NBA Picks




NBA Picks (Oct. 16-22) 1-4 (-$680)
NBA Picks (Oct. 23-29) 4-4 (+$30)
NBA Picks (Oct. 30-Nov. 5) 5-2 (+$560)
NBA Picks (Nov. 6-12) 3-4 (-$270)
NBA Picks (Nov. 13-19) 5-1-1 (+$780)
NBA Picks (Nov. 20-26) 3-3 (-$60)
NBA Picks (Nov. 27-Dec. 3) 1-3-1 (-$450)
NBA Picks (Dec. 4-10) 4-3 (+$140)
NBA Picks (Dec. 11-17) 5-3 (+$350)
NBA Picks (Dec. 18-24) 3-3 (-$60)
NBA Picks (Dec. 25-Jan. 7) 5-4 (+$120)
NBA Picks (Jan. 8-14) 2-4 (-$480)
NBA Picks (Jan. 15-21) 6-4 (+$330)
NBA Picks (Jan. 22-28) 5-5 (-$90)
NBA Picks (Jan. 29-Feb. 4) 2-6 (-$920)
NBA Picks (Feb. 5-11) 4-5 (-$300)
NBA Picks (Feb. 12-18) 2-3 (-$260)
NBA Picks (Feb. 19-25) 3-1 (+$380)
NBA Picks (Feb. 26-March 4) 0-4 (-$870)

2017-18 NBA Picks: 63-66-2 (-$1,850)
2016-17 NBA Picks: 51-67-2 (-$4,620)
2015-16 NBA Picks: 93-95-6 (-$1,305)
2014-15 NBA Picks: 62-53-4 (+$250)
2013-14 NBA Picks: 59-51-4 (+$760)
2012-13 NBA Picks: 51-45 (+$1,180)
2011-12 NBA Picks: 38-46-1 (-$3,005)
2010-11 NBA Picks: 113-89-4 (+$2,690)
2009-10 NBA Picks: 116-98-4 (+$1,375)
2008-09 NBA Picks: 122-119-6 (-$2,280)
2007-08 NBA Picks: 104-88-8 (+$1,485)
Follow @walterfootball for updates.



Friday, March 2, 2017


Oklahoma City Thunder at Phoenix Suns.
Line: Thunder by 7.5.

9:00 PM ET (Game 815-816)

It would be nice not to lose a game by a couple of points once this week. Maybe we'll have better luck tonight with the Suns, who fought hard against Portland in a similar situation a few days ago. I can't imagine Oklahoma City putting forth full effort here, especially with a game against the Blazers looming tomorrow night. This spread is +7.5 -105 at Bovada.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.






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NBA Pick: Suns +7.5 -105 (2 Units)

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Wednesday, Feb. 28, 2017 (0-1, -$220)


Toronto Raptors at Orlando Magic.
Line: Raptors by 9.5.

7:00 PM ET (Game 703-704)

The Raptors are one of the top teams in the Eastern Conference, but this spread seems like it's way too high. The Magic has covered 14 of its previous 19 games, while Toronto has a tough game against Washington coming up. This spread is +9.5 at Bovada.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Magic +9.5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



Tuesday, Feb. 27, 2017 (0-1, -$220)


Sacramento Kings at Portland Trail Blazers.
Line: Trail Blazers by 12.

10:00 PM ET (Game 509-510)

It seems easy to fade the Kings now, as they've been dreadful in their previous two games. However, their recent failures have inflated this spread, as it's too high considering that this looks like a low-energy game for the Blazers.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Kings +12 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220

LOADING COMMENTS...






Monday, Feb. 26, 2017 (0-2, -$430)


Detroit Pistons at Toronto Raptors.
Line: Raptors by 11.

7:30 PM ET (Game 701-702)

The Pistons look like a train wreck, and everyone who was still on the bandwagon yesterday has officially hopped off. This means there are plenty of available seats. Detroit didn't have a great chance of making the playoffs with Blake Griffin, but the team is not nearly incompetent enough to be double-digit road underdogs against any teams not named the Warriors, Rockets or Cavaliers. This spread is too inflated, and I don't think this is going to be a high-effort game for Toronto.

NBA Pick: Pistons +11 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220


Golden State Warriors at New York Knicks.
Line: Warriors by 12.

7:30 PM ET (Game 709-710)

The NBA season is way too long, so teams can't afford to go 100 percent all of the time. The Warriors just had a high-energy win versus Oklahoma City in a statement game. After getting revenge, they had to fly all the way to the East Coast and play on just one night of rest, which just seems ridiculous. I don't think the Warriors will be giving it their all here, which should open up an opportunity for the Knicks to stay within the number. This spread opened +12, but dropped to +11.5 because of sharp action. However, +12s are still available at 5Dimes and Bovada, and the latter is even offering +12 -105.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Knicks +12 -105 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$210



Sunday, Feb. 25, 2017 (1-0, +$200)


Detroit Pistons at Charlotte Hornets.
Line: Hornets by 4.5.

