By Mike Elworth
This is a new feature where I’ll list Disaster Ratings (one being the least problematic, to 10 being code red) for NBA clubs involving offseason retirements and injuries. With some of the recent players going down or calling it quits, I thought it would be nice to have a new section where I can discuss and rate everything.
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Dec. 30 Updates
Alec Burks will miss about 6 weeks with a broken leg: 4/10 Disaster Rating Alec Burks is the best guard in Utah and is having a solid season off the bench; he was fifth in my Sixth Man Rankings. He will be missed, however, Utah has a lot of depth on this team. The Jazz should use their best scorer, Gordon Hayward, at the two a lot more and use their excellent frontcourt to play big. Yes, he will miss games, but I think Utah will be fine and still make the playoffs, getting the eighth seed in the average Western conference. There is a chance this might really hurt the Jazz’s mediocre offense, but I think they are fine.
Eric Bledsoe will miss the season with a meniscus tear: 10/10 Disaster Rating The Phoenix Suns’ season is now just about played, as they were struggling and now have zero chance at the playoffs, as their best player, Eric Bledsoe, will miss the season after tearing his left meniscus. I thought the Suns had a chance to make the playoffs to start the season, and although they weren’t playing well, they could still have made it if they had Bledsoe and Brandon Knight healthy, but now this team’s season is lost. It’s a shame; Phoenix has some solid pieces and could have made a run to the NBA’s second season.
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Dec. 29 Updates
Blake Griffin will miss 2 or more weeks with a torn quad: 10/10 Disaster Rating Blake Griffin was injured in the Christmas game against the Lakers, and the report says he will be checked again in two weeks, so expect it to be at least three weeks. This is a big injury, as the Clippers are playing mediocre basketball this season and have no depth. This means more Josh Smith, which isn’t what anybody wants to hear in L.A., except for maybe Lakers fans. Chris Paul, J.J. Redick and DeAndre Jordan will need to take bigger scoring roles, but the Clippers are in trouble. They can make it two weeks and be .500, but if this is for a month or more, as I think it will be, they could be the 6-8 seed in a very weak Western Conference by then. Blake Griffin is the Clippers, so this is a 10.
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Dec. 28 Updates
Joakim Noah will miss 2-4 weeks with a tear in his shoulder: 5/10 Disaster Rating Joakim Noah is the soul of the Chicago Bulls and the 2014 NBA Defensive Player of the Year, plus my favorite for Sixth Man of the Year this season, so he will be missed with his injury. However, Noah has missed a lot of games for the Bulls and they have been fine. They have one of the best set of big men in the league, and although they will miss his defense and distributing, this means more playing time for rookie Bobby Portis, who looks like he will be a starter for the Bulls in the next couple seasons, and for Nikola Mirotic, who is having trouble with his game in his second season. The Bulls have the defense and talent to keep winning and still be the second seed in the East for a month, and I love that the young talent can get minutes. Yes, they aren’t as talented right now, but it’s just a few weeks, they will be fine.
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Dec. 22 Updates
Jason Kidd will miss at least a month after surgery: 5/10 Disaster Rating So another injured coach, weird. The Bucks are having a poor season, but Jason Kidd is an excellent NBA coach, so this is big. As I don’t know who Joe Prunty is and he will be coaching, this is really big. It’s a shame because the Bucks were improving and Michael Carter-Williams, who has been really starting to play well, is an elite point guard prospect and Jason Kidd’s chosen man to run the team. Injuries have really hurt the Bucks, but it seems their slim playoff chances are slimmer without one of the most talented coaches in the league. This is now two coaches this season, so weird.
