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NFL Picks Against the Spread: Preseason Week 2, 2011



NFL Picks (Preseason 2011): 5-1 (+$420)

NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$6,080)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$3,370)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$4,330)
If you don't quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.



Philadelphia Eagles (0-0) at Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0)
Line: Steelers by 3.

Thursday, 8:00 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

I was cautious last week because of the lockout, but I think things should be back to normal now. Mike Tomlin looked like he was going to cry after the loss to Washington. He's one of the most intense people on the planet, so I have to believe that he'll rebound with a victory over Andy Reid, who doesn't care about the preseason.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.
  • Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Steelers.
  • Mike Tomlin is 13-5 in preseason games.
  • Mike Tomlin is 4-0 after preseason losses.
  • Andy Reid is 19-30 in preseason games.


    Preseason Week 1 NFL Pick: Steelers 23, Eagles 17
    Steelers -3 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200
    Steelers 24, Eagles 14





    Washington Redskins (0-0) at Indianapolis Colts (0-0)
    Line: Redskins by 5.5.

    Friday, 7:00 ET

    The Game. Edge: None.
    Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

    Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

    Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

    ***

    The Colts don't give a damn about these silly preseason games. Curtis Painter and Dan Orlovsky should combine for half-a-dozen interceptions, as Mike Shanahan is going to put extra effort into figuring out who is quarterback is going to be.


    The Psychology. Edge: None.
    No psychological edge found.


    The Vegas. Edge: .
    Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.
  • Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Redskins.
  • Mike Shanahan is 44-21 in preseason games.
  • Mike Shanahan is 8-5 in Preseason Week 2 games.
  • Jim Caldwell is 1-8 in preseason games.


    Preseason Week 1 NFL Pick: Redskins 31, Colts 10
    Redskins -5.5 (4 Units) -- Correct; +$400
    Redskins 16, Colts 3






    Kansas City Chiefs (0-0) at Baltimore Ravens (0-0)
    Line: Ravens by 6.5.

    Friday, 7:30 ET

    The Game. Edge: None.
    Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

    Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

    Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

    ***

    Preseason games are beneath Todd Haley, who has an abysmal 1-8 record in exhibition contests. After looking terrible in Week 1, the Ravens will look to prove that they aren't completely inept. I'd bet more units if this line wasn't so high.


    The Psychology. Edge: None.
    No psychological edge found.


    The Vegas. Edge: .
    Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.
  • Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Ravens.
  • Todd Haley is 1-8 in preseason games.
  • Todd Haley is 0-2 in Preseason Week 2 games.
  • John Harbaugh is 8-5 in preseason games.
  • John Harbaugh is 2-1 in Preseason Week 2 games.


    Preseason Week 1 NFL Pick: Ravens 27, Chiefs 13
    Ravens -6.5 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100
    Ravens 31, Chiefs 13


    Leave a comment

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    GStar 10-05-2012 03:03 pm xxx.xxx.xxx2.13 (total posts: 118)
    9     6

    "Yes, I've had plenty of "tokes" deposited into my PayPal account"
    -
    Really? You know how many winning NHL picks I've posted on here the last couple years? Where's the love for GStar?? ;-)
    teamtakeum 10-05-2012 02:19 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.145 (total posts: 28)
    7     5

    @AWESOME-o AND @FOGGWES

    If you want analysis on the car-seattle game you can go to my youtube page

    search

    teamtakeum

    we have that gaem and 3 others that we pick each week on our week 5 video
    Alex 10-05-2012 02:10 pm xxx.xxx.xxx9.35 (total posts: 3)
    5     6

    Walt, I'm curious... what will your girlfriend gonna do when Mulyana shows up on your doorstep? :)
    Awesome-O 10-05-2012 01:59 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.112 (total posts: 46)
    6     5

    @ foggwes

    It will mean nothing to you, but I also really like Seattle this week. Still waiting to pull the trigger hoping the line goes to 3.5 with 77% betting Carolina. But I am getting +3 with -105 right now. Hoping Guru will chime in as well on this one...
    foggwes 10-05-2012 01:37 pm xxx.xxx.xxx4.75 (total posts: 9)
    7     8

    note to guru66: I don't think that Bradford is as bad a quarterback as you think. He has very little talent in the receiving corps and with Amendola going down it figures to get worse. I try to read these comments from time-to-time and I respect your opinion and also agree with you about free picks and analysis. I made my largest wager of the year on Seattle +3 this week and I'm curious about your thoughts on that game.
    oscar 10-05-2012 01:15 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.154 (total posts: 34)
    5     7

    Gurru66
    I should have selected the Rams. I was about to pick them and selected Arizona. I thought you were Guruball. Big mistake. do you pick College football WNBA or Baseball?

    Steelers Big$ Sunday. I hope
    theguru66 10-05-2012 01:07 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.190 (total posts: 295)
    11     6

    @oscar

    Yes, Walterfootball.com NFL picks comment section. :-)

    Been on here a while and I'm a big proponent of free picks and analysis. You should never charge anyone for being right 60% of the time (hopefully). Yes, I've had plenty of "tokes" deposited into my PayPal account but whether that happened or not I would still post my picks for free even if I had the time to do a site.

