Week 8 notes...Hey guys, I unearthed some interesting situational trends/angles for this week. First off, road teams coming off of a tie are 0-7 SU and ATS the following week, losing by an avg. of 19.3 points. This makes sense considering they played an entire extra quarter, and now have to travel. This puts Seattle and Arizona in very tough spots. Seattle has to go on at 10 AM local time against Drew Bress. The Saints are averaging 36 PPG at home this season. Seattle's defense was also on the field for 47 minutes on Sunday! That's like playing a game and a half in one night. The Cardinals have to face a Panthers team coming off of a bye. Teams off a bye are 34-15 SU against teams who just played an OT game...I like how Walter lists Carolina as an underrated team. They are only giving the standard 3 points this week, and the public isn't really betting on them that much as of right now. They final appear to be a in a decent betting position....On to the New England game. Under Belichick, the Patriots are 10-2 ATS and 11-1 SU in regular season revenge games. With Brady, they are 8-0 SUATS. Brady didn't play in the first game against the Bills, but he should be completely focused considering this is his first game vs. an AFC East foe since his return. And finally, the last four times New England was looking for revenge in the regular season, they won by a combined score of 166-51! Trends and angles don't mean everything, but I still wanted to pass along this info.
The Ravens send the Chargers their 1st and 3rd rd picks this yr and next for their 1st rd pick
The Cowboys send QB Romo to the Jest for their 2nd rd pick
The Dolphins sned QB Tanneyhill to the 49ers for their 2nd rd pick
The Bears send QB Cutler to the Dolphins for their 2nd rd pick
A list of the top 2011 NBA Free Agent small forwards.
Tayshaun Prince (UFA), Pistons.
I think it is time for Prince to move on with his career. Detroit is not heading in the right direction and Prince probably wants to be back on a contender. I would imagine he would be a highly-sought after player due to his ability to mesh well and play his role. However, Detroit can pay him more than any other team if they want to bring him back.
Predicted Contract: 4 years, $26 million
Possible Destinations: DET, SA, BOS, ORL, UTAH, LAC
Wilson Chandler (RFA), Nuggets.
Entering the final year of his deal, Chandler is due for a raise from the $3.1 million that his qualifying offer is worth. If Denver is not willing to sign him to an extension, I would expect other teams to throw an offer sheet his way. Since Chandler was one of the key pieces in the �Melo deal, the Nuggets would be foolish to let him walk without getting anything in return. However, if the price is too rich, Chandler could find a new home.
Predicted Contract: 5 years, $35 million
Possible Destinations: DEN, CLE, WAS, CHA, LAC
Caron Butler (UFA), Mavericks.
Butler�s value really took a hit this season due to a knee injury that cost him the final 53 games of the year. It will be interesting to see how that affects his worth this summer. Dallas has a few free agents on the wing and will probably try to bring Butler and can afford to pay him more than any other tem. If not, there should still be some teams knocking on Butler�s door especially if he is willing to take the mid-level.
Predicted Contract: 3 years, $15 million
Possible Destinations: DAL, CLE, ORL, LAC, NO
Shane Battier (UFA), Grizzlies.
You can never undervalue the importance of experience, leadership, and winning. That is what Battier still brings to the table outside of his ability to defend and knock down open threes. He filled in admirably for the injured Rudy Gay in Memphis and I would expect Memphis to try and re-sign Battier in a key reserve role. Several other playoff teams will be seeking out Battier with their mid-level exception so I expect him to be a hot commodity this off-season.
Predicted Contract: 3 years, $17 million
Possible Destinations: MEM, SA, BOS, ORL, UTAH, LAC
Grant Hill (UFA), Suns.
Hill has revived his career and despite being 38 years old, is continuing to play at a high level. He has transformed into one of the better all-around defenders in the league and his experience and team attitude should make him attractive to all playoff contenders. The Suns should want to bring Hill back but he could very easily move on in hopes of finally landing a ring.
Predicted Contract: 2 years, $5 million
Possible Destinations: MIA, NY, PHX, BOS
Andrei Kirilenko (UFA), Jazz.
Kirilenko once again struggled to stay healthy and with Gordon Hayward emerging late in the season, the Jazz could be ready to bid adieu to AK47. He is only 30 years old though and still brings great versatility to the forward position meaning there will be other teams vying for his services. One thing is for sure; he will make no where near the almost $18 million he made this past season.
Predicted Contract: 4 years, $18 million
Possible Destinations: UTAH, SA, WAS, MEM, ORL, TOR
C.J. Miles (TO), Jazz.
With a very reasonable $3.7 million team option for the 2011-2012 season, expect Miles to be back with the Jazz next season especially since Utah is thin on the wing and Kirilenko could have played his final game in Utah.
Predicted Contract: Jazz pick up team option
Possible Destinations: UTAH
Thaddues Young (QO), 76ers.
Assuming the Sixers extend the almost four-million dollar qualifying offer Young�s way, he will become a restricted free agent. I am not sure he has done enough to warrant a major raise and long-term extension, but he is only 22 years old so his room for growth is still plentiful.
Predicted Contract: Plays out rookie contract
Possible Destinations: PHI
James Jones (UFA), Heat.
Jones re-signed with Miami for the league minimum last off-season and will probably want a significant pay raise coming off a year in which he was one of the most efficient three-point shooters in the league. A lot of teams could use an outside threat like Jones coming off their bench and he should come at a fairly reasonable rate.
Predicted Contract: 4 years, $18 million
Possible Destinations: MIA, PHX, LAC, SA, LAL, TOR, CLE, CHA, WAS
Mike Dunleavy (UFA), Pacers.
Injuries continue to hamper Dunleavy�s effectiveness on the floor despite averaging a solid 11.2 points, 4.6 rebounds per game this past season. He is likely nothing more than a valuable role player but should see interest from several playoff caliber teams. I would expect him to a hefty pay cut from the $10.5 million he made last season.
Predicted Contract: 3-years, $12 million
Possible Destinations: IND, BOS, TOR, CLE, CHA, WAS, LAC, PHX
Other Free Agent Small Forwards: Kelenna Azubuike (UFA), Matt Barnes (PO), Derrick Brown (UFA), Chase Budinger (TO), Rodney Carney (UFA), Earl Clark (TO), Maurice Evans (UFA), Gary Forbes (UFA), Josh Howard (UFA), Luc Mbah a Moute (UFA), Dominic McGuire (UFA), Jamario Moon (TO), Steve Novak (UFA), Vladimir Radmonovic (UFA), Peja Stojakovic (UFA), DeJuan Summers (RFA), Al Thornton (UFA), Damien Wilkins (UFA), Reggie Williams (UFA), Shawne Williams (UFA), Julian Wright (QO)