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NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 19, 2010



NFL Picks (Preseason 2010): 9-6-1 (+$680)
NFL Picks (Week 1, 2010): 8-7-1 (-$15)
NFL Picks (Week 2, 2010): 7-8-1 (-$170)
NFL Picks (Week 3, 2010): 10-6 (+$1,430)
NFL Picks (Week 4, 2010): 7-7 (+$1,075)
NFL Picks (Week 5, 2010): 8-6 (+$260)
NFL Picks (Week 6, 2010): 4-9-1 (-$1,865)
NFL Picks (Week 7, 2010): 8-6 (+$1,080)
NFL Picks (Week 8, 2010): 7-6 (+$520)
NFL Picks (Week 9, 2010): 6-5-2 (+$1,050)
NFL Picks (Week 10, 2010): 6-7-1 (+$780)
NFL Picks (Week 11, 2010): 8-8 (-$480)
NFL Picks (Week 12, 2010): 9-7 (+$1,840)
NFL Picks (Week 13, 2010): 9-7 (+$1,045)
NFL Picks (Week 14, 2010): 7-8-1 (+$170)
NFL Picks (Week 15, 2010): 9-7 (-$150)
NFL Picks (Week 16, 2010): 10-6 (-$50)
NFL Picks (Week 17, 2010): 7-9 (-$1,060)
NFL Picks (Week 18, 2010): 3-1 (+$1,200)
NFL Picks (Week 19, 2010): 2-2 (-$600)

NFL Picks (2010): 144-128-8 (+$6,740)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$3,370)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$4,330)
If you don't quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.


Vegas betting action updated Jan. 16, 11:55 a.m. ET.


Go to Week 19 NFL Picks - Saturday Games



Seattle Seahawks (8-9) at Chicago Bears (11-5)
Line: Bears by 10. Total: 43.

Walt's Projected Line: Bears -10.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

The Game. Edge: Bears.

Some reminders:

1. If you're still alive, get your pick in for the WalterFootball.com 2010 NFL Survivor Pool. There are FIVE entries remaining out of 1,972.

2. You can also create your own 2011 NFL Mock Draft on DraftDebacled.com, and if the write-ups are sound enough (and grammatically and factually correct), your mock could be featured in the 2011 NFL Mock Draft Database. Our 2011 NFL Draft Contest will be available soon.

3. Jerks of the Week for Jan. 10, 2011 are up, so just click the link. This week's jerks are: 1) Penn State Prohibition. 2) Graham Cocker Spanier. 3) Drunken Quotes.

4. In this week's edition of Emmitt on the Brink, it's a recap of the 2015 wild card round of the playoffs.

It's time for Notes from NFL.com GameCenter - a list of a few stupid comments I found on NFL.com's GameCenter and my thoughts on them (the second from Austin R.):

1. "next monday is going to be intrusting im going to be able to wetch that game unlike this one XD. Mondays are odd days for me."

Really? Only Mondays are odd?

2. "N.E. HAS MORE OF A CORE OF PLAYERS WITH THE PLAYOFF AND SUPER BOWL EXPERIENCE. or whenever! NEW ENGLAND is the ONLY team in the AFC that can smack the PITTSBURG STEELERS in the mouth (which Ben Roethlisberger crumbles like a girl when he RAPES WOMEN.! Plus, we played a veryVERY GOOD game with a lot of YOUNG SND I MEAN YOUNG DEFENSE. Cheating STEELERS WHO WERE ON DRUGS .Pats DIDN'T WANT TO SHOW TIME WHAT A BEATEN THEY GOING TO GET FROM WHO EVER THEY PLAY. UNLESS THERE ARE WOMEN ON THE FIELD THEY probably didn't want to show them anything EXCEPT WHAT BEN IS LOOKING AT THEM"

Austin R's analysis: I couldn't stop laughing at this post for the stupidity of it. I am a Patriots fan but he gives us fans a bad image. So far from this comment I learned that Ben crumbles like a girl when he rapes women. That comment is just sad.

3. "whats sad tho is even with only 3 wins the carsd/9ers where still in the case to make it to the playoffs lol."

