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NBA Picks

Note: Because I watch line movements and where the money is going, it's impossible for me to post an NBA selection around 5:30 on weeknights.
Last Week's Winnings (April 14-20): 5-0-1, +$1,070
2007-08 Season Winnings (as of April 20): 72-63-6, 53.3% (+$780)


Monday, March 31, 2008 (1-0, +$200)


Dallas Mavericks (45-28) at Los Angeles Clippers (22-51)
Line: Mavericks by 6.


The Mavericks have lost five of six and appear to be leaking oil. But look whom they lost to: Golden State, Denver, San Antonio, Boston and the Lakers. Brutal. They need this win, so I expect everyone on Dallas to be completely focused.


Prediction: Mavericks 100, Clippers 85
Mavericks -6 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200




Sunday, March 30, 2008 (1-0, +$300)


Houston Rockets (49-23) at San Antonio Spurs (50-23)
Line: Spurs by 6.5.


As I mentioned two days ago, it looks like the Spurs have gotten their act together. They've won six in a row, covering five of those contests.


Prediction: Spurs 97, Rockets 88
Spurs -6.5 (3 Units) -- Correct; +$300




Saturday, March 29, 2008 (0-0-1, -$30)


Golden State Warriors (44-27) at Denver Nuggets (44-28)
Line: Nuggets by 7.


It seems like the Nuggets have bonded ever since Allen Iverson failed to win in Philly. They've won and covered four in a row, and something tells me they run the Warriors out of the building.


Prediction: Nuggets 126, Warriors 111
Nuggets -7 (3 Units) -- Push; -$30




Friday, March 28, 2008 (1-0, +$200)


Minnesota Timberwolves (18-52) at San Antonio Spurs (49-23)
Line: Spurs by 12.


You know, when the Mavericks had a respectable lead as a 9-point underdog at halftime last night, I was pretty confident. Yeah, so much for that. Dallas is done. There's no way they're making the Doggone Playoff.

After hearing critics bash them, the Spurs have won five in a row, covering four of those contests. They should be able to continue their torrid streak and clobber the Timberwolves tonight.


Prediction: Spurs 96, Timberwolves 79
Spurs -12 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200




Thursday, March 27, 2008 (0-1, -$220)


Dallas Mavericks (45-26) at Denver Nuggets (43-28)
Line: Nuggets by 9.


I thought this line was really shady, so I made sure. People aren't on the Mavericks, however; about three-quarters of the action is on Denver. As I noted a few days ago, I expect Dallas to play well the next week or two without Dirk Nowitzki, just like Houston did without Yao.


Prediction: Nuggets 109, Mavericks 105
Mavericks +9 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220




Wednesday, March 26, 2008 (1-0, +$200)


New Orleans Hornets (48-21) at Cleveland Cavaliers (40-31)
Line: Cavaliers by 2.


Not much to like tonight, but I like how the Hornets have been playing recently, I think they beat the Cavs in Cleveland tonight.


Prediction: Hornets 101, Cavaliers 97
Hornets +2 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200




Tuesday, March 25, 2008 (1-1, -$30)


San Antonio Spurs (47-22) at Orlando Magic (46-26)
Line: Magic by 2.


Don't you hate it when you pick an underdog and the game goes into overtime? Blah. I like the Spurs here; ever since the media criticized them for being uncharacteristically craptastic this late in the season, they've started dominating.


Prediction: Spurs 96, Magic 89
Spurs +2 (3 Units) -- Correct; +$300



Los Angeles Clippers (21-48) at Dallas Mavericks (44-26)
Line: Mavericks by 13.5.


Remember when Yao Ming went down? Everyone thought the Rockets were done, but they went on to win 22 in a row. Well, Dirk's gone, so everyone's writing off the Mavericks. The NBA's so whacky, I could see the Mavs going on a five-game winning streak or something.


Prediction: Mavericks 105, Clippers 83
Mavericks -13.5 (3 Units) -- Incorrect; -$330




Monday, March 24, 2008 (0-1, -$220)


Phoenix Suns (47-22) at Detroit Pistons (49-20)
Line: Pistons by 2.5.


This is a big game for the Suns. They're out to prove they're legit in the wake of the Shaq trade. What better way to do that then by beating one of the top two teams in the East?


Prediction: Suns 99, Pistons 93
Suns +2.5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220




Sunday, March 23, 2008 (1-0, +$200)


San Antonio Spurs (46-23) at Dallas Mavericks (44-25)
Line: Mavericks by 3.5.


The Spurs seem to have gotten their act back together after everyone called them out. I think they win this contest; I don't really trust Avery Johnson in big games.


Prediction: Spurs 101, Mavericks 97
Spurs +3.5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200




Saturday, March 22, 2008 (1-1, -$30)


Boston Celtics (55-13) at New Orleans Hornets (46-21)
Line: Hornets by 1.5.


Celtics continue pwning the West. That's it. That's my write-up.


