NBA Picks
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2009-10: February to April - October to January
2008-09: October to March - April to June
2007-08: November - December - January - February - March - April - May
2006-07: November - December - January - February - March - April - May/June


Friday, Jan. 19, 2007 (2-1, +$90)



Washington Wizards (22-16) at Orlando Magic (22-17).
Line: Magic by 3.


I'm trying a new strategy out. Not that it should matter at this point because you should be looking at my college basketball picks. But as for now, I'm just trying to figure the NBA out. If this works, I'll reveal what I'm doing. If not, then I'll continue to get games wrong.

Prediction: Wizards +3.
Correct; +$100




Miami Heat (18-20) at Philadelphia 76ers (10-29).
Line: Heat by 2.


I know the 76ers are going to win. Why? Because I want them to lose. I want them to get the No. 1 pick. But they're going to win and ruin everything. Argh.

Prediction: 76ers +2.
Correct; +$100




Sacramento Kings (14-22) at Boston Celtics (12-25).
Line: Kings by 4.


The Kings are 4-11 on the road and 1-7 in January, yet are 4-point favorites on the road? Weh?

Prediction: Celtics +4.
Incorrect; -$110



Thursday, Jan. 18, 2007 (0-2, -$200)



Indiana Pacers (20-18) at Miami Heat (17-20).
Line: Pacers +220 (1st Half).


I'm going to stop all NBA picks, excluding the first-half money lines, which I'm doing pretty well with. I need to find a system for the NBA, like I did for baseball. But for now, I think this is a great price for the Pacers. Miami is coming off a long but successful road trip, and they could be tired and sluggish in the early going.

Prediction: Pacers +220 (1st Half).
Incorrect; -$100




Los Angeles Lakers (26-13) at Dallas Mavericks (32-8).
Line: Lakers +290 (1st Half).


Another great price that I just can't turn down. The Lakers proved they are among the elite by winning at San Antonio, so what are the odds they lead at halftime? Certainly greater than 3:1, so there's value here. Plus, Dallas is usually sluggish in the first half.

Prediction: Lakers +290 (1st Half).
Incorrect; -$100



Wednesday, Jan. 17, 2007 (2-5, -$280)



New York Knicks (17-22) at Washington Wizards (21-16).
Line: Wizards by 4 (1st Half).


Please slap me upside the head the next time I take the whole game. I would have won with the Cavs last night if I bet the first half. Anyway, the Knicks stink off a straight-up victory (5-11 SU and ATS), so I'm expecting a blowout tonight.

Prediction: Wizards -4 (1st Half).
Incorrect; -$110




Utah Jazz (24-14) at Detroit Pistons (21-15).
Line: Jazz +125 (1st Half).


I was right about the Jazz getting out to a lead against Washington on Monday, even though they ended up losing the game. But that's good news -- we can just take them in the first half again.

Prediction: Jazz +125 (1st Half).
Best Bet.
Incorrect; -$100




Chicago Bulls (22-17) at Milwaukee Bucks (17-20).
Line: Bucks +150 (1st Half).


I see no reason why Milwaukee shouldn't be leading at halftime. The Bulls absolutely suck on the road (5-12).

Prediction: Bucks +150 (1st Half).
Correct; +$150




Atlanta Hawks (12-23) at Minnesota Timberwolves (20-16).
Line: Timberwolves by 5 (1st Half).


Much like the Knicks, the Hawks are horrible off a victory (4-7 SU and ATS). The Timberwolves are hot (7-1 last eight), so they should be able to establish a huge, early lead.

Prediction: Timberwolves -5 (1st Half).
Incorrect; -$110




Phoenix Suns (29-8) at Houston Rockets (25-14).
Line: Suns by 3 (1st Half).


The Rockets are a good team, so you figure they'd be the complete opposite of New York and Atlanta. They're 10-3 (SU and ATS) off a defeat, so look for them to come out strong as a home underdog in the first half.

Prediction: Rockets +3 (1st Half).
Correct; +$100




Los Angeles Lakers (25-13) at San Antonio Spurs (27-12).
Line: Spurs by 4 (1st Half).


Whatever I just said about Houston also applies to San Antonio...

Prediction: Spurs -4 (1st Half).
Incorrect; -$110




Cleveland Cavaliers (23-14) at Portland Blazers (15-24).
Line: Cavaliers by 1 (1st Half).


