER IS 21-9 IN THE PRIMETIME GAMES.
    Touchdown for Tommy 11-12-2012 10:39 am xxx.xxx.xxx6.68 (total posts: 8)
    15     15

    The Chiefs have NEVER led in a game all season. Not once...
    andy w 11-12-2012 09:33 am xxx.xxx.xxx.111 (total posts: 206)
    3     4

    I don't like to give advice really, and I'm not doing so here. Just laying out some facts.

    Steelers have covered each of their last 3 games, while KC has not covered since their bye.

    Good luck, whatever you choose.
    Antdogz 11-12-2012 07:58 am xxx.xxx.xxx.185 (total posts: 27)
    4     4

    Got a 550 3 team parlay going....

    Houston/ under/ open

    Any suggestions??
    @ Trent 11-12-2012 07:55 am xxx.xxx.xxx.231 (total posts: 1)
    13     5

    Does anyone think the Steelers will crush the Chiefs by 13.5?????
    It's my last pick on a 7 team parlay..

    Please and thx for the feedback

    @Trent: You should consider hedging the bet by working out what half the winnings would be and bet the Steelers -13.5 so that you win that amount either way. This would guarantee you a profit 50% of your parlay bet if it won.

    FWIW, I think the Chiefs are the right side however I would strongly recommend doing this.
    Ivar 11-12-2012 07:54 am xxx.xxx.xxx6.69 (total posts: 27)
    4     4

    Steady gains on Thursday, early games, and late games. Not a stellar week, but definitely a solid one. +$580 on the week, +$1697 on the year. MNF pick on my blog:
    http://ivarstake.blogspot.com/2012/11/nfl-picks-week-10.html
    Yo 11-12-2012 03:22 am xxx.xxx.xxx2.93 (total posts: 14)
    7     6

    Steelers or Chiefs genius?
    theguru66 11-12-2012 02:38 am xxx.xxx.xxx.190 (total posts: 295)
    4     11

    The granny train is STILL chugging along as once again I went 3-2 today in the NFL. Lots of strange story lines and scores today but that's another story for another day, let's get to the quick recap:

    Is it safe to say now that the Chargers aren't that good of a football team? You not impressing anyone with losses to the Browns and the Bucs (who are also average). This game was a high quality cap, both teams are average and the Bucs were playing well. Plus they had home field. I didn't think they'd win by 10 but at the very least it would have pushed. This game was a perfect example of line value. 1-0

    Sorry about the Dolphins play, terrible cap. Someone wrote on this thread that the Dolphins shouldn't be favored by 6 over any team and they were right. Look, the blow out was a fluke and if they played again right now it would be much closer but getting 6 was the right side one way or the other. That is to many points vs. a team like the Dolphins. 1-1

    The Atlanta game killed me. Such is gambling. Atlanta could have easily won and covered this game and honestly they probably should. They settled for a FG down on the goal line before the last down and goal series and choked then to. I told a friend of mine that I didn't think they'd get in after Douglas couldn't get to the goal line and then almost fumbled. Had this game in a parlay believe it or not and of course I had Denver and Tampa as the other plays. UGH! 1-2

    "Seattle has one of the best home field's in football and the Jets couldn't score on a high school cheerleader. I am predicting that the Jets score a grand total of 3 points but I wouldn't be surprised at all if they score none. I'm serious. In fact I'm going to go 24-3. Lay the 6."
    Jets only put up points because of a defensive TD. Final 28-7, 9 out of 10 on the cap meter. 2-2.

    " Anyway, there is going to be a lot of turnovers and sacks and fumbles and....POINTS! I wouldn't be surprised if both teams hit 30 but I have it at 30-27. Either way, it soars over."
    Had me worried there when it was 10-7 at half but this was a 8 of 10 on the cap meter. 3-2

    Games that I should have seen include Denver which was my "last play out" on the thread and the Ravens who never lose at home. Still 3-2 and slowwwwwly moving towards 10 over at 34-27-3.