Unfortunately, with a 3 on your English test, you "where" not in the case to get a passing grade.

CHICAGO OFFENSE: Unlike the two Saturday games, you can't look back at the previous Seattle-Chicago matchup and get an accurate feel for how this contest will play out.

When the Bears lost to the Seahawks, 23-20, they were playing stupid football. Mike Martz still had Jay Cutler taking five- and seven-step drops with his receivers running long routes. This nearly destroyed Cutler (6 sacks), which led to his four-interception performance against the Redskins the following week.

Martz fixed things after the subsequent bye. Cutler is still taking a healthy amount of sacks (22 in the past seven games), but is getting the ball out quicker. The Bears are also running the ball a lot more, though Matt Forte won't have much success on the ground against the Seahawks, who have limited four of their previous five opponents to four yards per carry or worse.

As for the passing game, it seemed like the Bears reverted to pre-bye mode in Week 17. Cutler took six sacks again, which doesn't bode well for this game; Seattle is tied for 11th with 38 sacks.

SEATTLE OFFENSE: Where did this come from? A week ago, Matt Hasselbeck was headed for the glue factory and Marshawn Lynch was considered to be a waste of a fourth-round pick. Now, the Vikings are suddenly interested in Hasselbeck, while Lynch has the power of Mario's golden star. If only he had waited until the clock had a 1, 3 or 6 at the end of his run; we would have enjoyed fireworks as well.

However, don't expect to hear any Mario music when Lynch touches the ball this time. Lynch ran for only 44 yards on 17 attempts in Week 6, and the Bears are still very good against the run, ranking ninth against it.

Hasselbeck has a good game at Chicago back in Week 6, going 25-of-40 for 242 yards and a touchdown. While Cutler figures to be better this time around, I don't see why Hasselbeck would be any worse. The Bears have really struggled with big receivers all year, and Mike Williams could have another monstrous performance. Williams caught 10 balls for 123 yards at Chicago in October.

RECAP: The Seahawks are my January NFL Pick of the Month. I know what you're thinking: "Seattle!?!? Really!?!?! Are you on crack!?!?!"

Crack or not, I love the Seahawks, and I have eight great reasons - one for each unit:

1. I have to credit e-mailer Nathan T. for this. He sent me an e-mail Monday, pointing out that quarterbacks starting their first playoff game are 5-19 straight up since 2003. I decided to look this up myself to see how these quarterbacks fared against the spread, breaking them down by home favorites, home dogs, road favorites and road dogs. Here's what I came up with (these stats are since 2002):

Home favorites: 1-10 ATS
Home dogs: 0-3 ATS
Road favorites: 1-2 ATS
Road dogs: 5-5 ATS

Jay Cutler is a home favorite making his first playoff start, meaning the 1-10 ATS trend applies.

2. Speaking of Cutler's spread numbers, he's only 3-8 against the line in his career as a favorite of six points or more.

3. I'd like to thank e-mailer Rob H, who sent over Chicago's home results (allowing me to do a simple copy-paste):

-6.5 v. DET (W 19-14)
+3 v. GB (W 20-17)
-6 v. SEA (L 20-23)
-3 v. WSH (L 14-17)
+1 v. MIN (W 27-13)
+3 v. PHI W (31-26)
+3 v. NE (L 7-36)
-2.5 v. NYJ (W 38-34)

This line is ridiculous. The Bears haven't been favored by more than 6.5 points all year, and now they're supposed to cover double digits? What?

4. Asking Chicago to cover 10 points is even more ludicrous when you consider all of the pressure. All Bears fans are expecting a deep playoff run from a team that hasn't been here before. The Seahawks, meanwhile, have nothing to lose - just like last week.

5. I'm calling this the Rabid Dog trend because it's a cool name: Teams coming off a straight-up win in the playoffs as underdogs of seven or more are 6-1 against the spread the following week since 2002. These teams were generally massive underdogs again, creating some sort of disrespect angle.

6. I really think Chicago's loss to Green Bay in Week 17 could have a hangover effect. The same thing happened in 2006. Lovie Smith played his starters in the season finale versus the Packers and lost. Two weeks later, they barely survived against the Seahawks as nine-point favorites.

