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Season: 2011-12: Whole Season
2010-11: Whole Season
2009-10: February to April - October to January
2008-09: October to March - April to June
2007-08: November - December - January - February - March - April - May
2006-07: November - December - January - February - March - April - May/June
Wednesday, Nov. 29, 2006 (0-2, -$220)
Orlando Magic (11-4) at Seattle Sonics (6-9).
Line: Sonics by 2½.
The Magic are 8-1 since Nov. 11, while the Sonics have dropped five of seven. Yet, Seattle is favored. In the immortal words of Kyle's mom: "What, what, what!?!?" Go, Sonics.
Prediction: Sonics -2½.
Memphis Grizzlies (4-10) at Los Angeles Clippers (6-7).
Line: Clippers by 7.
Still no respect. Despite their record, the Grizzlies are a pretty good team. They recently beat Orlando, Washington and Denver, and hung with Dallas, Cleveland and Houston. Too many points.
Prediction: Grizzlies +7.
Tuesday, Nov. 28, 2006 (3-0, +$300)
Toronto Raptors (4-9) at Oklahoma City Hornets (8-6).
Line: Hornets by 4½.
Forget the records for a second; the Raptors have dropped seven of nine. Why are the Hornets only -4½? Yeah, I'm confused too.
Prediction: Raptors +4½.
Memphis Grizzlies (3-10) at Denver Nuggets (8-4).
Line: Nuggets by 9½.
Memphis continues to get no respect. The team recently took down Orlando and Washington, and played Cleveland and Houston tough. Yet, the people are pounding Denver. Let's go Grizz!
Prediction: Grizzlies +9½.
Milwaukee Bucks (4-9) at Los Angeles Lakers (9-4).
Line: Lakers by 7½.
Seven-and-a-half? Just 7½? What is going on here? This is by far the shadiest line of the night. The Bucks, who have dropped eight of 10, are obviously the much worse team. Yet they're just 7½-point dogs. Something is really wrong here.
Prediction: Bucks +7½.
Monday, Nov. 27, 2006 (0-1, -$110)
Philadelphia 76ers (5-8) at Miami Heat (5-8).
Line: Heat by 3.
The 76ers have struggled lately, losing eight of 10. I think the public is looking at this low line and betting on what they think is the better team. Take the Sixers.
Prediction: 76ers +3.
Sunday, Nov. 26, 2006 (0-1, -$110)
Los Angeles Clippers (6-5) at Denver Nuggets (7-4).
Line: Nuggets by 5.
The Nuggets have won seven of eight, while the Clippers have dropped five straight. Plus, L.A.'s Chris Kaman might be out. Yet, the Nuggets are just 5-point favorites. Take the Clippers.
Prediction: Clippers +5. Best Bet.
Saturday, Nov. 25, 2006 (1-1, -$10)
Detroit Pistons (8-5) at Washington Wizards (4-8).
Line: Wizards by 2½.
I've talked about some of the weird lines Vegas puts out there, but they really outdone themselves this time. Detroit, 8-5, has won five in a row, while Washington, 4-8, has dropped six of seven, including a 15-point loss to Memphis last night.
Prediction: Wizards -2½. Best Bet.
Utah Jazz (12-1) at Golden State Warriors (7-6).
Line: Jazz by 1.
The Jazz are a very public team, as they're demolishing teams left and right. Yet, they're just a one-point favorite over a very mediocre Warriors squad. Every square is jumping on Utah because this seems so easy. Big mistake.
Prediction: Warriors +1.
Friday, Nov. 24, 2006 (2-1, +$90)
Minnesota Timberwolves (4-6) at Oklahoma City Hornets (8-4).
Line: Hornets by 4½.
Take a glance at the records of these two squads, and then look at the record. Doesn't match up, huh? Oh, you want to take the Hornets at only 4½? So does more than 70 percent of the public. Let's go Timberwolves!
Prediction: Timberwolves +4½.
Washington Wizards (4-7) at Memphis Grizzlies (2-9).
Line: Wizards by 2.