    Thanks for asking though. Tickets?
    oscar 10-05-2012 11:13 am xxx.xxx.xxx.154 (total posts: 34)
    6     6

    theguru66
    do you have a site with picks?
    GStar 10-05-2012 10:53 am xxx.xxx.xxx2.13 (total posts: 118)
    5     5

    Bradford always has this retarded look on his face when he's getting ready to receive the snap. It really bothers me.

    Way off base with Cards pick I guess. I was getting so mad watching that game; Kolb couldn't connect on sh!t.

    Hamilton Ticats -0.5 for 4 units is still my play of the night..
    eddycash 10-05-2012 02:18 am xxx.xxx.xxx2.71 (total posts: 49)
    74     7

    BHPicks please stop your gay ads on this site, we don't need you. Not only that, your picks are horrible.
    theguru66 10-05-2012 01:22 am xxx.xxx.xxx.190 (total posts: 295)
    10     7

    It feels good when your in the inner ring of the target. Not quite a bulls eye but still a nice cap. Hope everyone did well tonight as the under came in EASY as well as the Rams. Ironic how Ken coaches the Cards now, he has the Steelers West out there, great D but no offensive line and his quarterback is NOT Big Ben. Tough spot for him but I still think they have a decent year. Can we just go ahead and say it. Sam Bradford is an average QB at best. I know he has no wides but he wasn't touched tonight and he still made a LOT of bad decisions. Anyway a win is a win and that brings my record this season to 13-11-3, time for a big weekend.
    BHPicks 10-05-2012 12:42 am xxx.xxx.xxx.143 (total posts: 4)
    6     73

    Another winning night here at BHPicks in the NFL & NCAAF! We start off Week 5 of the NFL Regular Season on the winning side of things as we aim for 5 of 5 winning weeks straight! Make sure to join us for all your winning picks in the NFL, NCAAF and MLB Postseason.

    Also, check out our Premium Picks Special Promotions! You can now get an MLB POSTSEASON PASS or the NFL SEASON PASS for great prices! Get the best value for our winning picks on the Premium Picks page!
    BHPicks 10-05-2012 12:40 am xxx.xxx.xxx.143 (total posts: 4)
    6     13

    Another winning night here at BHPicks in the NFL & NCAAF!
    WaltSucksAnymore 10-05-2012 12:30 am xxx.xxx.xxx.199 (total posts: 2)
    6     6

    4 Units on the Steelers? When is the last time you won money? I noticed how you took the eagles off the overrated spot. Man you suck.
    GOD 10-04-2012 09:52 pm xxx.xxx.xxx8.11 (total posts: 6)
    7     13

    There's more Gurus here than in all of Thailand. Must be the new Guru hangout.

    Hey, you know how the guru stopped his wife from biting her nails? He made her wear shoes!

    The guru's bride had no clue what to do on her wedding night, so she asked her mother. Mom told her, "take the hardest thing he has and put it where you pee" and on their wedding night she threw the guru's turban in the street!


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    My Team-by-Team ATS Record
    This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

    Cowboys: 9-7
    Bears: 7-7
    Bucs: 8-8
    49ers: 8-9
    Eagles: 7-10
    Lions: 11-5
    Falcons: 5-10
    Cardinals: 10-5
    Giants: 7-9
    Packers: 8-8
    Panthers: 8-9
    Rams: 7-9
    Redskins: 9-7
    Vikings: 7-9
    Saints: 13-4
    Seahawks: 9-10
    Bills: 12-4
    Bengals: 8-8
    Colts: 11-6
    Broncos: 8-11
    Dolphins: 11-5
    Browns: 3-13
    Jaguars: 7-8
    Chargers: 11-6
    Jets: 8-8
    Ravens: 9-6
    Texans: 10-5
    Chiefs: 6-11
    Patriots: 10-8
    Steelers: 6-10
    Titans: 5-7
    Raiders: 9-7
    Divisional: 51-44 (2011-12: 90-93)
    2x Game Edge: 14-22 (2011-12: 41-40)
    2x Psych Edge: 35-26 (2011-12: 57-54)
    2x Vegas Edge: 40-38 (2011-12: 89-104)
    2x Trend Edge: 24-23 (2011-12: 48-55)
    Double Edge: 9-10 (2011-12: 17-23)
    Triple Edge: 1-0 (2011-12: 1-1)
    Quad Edge: 0-0 (2011: 0-0)

    2003 Preseason: 3 | 4 | 5
    2003 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 20 | XXXVIII
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    2005 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
    2005 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XL
    2006 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
    2006 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLI
    2007 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
    2007 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLII |
    2008 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
    2008 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLIII |
    2009 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLIV |
    2010 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
    2010 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLV |
    2011 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
    2011 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLVI |
    2012 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
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