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2012 NCAA Tournament Picks: Computer Rankings



2012 NCAA Tournament Picks:
South | West | East | Midwest | Final Four 2012 NCAA Tournament Home
2012 NCAA Tournament Bracket Breakdowns:
East | West | Midwest | South
2012 NCAA Tournament Resources:
Computer Rankings



2012 NCAA Tournament: Computer Rankings


If you've been following my NCAA Tournament Picks for a while, you know that I like to eliminate teams that can't win on the road, have freshman point guards, etc. You also may have noticed that I haven't updated my info pages this year.

The reason for this? I asked a math whiz friend of mine to construct a formula that incorporated everything I looked for in the NCAA Tournament. I just had to plug all of the numbers in, and Excel spit out the results.

Below are the computer rankings that I used for my NCAA Tournament picks. The fields I looked at were: offensive efficiency, defensive efficiency, coaching history in the tournament, number of conference blowout victories, point differential, freshmen point guards, road victories, success in the final 10 games, strength of schedule, and other miscellaneous things like whether a team has only one scorer or a major injury. These attributes are all weighted based on importance.

Obviously, the closer the number is to zero, the better the team is:

  • Kentucky - 39.67
  • Michigan State - 40.56
  • North Carolina - 46.50
  • Wichita State - 47.66 (shocked by this)
  • Memphis - 53.92 (should be much higher than No. 8 seed!)
  • Ohio State - 57.55
  • Vanderbilt - 59.03
  • Kansas - 62.94
  • Syracuse - 65.37 (with penalty for Fab Melo)
  • Indiana - 68.08
  • Saint Louis - 69.81 (should be much higher than No. 9 seed!)
  • Baylor - 71.25

  • Wisconsin - 72.09
  • Marquette - 73.67
  • Duke - 73.72 (very overrated)
  • New Mexico - 74.63
  • VCU - 74.75 (should be much higher than No. 12 seed!)
  • Missouri - 75.48
  • Florida State - 79.28
  • Belmont - 80.15
  • Georgetown - 80.28 (poor coaching drags them down)
  • Purdue - 81.16
  • Michigan - 83.93
  • California - 86.35
  • Cincinnati - 87.77
  • Louisville - 89.04 (122th in offensive efficiency)
  • Gonzaga - 89.04
  • Temple - 89.98
  • N.C. State - 90.44
  • Davidson - 91.09
  • Connecticut - 92.53
  • Murray State - 94.89
  • Long Beach State - 94.89
  • New Mexico State - 96.97
  • Kansas State - 98.48
  • Iowa State - 99.03
  • Florida - 99.24
  • Xavier - 99.27

  • Harvard - 102.05
  • Saint Mary's - 104.91
  • Notre Dame - 104.96
  • UNLV - 106.19
  • Ohio - 106.84
  • St. Bonaventure - 108.00
  • San Diego State - 109.49
  • Creighton - 111.87
  • South Dakota State - 113.74
  • Alabama - 114.63
  • Colorado State - 118.38
  • BYU - 120.64
  • Texas - 124.70
  • Montana - 124.90

  • Iona - 126.23
  • Virginia - 126.37
  • Colorado - 131.14
  • Lehigh - 131.26
  • Detroit - 133.30
  • West Virginia - 135.67
  • South Florida - 136.25
  • Southern Miss - 139.29
  • UNC-Asheville - 143.14
  • Lamar - 145.67
  • Vermont - 148.50
  • Long Island - 176.60
  • Western Kentucky - 179.99
  • Loyola-Maryland - 185.70
  • Norfolk State - 225.52
  • Mississippi Valley St. - 238.61

    2012 NCAA Tournament Picks:
    South | West | East | Midwest | Final Four 2012 NCAA Tournament Home
    2012 NCAA Tournament Bracket Breakdowns:
    East | West | Midwest | South
    2012 NCAA Tournament Resources:
    Computer Rankings




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    Murat 01-02-2014 06:44 am xxx.xxx.xxx.165 (total posts: 2)
    1     1