Going against a 2-9 squad in a basic pick-em situation seems too easy. That's why about 75 percent of the public is pounding Washington. No one is giving Memphis any respect; the Grizzlies nearly knocked off Dallas and Cleveland, and beat Orlando their past three games.
Prediction: Grizzlies +2. Best Bet.
Sacramento Kings (5-5) at Seattle Sonics (6-7).
Line: Sonics by 6.
Two even teams, yet one is favored by six? Square bettors are jumping on the Kings, so let's take Seattle.
Prediction: Sonics -6.
Wednesday, Nov. 22, 2006 (2-1, +$90)
Cleveland Cavaliers (8-3) at Toronto Raptors (2-8).
Line: Cavaliers by 3.
If you look at this line, you can immediately tell something's wrong. The 8-3 Cavaliers are favored by just three over the Raptors, who have lost six straight? Don't be surprised if Toronto shocks the NBA world tonight.
Prediction: Raptors +3. Best Bet.
Philadelphia 76ers (4-6) at Milwaukee Bucks (3-8).
Line: Bucks by 6½.
The 76ers looked lost without Allen Iverson last night. They'll be too dependent if he comes back tonight. Either way, they're doomed.
Prediction: Bucks -6½.
New Jersey Nets (5-5) at Portland Blazers (5-7).
Line: Nets by 3½.
This is a simple public fade, as tons of people are pounding the Nets for whatever reason.
Prediction: Blazers +3½.
Tuesday, Nov. 21, 2006 (0-1, -$110)
Washington Wizards (4-5) at Dallas Mavericks (6-4).
Line: Mavericks by 5½.
The Mavericks are hot, they've won about a billion games in a row, while the Wizards are barely treading water. Yet, the line is just 5½? Vegas is begging you to take Dallas, and it's working; about 70 percent of the public is pounding the host.
Prediction: Wizards +5½. Best Bet.
Monday, Nov. 20, 2006 (2-1, +$90)
Orlando Magic (7-3) at Memphis Grizzlies (1-8).
Line: Magic by 4.
The Grizzlies are 1-8, but they're playing everyone really tough. It seems like they're itching for a win, and this is their best chance in a long time. With 72 percent of the public favoring Orlando, let's side with Memphis.
Prediction: Grizzlies +4.
San Antonio Spurs (8-2) at Portland Blazers (5-6).
Line: Spurs by 6.
The public knows the Spurs played last night, and they're also aware that the Blazers are coming off a blowout win at New Jersey. So, they saw an opening line of 8½ and jumped all over Portland. Let's just go with the better team in this matchup.
Prediction: Spurs -6. Best Bet.
New Jersey Nets (5-4) at Seattle Sonics (4-7).
Line: Sonics by 3.
I'm getting three points with the better team, while going against the public (89 percent on Seattle)? I'll take it. I have no idea why there is a Sonics bandwagon.
Prediction: Nets +3.
Sunday, Nov. 19, 2006 (0-1, -$110)
San Antonio Spurs (7-2) at Sacramento Kings (5-3).
Line: Spurs by 3.
The Kings opened up as 2-point favorites, but the line has moved to Spurs -2½. Any time you see that, you want to go against it.
Prediction: Kings +3.
Saturday, Nov. 18, 2006 (3-3, -$30)
Charlotte Bobcats (2-6) at Orlando Magic (6-3).
Line: Magic by 7.
I think Vegas is confused about the line movement in this game. They opened the line at 8½, forcing the public to jump on Charlotte. And although the oddsmaker has since moved it down to seven, the public is still jumping on the Bobcats. I don't know about you, but I'm siding with the books.
Prediction: Magic -7.
Miami Heat (3-5) at Atlanta Hawks (4-3).
Line: Hawks by 2½.
I'm convinced that everyone who is betting this game is insane. The spread opened at Heat -4, but the fact that 90 percent of the public is on Atlanta pushed it to +2½. Why is everyone betting on the Hawks? They're garbage.
Prediction: Heat +2½.
Portland Blazers (4-6) at New Jersey Nets (5-3).
Line: Nets by 9.