...and Cleveland. It also helps that Portland is worse at home than it is on the road. Those fans must be horrible for something to happen. What do they do, poison the team's gatorade? Throw objects at the mascot? What's Portland's mascot anyway? Some guy who blazes trails? A guy who wears blazers? Lame.

Prediction: Cavaliers -1 (1st Half).
Incorrect; -$110



Tuesday, Jan. 16, 2007 (0-1, -$110)



Cleveland Cavaliers (23-13) at Seattle Sonics (14-25).
Line: Cavaliers by 3.


The Cavaliers used to suck on the road, but they've actually won four of their previous five away from home. The Sonics are coming off a victory against Utah where Ray Allen scored 54. He won't be able to carry the team again.

Prediction: Cavaliers -3.
Best Bet.
Incorrect; -$110



Monday, Jan. 15, 2007 (2-2, +$15)



Utah Jazz (24-13) at Washington Wizards (20-16).
Line: Jazz +125 (1st Half).


Never give up, never surrender! I'm not going to give up on the bet-on-Jazz-after-loss system. They've had a few days off to think about their losing streak; I think they come out hot against Washington.

Prediction: Jazz +125 (1st Half).
Best Bet.
Correct; +$125




Milwaukee Bucks (16-20) at Charlotte Bobcats (12-23).
Line: Bobcats by 5.


What the heck is going on around here? It's pretty ridiculous that the Bobcats are 5-point favorites over anyone. Take the Bucks.

Prediction: Bucks +5.
Correct; +$100




Boston Celtics (12-24) at Atlanta Hawks (11-23).
Line: Celtics +160 (1st Half).


It's official! Hell has frozen over. The Hawks are 6-point favorites over a non-NCAA team. But I'm greedy and will take the Celtics first-half money line.

Prediction: Celtics +160 (1st Half).
Incorrect; -$100




Miami Heat (17-19) at Los Angeles Lakers (24-13).
Line: Lakers by 3 (1st Half).


I couldn't think of a movie quote regarding revenge, so I'm just going to say that the Lakers are still smarting off their Christmas loss to Miami. They got revenge last year, so why can't they do it again?

Prediction: Lakers -3 (1st Half).
Incorrect; -$110



Sunday, Jan. 14, 2007 (1-0, +$155)



Dallas Mavericks (30-8) at Toronto Raptors (17-20).
Line: Raptors +155 (1st Half).


This is a huge game for the Raptors; it certainly means more to them than it does to Dallas. Good chance they'll be up at the half.

Prediction: Raptors +155.
Correct; +$155



Saturday, Jan. 13, 2007 (0-3, -$320)



Philadelphia 76ers (10-26) at Charlotte Bobcats (11-23).
Line: Bobcats by 3.


Today, I'm ashamed to call myself a Philadelphian. The Bobcats are favored over my pathetic 76ers. Ouch. Fortunately, Charlotte, 0-2 as a favorite, always seems to flop after a victory.

Prediction: 76ers +3.
Incorrect; -$110




Miami Heat (16-19) at Utah Jazz (24-12).
Line: Jazz by 4 (1st Half).


As I said yesterday, the Jazz rebound well off losses. They didn't win -- although they covered the first-half spread -- but I think they'll bounce back tonight. Utah will jump out to an early lead.

Prediction: Jazz -4 (1st Half)
Best Bet.
Incorrect; -$110




Boston Celtics (12-23) at Detroit Pistons (20-14).
Line: Celtics +400 (1st Half).


With a line like this, don't you think it's worth it to take Boston? I know the Celtics are struggling, but the Pistons have recently lost to Charlotte and Atlanta. Here's an interesting tidbit: Boston has had the lead at halftime in three of the previous four meetings with Detroit, but lost all four of those contests.

Prediction: Celtics +400 (1st Half).
Incorrect; -$100




New Orleans Hornets (14-22) at Milwaukee Bucks (16-20).
Line: Hornets +150 (1st Half).


Both teams are missing their best players, but the bottom line is that we're getting a +150 price tag against the Bucks, who just lost by 13 to the pathetic 76ers.

Prediction: Hornets +150 (1st Half).
Game postponed



Friday, Jan. 12, 2007 (3-3, +$10)



Charlotte Bobcats (10-23) at New York Knicks (16-21).
Line: Knicks by 5.


I love betting agianst the Bobcats after a victory; they're 1-8 straight up, 2-7 ATS in those situations. Guess they do too much partying after winning.