    Hope everyone had a good day today and hope you enjoyed the scenic ride on the granny train. I'll be back in a bit for a Monday play.
    theguru66 11-12-2012 02:16 am xxx.xxx.xxx.190 (total posts: 295)
    3     3

    @betheljohnsonshands

    Or what if you took the OVER? Either way that was just a brutal way to end the game. I agree.
    Trent 11-12-2012 01:40 am xxx.xxx.xxx2.93 (total posts: 14)
    6     6

    Does anyone think the Steelers will crush the Chiefs by 13.5?????
    It's my last pick on a 7 team parlay..

    Please and thx for the feedback
    PureLock 11-12-2012 01:01 am xxx.xxx.xxx.218 (total posts: 236)
    3     4

    @Ivar, I play real bookie bro, not online. Oh, well, I should look at the facking weather before I play. But I just lost my small parley, I hit biggest bet of the week. Hope I hit again MNF. See all you tomorrow
    betheljohnsonshands 11-12-2012 12:52 am xxx.xxx.xxx.231 (total posts: 11)
    4     4

    Did anyone have the Under 192 in the Sacramento @ LAL game that just ended? I feel for you. I took the Lakers -8.5 so I got a cover, but that was cruel.
    madturk 11-12-2012 12:34 am xxx.xxx.xxx1.22 (total posts: 12)
    4     4

    proud of my beers played a tough game, would have like to seen cutler? I HAD HOU+ & UNDER
    Kyle 11-11-2012 11:15 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.164 (total posts: 245)
    3     4

    Cutler is out the rest of the game. If anyone saw the stat about Cutler in the 2nd half of games this year, that's a BIG deal. Went with Hou +2.5
    Kyle 11-11-2012 11:04 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.164 (total posts: 245)
    5     3

    With the weather suppose to worsen in the 2nd half anyone like Houston +2.5 in the 2nd half?


    2014 NFL Mock Draft - April 16


    NFL Free Agents - April 16


    2015 NFL Mock Draft - April 10


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    2014 NBA Mock Draft - March 26


    NFL Picks - Feb. 2




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    Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 21, 2013): 1-0 (+$700)
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    2013 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-0, 100% (+$3,900)

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    2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
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    My Team-by-Team ATS Record
    This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

    Cowboys: 9-7
    Bears: 7-7
    Bucs: 8-8
    49ers: 8-9
    Eagles: 7-10
    Lions: 11-5
    Falcons: 5-10
    Cardinals: 10-5
    Giants: 7-9
    Packers: 8-8
    Panthers: 8-9
    Rams: 7-9
    Redskins: 9-7
    Vikings: 7-9
    Saints: 13-4
    Seahawks: 9-10
    Bills: 12-4
    Bengals: 8-8
    Colts: 11-6
    Broncos: 8-11
    Dolphins: 11-5
    Browns: 3-13
    Jaguars: 7-8
    Chargers: 11-6
    Jets: 8-8
    Ravens: 9-6
    Texans: 10-5
    Chiefs: 6-11
    Patriots: 10-8
    Steelers: 6-10
    Titans: 5-7
    Raiders: 9-7
    Divisional: 51-44 (2011-12: 90-93)
    2x Game Edge: 14-22 (2011-12: 41-40)
    2x Psych Edge: 35-26 (2011-12: 57-54)
    2x Vegas Edge: 40-38 (2011-12: 89-104)
    2x Trend Edge: 24-23 (2011-12: 48-55)
    Double Edge: 9-10 (2011-12: 17-23)
    Triple Edge: 1-0 (2011-12: 1-1)
    Quad Edge: 0-0 (2011: 0-0)

    2003 Preseason: 3 | 4 | 5
    2003 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 20 | XXXVIII
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    2004 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XXXIX
    2005 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
    2005 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XL
    2006 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
    2006 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLI
    2007 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
    2007 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLII |
    2008 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
    2008 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLIII |
    2009 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLIV |
    2010 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
    2010 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLV |
    2011 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
    2011 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLVI |
    2012 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
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    2013 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
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