1:00 PM ET (Game 801-802)

It seemed like people went a bit overboard when the Blake Griffin trade went down. Everyone expected the Pistons to get to the playoffs despite Griffin being an overrated player. Everyone seemingly expects Detroit to win this game, as a high percentage of straight and moneyline bets are on them. I actually like the Hornets, as they are finally playing like the team I expected them to be a couple of months ago.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Hornets -4.5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Saturday, Feb. 24, 2017 (2-0, +$400)


Oklahoma City Thunder at Golden State Warriors.
Line: Warriors by 9.5.

8:30 PM ET (Game 507-508)

The last time these teams met, the Thunder blasted the Warriors by 20. This was when everyone in the media thought Golden State was in trouble. Now, the Warriors, who are back on track, should be able to make a big statement tonight. This spread is -9.5 at Bovada, which is obviously better than all of the other -10s.

NBA Pick: Warriors -9.5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200


Portland Trailblazers at Phoenix Suns.
Line: Trail Blazers by 7.

9:00 PM ET (Game 511-512)

Both of these teams played last night. The Blazers continued their hot streak, winning at Utah. The Suns, meanwhile, dropped their eighth in a row. This is a great time to sell high on Portland, as I expect the Blazers to be lazy tonight in a possible no-show. The Suns look appealing at +7, available at Bovada.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Suns +7 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Thursday, Feb. 22, 2017 (0-1, -$220)


Philadelphia 76ers at Chicago Bulls.
Line: 76ers by 7.

8:00 PM ET (Game 557-558)

This may seem like a square side, but the 76ers should win easily tonight. They're one of the better teams in the NBA if Joel Embiid is playing, while the Bulls are in full tank mode.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: 76ers -7 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



Thursday, Feb. 15, 2017 (0-1, -$220)


Los Angeles Lakers at Minnesota Timberwolves.
Line: Timberwolves by 9.5.

9:00 PM ET (Game 503-504)

The Timberwolves should be motivated heading into the All-Star break. They've dropped three of four, and they were blown out a couple of nights ago. They should have the energy to bounce back against the Lakers, who played last night. This spread is -10 in most places, but 5Dimes has -9.5 listed. I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Timberwolves -9.5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



Wednesday, Feb. 14, 2017 (0-1, -$220)


Toronto Raptors at Chicago Bulls.
Line: Raptors by 7.

8:00 PM ET (Game 711-712)

I have to vent a little bit. I was waiting for Joel Embiid's status for the 76ers-Heat game, but getting injury information for the NBA is f***ing impossible. Take a look at this:



What the hell is that all about? Can't these people make up their minds!?

Anyway, I'm fading the Raptors again. They're on a great winning streak, but they're just 5-5 in road games since Christmas. They could be looking ahead to the All-Star break. I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Bulls +7 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



Tuesday, Feb. 13, 2017 (1-1, -$20)


Miami Heat at Toronto Raptors.
Line: Raptors by 8.

7:00 PM ET (Game 501-502)

The Heat has lost five of six, but the team played with a lot more energy in their previous game. That was because of Dwyane Wade. Sure, Wade scored just three points, but he seems to have reenergized the locker room. Toronto, meanwhile, could be looking ahead to the All-Star Break.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Heat +8 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200


Sacramento Kings at Dallas Mavericks.
Line: Mavericks by 6.5.

8:30 PM ET (Game 509-510)

Neither of these teams are good, so the public is taking the 6.5 points. I think this is a mistake. The Mavericks are a lot better than the Kings, who are absolutely miserable. Also, Sacramento has to play at Houston tomorrow night, so I'm not sure the Kings will be exerting all of their energy tonight.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Mavericks -6.5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



Monday, Feb. 12, 2017 (1-0, +$200)


Phoenix Suns at Golden State Warriors.
Line: Warriors by 15.

10:30 PM ET (Game 711-712)

The Suns are one of the worst teams in the NFL. The Warriors are the best, and they seem to have found their groove after a slump about a week ago. I can't see Phoenix sticking with a Golden State squad when the Warriors are playing well.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Warriors -15 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Sunday, Feb. 11, 2017 (0-1, -$220)


Toronto Raptors at Charlotte Hornets.
Line: Raptors by 4.

1:00 PM ET (Game 801-802)

The Raptors are on fire, while the Hornets are mired in a slump. This has opened up a great betting opportunity on Charlotte. Toronto, despite its recent winning, is a pedestrian 4-5 on the road since Christmas. The Hornets, meanwhile, are better than their record indicates. They've had some rough games lately, but will be in a better position to get back on the winning track today. This spread is +4 at Bovada right now.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Hornets +4 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



Saturday, Feb. 10, 2017 (1-0, +$200)


Los Angeles Lakers at Dallas Mavericks.
Line: Mavericks by 2.5.