Prediction: Knicks -5.
Incorrect; -$110




Minnesota Timberwolves (17-16) at Memphis Grizzlies (9-27).
Line: Grizzlies by 1.


Memphis is in the same boat as Charlotte; the Grizzlies haven't won a single game after a victory. And now they're favored? Please.

Prediction: Timberwolves +1.
Correct; +$100




Utah Jazz (24-11) at Seattle Sonics (13-25).
Line: Jazz by 2 (1st Half).


The Jazz are a great team, so it should be obvious that they are the complete opposite of Memphis and Charlotte. Coming off a loss, they're 9-1 straight up, and 6-4 against the spread. I think Utah will come out strong in the first half.

Prediction: Jazz -2 (1st Half).
Correct; +$100




Orlando Magic (22-14) at Los Angeles Lakers (23-13).
Line: Lakers by 2 (1st Half).


And also like the Jazz, the Lakers are usually red hot off a defeat; they're 9-3 straight up and against the spread. Los Angeles is coming off two consecutive losses, so expect them to jump out to an early lead against the Magic.

Prediction: Lakers -2 (1st Half).
Best Bet.
Incorrect; -$110




Sacramento Kings (14-18) at Portland Blazers (14-23).
Line: Blazers +130 (1st Half).


Not a bad price for a home team that is just as bad as the visitor. I see no reason why Portland doesn't have a great chance of leading at halftime.

Prediction: Blazers +130 (1st Half).
Correct; +$130




Toronto Raptors (16-20) at Boston Celtics (12-22).
Line: Celtics +170 (1st Half).


I can't believe I'm getting a +170 line to bet against the Raptors on the road. It's like I won the lottery or something.

Prediction: Celtics +170 (1st Half).
Incorrect; -$100



Wednesday, Jan. 10, 2007 (1-1, +$65)



Los Angeles Lakers (23-12) at Houston Rockets (22-13).
Line: Rockets by 4 (-105).


The Lakers are money off a loss; they're 9-2 straight up and against the spread following a defeat. Considering that they went down to lowly Memphis, I expect them to beat the Yao Ming-less Rockets.

Prediction: Lakers +4 -105.
Best Bet.
Incorrect; -$105




New Orleans Hornets (12-22) at Atlanta Hawks (10-22).
Line: Hornets +170 (1st Half).


I know the Hornets are struggling, but I'm getting +170 at the first half to bet against the lowly Hawks? How can you not take that?

Prediction: Hornets +170 (1st Half).
Correct; +$170



Monday, Jan. 8, 2007 (0-1, -$100)



Houston Rockets (21-13) at Chicago Bulls (20-14).
Line: Rockets +180 (1st Half).


I think the Rockets are definitely worth a shot at the first-half money line of +180.

Prediction: Rockets +180 (1st Half).
Incorrect; -$100



Sunday, Jan. 7, 2007 (1-2, -$95)



Houston Rockets (21-12) at Minnesota Timberwolves (16-15).
Line: Rockets +120 (1st Half).


The Rockets are the better team and they're +120 for the first half. Great price -- it almost seems like robbery.

Prediction: Rockets +120 (1st Half).
Incorrect; -$100




San Antonio Spurs (23-11) at Memphis Grizzlies (8-26).
Line: Spurs -8 +105.


The Spurs are money off a loss. They happened to drop three in a row, but that's because they played tough opponents like Cleveland, Minnesota and Dallas. They'll rebound nicely against Memphis.

Prediction: Spurs -8 +105.
Best Bet.
Correct; +$105




Golden State Warriors (18-17) at Phoenix Suns (24-8).
Line: Warriors +390 (1st Half).


Why not? It's worth a shot at +390. The last three meetings between these squads were all close, so maybe Phoenix comes out flat after a huge victory over Miami.

Prediction: Warriors +390 (1st Half).
Incorrect; -$100



Saturday, Jan. 6, 2007 (1-1, +$155)



New Jersey Nets (14-18) at Cleveland Cavaliers (20-12).
Line: Nets +180 (1st Half).


Coming off a road victory against Milwaukee and looking forward to a West Coast road trip, the Cavaliers could be flat in the first half. The Nets at +180 is a great bargain. By the way, you can find all of these first-half moneylines at pinnaclesports.com.

Prediction: Nets +180 (1st Half).
Incorrect; -$100




Portland Blazers (13-20) at Sacramento Kings (14-16).
Line: Blazers +255 (1st Half).


