NFL Picks Against the Spread: Preseason Week 2, 2011

NFL Picks (Preseason 2011): 5-1 (+$420)

NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$6,080)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$3,370)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$4,330)
If you don't quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.

Philadelphia Eagles (0-0) at Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0)
Line: Steelers by 3.
Thursday, 8:00 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

I was cautious last week because of the lockout, but I think things should be back to normal now. Mike Tomlin looked like he was going to cry after the loss to Washington. He's one of the most intense people on the planet, so I have to believe that he'll rebound with a victory over Andy Reid, who doesn't care about the preseason.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.

Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


The Trends. Edge: Steelers.

Mike Tomlin is 13-5 in preseason games.

Mike Tomlin is 4-0 after preseason losses.

Andy Reid is 19-30 in preseason games.


Preseason Week 1 NFL Pick: Steelers 23, Eagles 17
Steelers -3 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200
Steelers 24, Eagles 14

---

Washington Redskins (0-0) at Indianapolis Colts (0-0)
Line: Redskins by 5.5.
Friday, 7:00 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

The Colts don't give a damn about these silly preseason games. Curtis Painter and Dan Orlovsky should combine for half-a-dozen interceptions, as Mike Shanahan is going to put extra effort into figuring out who is quarterback is going to be.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.

Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


The Trends. Edge: Redskins.

Mike Shanahan is 44-21 in preseason games.

Mike Shanahan is 8-5 in Preseason Week 2 games.

Jim Caldwell is 1-8 in preseason games.


Preseason Week 1 NFL Pick: Redskins 31, Colts 10
Redskins -5.5 (4 Units) -- Correct; +$400
Redskins 16, Colts 3

---

Kansas City Chiefs (0-0) at Baltimore Ravens (0-0)
Line: Ravens by 6.5.
Friday, 7:30 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

Preseason games are beneath Todd Haley, who has an abysmal 1-8 record in exhibition contests. After looking terrible in Week 1, the Ravens will look to prove that they aren't completely inept. I'd bet more units if this line wasn't so high.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.

Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


The Trends. Edge: Ravens.

Todd Haley is 1-8 in preseason games.

Todd Haley is 0-2 in Preseason Week 2 games.

John Harbaugh is 8-5 in preseason games.

John Harbaugh is 2-1 in Preseason Week 2 games.


Preseason Week 1 NFL Pick: Ravens 27, Chiefs 13
Ravens -6.5 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100
Ravens 31, Chiefs 13