By the way, home favorites in the playoffs coming off one loss are 6-13 against the spread; 3-9 ATS after a bye.

7. I mentioned this in the Green Bay-Philadelphia game last week: I researched how the winners of non-divisional, same-site rematches fared in the playoffs. Well, since 2002, the victors are 17-8 straight up; 4-1 if we're talking about a road winner.

(Note: I didn't mention this in the Packers-Falcons game because Green Bay outplayed Atlanta in their previous meeting.)

8. Once again, playoff teams with a week off are 10-18 against the spread since 2003 (7-13 since 2005).

GAMBLING DISCLAIMER: The Seahawks are my January NFL Pick of the Month. This does not mean that I'd condone betting thousands upon thousands of dollars on them. This is my pick, and I'm not even going four figures, so if the Bears cover, I don't want to receive any e-mails saying, "OMGZ I LOST LIEK $$30K ON THIS GAEM F*** YOU A**HOEL!!!"

This is a football game. Anything can happen. I think the Seahawks will cover, but there's a chance that they won't. Don't risk an obscene amount of money that you can't afford to lose. Don't put your entire bankroll on Seattle. Please be smart with your hard-earned money.

LOCKED IN: I don't think this line will go up, so you might as well lock it in at +10.


The Psychology. Edge: Seahawks.
All of the pressure is on the Bears. The Seahawks have nothing to lose.


The Vegas. Edge: None.
Equal action.
  • Percentage of money on Seattle: 55% (141,000 bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Seahawks.
  • Worst Bye: Playoff teams coming off byes are 10-18 ATS since 2003 (7-13 since 2005).
  • Seahawks are 13-29 ATS on the road since 2006.
  • Jay Cutler is 24-42 ATS.
  • Jay Cutler is 10-22 ATS as a favorite.
  • Opening Line: Bears -9.5.
  • Opening Total: 40.
  • Weather: Cloudy, 20 degrees. Light wind.


    Week 19 NFL Pick: Seahawks 20, Bears 17
    Seahawks +10 (8 Units - January NFL Pick of the Month) -- Incorrect; -$880
    Under 43 (0 Units) -- Correct; $0
    Bears 35, Seahawks 24





    New York Jets (12-5) at New England Patriots (14-2)
    Line: Patriots by 9. Total: 44.

    Walt's Projected Line: Patriots -7.5.
    Sunday, 4:30 ET

    The Game. Edge: Patriots.

    Throughout the season, I've been having mock TV broadcasts of Bob Papa, Joe Theismann and Matt Millen, and Kevin Reilly, Emmitt, Herm Edwards and Bob Griese. It's the playoffs now, so it's time to do something special. So, why not combine these two teams to make one ultra, mega TV broadcast of epic fail?

    Kevin Reilly: Welcome to New England, the... ugh... guys, I'm depressed. My Eagles lost to the Packers. I don't know if I can live anymore. I'll let this Bob Papa idiot handle the introduction.

    Bob Papa: Welcome to New York, where tonight, the New York Knicks battle the New England Patriots!

    Emmitt: Papa John, the New York Knick play the sport of basketball hoop. This is a football game. The New York team is called the Jet.

    Joe Theismann: And that's OK, Emmitt! Bob's just distracted by Matt Millen's fatness. I'm having a tough time looking away from his massive belly as well. We were at the restaurant earlier, and Millen ate five hundred million tacos and five hundred million chicken nuggets. I don't know where all of this food came from.

    Bob Griese: This should be a good matchup between Drew Bledsoe and Vinny Testaverde.

    Herm: Look at that! Look over there! Look over here! Do you see what I see!? Do you see it!? Can you see it!? He's got a gun! Reilly's got a gun! Kevin's got a gun! I don't want to get shot! I don't want to get killed! I'm outta here!

    Reilly: I'm not going to shoot you, Herm. This gun is for me. I can't live in a world where the Eagles are eliminated in the first round for the second year in a row. I just want to end it all!