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Dec. 21 Updates
Brandon Wright will miss 6-8 weeks with a knee injury: 3/10 Disaster Rating The Grizzlies’ big offseason signing, Brandon Wright will miss about two months as he just had surgery on his injured knee. I don’t know how to rate this, as it’s not like he was playing, as he’s missed a month to date and the Grizzlies are having a lot of issues. They seem to be the only team in the NBA that hasn’t taken small-ball to heart, as they built their team with a big man duo that is now aging, haven’t improved as a team and cannot shoot the ball. Memphis is now at least trying small-ball, and Zach Randolph is now the sixth man, so one would have to think that Wright would be playing less than the 17 minutes he was averaging, but he is an excellent shot-blocker and small-ball-center. Wright will be missed, but the Grizzlies just aren’t a contender, so really does it matter? Meh.
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Dec. 17 Updates
Greivis Vasquez will miss about 3 months with an ankle injury: 5/10 Disaster Rating The Bucks aren’t starting a point guard right now, I have no idea why, as I love the talent of Michael Carter-Williams, who is playing well, but they do need more help at the one, which is why they signed Vasquez. He is one of the best distributors in the NBA, and the Bucks will miss him a lot after ankle surgery. They were seen as a playoff lock to start the season, but they are not playing well and this hurts their playoff hopes, as they need him to play.
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Dec. 14 Updates
Guard Bradley Beal will miss at least two weeks with a stress fracture: 9/10 Disaster Rating Bradley Beal has been excellent for the Wizards and is playing the best ball of his career. Losing him really hurts, and as stress fractures are tricky, two weeks could easily become four; they simply cannot afford for him to not play. Washington is a two-man team, with him and all-star point guard John Wall, and the franchise’s mediocre offense cannot just lose 20 points and 3 assists per game, and still be alright.
The Eastern Conference has 12 strong teams going for eight spots, and with the Wizards playing mediocre basketball, at best (9-12), in the weeks that Beal misses, they could be 5+ games from the No. 8 seed, and they lack the talent to climb the rankings. If this becomes more than two weeks, Washington will miss the playoffs.
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Dec. 8 Updates
Guard/Forward Rondae Hollis-Jefferson will miss about 2-3 months with a broken ankle: 5/10 Disaster Rating The Nets suck. It’s not their fault, they just have no talent, and now excellent rookie Ronade Hollis-Jefferson will be missed for at least two months, as he broke his ankle. He isn’t much of an offensive talent, but is a guard/forward who is an incredible rebounder with the potential of an elite defender and is the one young foundation piece this franchise has after Brook Lopez. It doesn’t hurt Brooklyn’s season, but a young player losing those months of play when he is proving himself as a starter and core player hurts. The one thing that can be looked at with optimistic eyes is that Bojan Bogdanovic, who the Nets want to trade, will have a chance to improve any trade if he plays well.
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Dec. 7 Updates
Center Willie Cauley-Stein will miss 4-6 weeks with an injured finger: 2/10 Disaster Rating Because of a finger dislocation (ugly), the sixth pick of the 2015 NBA Draft will miss at least a month of play. It’s a shame as he is playing well and is the best defender on the team. I made a joke to a friend that Cauley-Stein doesn’t touch the ball, so it doesn’t matter (Cauley-Stein is incredibly poor offensively), but he didn’t laugh, which was mean. Regardless, Sacramento still has DeMarcus Cousins and Kosta Koufos, as well as an excellent small-ball unit, so the club will be fine and so will Cauley-Stein. The Kings aren’t making the playoffs, so this won’t hurt their season in the slightest, but he is their best non-Cousins young player, and losing a month of his rookie season when he is playing so well does suck for him and the team.
Center Rudy Gobert will miss about 2-6 weeks with a knee sprain (MCL): 7/10 Disaster Rating An MCL sprain is normally a 2-6 week injury; it’s just about how injured the knee is. Regardless, no matter how many games Gobert is going to miss, it hurts the Jazz. They win with their defense, and he is a Defensive Player of the Year candidate, plus as the West playoffs are so close and the Jazz are playing so well, they cannot afford to lose too many games. Utah doesn’t have many options to replace him, so the team will likely have to play small, too, which takes away the team’s size advantage, which is actually its biggest advantage. Really this is the one player the Jazz cannot afford to lose, as he is so important to them. Forwards Derrick Favors and Gordon Hayward may be Utah’s best players, but to me, Gobert is this team’s MVP so this is a big loss; at least, it’s not a torn MCL.
