NFL Picks Against the Spread: Preseason Week 1, 2011

NFL Picks (Preseason 2011): 0-0 ($0)

NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$6,080)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$3,370)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$4,330)
If you don't quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.

Baltimore Ravens (0-0) at Philadelphia Eagles (0-0)
Line: Eagles by 3.
Thursday, 7:30 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

John Harbaugh has the record advantage over Andy Reid, especially in Week 1 of preseason tilts. Harbaugh has never lost, while Reid is just 5-8. I went against the Eagles last year in Week 1, and came away with $300, as Jacksonville covered as three-point dogs.

MAJOR UPDATE: I'm going to scale back the Ravens pick and remove the Dolphins selection because of this article. This isn't a normal preseason, so I'd advise caution.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.

Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


The Trends. Edge: Ravens.

John Harbaugh is 8-4 in preseason games.

John Harbaugh is 3-0 in Preseason Week 1 games.

Andy Reid is 18-30 in preseason games.

Andy Reid is 5-8 in Preseason Week 1 games.


Preseason Week 1 NFL Pick: Ravens 17, Eagles 13
Ravens +3 (3 Units) -- Incorrect; -$330
Eagles 13, Ravens 6

---

Miami Dolphins (0-0) at Atlanta Falcons (0-0)
Line: Falcons by 2.
Friday, 7:30 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

Tony Sparano loves winning in the preseason. Mike Smith doesn't appear to care unless it's Week 3.

MAJOR UPDATE: I'm going to scale back the Ravens pick and remove the Dolphins selection because of this article. This isn't a normal preseason, so I'd advise caution.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.

Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


The Trends. Edge: Dolphins.

Mike Smith is 6-6 in preseason games.

Mike Smith is 1-2 in Preseason Week 1 games.

Tony Sparano is 9-3 in preseason games.

Tony Sparano is 2-1 in Preseason Week 1 games.


Preseason Week 1 NFL Pick: Dolphins 20, Falcons 19
Dolphins +2 (0 Units) -- Correct; $0
Dolphins 28, Falcons 23

---

New York Jets (0-0) at Houston Texans (0-0)
Line: Texans by 2.5.
Monday, 8:00 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

Rex Ryan had a big matchup against the Giants last year in Week 1 of the preseason, yet he lost 31-16. Ryan is 0-2 in Week 1 preseason tilts, while Gary Kubiak is a solid 3-2.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.

Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


The Trends. Edge: Texans.

Rex Ryan is 4-4 in preseason games.

Rex Ryan is 0-2 in Preseason Week 1 games.

Gary Kubiak is 10-10 in preseason games.

Gary Kubiak is 3-2 in Preseason Week 1 games.


Preseason Week 1 NFL Pick: Texans 23, Jets 17
Texans -2.5 (0.5 Units) -- Correct; +$50
Texans 20, Jets 16