Sacramento isn't anything special, so there's a good chance Portland could be leading at halftime. A line of +255 is a great price.

Prediction: Blazers +255 (1st Half).
Correct; +$255



Friday, Jan. 5, 2007 (0-0-1, +$75)



Boston Celtics (11-20) at Memphis Grizzlies (8-25).
Line: Celtics +175 (1st Half).


I'm not high on taking underdogs in games because favorites tend to come back, but half-time underdogs seem like a good proposition. The Celtics and Grizzlies are pretty even, so I think +175 is a great bargain.

Prediction: Celtics +175 (1st Half).
Push; +$75



Thursday, Jan. 4, 2007 (0-1, -$100)



Detroit Pistons (18-11) at New Orleans Hornets (12-19).
Line: Pistons by 4 (1st Half) (-115).


That's it! I quit -- betting whole games. I keep getting screwed by second-half collapses (not just yesterday, but this past month), so I'm only picking first halves now. By the way, please shift your focus to my college basketball picks. I went 8-0 yesterday. Yeah, 8-0 -- and 13-3 the past three days.

The Pistons haven't played in about six days, so they'll be rusty and unfocused against the injury-ridden Hornets; I expect Detroit to have trouble in the first half.

Prediction: Hornets +4 +105 (1st Half).
Incorrect; -$100



Wednesday, Jan. 3, 2007 (1-3, -$230)



Phoenix Suns (22-8) at Toronto Raptors (13-18).
Line: Suns by 7.


This has "blowout" written all over it; Phoenix is vastly superior than Toronto. This line is set right, so I know nothing shady's going on.

Prediction: Suns -7.
Incorrect; -$110




Cleveland Cavaliers (18-12) at Boston Celtics (11-19).
Line: Cavaliers by 4.


Not only do the Cavaliers stink on the road, they're an abysmal 1-7 straight up and ATS on no rest. They're coming off a huge victory against San Antonio, and could be flat in this spot.

Prediction: Celtics +4.
Correct; +$100




Golden State Warriors (17-16) at Memphis Grizzlies (7-25).
Line: Grizzlies by 4.


There's no reason why the Grizzlies should be favored. Golden State is clearly the superior team.

Prediction: Warriors +4.
Incorrect; -$110




San Antonio Spurs (23-9) at Minnesota Timberwolves (14-15).
Line: Spurs by 4.


I love betting the Spurs after a loss; they're 7-1 in that situation. They're also great off no rest (5-3) and on the road (11-4).

Prediction: Spurs -4.
Best Bet.
Incorrect; -$110



Tuesday, Jan. 2, 2007 (1-3, -$215)



San Antonio Spurs (23-8) at Cleveland Cavaliers (17-12).
Line: Spurs by 3.


Let's keep riding the San Antonio train; the Spurs are 11-3 (straight up and ATS) on the road. You've gotta like a Western Conference team over an Eastern Conference squad.

Prediction: Spurs -3.
Incorrect; -$110




Los Angeles Clippers (14-16) at Orlando Magic (18-14).
Line: Magic by 4.


The Clippers are 2-10 on the road, and have been outscored in those 12 contests by more than 11 points per game. Too bad they're going on a long, East Coast road trip.

Prediction: Magic -4.
Best Bet.
Correct; +$100




Phoenix Suns (21-8) at Chicago Bulls (19-12).
Line: Suns by 4 (-105).


Like the Spurs, the Suns are prolific on the road, going 11-3 against the spread. Chicago has struggled against Western Conference teams this year.

Prediction: Suns -4 -105.
Incorrect; -$105




Golden State Warriors (16-16) at New Orleans Hornets (12-18).
Line: Hornets +150 (1st Half).


Chris Paul isn't playing, so the Warriors may not take the Hornets seriously. That's what the Mavericks did; New Orleans covered against Dallas. If Golden State comes out sluggishly, the Hornets should be able to take the first half.

Prediction: Hornets +150 (1st Half).
Incorrect; -$100



Monday, Jan. 1, 2007 (1-0, +$100)



Minnesota Timberwolves (13-15) at Charlotte Bobcats (9-21).
Line: Timberwolves by 3.


I always talk about going against the Bobcats after a win. They managed to claim two in a row somehow, but there's no way it'll be three.

Prediction: Timberwolves -3.
Best Bet.
Correct; +$100



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