    Matt Millen: I think you need to call a suicide hotline. And here's what I mean by call. There's a phone over there by the wall. You can walk over to it and pick it up. Once you do that, you'll hear a noise. Starting dialing by pressing 10 random numbers, and you'll call someone. But if you have 10 specific numbers, you can call someone you really want to call instead of just calling a random person. That's what I mean by call.

    Emmitt: Matt Miller, you are not very helpfulness right now. Kasey know how to operate the telephone machine. What he need to learn is that sometimes a team meet its match maker in the playoff. If you think your team is gonna win every year in the doggone playoff, then you basically puttin' all your egg in one basketball.

    Reilly: You're right, Emmitt. That makes me feel better. The Eagles will definitely win the Super Bowl next year!

    Griese: This should be a good matchup between Drew Bledsoe and Vinny Testaverde.

    Millen: The quarterbacks in this game are Mark Sanchez and Tom Brady. Two young stallions, going head to head to see which guy's kielbasa is bigger. As I always say, the bigger the kielbasa, the more of a man you are. Mark Sanchez has a big kielbasa, but Tom Brady's kielbasa is the biggest and best. I wouldn't mind taking a bite out of that kielbasa tonight in my hotel room.

    Theismann: I'm sure you wouldn't mind some mustard on that kielbasa, eh Matt? That's because you're fat!

    Millen: Mustard, ketchup and relish!

    Reilly: Emmitt, these guys are f***ing weird.

    Emmitt: Kyle, you tooked the word right out from inside my mouth.

    Reilly: Yeah, let's get the hell out of here. We'll be back after a word from our local sponsors! Yeah, right...

    NEW ENGLAND OFFENSE: When the Patriots and Jets squared off in Week 13, I loved the former, picking them to cover the 3.5-point spread for four units. One of the main reasons was because I felt New York matched up poorly defensively against New England. Who would Darrelle Revis cover? Tom Brady has so many perfectly tailored weapons at his disposal, making it impossible for Rex Ryan to slow down his offense.

    This obviously frustrated Ryan, who called Brady "overrated" because he's just a product of Bill Belichick's offense. More on that later.

    Still, the same problem presents itself: How will Ryan handle New England's extremely versatile offense? I can imagine that Ryan locked himself in a room following that 45-3 debaclation and spent countless hours trying to figure out how to contain the Patriots. I'm just not sure that's possible.

    NEW YORK OFFENSE: There are only two ways you can beat the Patriots: 1) Pray that Brady has bad luck (i.e. dropped balls bouncing into the hands of defenders, fumbles, etc.) or 2) Outscore New England in a shootout.

    If the Jets can't get No. 1 to happen, they can forget about winning this game. Mark Sanchez plays well at times, but he's so erratic. You can never count on him to not sail a pass over his target's head for an interception. And don't get me started on Braylon Edwards and Santonio Holmes. I'll be shocked if they don't combine for a couple of key drops in this contest.

    New York will have some luck running the football, though it remains to be seen if the team can pound the ball 35 times like it did against the Colts. If the Patriots aren't way ahead early on, the Jets can feed the ball to Shonn Greene and the suddenly spry LaDainian Tomlinson. The two backs combined for 110 yards on just 23 carries in the previous meeting.

    RECAP: This game really frustrates me. All my numbers and situational angles say the Jets will cover. Let's go through them first:

    1. I brushed on this last week - teams entering the playoffs on a long winning streak usually don't cover their first postseason game as home favorites. How bad is it? They're 2-10 against the spread (2-7 off a bye) if they've won four or more in a row. If the winning streak is five-plus, they're 1-7 ATS (1-6 off a bye).

    The reasoning behind this? Teams on long winning streaks are generally overvalued by the public, causing the oddsmakers to bump up the spread way too much.

    That's exactly what happened here. The Jets were +3.5 at New England in Week 13. Now they're +8.5. Overreaction, much? The real spread should be +6 or so.

    2. As with the Ravens and Packers, playoff teams coming off a road win in Round 1 are 7-2 against the spread in Round 2 since 2005.