Leave a comment Name Comment Verification: click on image to refresh it   Gator 12-22-2011 01:37 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.208 (total posts: 36) 43     19 Sweat Barometer picks still rolling...2-0-1 last night for a total of 15-3-1 thus far....again a warning that this winning rate is simply unsustainable but hopefully can keep rolling a bit longer....here's today picks in "tiers of preference": Lehigh +14.5 North Dakota State +11 Georgetown -5 North Texas +4.5 Harvard -12.5 Fairfield +12 Weber State -14.5 (I liked this game more but just as I went to bet it the line jumped from -13 to -14.5)...word.... Del 12-22-2011 01:03 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.185 (total posts: 1) 32     12 @dynamo...So the line for tonights game opened at -6.5 and has remained steady despite almost 90% of the bets being on Hou. You think double reverse psychology? Home dogs in which greater than 80% of the public is backing the favorite have fared pretty well ATS historically Who Dat!! 12-22-2011 12:52 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.217 (total posts: 1) 12     20 @ Legendary Dynamo What's the 3rd bowl game that you like?? Chimpy 12-22-2011 09:39 am xxx.xxx.xxx5.55 (total posts: 1) 19     11 Only Walt could refer to a strip sack and and a punch-out as "fluky" fumbles. Steve 12-22-2011 09:20 am xxx.xxx.xxx7.82 (total posts: 193) 694     1373 Now offering live scoreboard, power rankings, standings, schedules, and top sport stories on www.BlairHattonPicks.com ...Check it all out and review picks for tonights games! Steve 12-22-2011 09:05 am xxx.xxx.xxx.112 (total posts: 1) 16     19 Nice picks last night Gator, quite the momentum you have going. Totally agree with Dynamo on Houston tonight. Look for Foster to have a big night. Legendary Dynamo 12-22-2011 05:29 am xxx.xxx.xxx6.79 (total posts: 34) 14     31 After a relatively easy bowl game #1 I'll be turning my attention to the NFL for tomorrow nights match up. Last week I had my first losing week for -11 units since early November. So lets get it back!! Houston Texans -6.5 (4 units) Vegas scooped last week with several big dogs winning outright. Players will bounce back this week and sharps and players will be on the same side after two winning weeks for the books. Look for the Texans running attack to take advantage of Indy's awful D. They should cover easily by two scores. 24-13 Good Luck to all: keep your eye out for my bowl game trifecta, I'm hitting all three. What will really happen 12-22-2011 03:50 am xxx.xxx.xxx0.90 (total posts: 87) 17     15 ok no razz comments about Walt, but this is how I differ take it or leave it I think Walt is smart but doesn't understand paradigm shifts when it come to stats, SF, IND and DET are examples Week 16 NFL Pick: Chiefs 20, Raiders 17 Chiefs -2 (1 Unit) my pick Week 16 NFL Pick: Chiefs 17, Raiders 26 Raiders +2 (3 Unit) ----------------------------------------- Week 16 NFL Pick: Titans 19, Jaguars 13 Jaguars +7 (1 Unit) my pick Week 16 NFL Pick: Titans 23, Jaguars 10 Titans -7 (1 Unit) ----------------------------------------- Week 16 NFL Pick: Patriots 34, Dolphins 31 Dolphins +9.5 (7 Units - December NFL Pick of the Month) my pick Week 16 NFL Pick: Patriots 36, Dolphins 23 Patriots -9.5 (2 Units) ----------------------------------------- Week 16 NFL Pick: Seahawks 23, 49ers 20 Seahawks +2 (0 Units) my pick Week 16 NFL Pick: Seahawks 17, 49ers 24 49ers +2 (5 Units) Good luck Del 12-22-2011 02:00 am xxx.xxx.xxx.219 (total posts: 3) 24     8 Nice call on the La Tech game Gator and Dynamo Chad209 12-22-2011 01:50 am xxx.xxx.xxx.119 (total posts: 2) 9     12 Hey Dynamo I hit a 5unit parlay with latech and the over in 2mrws bowl game I like AZ depending if the line goes up and for the NFL I like the texans winning big Chad 12-22-2011 01:35 am xxx.xxx.xxx1.77 (total posts: 82) 15     9 Nice job Gator! DJ Dana 12-22-2011 01:19 am xxx.xxx.xxx.162 (total posts: 1) 11     9 If u want a solid over play take (or look into) the Baylor v Wash game. Both teams can score and neither has a great secondary. Darnell12 12-22-2011 12:37 am xxx.xxx.xxx.190 (total posts: 8) 11     9 @Legendary Dynamo What are the two other bowls that you like this year? Just looking for some more input. Legendary Dynamo 12-21-2011 08:07 pm xxx.xxx.xxx6.79 (total posts: 34) 11     10 I try to stay away from totals @Chad209. The line just went up to 10 which, if you waited is a great value hook to pick up. I wouldn't move it up to 5 units but I really like la tech for 4 units, especially with the 10. Chad209 12-21-2011 07:39 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.119 (total posts: 2) 9     9 Hey Dynamo what about o/u for the latech game...I also like latech but I'm unsure about the total..can you help me? Pages: 1 2 ...1012 1013 1014 10151016 1017 1018 ...1475 1476

2013 Fantasy Football Rankings - May 19


Charlie's 2014 NFL Mock Draft - May 16


2014 NFL Mock Draft - May 15


2013 NBA Mock Draft - May 3


NFL Picks - Feb. 3

Note: For legality purposes, this Web site does not promote or advocate gambling. This is solely for entertainment purposes only.

Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 21, 2012): 1-0 (+$100)
Last Week's 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Week 21, 2012): 0-0 ($0)
Last Week's 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Week 21, 2012): 0-0 ($0)
Last Week Over-Under (Week 21, 2012): 0-1 ($0)
Last Week's Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks (Week 21, 2012): -$400

2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)

2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$5,760)
2012 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 45-50-2, 47.4% (-$2,130)
2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650)
2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)
2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685

1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%)
2000 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 128-123-8 (51.0%)
2001 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 127-122-7 (51.0%)
2002 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%)
2003 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%)
2004 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 157-123-8 (56.1%)
2005 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 156-126-11 (55.3%)
2006 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-135-9 (52.8%)
2007 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$2,550)
2008 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-140-7, 51.4% (+$2,620)
2009 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-124-9, 54.9% (+$3,370)
2010 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$6,080)
2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,925)

2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%)
2003 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-51-2 (50.5%)
2004 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-44-3 (59.6%)
2005 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 77-61-1 (55.8%)
2006 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-61-4 (51.6%)
2007 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 83-59-5, 58.5% (+$4,110)
2008 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-57-3, 43.6% (-$3,510)
2009 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 49-35-3, 58.3% (+$2,260)
2010 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 51-38-4, 57.3% (+$3,180)
2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715)

2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
2003 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 16-13-1 (55.2%)
2004 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-11 (62.1%)
2005 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%)
2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%)
2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420)
2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055)
2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330)
2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790)
2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)

2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)

2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775
2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865
2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200
2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590

2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)
2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640)
2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)
2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)

Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 1,876-1,720-106, 52.2% (+$6,915)
Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 611-545-31 (52.9%)
Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 253-225-7 (52.9%)
Career Over-Under: 1409-1408-42 (50.0%)
Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 22-14-1 (61.1%)
Career NFL Picks of the Month: 24-16 (60.0%)