Prediction: Celtics 100, Hornets 91
Celtics +1.5 (3 Units) -- Incorrect; -$330



Houston Rockets (46-22) at Phoenix Suns (46-22)
Line: Suns by 7.


I'm going to keep riding the Suns. They're hot and they still have a lot to prove. Now that the Rockets have finally lost, I think they're going to tank.


Prediction: Suns 110, Rockets 91
Suns -7 (3 Units) -- Correct; +$300




Friday, March 21, 2008 (0-1, -$220)


Philadelphia 76ers (34-34) at Orlando Magic (45-25)
Line: Magic by 6.


I hate to admit it, but the Sixers are pretty damn good - or at least they're playing extremely well right now. I don't know how you can't pick them as a 6-point dog.


Prediction: 76ers 106, Magic 104
76ers +6 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220




Thursday, March 20, 2008 (1-0, +$300)


Boston Celtics (54-13) at Dallas Mavericks (44-24)
Line: Mavericks by 2.5.


The Celtics should be able to continue their West Coast rampage. I don't really trust Avery Johnson in a big game.


Prediction: Celtics 101, Mavericks 95
Celtics +2.5 (3 Units) -- Correct; +$300




Wednesday, March 19, 2008 (0-0-1, -$20)


Phoenix Suns (45-22) at Seattle Sonics (16-51)
Line: Suns by 12.


I must be crazy to lay this many points on the road, but the Suns are rolling right now, doing everything in their power to prove everyone wrong about the Shaq trade.


Prediction: Suns 115, Sonics 91
Suns -12 (2 Units) -- Push; -$20




Tuesday, March 18, 2008 (1-1, +$180)


Phoenix Suns (44-22) at Portland Blazers (35-32)
Line: Suns by 3.5.


The Suns seem intent on proving everyone wrong about the Shaq trade. Good for them. Let's capitalize on their efforts by siding with them again tonight.


Prediction: Suns 110, Blazers 96
Suns -3.5 (4 Units) -- Correct; +$400



Boston Celtics (53-13) at Houston Rockets (46-20)
Line: Rockets by 4.5.


A late addition here (two hours before tipoff), but I like the Rockets. I still think they believe they have something to prove. Everyone is already making excuses for the Lakers' loss; Pau Gasol was out, Kobe was in close proximity to Denver, Phil Jackson had yoga lessons, etc. People are betting the farm on the Celtics, and this line hasn't moved an inch. Rockets win No. 23.


Prediction: Rockets 104, Celtics 95
Rockets -4.5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220




Monday, March 17, 2008 (1-0, +$200)


Cleveland Cavaliers (38-29) at Orlando Magic (44-24)
Line: Magic by 6.5.


The Magic are on a tear right now, and this high spread sort of tells you what the oddsmaker is thinking. The Cavs at +6.5 may sound really enticing to some people.


Prediction: Magic 105, Cavaliers 95
Magic -6.5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200




Sunday, March 16, 2008 (1-0, +$300)


Los Angeles Lakers (45-20) at Houston Rockets (45-20)
Line: Rockets by 4.5.


This game means a lot more to the Rockets than it does the Lakers. Although Houston has won 21 in a row, they feel like they're not getting the respect they deserve. They can get that by beating the Lakers. Los Angeles, on the other hand, already has a built-in excuse if it loses (Pau Gasol is out).


Prediction: Rockets 97, Lakers 90
Rockets -4.5 (3 Units) -- Correct; +$300




Saturday, March 15, 2008 (1-0, +$300)


Sacramento Kings (29-35) at Phoenix Suns (43-22)
Line: Suns by 8.


Blah, I missed the Rockets and Utah (college basketball) picks by one point each yesterday. It's frustrating, but whatever. The Suns seem bent on proving everyone wrong (including me) about the Shaq trade. Suns win in a blowout.


Prediction: Suns 114, Kings 96
Suns -8 (3 Units) -- Correct; +$300




Friday, March 14, 2008 (0-1, -$330)


Charlotte Bobcats (24-40) at Houston Rockets (44-20)
Line: Rockets by 10.


The Rockets have covered every game they've played since Feb. 13. Why is something telling me that picking NBA games is easier than I make it out to be?


Prediction: Rockets 97, Bobcats 81
Rockets -10 (3 Units) -- Incorrect; -$330




Wednesday, March 12, 2008 (0-1, -$220)


New York Knicks (18-46) at Miami Heat (11-51)
Line: Knicks by 1.5.


Random thought: Did you know the Jazz have New York's first-round pick in 2010? Three letters can sum that up: LOL. Someone should build a shrine for Isiah Thomas, and list all of his dumb moves and spats with the media.

Anyway, I find it interesting that the Knicks are favored on the road despite having just six victories away from the Garden. Are the Heat packing it in? Maybe not - they just played the Hawks and Clippers hard, covering both contests.