The Blazers have been blown out something like 435 times in a row. I'm not sure why the public is backing them.
Prediction: Nets -9.
Memphis Grizzlies (1-7) at Dallas Mavericks (4-4).
Line: Mavericks by 10.
I've been on Memphis lately because the team has been playing hard without Pau Gasol. But I think they're running out of gas. Dallas wins big.
Prediction: Mavericks -10.
Phoenix Suns (3-5) at Utah Jazz (8-1).
Line: Jazz by 5.
After starting off slow, the Suns have seemed to have gotten things together. Granted, Utah's 8-1, but I think the team is a bit overrated right now. This will be a close game, so I'm taking the points.
Prediction: Suns +5. Best Bet.
Seattle Sonics (4-6) at Golden State Warriors (6-3).
Line: Warriors by 6½.
The Warriors are improved and exciting, and they've become a very public team. That would explain why 88 percent of the money is on the host in this matchup. Take the Sonics.
Prediction: Sonics +6½.
Friday, Nov. 17, 2006 (0-3, -$330)
New York Knicks (3-6) at Miami Heat (3-4).
Line: Heat by 8½.
Casual bettors are looking at this game and asking themselves why Miami is favored by 8½. The Knicks aren't good, but Miami has struggled in the early going. So, the public is betting the heck out of New York, which is a mistake. Let's take advantage of it.
Prediction: Heat -8½. Best Bet.
Portland Blazers (4-5) at Boston Celtics (2-6).
Line: Celtics by 7.
The opposite is happening in this game. The Blazers are coming off two consecutive blowouts at Minnesota and Cleveland, so the public doesn't like them to much. In fact, about four-fifths of the money is going on the home favorite.
Prediction: Blazers +7.
Utah Jazz (7-1) at Seattle Sonics (4-5).
Line: Sonics by 4.
Let me get this straight: The Jazz are off to a 7-1 start, and are 4-point underdogs at struggling Seattle? The public is loving Utah. I'm not.
Prediction: Sonics -4.
Thursday, Nov. 16, 2006 (0-1, -$110)
Sacramento Kings (5-2) at Golden State Warriors (5-3).
Line: Warriors by 5½.
The public was burnt last night because it favored Sacramento, who failed to cover hosting 1-6 Memphis. Playing on the latter end of a back-to-back, the Kings opened as a 3-point dog to the Warriors, one of the most improved teams in the league. Square bettors have fallen in love with Golden State, as the team is coming off three win and covers.
I think the betting public was looking at this game and saying, "Wow, the Warriors are favored by just three! I'm all over that!" The line has risen in response to how this game is being bet. If you're going to side with the dog like I am, wait until game time (10:30 p.m. EST); the spread could be six or so.
Prediction: Kings +5½.
Wednesday, Nov. 15, 2006 (2-1, +$90)
Denver Nuggets (3-3) at Orlando Magic (5-3).
Line: Magic by 5.
If you're betting Orlando tonight, doesn't it concern you that the host, the team with the better record, opened as a slim 3-point favorite? The Nuggets are on the back end of their four-game road trip, and should have been underdogs of seven or more. Vegas raised the spread, and people are still pounding the Magic. Let's go the other way.
Prediction: Nuggets +5.
Memphis Grizzlies (1-5) at Sacramento Kings (4-2).
Line: Kings by 8½.
You're looking a 1-5 team without its best player, going on the road against a hot Kings squad, and they're underdogs of just 8½? No wonder people are jumping on Sacramento. The Grizzlies have actually played the Lakers, Suns, Rockets and Pistons extremely tough despite not having Pau Gasol.
Prediction: Grizzlies +8½. Best Bet.
Philadelphia 76ers (3-3) at Seattle Sonics (4-4).
Line: Sonics by 4.
The Sixers have lost three in a row, while the Sonics are on a three-game winning streak. Square bettors love to ride the hot team. Yet, Vegas opened this up at Sonics -3, which is telling me that the books are dying for you to pound Seattle.
Prediction: 76ers +4.
Tuesday, Nov. 14, 2006 (2-0, +$200)
Portland Blazers (4-3) at Minnesota Timberwolves (2-4).
