NFL Picks Against the Spread: Preseason Week 1, 2011

NFL Picks (Preseason 2011): 0-0 ($0)

NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$6,080)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$3,370)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$4,330)
If you don't quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.

Baltimore Ravens (0-0) at Philadelphia Eagles (0-0)
Line: Eagles by 3.
Thursday, 7:30 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

John Harbaugh has the record advantage over Andy Reid, especially in Week 1 of preseason tilts. Harbaugh has never lost, while Reid is just 5-8. I went against the Eagles last year in Week 1, and came away with $300, as Jacksonville covered as three-point dogs.

MAJOR UPDATE: I'm going to scale back the Ravens pick and remove the Dolphins selection because of this article. This isn't a normal preseason, so I'd advise caution.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.

Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


The Trends. Edge: Ravens.

John Harbaugh is 8-4 in preseason games.

John Harbaugh is 3-0 in Preseason Week 1 games.

Andy Reid is 18-30 in preseason games.

Andy Reid is 5-8 in Preseason Week 1 games.


Preseason Week 1 NFL Pick: Ravens 17, Eagles 13
Ravens +3 (3 Units) -- Incorrect; -$330
Eagles 13, Ravens 6

---

Miami Dolphins (0-0) at Atlanta Falcons (0-0)
Line: Falcons by 2.
Friday, 7:30 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

Tony Sparano loves winning in the preseason. Mike Smith doesn't appear to care unless it's Week 3.

MAJOR UPDATE: I'm going to scale back the Ravens pick and remove the Dolphins selection because of this article. This isn't a normal preseason, so I'd advise caution.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.

Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


The Trends. Edge: Dolphins.

Mike Smith is 6-6 in preseason games.

Mike Smith is 1-2 in Preseason Week 1 games.

Tony Sparano is 9-3 in preseason games.

Tony Sparano is 2-1 in Preseason Week 1 games.


Preseason Week 1 NFL Pick: Dolphins 20, Falcons 19
Dolphins +2 (0 Units) -- Correct; $0
Dolphins 28, Falcons 23

---

New York Jets (0-0) at Houston Texans (0-0)
Line: Texans by 2.5.
Monday, 8:00 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

Rex Ryan had a big matchup against the Giants last year in Week 1 of the preseason, yet he lost 31-16. Ryan is 0-2 in Week 1 preseason tilts, while Gary Kubiak is a solid 3-2.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.

Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


The Trends. Edge: Texans.

Rex Ryan is 4-4 in preseason games.

Rex Ryan is 0-2 in Preseason Week 1 games.

Gary Kubiak is 10-10 in preseason games.

Gary Kubiak is 3-2 in Preseason Week 1 games.


Preseason Week 1 NFL Pick: Texans 23, Jets 17
Texans -2.5 (0.5 Units) -- Correct; +$50
Texans 20, Jets 16