Small forward Mike Dunleavy Jr. will miss 4-6 weeks with a back injury: 2/10 Disaster Rating Dunleavy was expected to start for the Bulls, but he hasn’t played this season due to a back injury that he has now tweaked again. He will miss at least another month, but the Bulls are fine with Doug McDermott, Tony Snell and Kirk Hinrich getting their minutes and Dunleavy’s. I actually forgot about the guy, and I live in Chicago, but the Bulls don’t need him this season. They do need him for the playoffs though, as having a proven shooter (McDermott and Snell are young) who knows the veterans well is important. Regardless, Dunleavy should be there mid-season, so that shouldn’t be an issue and isn’t right now. In two months, it could be one.
Guard Brandon Jennings will miss 3+ weeks with Achilles injury: 4/10 Disaster Rating This is the hardest one of these I have written. The Pistons are playing very well, but they have poor depth and getting back Brandon Jennings will help their bench a lot. However, he isn’t a role player, at least he doesn’t think he is, and Reggie Jackson is having an all-star season as the main ball-handler in Detroit. Not having to share the ball with Jennings, who hasn’t played, is a big reason why. Jennings will miss three more weeks at the least, and although the Pistons do need him, as their bench is poor, will he hurt them? He could. At least, the Pistons know that Jackson is their guy, and if there are problems, they can trade Jennings. Detroit needs Jennings’s depth, but I have no clue if the team actually needs him. Comment below on this.
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Dec. 1 Updates
Center Al Jefferson will miss 2-3 weeks with an injured calf: 6/10 Disaster Rating Reading the injury, it sounds like he is tending little cows, but no, he’s hurt; it sucks. He is considered the Hornets’ best player, but he is not this season, as he is having a relatively weak year. For half a decade, Jefferson has been one of the best offensive centers though, and although he probably couldn’t defend a little cow, he is Charlotte’s best scorer, and this is a much lesser team because he is hurt. While it is just a few weeks, the Hornets today are playing like one of the best teams in the conference, and in the crowded Eastern Conference, they cannot afford to lose what they have going for them. This does mean more time for Cody Zeller, and first-round pick and National Player of the Year Frank Kaminsky, which is nice when it comes to player development and evaluation for Charlotte, as Jefferson is a free agent and might not re-sign.
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Nov. 30 Updates
Forward Harrison Barnes will miss about a week with an ankle injury: 1/10 Disaster Rating The 18-0 Warriors lost a starter, but it happens to be the one they can actually afford to lose. Harrison Barnes is important to the Warriors and excellent, but they happen to have the NBA’s best bench small forward, Andre Iguodala, who is actually more talented than Barnes. Really the only thing that would hurt this team is an injury to Stephen Curry or Draymond Green, and as it is just a week, maybe a little more, Golden State is alright.
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Nov. 23 Updates
Guard Marcus Smart will miss 2-3 weeks with a hurt knee: 4/10 Disaster Rating The Celtics have some of the best depth in the league, but what they lack is elite talent; Smart is actually the only one. The second-year guard is an athletic defender who is developing into a distributor and scorer, and has shown his all-star potential in a few games this season, like a week ago when he had 26-5-3 in a win against the Thunder, but he has to be more consistent. Regardless, for the next 2-3 weeks this injury means little as the Celtics have more guards than they know what to do with. The fact that this is the same injury he had in training camp is why it’s a four, because repeat injuries must be looked at with fear by franchises and Smart is the only player on this team with all-star talent to me.
Center Jonas Valanciunas will miss about 6 weeks with a broken left hand: 7/10 Disaster Rating Jonas Valanciunas is the franchise big man on a second-tier Eastern Conference playoff team and the Raptors’ third-best player. Losing all-stars DeMar DeRozan or Kyle Lowry would hurt the Raptors more, but this is significant and not just them losing their best big man.