Line: Timberwolves by 8.
Can anyone explain this line to me? No one can? Why are the Timberwolves 8-point favorites when they've lost four in a row, and have looked terrible? The public is looking at this spread and pounding Portland. That's why we're going with Minnesota tonight.
Prediction: Timberwolves -8. Best Bet.
San Antonio Spurs (5-1) at Houston Rockets (5-2).
Line: Rockets by 1.
This line opened up Spurs -1½, but jumped to Houston -1. About three-fifths of the public is on the Rockets. I have no clue why. The Spurs swept them last year, and clearly dominate this series.
Prediction: Spurs +1.
Monday, Nov. 13, 2006 (1-1, -$10)
Seattle Sonics (3-4) at New Jersey Nets (3-2).
Line: Nets by 3.
A very shady line: Everyone knows the Nets are the better team, and they're playing at home. Yet the spread is just three? Vegas is dying for you to take New Jersey. Fade it.
Prediction: Sonics +3. Best Bet.
Cleveland Cavaliers (4-2) at New York Knicks (2-5).
Line: Cavaliers by 5½.
The Knicks have quietly played well of late, losing at Houston and San Antonio by a slim margin. I like them to cover here tonight.
Prediction: Knicks +5½.
Sunday, Nov. 12, 2006 (3-2, +$80)
New Orleans Hornets (4-2) at Los Angeles Clippers (4-1).
Line: Clippers by 5.
The Hornets are coming off a tough loss to Portland on Friday night, and now have to go against a well-rested Clippers squad that has been demolishing everyone in its path. L.A. by double digits.
Prediction: Clippers -5.
Houston Rockets (4-2) at Miami Heat (3-2).
Line: Heat by 2.
Excluding Dallas, the Rockets haven't really beaten anyone this year. I like laying just a few points with the Heat at home.
Prediction: Heat -2. Best Bet.
Toronto Raptors (2-3) at Sacramento Kings (3-2).
Line: Kings by 7.
The Raptors showed me a lot when they lost to Atlanta at home on Friday. Simply put, Toronto stinks. The Kings have played well in the early going.
Prediction: Kings -7.
Dallas Mavericks (1-4) at Portland Blazers (4-2).
Line: Mavericks by 6½.
The Blazers have gotten off to a nice start, but the Mavericks are the better team, and they're more desperate for wins right now.
Prediction: Mavericks -6½.
Memphis Grizzlies (1-4) at Los Angeles Lakers (4-3).
Line: Lakers by 8½.
I took the Grizzlies over the Suns yesterday because they've been competitive in every game they've played thus far, despite not having Pau Gasol. That should continue tonight, as the Lakers have come back down to Earth after a hot start.
Prediction: Grizzlies +8½.
Saturday, Nov. 11, 2006 (2-1, +$90)
Seattle Sonics (2-4) at Atlanta Hawks (4-1).
Line: Hawks by 3.
I was wrong about the Hawks yesterday, but I'm stubborn, so I'll continue to go against them. Despite their 2-4 record, I think the Sonics are slightly better than Atlanta, so I love catching points.
Prediction: Sonics +3. Best Bet.
New York Knicks (2-4) at San Antonio Spurs (4-1).
Line: Spurs by 13½.
The Knicks played last night at Houston, while the Spurs have had a few days off to prepare for this contest. Not that they needed to. San Antonio should be able to wear down New York.
Prediction: Spurs -13½.
Memphis Grizzlies (1-3) at Phoenix Suns (1-5).
Line: Suns by 11.
Phoenix needs a win, but I think this game stays close. Memphis, despite losing three of its four games, has battled tough against all of its opponents, despite not having Pau Gasol in the lineup.
Prediction: Grizzlies +11.
Friday, Nov. 10, 2006 (3-2, +$80)
Atlanta Hawks (3-1) at Toronto Raptors (2-2).
Line: Raptors by 4½.
The fact that Atlanta is 3-1 has shifted this line down about three or four points from where it should be. The Hawks are not that good of a team, and they should come back down to Earth against a vastly superior Raptors squad.