    3. For the third time, playoff teams with a week off are 10-18 against the spread since 2003 (7-13 since 2005).

    4. As mentioned above, Ryan must have worked tirelessly to come up with a solution for the New England offense. There's no way this is going to be another 45-3 blowout. I think this game will be decided by one score.

    So, why am I frustrated? Because while Ryan is a genius, he's also a major dumb a**. As mentioned, Ryan called Tom Brady "overrated."

    This may have been the dumbest coaching move since Marty Mornhinweg kicked off in overtime (I hope some NFL team hires him for comedic value). One of the many reasons Brady is one of the best quarterbacks of all time is because he's played with a giant chip on his shoulder throughout his entire career. I forget who said it, but someone on ESPN recently noted that Brady still asks media members, "Can you believe I was the 199th pick in the draft?"

    No one holds a grudge in the NFL like Brady. And if there was any chance Brady was going to take the Jets lightly in the wake of that 45-3 thrashing, forget about it. Brady will be out for blood. Rex Ryan's greasy blood.

    With a gun to my head, I'd still take the Jets to cover. But there's no way I'm betting against an angry Brady.


    The Psychology. Edge: Patriots.
    Why did Rex Ryan call Tom Brady overrated? That's like poking a caged animal.


    The Vegas. Edge: Jets.
    Three-quarters action on the Patriots.
  • Percentage of money on New England: 71% (162,000 bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Jets.
  • History: Patriots have won 13 of the last 16 meetings.
  • History: Home Team has won the last 4 meetings.
  • Worst Bye: Playoff teams coming off byes are 10-18 ATS since 2003 (7-13 since 2005).
  • Road Warriors: Playoff teams coming off a road win in Round 1 are 7-2 ATS in Round 2 since 2005.
  • Jets are 12-7 ATS on the road since 2009.
  • Jets are 9-5 ATS as underdogs since 2009.
  • Patriots are 33-19 ATS vs. AFC East opponents since 2001.
  • Patriots are 20-11 ATS in December home games since 2000.
  • Tom Brady is 122-38 as a starter (94-62 ATS).
  • Tom Brady is 14-4 in the playoffs (8-10 ATS).
  • Opening Line: Patriots -9.
  • Opening Total: 45.
  • Weather: Partly cloudy, 25 degrees. Light wind.


    Week 19 NFL Pick: Patriots 38, Jets 31
    Jets +9 (0 Units) -- Correct; $0
    Over 44 (0 Units) -- Correct; $0
    Jets 28, Patriots 21





    Week 19 NFL Picks - Saturday Games
    Ravens at Steelers, Packers at Falcons


    Prop/Teaser/Parlay Picks
    A list of some of my favorite team/player prop picks this week
    (Offense & defensive ROY picks to be counted whenver winners are announced.) Picks carried over on a week-to-week basis will be in black.


  • Moneyline Underdog: Seahawks +350 (1 Unit)
  • Teaser: Packers +7.5, Ravens +9 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100

    Leave a comment

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    YOU ALL SUCK HAIRY BUTTHOLE 11-03-2011 02:29 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.104 (total posts: 1)
    14     36

    WALTER IS A SAG ASS AND ALL THE PEOPLE ON HERE ARE HIS COLLECTIVE DILDO. SEE YOU IN HELLLLLLLLLLLLLLLL!!!!!!!!! TROLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOL
    Chad 11-03-2011 02:25 pm xxx.xxx.xxx0.66 (total posts: 65)
    16     18

    To be more specific, I think FSU's 34-0 beatdown of NC State last week has inflated the spread vs. BC this week, and I love betting against DD favorites a week after they blow someone out. Especially teams I feel are over-rated. It's not a lock but it wins for me more often than not.

    On the flip side of that, the team that got blown out in that game (NC State) I think will bounce back and beat UNC on Saturday. NC state has owned UNC the past 3 or 4 years and I expect that trend to continue. Of course NC State no longer has Russel Wilson and that might be why they beat UNC lately..
    Chad 11-03-2011 02:12 pm xxx.xxx.xxx0.66 (total posts: 65)
    14     13

    I like BC +14.5 tonight because they're at home and Florida State is over-rated. FSU hasn't beaten a quality opponent yet, and they're just not good enough to cover 14.5.