Over six weeks, Toronto will play about 20 games, and although the roster has some depth in the frontcourt with Bismack Biyombo, Anthony Bennett and Lucas Nogueira, they are all young and haven’t proven the ability to start in the NBA. Biyombo is also just 6-foot-9, Bennett is 6-foot-8 and Nogueira has played just eight NBA games. The Raptors will be losing size and 13 points and 9 rebounds a game, which they will not get from any of their secondary options, and this also hurts Valanciunas himself. He is still only 23, signed a big contract in the offseason, was having his best season and has all-star potential; an injury like this may hurt his development some.
The Eastern Conference is also incredibly close, with 12 teams with a real chance to make the playoffs, and although the Raptors aren’t going to miss the playoffs, they could lose valuable games when it comes to getting at least one series with home-court advantage, which is big, because their home crowd is excellent. This is an injury that really hurts a team, regardless of it being just a fourth of the season.
Center Timofey Mozgov will miss about two weeks with a hurt deltoid: 2/10 Disaster Rating I had to use Google to see what a deltoid is, and apparently it is a muscle on the arm, so yay for learning. As for Mozgov, I don’t think he cares that I had to spend 30 seconds to Google, which is somewhat rude, but he is injured, so I forgive him. Why am I rambling? Because he will be fine in a couple of weeks and the Cavaliers have Tristan Thompson, Sasha Kaun (not the singer) and Anderson Varjeao to play center off the bench, so if any starter on the Cavaliers was going to be injured, Mozgov is the one the team can best replace. Yes, he is excellent, but the Cavaliers are fine.
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Nov. 19 Updates
Small forward Martell Webster will miss the season with a hip issue: 2/10 Disaster Rating The Wizards will be missing one of their most talented reserves for the season after hip surgery. Martell Webster likely wasn’t going to be in the rotation if he wasn’t hurt, so I guess that means jack and is just my opinion, not the team’s. I know they wanted to trade him and his large salary, but now those chances go from tiny to nil, which is why this is a two and not a one (or zero).
Rookie forward Sam Dekker will miss the season with a back issue 4/10 Disaster Rating Sam Dekker, the 18th pick in the 2015 NBA Draft will miss the season because of back surgery. It’s a shame he will miss the season, but he wasn’t in the rotation so it doesn’t hurt the team for now. However, missing a season of development hurts Dekker and the team as he is a very talented young prospect; they also lose an excellent piece for any trade they would want to make.
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Nov. 17 Updates
Milwaukee forward Jabari Parker will miss about a week with foot injury: 3/10 Disaster Rating The Milwaukee Bucks have the best young roster not in Minnesota, and although Michael Carter-Williams, Giannis Antetokounmpo and Greg Monroe are elite talents, Parker is the most talented player on the Bucks. The 2014 NBA Draft’s second pick is an incredible offensive prospect who can play the three and four and should be a 20-25 point scorer in this league. Missing a week isn’t big, but he just started playing after missing the start of this season and most of his rookie season with an ACL tear, and already getting hurt again is not a promising sign. At least it isn’t another knee problem, but I would be concerned if I was Milwaukee.
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Nov. 13 Updates
Indiana forward Myles Turner will miss about a month with broken thumb: 1/10 Disaster Rating Myles Turner was the 11th pick in the 2015 NBA Draft, and although he isn’t starting for the Indiana Pacers, he has played well off the bench, averaging six points, three rebounds and a block in just 16 minutes per game. Regardless, Indiana likes to play small and have three solid, rotation big men with Jordan Hill, Ian Mahinmi and Lavoy Allen, so this team will be fine. Turner is helping now, and although he is considered a foundation piece, it will take him at least a season to be a solid starter for the Pacers. His loss today just doesn’t hurt them too much.