Prediction: Raptors -4½.
Denver Nuggets (0-3) at Philadelphia 76ers (3-2).
Line: 76ers by 2½.
The Nuggets are desperate for a win, and they should be able to get one tonight against the 76ers, who are coming back into reality after a 3-0 start.
Prediction: Nuggets +2½.
Utah Jazz (4-1) at Boston Celtics (1-3).
Line: Jazz by 4.
I know the Jazz are better than the Celtics, but where do they get off being a 4-point favorite on the East coast? I don't think they're that good enough yet. I'm going to take the points with Boston.
Prediction: Celtics +4.
Miami Heat (2-2) at New Jersey Nets (2-1).
Line: Nets by 4½.
Miami swept New Jersey in the playoffs last year, and you'd think the Nets would have gotten payback when they met earlier this season. But that was not the case, as the Heat won, 91-85. Miami clearly dominates New Jersey.
Prediction: Heat +4½.
Detroit Pistons (2-3) at Los Angeles Lakers (4-2).
Line: Lakers by 5.
The Pistons are coming off back-to-back losses, so they'll be hungrier for a win than the Lakers, who recently lost to Portland by double digits. Plus, it's always helpful to be on the other side of what the public is betting on.
Prediction: Pistons +5. Best Bet.
Thursday, Nov. 9, 2006 (0-1, -$110)
New Orleans Hornets (4-0) at Golden State (2-3).
Line: Warriors by 2½.
This is my only play of the night, as I didn't see any other games that really excited me. The undefeated Hornets are underdogs to the overrated Warriors. A lot of people are loading up on Golden State simply because this is the back end of a home-and-home, in which New Orleans obviously won the first meeting. I'm going the other way; the Hornets are simply the better team.
Prediction: Hornets +2½.
Wednesday, Nov. 8, 2006 (2-3, -$130)
Indiana Pacers (3-1) at Washington Wizards (1-2).
Line: Pacers by 5.
I think this falls under the "smells-like-a-rat" category. People know the Pacers are coming off a home win against an undefeated team last night. People know the Wizards are really good despite their record. And, I know bettors are taking Washington. So, why hasn't this line moved off five?
Prediction: Pacers +5.
Seattle Sonics (1-3) at Orlando Magic (2-2).
Line: Magic by 7.
I don't think it's a surprise that Seattle almost beat Miami yesterday. I think the Sonics are a solid squad, and are about evenly matched with the Magic, who lost to the Hawks by 13 a few nights ago.
Prediction: Sonics +7.
Charlotte Bobcats (1-2) at Boston Celtics (0-3).
Line: Celtics by 5.
Nearly two-thirds of the bets placed in this game are on the Celtics, yet the line is moving in Charlotte's favor? These two squads are about equal anyway.
Prediction: Bobcats +5.
Utah Jazz (4-0) at New Jersey Nets (1-1).
Line: Nets by 4.
I'll take the points with the better team. Oh, and it helps that 70 percent of the public is on New Jersey tonight. Three cheers for Vegas making money!
Prediction: Jazz +4.
Phoenix Suns (1-3) at San Antonio Spurs (3-1).
Line: Spurs by 5½.
The Spurs have owned the Suns at the Alamo, claiming 20 of 28 meetings since 1996. It also helps that most of the money is coming in on Phoenix, yet the line is moving in San Antonio's favor.
Prediction: Spurs -5½. Best Bet.
Tuesday, Nov. 7, 2006 (1-1, -$10)
Houston Rockets (1-2) at Memphis Grizzlies (1-2).
Line: Rockets by 4.
This is another "smells-like-a-rat" game. The public knows that Houston is much better than Memphis, especially with Pau Gasol out. If that's the case, why is Houston only a 4-point favorite? Most bettors are pounding the Rockets, so I'm going to side with Memphis.
Prediction: Grizzlies +4. Best Bet.
Golden State Warriors (2-2) at Oklahoma City Hornets (3-0).
Line: Hornets by 7½.