Prediction: Heat 96, Knicks 93
Heat +1.5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220




Tuesday, March 11, 2008 (1-0, +$200)


Milwaukee Bucks (23-40) at Washington Bullets (30-32)
Line: Bullets by 6.5.


The Bucks are garbage on the road. They're 6-26 straight up. I'll take my chances that they won't be able to cover the 6.5.


Prediction: Bullets 104, Bucks 90
Bullets -6.5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200




Monday, March 10, 2008 (0-1, -$330)


Boston Celtics (49-12) at Philadelphia 76ers (30-33)
Line: Celtics by 6.


The Sixers stink, but don't tell them that. They're playing like they're the best team in the East, and they really believe in themselves. I think this winning streak is fool's gold - they did the same thing last year - but I believe their confidence will carry them to a victory tonight. Things will change once the Doggone Playoff comes around though.


Prediction: 76ers 103, Celtics 100
76ers +6 (3 Units) -- Incorrect; -$330




Sunday, March 9, 2008 (0-1, -$220)


San Antonio Spurs (43-18) at Phoenix Suns (40-22)
Line: Spurs by 1.5.


It really pisses me off how I lost the game last night. The Clippers had a 10-point lead the entire lead. Then, with four minutes remaining in regulation, Minnesota scored like a million points in a row to claim its fourth road victory of the entire year. Blah.

I've been saying this ever since the trade went down. Getting Shaq made no sense whatsoever. He's too old, too injury-prone and too much of an odd fit in Phoenix's system. The Suns, now 3-6 with Shaq, probably won't make the Doggone Playoff. Going with the Spurs here.


Prediction: Spurs 101, Suns 89
Spurs -1.5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220




Saturday, March 8, 2008 (0-1, -$220)


Minnesota Timberwolves (12-48) at Los Angeles Clippers (20-39)
Line: Clippers by 5.5.


The Timberwolves are 3-26 on the road. This just in: They suck! We know they're going to lose this game, so I'll take my chances that they don't cover the 5.5.


Prediction: Clippers 97, Timberwolves 87
Clippers -5.5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220




Friday, March 7, 2008 (1-0, +$300)


Atlanta Hawks (25-35) at Charlotte Bobcats (22-39)
Line: Hawks by 1.


The Hawks are just 7-23 on the road. I don't know who they are to be favored against anyone as a visitor. Charlotte, meanwhile, is 17-17 as a host dispute its terrible record.


Prediction: Bobcats 96, Hawks 89
Bobcats +1 (3 Units) -- Correct; +$300




Wednesday, March 5, 2008 (0-1, -$220)


Indiana Pacers (24-36) at Houston Rockets (39-20)
Line: Rockets by 10.


I know the Rockets have covered 5.6 billion games in a row, but that could change tonight. Coming off a big victory over Denver, Houston could be looking forward to playing Dallas tomorrow night. Classic sandwich game.


Prediction: Rockets 101, Pacers 98
Pacers +10 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220




Tuesday, March 4, 2008 (0-1, -$220)


Phoenix Suns (39-20) at Portland Blazers (31-29)
Line: Suns by 2.


It's become apparent to me that the Suns are in the bottom half of the Western Conference in terms of talent. They are infinitely worse with Shaq, a player who doesn't fit their system whatsoever. That said, people aren't buying into their ineptness just yet; about 80 percent of the action is heading their way tonight. Yet, the line has dropped from -2.5 to -2.


Prediction: Blazers 111, Suns 108
Blazers +2 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220




Monday, March 3, 2008 (1-0, +$200)


New Orleans Hornets (39-19) at New York Knicks (18-41)
Line: Hornets by 7.


What is it with New Orleans teams? They always seem to play better on the road. The Saints are usually a safe bet as visitors, and so are the Hornets (17-10 ATS).


Prediction: Hornets 100, Knicks 84
Hornets -7 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200




Sunday, March 2, 2008 (0-1, -$330)


Denver Nuggets (35-23) at Houston Rockets (38-20)
Line: Rockets by 4.


The Rockets have done a great job thus far without Yao Ming. But this is where I think they could get in trouble. I'm not sure they can beat a really good squad. They've been playing for respect before. Denver has noticed Houston's success.


Prediction: Nuggets 108, Rockets 97
Nuggets +4 (3 Units) -- Incorrect; -$330




Saturday, March 1, 2008 (0-1, -$330)


Philadelphia 76ers (26-32) at Phoenix Suns (39-19)
Line: Suns by 9.5.


The Suns have been pretty easy to figure out ever since the Shaq trade (knock on wood). Fade 'em against a good team because the deal to get Shaq was one of the dumbest in NBA history. Play 'em versus a bad team because they feel like they're being disrespected. Being a citizen of Philadelphia, I can confidently say the 76ers are a really, really, really, really, really, God-awful team.


Prediction: Suns 119, 76ers 95
Suns -9.5 (3 Units) -- Incorrect; -$330




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