    Cowbell 11-03-2011 01:41 pm xxx.xxx.xxx86.5 (total posts: 3)
    14     14

    Something tells me I will go down long before Vegas but I will take the Broncos even though Tebow will go down before any of us. In this Bizzaro world though I predict a Charger win over the Packers and the Bears winning at Philadelpia.
    Cowbell 11-03-2011 01:36 pm xxx.xxx.xxx86.5 (total posts: 3)
    14     13

    Lol, good stuff Walt.
    Maybe the systems are changing and you have to change with them, did that in NBA betting 12 years ago, or its just a rough patch. Anyways it could pave a career in stand-up for you.
    ps Don't stop the draft, its awesome. And I am expecting a nice turnaround by your handicapping soon (college BB is coming up :) )
    http://www.walterfootballsucks.com 11-03-2011 01:26 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.208 (total posts: 3)
    37     19

    I'm sure you guys are as sick as we are with Walter's unimpressive picks this year, so we decided to set up a site to point out Walter's flaws! We make weekly picks, recap the games, and even poke a little fun at Walter and where he's gone wrong this week. Check it out: http://www.walterfootballsucks.com !

    This weeks power rankings, picks, and "Walter's Falters" are up already! We're updating weekly so keep checking back!
    Matt 11-03-2011 12:56 pm xxx.xxx.xxx0.33 (total posts: 16)
    23     15

    "I'm going to be fading most publicly backed teams this week in hopes that Vegas recovers from all of their losses. If I'm going down, I'm taking the sportsbooks with me. "-Walt

    Good Point 8-Track. Cmon Walt. It's like you are giving up. That is an extremely lazy statement. Let's just go against publicly backed teams and hope Vegas has a good week, right? No wonder your analysis' contradict themselves. L-A-Z-Y.
    Matt 11-03-2011 12:50 pm xxx.xxx.xxx0.33 (total posts: 16)
    15     13

    I agree Satan. For the last few pages I have been preaching about how this is a favorable matchup for Pitt. I think Walt and others are putting too much emphasis on the line being "curious".
    duece 11-03-2011 12:21 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.185 (total posts: 1)
    13     13

    @dangers
    the line is low due to recent history of a coast to coast game..the visitor usually loses or comes out flat causing a low scoring close game
    Dangers 11-03-2011 12:16 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.185 (total posts: 1)
    14     16

    Can someone explain to me why the 49ers are only -3.5 ? With how good there playing and vice versa for the redskins I see this one being like 34-10 49ers
    Satan 11-03-2011 11:57 am xxx.xxx.xxx.126 (total posts: 191)
    16     12

    I've seen everyone saying BC is the way to go tonight, but not a lot of reasoning behind the pick.

    This seems like an obvious spot to fade the favorite, but at the same time, FSU has been one of the most dominant teams in the country over the last few weeks since they got EJ back, and their defense has been even scarier than their offense.

    If someone can explain to me how they expect BC to put up points, I'll pick them, so somebody steer me off the public bet.
    CODY THE TROPHY 11-03-2011 11:50 am xxx.xxx.xxx1.23 (total posts: 1)
    14     12

    WALT YOU CANT BE SERIOUS ABOUT MIAMI WINNING IN KC CAN YOU?? THE CHIEFS FORCED PHILLIP RIVERS INTO 3 TURNOVERS AND WOULD HAVE BEEN 4 HAD FLOWERS NOT DROPPED THAT EASY PICK. MATT MOORE WILL BE SEEING RED THIS SUNDAY GUARANTEED.
    Chad 11-03-2011 10:36 am xxx.xxx.xxx0.66 (total posts: 65)
    12     17

    Agree with dog killer about BC +14.5. I'm all over that one too

    Also my Saturday pick of the day is NC State getting 3.5 at home vs. UNC. I live in North Carolina and State HATES UNC. Their coach will get fired if they lose to UNC this weekend. They will be UPPP for UNC. Take NC State +3.5 all day just trust me on it.
    ajl6 11-03-2011 10:29 am xxx.xxx.xxx6.73 (total posts: 4)
    13     12

    @stoickspicks, any picks for this week and how about a link??
    Satan 11-03-2011 09:39 am xxx.xxx.xxx.126 (total posts: 191)
    13     13

    I can't believe the line movement is actually in favor of Baltimore right now (Pitt went from -3.5 to -3.. huh?!)...