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Nov. 12 Updates
Oklahoma City Thunder forward Kevin Durant injures hamstring. Will miss at least 1 week: 9/10 Disaster Rating The actual hamstring injury isn’t a big deal to Oklahoma City today, as the team can go a week or so with him benched and be fine, but after missing most of the 2015 season and starting this season so well, getting injured two weeks into the season is not promising. However, hamstrings can be re-injured easily, and if this is a nagging problem, this cuts the Thunder’s title chances in half.
Denver Nuggets guard/forward Wilson Chandler will miss aeason with hip injury: 1/10 Disaster Rating Wilson Chandler signed a $44 million contract in the offseason, which was ridiculous, but he won’t play this season because of hip surgery. He is Denver’s third-best player, but this team should be re-building and should have tried to trade him. The Nuggets won’t make the playoffs, so losing one of their best players will help them lose more games and get a stronger pick in the first round of the 2016 NBA Draft, and Gary Harris and Will Barton, two of their strong young talents, should get more minutes, too. Being a lesser team helps the Nuggets. It sucks for Chandler, and I feel like a jerk giving him a 1/10, but for the franchise it helps.
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Nov. 11 Updates
New Orleans Pelicans center Kendrick Perkins will miss 3 months with pectoral injury: 5/10 Disaster Rating Normally when it comes to Kendrick Perkins, I would give this a 1/10, no matter what, as he is one of the most pathetic NBA players. However, the Pelicans are playing softly this season and their first two centers Omer Asik and Alexis Ajinca are still trying to get healthy from offseason injuries, so the squad needs his depth and his physicality. Perkins was a starter on a championship-winning team, so for a young team trying to become elite, he helps in the locker room and off the court, too. Kendrick Perkins sucks at basketball, but this basketball team needs him, so this injury is big, although it won’t hurt them much in wins and losses.
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Nov. 6 Updates
Sacramento Kings Center DeMarcus Cousins Has Sore Achilles: 4/10 Disaster RatingDeMarcus Cousins is arguably the best center in the NBA (I’d say Andre Drummond), and although he hurt his Achilles about a week ago, it was just expected to be a couple of games missed. Now, Cousins will miss a few more. Foot injuries are significant for any big man and Achilles injuries are among the most serious in sports, so the fact that he will miss more than expected is not a strong sign. He is likely to be fine, but if we get the same tweets in a week about him missing more games, this might become a 9/10.
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Oct. 30 Updates
Golden State Warriors Center Andrew Bogut has a Concussion: 2/10 Disaster RatingAndrew Bogut broke his nose in preseason, and although he was wearing a mask, an elbow or forearm caught him in the side of the head in Game 1, cutting him and giving him a concussion. A broken nose will heal like I said, but a concussion is no joke, as you football readers know so well. They aren’t too common in the NBA, and with two injuries in a couple of weeks, the injury-prone center is not faring well after two relatively healthy seasons. He is vital to the Warriors’ defense, but they can go 1-3 weeks with him on the bench because Festus Ezeli is an elite second-unit center. Concussions may have implications later for players, but for now, this doesn’t mean too much for the NBA’s best team.
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Detroit Pistons Guard Jodie Meeks Breaks Foot (Jones Fracture): 4/10 Disaster RatingThe Pistons have had an excellent start to the season, but they have pathetic depth, and with Jodie Meeks’ broken foot, they have lost their fourth perimeter option and bench shooter. They will miss him as they have to rely on the young Reggie Bullock, a former first-round pick who hasn’t played much in his first two seasons, and rookie Stanley Johnson who is their main reserve (should be starting). As shooting is vital to the Stan Van Gundy offense, this could be a costly loss as it is likely Detroit will miss him for three months or so. I don’t expect much from the Pistons this season, and they may look solid in Week 2, but they cannot lose valuable depth when they don’t have much of it.