Leave a comment Name Comment Verification: click on image to refresh it   Walt's *Former* Accountant 10-30-2011 04:46 pm xxx.xxx.xxx5.24 (total posts: 36) 14     11 Well it looks like Walt has been picking so bad. Down about 10 units from the Early games, that he's FIRED me as his Accountant. It's been fun guys... If the afternoon games ended right now 10-30-2011 04:45 pm xxx.xxx.xxx2.75 (total posts: 22) 13     11 Walt would be down 15 units for the day! RR 10-30-2011 04:42 pm xxx.xxx.xxx55.9 (total posts: 1) 15     11 One word Walt. "Ouch" Every game wrong in the morning. Could you put me in touch with the guy eating cat food? I need to know how he affords it-I'm looking at eating ketchup packets from McDonald's at the rate things are going... D.Ro 10-30-2011 04:40 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.207 (total posts: 17) 20     11 I was so reluctant for such a long time to go against Walt's picks. But this morning I did. 3-0 but for smaller units. Furthermore, because many of us have had our faith in Walt this year and in the past and have supported him, I believe we should NOT use the product or service companies that pay Walt to advertise on his website. Should he profit while doing his job so poorly? Raindog 10-30-2011 04:40 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.208 (total posts: 36) 15     15 Yah I can't defend Walt he is beyond awful this year.....but at least that bad grammar, trailer trash Stat Trac can't come on here and chirp anymore either....I finally checked his facebook site out and he SUCKS even worse than Walt....but it's ok because his advice is just double your bets and chase a real good game and keep doing that until you are back to even....wow....at least Walt isn't an asssclown....he might suck at picking games but he isn't an amateur gambler posing as a pro like that idiot.... JR 10-30-2011 04:38 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.210 (total posts: 1) 19     12 Walt, so much for not betting on Bad Teams Theory. 4 of 5 Bad teams covered in the 6 early games.I don't know what goes this year either, but this year sucks for handicappers! Absolutely incredible 10-30-2011 04:26 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.226 (total posts: 1) 21     19 holy canoly i've NEVER seen anyone pick football games this bad. Never. ccccc 10-30-2011 04:17 pm xxx.xxx.xxx1.45 (total posts: 1) 23     11 dude can you pick 1 fckn game RIGHT???? No winners here 10-30-2011 04:17 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.200 (total posts: 4) 17     11 It looks like Walt is going to get every pick wrong this morning. What a joke, maybe fading walt is the right advice Fade Walt 10-30-2011 04:15 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.211 (total posts: 45) 40     13 Ha Ha Ha, thanks so much Walt. Early games fading Walt and doubling the units: Arizona +13 +6 units Miami +10 +6 units Houston -9.5 +6 units ------------------------- +18 units Wow, this is just too damn easy. You guys are missing out on Walt's HORRIBLE bets. Give it up 10-30-2011 04:15 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.132 (total posts: 2) 35     13 Lets see what kind of excuses Walt comes up with this week. Hou kicked a mopup field goal for Walt to go a stellar 0 for 9 units.....what a chump. Take Pitt, Buff, and Clev late it looks like. Walt Is A Joke 10-30-2011 04:14 pm xxx.xxx.xxx6.46 (total posts: 1) 31     15 This web site needs to be shut down. Walt is an idiot. Sux 10-30-2011 04:07 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.217 (total posts: 1) 15     20 NFL is not real it is fixed.... FINS 10-30-2011 03:57 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.108 (total posts: 2) 29     13 Wow walt going be down 9 units already in the early game. Bet against Walt 10-30-2011 03:56 pm xxx.xxx.xxx5.99 (total posts: 1) 35     12 Everyone needs to do as i do and bet AGAINST walt's picks. All these losing weeks have been winning weeks for me. I learned late last football season this kid has no idea whats hes doing on picks and have been picking against him ever since. Do as i do if you want to make $$ Pages: 1 2 ...1146 1147 1148 11491150 1151 1152 ...1475 1476

2014 NFL Mock Draft - June 18


Charlie's 2014 NFL Mock Draft - June 17


2013 Fantasy Football Rankings - June 16


2013 NBA Mock Draft - May 22


NFL Picks - Feb. 3

Note: For legality purposes, this Web site does not promote or advocate gambling. This is solely for entertainment purposes only.

Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 21, 2012): 1-0 (+$100)
Last Week's 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Week 21, 2012): 0-0 ($0)
Last Week's 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Week 21, 2012): 0-0 ($0)
Last Week Over-Under (Week 21, 2012): 0-1 ($0)
Last Week's Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks (Week 21, 2012): -$400

2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)

2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$5,760)
2012 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 45-50-2, 47.4% (-$2,130)
2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650)
2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)
2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685

1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%)
2000 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 128-123-8 (51.0%)
2001 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 127-122-7 (51.0%)
2002 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%)
2003 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%)
2004 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 157-123-8 (56.1%)
2005 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 156-126-11 (55.3%)
2006 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-135-9 (52.8%)
2007 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$2,550)
2008 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-140-7, 51.4% (+$2,620)
2009 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-124-9, 54.9% (+$3,370)
2010 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$6,080)
2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,925)

2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%)
2003 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-51-2 (50.5%)
2004 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-44-3 (59.6%)
2005 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 77-61-1 (55.8%)
2006 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-61-4 (51.6%)
2007 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 83-59-5, 58.5% (+$4,110)
2008 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-57-3, 43.6% (-$3,510)
2009 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 49-35-3, 58.3% (+$2,260)
2010 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 51-38-4, 57.3% (+$3,180)
2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715)

2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
2003 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 16-13-1 (55.2%)
2004 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-11 (62.1%)
2005 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%)
2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%)
2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420)
2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055)
2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330)
2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790)
2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)

2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)

2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775
2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865
2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200
2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590

2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)
2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640)
2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)
2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)

Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 1,876-1,720-106, 52.2% (+$6,915)
Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 611-545-31 (52.9%)
Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 253-225-7 (52.9%)
Career Over-Under: 1409-1408-42 (50.0%)
Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 22-14-1 (61.1%)
Career NFL Picks of the Month: 24-16 (60.0%)