The Hornets are 3-0, which I think overrates them. They're a solid team, but they do not deserve to be favored by 7½ over a pretty-good Warriors squad.
Prediction: Warriors +7½.
Monday, Nov. 6, 2006 (2-1, +$90)
Milwaukee Bucks (2-1) at Chicago Bulls (1-2).
Line: Bulls by 6½.
I like the Bucks in this matchup, as the Bulls look like they haven't quite meshed yet. Milwaukee has played well, defeating the Pistons and Kings. Plus, going against the public is always a good proposition.
Prediction: Bucks +6½.
Detroit Pistons (2-1) at Utah Jazz (3-0).
Line: Jazz by 4½.
I think people are overreacting to Utah's 3-0 record. The Jazz are good, but they aren't anything special. I'll take the points with a solid Pistons squad.
Prediction: Pistons +4½. Best Bet.
Portland Blazers (2-1) at Los Angeles Clippers (2-1).
Line: Clippers by 11.
The Clippers' 2-1 record is much different than Portland's. Los Angeles has played three really tough opponents, while the Blazers' victories came against Seattle and Minnesota. I don't think they have what it takes to beat a really good team on the road.
Prediction: Clippers -11.
Sunday, Nov. 5, 2006 (2-0, +$200)
Orlando Magic (1-1) at Atlanta Hawks (1-1).
Line: Magic by 3½.
Another smells-like-a-rat game. The public is pounding the Magic, yet the line hasn't budged off a very low line of three. Take the Hawks.
Prediction: Hawks +3½. Best Bet.
Los Angeles Lakers (3-0) at Seattle Sonics (0-2).
Line: Sonics by 2.
It seems like everyone on this planet is on the Lakers, so I'll go the other way. The Sonics just lost to Los Angeles, so they could be looking for some payback, especially considering that they're winless right now.
Prediction: Sonics -2.
Saturday, Nov. 4, 2006 (3-3, -$30)
Cleveland Cavaliers (2-0) at Charlotte Bobcats (0-2).
Line: Cavaliers by 4½.
This seems like another one of those "smells-like-a-rat games." With the public pounding it, why is Cleveland favored by less than five? I'll take the points.
Prediction: Bobcats +4½. Best Bet.
Indiana Pacers (1-1) at New York Knicks (1-1).
Line: Pacers by 3.
With two miserable teams going head-to-head, it seems fitting to take the home dog, especially considering that the public is backing Indiana. The Knicks actually won at Memphis, so maybe Isiah Thomas actually knows what he's doing... Nah.
Prediction: Knicks +3.
Sacramento Kings (1-1) at Milwaukee Bucks (1-1).
Line: Bucks by 1½.
Coming off an amazing win at Chicago last night, the Kings have to be tired, right? So, why is Milwaukee just a small favorite? Also, with 72 percent of the public on Milwaukee, why is the line moving in Sacramento's favor?
Prediction: Kings +1½.
Dallas Mavericks (1-1) at Houston Rockets (1-1).
Line: Mavericks by 2.
This is a big game for the Rockets, who were swept by the Mavericks last year. They've improved a lot, and they're finally healthy, so this is their best chance to beat Dallas.
Prediction: Rockets +2.
Minnesota Timberwolves (2-0) at Portland Blazers (1-1).
Line: Timberwolves by 3.
Let me get this straight: Minnesota wins as an underdog in Denver last night, flies out to Portland, and has to beat the Blazers, who are coming off a loss? Let's go Portland!
Prediction: Blazers +3.
Phoenix Suns (1-2) at Los Angeles Clippers (1-1).
Line: Clippers by 4.
The Clippers had a huge revenge game against the Suns on Monday, but they failed to come away with a victory. I guess Phoenix just has their number. I like the Suns again tonight.
Prediction: Suns +4.
Friday, Nov. 3, 2006 (2-3-1, -$140)
Milwaukee Brewers (1-0) at Toronto Raptors (0-1).
Line: Bucks by 1½.
There is way too much action and line movement coming in on Milwaukee. I'll gladly take the Raptors, who lost to the Nets by 10 despite losing the field-goal-percentage battle by 11.9. Toronto is an improved team, and it should be able to get the win tonight.