    How could anybody trust Flacco on the road against a defense that just held Brady to 17 points? His completion percentage is at a career low right now, as are his yards per attempt... if Anquan Boldin didn't save his ass for a couple drives in the 2nd half, there's a decent chance the Ravens would've been spending this week running Tyrod Taylor with the 1's. Boldin won't be of much assistance if he draws Ike Taylor on Sunday.







    2013 NBA Mock Draft - May 22


    2013 Fantasy Football Rankings - May 22


    2014 NFL Mock Draft - May 21


    Charlie's 2014 NFL Mock Draft - May 20


    NFL Picks - Feb. 3




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    2003 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 16-13-1 (55.2%)
    2004 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-11 (62.1%)
    2005 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%)
    2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%)
    2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420)
    2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055)
    2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330)
    2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790)
    2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)

    2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
    2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
    2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
    2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
    2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
    2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
    2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
    2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
    2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
    2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
    2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)

    2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
    2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775
    2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865
    2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200
    2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590

    2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
    2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)
    2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
    2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640)
    2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)
    2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)

    Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 1,876-1,720-106, 52.2% (+$6,915)
    Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 611-545-31 (52.9%)
    Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 253-225-7 (52.9%)
    Career Over-Under: 1409-1408-42 (50.0%)
    Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 22-14-1 (61.1%)
    Career NFL Picks of the Month: 24-16 (60.0%)



    My Team-by-Team ATS Record
    This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

    Cowboys: 8-8 (W2)
    Bears: 6-10 (L1)
    Bucs: 8-7 (L1)
    49ers: 8-10 (W1)
    Eagles: 8-8 (L1)
    Lions: 8-7 (L2)
    Falcons: 4-12 (L4)
    Cardinals: 11-5 (W3)
    Giants: 6-9 (L6)
    Packers: 7-11 (L1)
    Panthers: 9-7 (W4)
    Rams: 9-7 (L1)
    Redskins: 9-8 (L1)
    Vikings: 6-10 (W1)
    Saints: 7-9 (W2)
    Seahawks: 9-9 (L3)
    Bills: 6-10 (L3)
    Bengals: 8-8 (W1)
    Colts: 9-8 (L2)
    Broncos: 4-13 (L1)
    Dolphins: 9-6 (W1)
    Browns: 7-8 (W1)
    Jaguars: 7-9 (L1)
    Chargers: 7-9 (L1)
    Jets: 8-8 (L1)
    Ravens: 12-8 (W2)
    Texans: 9-7 (W1)
    Chiefs: 8-8 (W2)
    Patriots: 10-7 (W1)
    Steelers: 7-8 (W1)
    Titans: 8-8 (L1)
    Raiders: 6-10 (L1)
    Divisional: 42-50 (2011: 48-43)
    2x Game Edge: 20-18 (2011: 21-22)
    2x Psych Edge: 28-31 (2011: 29-23)
    2x Vegas Edge: 40-49 (2011: 49-55)
    2x Trend Edge: 28-31 (2011: 20-24)
    Double Edge: 6-17 (2011: 11-6)
    Triple Edge: 0-1 (2011: 1-0)
    Quad Edge: 0-0 (2011: 0-0)

    2003 Preseason: 3 | 4 | 5
    2003 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 20 | XXXVIII
    2004 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
    2004 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XXXIX
    2005 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
    2005 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XL
    2006 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
    2006 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLI
    2007 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
    2007 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLII |
    2008 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
    2008 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLIII |
    2009 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLIV |
    2010 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
    2010 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLV |
    2011 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
    2011 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLVI |
    2012 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
    2012 Season:
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    Super Bowl XLVII NFL Pick
    2013 Season:
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