    Such beautiful imeagry! I would love to have lived when women dressed so thoughtfully and elegantly. However, I would have wanted the comfort of modern underpinnings (garters and boning sound like torture).
    Constaze 01-02-2014 05:52 am xxx.xxx.xxx1.90 (total posts: 1)
    1     1

    OMG!!!-)*Brilliant post,my dear DJA!!!I LOVE all images irdbecinly much!-)))))))))))))))))))))***Photoshoot is amazing work and model and the style of fashion is absolutely stunnig!!!Tank you,darling for these post!-)I feel me as a very jong girl with a lovely smile on my fase!-)*My love and hugs,***Violetta***
    Feryal 01-02-2014 04:44 am xxx.xxx.xxx.100 (total posts: 1)
    1     1

    The abitily to think like that shows you're an expert
    What the heck? 11-15-2013 06:26 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.126 (total posts: 1)
    2     2

    Its says temple beat California when you said California wins. Awkward
    Kevin 03-18-2012 01:26 am xxx.xxx.xxx.171 (total posts: 1)
    13     13

    Guess you know where Norfolk St. is now don't you?
    wow 03-16-2012 08:59 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.124 (total posts: 1)
    23     22

    way to not pick Norfolk State
    waltsucks 03-15-2012 09:33 pm xxx.xxx.xxx5.42 (total posts: 1)
    35     14

    Great pick on the Shockers!!!!
    Ben 03-14-2012 04:32 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.109 (total posts: 1)
    16     20

    Pointing out Iowa State's recent woes and using it as ammo to pick UConn huh? Apparently you forgot that UConn is 8-12 since Jan. 1. Nice research.
    Spenser 03-14-2012 03:38 pm xxx.xxx.xxx3.41 (total posts: 1)
    16     14

    Kentucky has a better offense than UNC? lol not a chance. they won by 1 @ Rupp. UK gets atleast a 6 point home court advantage. also UNC wins that game if Henson doesnt miss two wide open dunks. revenge is a factor in that game and UNC has been waiting 4 months to see UK again. what happened last time they lost by 1 to a top team (Duke)? they SMASHED them. UNC 75, UK 70.
    C Rhodes 03-14-2012 12:09 pm xxx.xxx.xxx1.20 (total posts: 1)
    16     15

    Will you update your thoughts on the elite 8 matchup? Vandy vs OSU
    CJ 03-14-2012 06:05 am xxx.xxx.xxx6.44 (total posts: 1)
    15     23

    Walt seems to be analyzing the coaches quite a bit, in the UNC/KU match-up in particular. That game will be in St. Louis, and essentially be a home game for Kansas. I asked Walt about this:

    CJ: So Walt, what about the actual players in the potential Kansas/North Carolina match-up?

    Walt (doing his best Harry Caray impression): Trust me Norm, they won't be a factor!
    Some Guy 03-14-2012 01:52 am xxx.xxx.xxx.226 (total posts: 2)
    22     24

    I will say though(about Kentucky) that they are the most talented team in the Tourney.
    Some Guy 03-14-2012 01:51 am xxx.xxx.xxx.226 (total posts: 2)
    20     25

    I don't see Kentucky winning the National Championship, I don't really trust a team with that much inexperience to go all the way. I can easily see them losing to Wichita State.
    Basketball writer 03-13-2012 11:52 pm xxx.xxx.xxx0.69 (total posts: 1)
    41     33

    I think Walter has a good east bracket, but his one slip up was putting Ohio st beating Vandy. Vandy is the most underrated team in the tourney. Meanwhile Ohio st is the most underrated team in the tourney. Vandy peaking at the right time. I think the Dores have a chance to raise a banner in Nashville this year. What are you guys thoughts on this?
    Wow 03-13-2012 05:46 pm xxx.xxx.xxx9.34 (total posts: 1)
    40     27

    Love the originality in this bracket. 3 #1s and a #2, way to completely mail in your picks this year.


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