Prediction: Raptors +1½.
Philadelphia 76ers (1-0) at Orlando Magic (1-0).
Line: Magic by 5½.
The Sixers never fare well against Orlando; the Magic is 14-7 at home against Philadelphia. The Sixers are one of the worst teams in the NBA, and that'll be evident tonight.
Prediction: Magic -5½.
Detroit Pistons (0-1) at Boston Celtics (0-1).
Line: Pistons by 2½.
I don't think the public has caught on that the Pistons are not a good team. I'm not surprised that 73 percent of the action is on the road favorite, but I'm shocked some people didn't notice that Detroit lost to Milwaukee by eight, despite winning the turnover battle, 22-8.
Prediction: Celtics +2½. Best Bet.
Sacramento Kings (0-1) at Chicago Bulls (1-1).
Line: Bulls by 6.
This is straight out of the way-too-obvious file. Everyone knows the Bulls are one of the elite teams in the NBA, and that the Kings are nothing more than fodder, so why is Chicago only favored by 5½? And, since everyone is betting the Bulls, why is the line moving in Sacramento's favor? I know a rat when I smell one.
Prediction: Kings +6.
Portland Blazers (1-0) at Golden State Warriors (0-1).
Line: Warriors by 9.
Underrated versus overrated. I can't believe some people are picking the Warriors to go to the playoffs. I think that's pretty ridiculous. Too many points and too much public action on the home favorite.
Prediction: Blazers +9.
Seattle Sonics (0-1) at Los Angeles Lakers (2-0).
Line: Lakers by 6.
The Lakers start 2-0, and people start thinking they're the greatest thing since sliced bread. I'll take the points.
Prediction: Sonics +6.
Thursday, Nov. 2, 2006 (1-0, +$100)
Denver Nuggets (0-0) at Los Angeles Clippers (0-1).
Line: Clippers by 3½.
With 80 percent of the money coming in on the Clippers, don't you find it odd that the line went from -4½ to -3½? Take the Nuggets, who will be seeking revenge for last year's playoff loss over the tired Clippers.
Prediction: Nuggets +3½.
Wednesday, Nov. 1, 2006 (1-3, -$230)
Indiana Pacers (0-0) at Charlotte Bobcats (0-0).
Line: Pacers by 1.
With 75 percent of the money coming in on Indiana, don't you find it odd that the line went from Pacers -2 to Pacers -1? Neither of these two squads will make the playoffs, but the Bobcats have improved this offseason, while Indiana has worsened.
Prediction: Bobcats +1.
Atlanta Hawks (0-0) at Philadelphia 76ers (0-0).
Line: 76ers by 6.
As a Sixers fan who lives in Philly, I'll be the first to say that this team stinks. Everyone in town is actually hoping for the No. 1 pick. Take the Hawks moneyline (+200) if you're more daring.
Prediction: Hawks +6.
Washington Wizards (0-0) at Cleveland Cavaliers (0-0).
Line: Cavaliers by 6.
The public is once again on the wrong side of this nationally televized matchup. Both teams seeking revenge from a playoff defeat won yesterday, so let's hope this trend continues.
Prediction: Wizards +6.
Los Angeles Clippers (0-0) at Phoenix Suns (0-0).
Line: Suns by 4½.
Another instance where the line movement is shady: 73 percent of the public is on Phoenix, yet the line is shifting toward the Clippers. Los Angeles' other team is looking for revenge, much like Washington.
Prediction: Clippers +4½.
Tuesday, Oct. 31, 2006 (1-0, +$100)
Phoenix Suns (0-0) at Los Angeles Lakers (0-0).
Line: Suns by 8.
OK, so I think I'm pretty good at handicapping the NFL and MLB. And I know I'm lousy with college football and hockey. So let's see how I do with the NBA. This is a simple public fade; 87 percent of the money is on the Suns, so I'm going with the home dog.
Prediction: Lakers +8.
© 1999-2013 Walter Cherepinsky : all rights reserved
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