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Oct. 19 Updates
Deron Williams Calf Injuries: 6/10 Disaster RatingDeron Williams hasn’t practiced much or played for the Mavericks in preseason because of calf injuries, and he could miss the start of his first season in Dallas. The injuries themselves aren’t big, but this team is already an injured mess, as Wesley Matthews and Chandler Parsons, the Mavericks’ second- and third-best players, are returning from big injuries themselves, and as Williams hasn’t been healthy in years, two injuries in zero games played isn’t promising. Dallas fans should probably be concerned about this. If the Mavericks want to make the playoffs, they will need Williams.
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Andrew Bogut Breaks Nose: 1/10 Disaster RatingThis is a rather small rating, so I will tell you a tale. About seven months ago as I was sleep-walking, I fell on my nose and it actually broke as my hands chose not to help me. It hurt a lot, and I had to set it myself because I don’t like hospitals, but it’s a bone and it healed in a few weeks, as bones normally do, and now I have something funny to tell my friends. Regardless, as important as Andrew Bogut’s defense and rebounding is to the Warriors, it will heal; he will just have to wear a mask for a few weeks. This won’t hurt the Warriors, and I got a chance to tell you a bit about myself, so I’d say it’s a win for all.
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Oct. 15 Updates
Head Coach Steve Kerr Injured (Yes, The Coach): 10/10 Disaster RatingThe reigning NBA Champions are missing their head coach Steve Kerr indefinitely, who is having issues with his two back surgeries from the offseason. Steve Kerr is only a second-year coach, but already one of the best, and although the Warriors are ridiculously talented, his leadership is vital to this team. The main assistant coach, after all, is the recently retired Luke Walton.
There is no doubt that Walton is a student of the game and will be a strong coach in this league, but he is just 35. Walton played 11 years in the NBA because of his intelligence and fit in the Triangle Offense, but as the Warriors don’t play the Triangle, so I don’t know what he will bring to the team or if he can earn the respect of his players, some of whom played against him. Also, how is Walton the main assistant on the defending champs? Shouldn’t they have a veteran?
It isn’t known the date of Kerr returning or if he will be there to start the season, but Golden State could have a rough start to the season if he misses time. This is likely a short-term issue, but the Warriors need Kerr, and while their home-court advantage is one of the best in the NBA, a slow start to the season could lose it for them.
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Oct. 13 Updates
Iman Shumpert will miss two months: 4/10 Disaster RatingThis injury happened a few weeks ago, but as we just started this column, I thought I would include it. Cleveland Cavaliers’ shooting guard Iman Shumpert will miss the first 1-2 months of the season with a torn muscle in his wrist. The Cavaliers have so much talent, but they are rather weak at the two and three after LeBron James, and Shumpert was likely to be a starter, as he is an excellent three-and-D player. Cleveland has J.R. Smith, Richard Jefferson, James Jones (ick) and Joe Harris (yikes) for depth, and so, Smith will likely start and Jefferson will likely have a bigger role than expected to start the season. The Cavaliers also have two excellent point guards on the bench in Mo Williams and Matthew Dellavedova, so I think more small ball is a stronger option than playing Jones or Harris.
It is true the Cavaliers will miss Shumpert and will need him in the playoffs, but they have depth on this team and are fine for 1-2 months.
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Charlotte Hornets lose Michael Kidd-Gilchrist for season: 9/10 Disaster RatingThe Charlotte Hornets’ starting small forward Michael Kidd-Gilchrist has a shoulder injury that will keep him sidelined for the season. One of the core players of this team, he signed a big contract in the offseason and was just finding himself in this league, so this is a big loss for the Hornets. Kidd-Gilchrist is an elite rebounder, an excellent defender and a strong scorer, who I think was going to have a big, big season, so losing him will hurt. Luckily, Charlotte traded for small forward Nicolas Batum in the offseason, and he will likely take the starting spot at the three; he was probably going to start at shooting guard. Batum is a defender, a scorer and a distributor, and is playing for a contract, but that Kidd-Gilchrist-Batum duo should have been the best non-Al Jefferson part of this team. This is a big loss for the Hornets and really hurts their playoff chances.
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