Leave a comment Name Comment Verification: click on image to refresh it   Starfoxxcc 11-02-2011 09:30 am xxx.xxx.xxx.187 (total posts: 2) 50     24 I love your picks. All I have to do is pick the opposite and win! Thanks!!!!!! FUqer 11-02-2011 08:19 am xxx.xxx.xxx3.94 (total posts: 63) 48     178 Fantasy Trade Thoughts... I was offered Vincent Jackson For Nate Washington and Frank Gore I know on paper this does not look like a good deal as Washington and Jackson are only separated by 4 points and gore has been hot lately. I feel as if I need a 3rd WR and Washington is not the long term answer.My Current WR's are Greg Jennings = 97 pts Stevie Johnson = 66 pts Nate Washington = 61 pts I am good at RB's as I have Fred Jackson = 143 pts Frank Gore = 100 pts Darren Sproles = 99 pts ( Bench ) Maurice Jones Drew = 98 pts ( Bench ) I originally offered Sproles and Washington for Jackson and then got counter offered for Gore. Should I Deny the trade? Should I counter offer MJD instead of Gore? I don't want to help out a rival, as we are both 5-3, but I want to get better myself. I have 4 worthy RB's in a 2 RB league, so I have one to spare. Do you think Vincent Jackson will catch fire as the Chargers are a better team in the 2nd half of the season, or will they continue to struggle. By any other Charger standard , they are sitting pretty, considering how aweful they usually start the season. This could mean they will be even better than normal in the 2nd half of the season. I know this seems like a no brainer to deny the trade but this is a critical stage of the season and I want to get some 2nd opinions. Matt 11-02-2011 08:08 am xxx.xxx.xxx0.32 (total posts: 6) 13     13 Nice pick on the Packers Walt. I'm going 5 units myself... although my scale is 1 unit = $10. I'm not a high roller like some of the people here claim to be. Gangsta 4 Sho 11-02-2011 07:18 am xxx.xxx.xxx9.30 (total posts: 94) 17     14 walt haters gon die slow WoTFan 11-02-2011 06:34 am xxx.xxx.xxx2.12 (total posts: 1) 12     14 You just got cooler in my eyes, Walter. Song of Ice and Fire FTMFW Gerck 11-02-2011 06:12 am xxx.xxx.xxx.134 (total posts: 1) 11     12 Walt has interesting perspectives, but he relies more on trends and blows some things out of perspective like his bye week thing a few weeks ago and blames refs or special teams for his losses. Trends change. You pick your teams and if you over think it you lose. Take was he says as a perspective and nothing more. My 8 play parlay, all against Walt payed off big last week. Might do about 6 this week. FUqer 11-02-2011 06:10 am xxx.xxx.xxx3.94 (total posts: 63) 46     17 I disagree with Walt's claim that Vegas did not have a big week. By my accounts, 5 out of the top 7 most highly publicly backed teams lost. Giants, Saints, Patriots, Ravens, Cowboys And on top of the it looks like 7 out of the top 10 College team lost backed by the Public. I'm afraid this week is going to be another disaster for Walt. Fade Walt 11-02-2011 03:53 am xxx.xxx.xxx.211 (total posts: 45) 21     13 WALT HATER KILLA, please don't break one off in my mom's guts. She has had too many broken off already. Thank you, kind sir. pete McGuigan 11-02-2011 03:22 am xxx.xxx.xxx7.62 (total posts: 1) 21     19 I'm just gonna take the opposite of what you pick, and I should get 10 or 11 correct. Newbie 11-02-2011 02:49 am xxx.xxx.xxx.237 (total posts: 3) 15     22 The perfect storm brewing again? Falcons & Colts game is looking a lot like Saints & Rams game with the winless team playing at home. Is another upset coming? DJ Dana 11-02-2011 02:29 am xxx.xxx.xxx.167 (total posts: 29) 15     16 It seems like Walt is doing a major public fade on this week's square plays. I'll tune in next Monday to see the post mortem. Should be interesting. real g 11-02-2011 01:08 am xxx.xxx.xxx9.30 (total posts: 94) 18     42 "homie, shoot first, ask questions last." - walt hater killa real g 11-02-2011 01:07 am xxx.xxx.xxx9.30 (total posts: 94) 47     47 back when i was in the jects, walt hater killa walked down the street with 2 of the biggest guns ive ever seen screaming "fort greene represent, for real, we run this", crazydude real g 11-02-2011 01:02 am xxx.xxx.xxx9.30 (total posts: 94) 80     66 my god walt hater killa is so real Shmitty 11-02-2011 01:02 am xxx.xxx.xxx4.21 (total posts: 2) 26     19 Walt - I don't understand your Tampa Bay pick at all. I realize the Saints just lost to the Bucs a couple weeks ago, but this week it seems like all odds are against Tampa Bay. Here's why: 1) Saints are at home. They have scored an average of 44 points at home this year. That is an average you just cannot ignore, especially since they dropped 60+ on the colts after coming off a road loss. 2) Tampa Bay is horrendous on the road. They barely beat the McNabb lead Vikings in week 2 and got embarrassed by the 49'ers on the road. They also lost to the Bears in what was essentially a road game last week in which Freeman threw 4 INT's. Overall, I don't think there is any way New Orleans scores below 30 points, and based on Tampa's terrible road play, I don't see them scoring much over 20. I would either switch your pick around or save yourself $200 and change it to zero units. NO 34 TB 23 Just my two cents.. - Shmitty Pages: 1 2 ...1129 1130 1131 11321133 1134 1135 ...1475 1476

2013 Fantasy Football Rankings - May 17


Charlie's 2014 NFL Mock Draft - May 16


2014 NFL Mock Draft - May 15


2013 NBA Mock Draft - May 3


NFL Picks - Feb. 3

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Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 21, 2012): 1-0 (+$100)
Last Week's 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Week 21, 2012): 0-0 ($0)
Last Week's 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Week 21, 2012): 0-0 ($0)
Last Week Over-Under (Week 21, 2012): 0-1 ($0)
Last Week's Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks (Week 21, 2012): -$400

2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)

2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$5,760)
2012 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 45-50-2, 47.4% (-$2,130)
2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650)
2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)
2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685

1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%)
2000 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 128-123-8 (51.0%)
2001 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 127-122-7 (51.0%)
2002 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%)
2003 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%)
2004 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 157-123-8 (56.1%)
2005 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 156-126-11 (55.3%)
2006 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-135-9 (52.8%)
2007 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$2,550)
2008 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-140-7, 51.4% (+$2,620)
2009 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-124-9, 54.9% (+$3,370)
2010 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$6,080)
2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,925)

2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%)
2003 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-51-2 (50.5%)
2004 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-44-3 (59.6%)
2005 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 77-61-1 (55.8%)
2006 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-61-4 (51.6%)
2007 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 83-59-5, 58.5% (+$4,110)
2008 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-57-3, 43.6% (-$3,510)
2009 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 49-35-3, 58.3% (+$2,260)
2010 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 51-38-4, 57.3% (+$3,180)
2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715)

2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
2003 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 16-13-1 (55.2%)
2004 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-11 (62.1%)
2005 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%)
2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%)
2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420)
2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055)
2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330)
2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790)
2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)

2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)

2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775
2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865
2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200
2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590

2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)
2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640)
2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)
2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)

Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 1,876-1,720-106, 52.2% (+$6,915)
Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 611-545-31 (52.9%)
Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 253-225-7 (52.9%)
Career Over-Under: 1409-1408-42 (50.0%)
Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 22-14-1 (61.1%)
Career NFL Picks of the Month: 24-16 (60.0%)