8:30 PM ET (Game 511-512)

The Lakers are hot, having won four in a row. The Mavericks, conversely, have struggled, dropping seven of eight. This seems like a great opportunity to fade the Lakers and bet Dallas. The Mavericks were competitive at Golden State a couple of nights ago and could turn things around. Meanwhile, the Lakers' chemistry will be disrupted with the arrival of Isaiah Thomas.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Mavericks -2.5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Friday, Feb. 9, 2017 (0-1, -$220)


Portland Trailblazers at Sacramento Kings.
Line: Trailblazers by 5.

10:30 PM ET (Game 817-818)

Charlotte +4 was a rough loss last night, as the underdog was defeated in overtime. The Blazers prevailed in the extra session, but now they have to play in the second game of a back-to-back after traveling. This spread is a few points too high, so with that in mind, as well as Portland's fatigue, I like Sacramento tonight.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Kings +5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



Thursday, Feb. 8, 2017 (1-1, -$20)


Charlotte Hornets at Portland Trailblazers.
Line: Trailblazers by 4.

10:00 PM ET (Game 507-508)

The Blazers looked exhausted during their East Coast road trip. They're back home now, but they could still have tired legs; not to mention the distractions from being away for so long. I still like the Hornets as a play, given that they're healthy at the moment. This spread is +3 or +3.5 in most places, but it's +4 at Bovada, which is a nice number.

NBA Pick: Hornets +4 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220


Dallas Mavericks at Golden State Warriors.
Line: Warriors by 14.

10:30 PM ET (Game 511-512)

I turned on my TV yesterday, and ESPN happened to be on. The first thing I saw were the following words in big font: "What are the Warriors' flaws?" The stupid talkers were discussing how Golden State is in trouble because it has struggled lately. Yeah, OK. The Warriors haven't been focused, but this ridiculous chatter will motivate them to get back on track. They should stomp the terrible Mavericks. This spread is -14 -105 at Bovada.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Warriors -14 -105 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Wednesday, Feb. 7, 2017 (1-1, -$20)


Houston Rockets at Miami Heat.
Line: Rockets by 5.5.

7:30 PM ET (Game 703-704)

The Rockets are on fire, and everyone is impressed by their recent win over the Cavaliers. That's why there's so much action on them today. However, it's clear that this spread is too high. Miami has lost four in a row, but the team is very good with Haason Whiteside. The Heat could win this game, especially considering that the Rockets played last night.

NBA Pick: Heat +5.5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220


Minnesota Timberwolves at Cleveland Cavaliers.
Line: Timberwolves by 3.5.

8:00 PM ET (Game 707-708)

This is getting ridiculous. The Cavaliers being home underdogs against the Rockets is understandable, but the Timberwolves!? Minnesota is 1-8 in away games since Jan. 1. Let me repeat: Minnesota is 1-8 on the road since New Year's Day. How can the Timberwolves be favored by 3.5 over LeBron James? They beat Cleveland by 28 in the previous matchup, so the Cavaliers will be motivated to get back on the right track.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Cavaliers +3.5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Tuesday, Feb. 6, 2017 (1-0, +$200)


Washington Bullets at Philadelphia 76ers.
Line: 76ers by 6.5.

8:00 PM ET (Game 511-512)

The Bullets have been unstoppable without John Wall, winning their previous five games. The 76ers have lost four of five. And yet, Philadelphia is favored by 6.5. This spread is baiting the public, but the 76ers are the right side. They're the better team if Wall is out, and Washington played last night.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: 76ers -6.5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Monday, Feb. 5, 2017 (0-1, -$220)


Orlando Magic at Miami Heat.
Line: Heat by 7.

7:30 PM ET (Game 705-706)

The spread on this game is way too low. The Heat is coming off a three-game losing streak, but will have Hassan Whiteside back in the lineup. They're a much better team with Whiteside, so they'll get back on the right track. Meanwhile, Orlando will be missing both Aaron Gordon and Nikola Vucevic, and should struggle as a consequence tonight. This spread is -8.5 in most books, but Bovada has a -7 available.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Heat -7 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



Saturday, Feb. 3, 2017 (0-1, -$220)


Houston Rockets at Cleveland Cavaliers.
Line: Rockets by 3.5.

8:30 PM ET (Game 509-510)

It's crazy that the Rockets are favored by 3.5 in Cleveland. This is a huge overreaction to what has transpired recently, and if this spread were posted 2-3 weeks ago, the Cavaliers may have been favored. Cleveland will get its act together and reach the NBA Finals, as always, and it may begin here, as it could upset a Houston squad that once again won't have Trevor Ariza or Eric Gordon.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Cavaliers +3.5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



Friday, Feb. 2, 2017 (2-0, +$400)


Indiana Pacers at Charlotte Hornets.
Line: Hornets by 3.

7:00 PM ET (Game 801-802)

The Hornets have eight fewer wins than the Pacers, who have prevailed in five of their previous six games. And yet, Indiana is favored. Why? Because A) The Hornets are healthy for the first time all year and they've been playing well lately, and B) Myles Turner is banged up and may not play. Also, the Pacers have to battle the 76ers tomorrow night.

NBA Pick: Hornets -3 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200


Portland Trailblazers at Toronto Raptors.
Line: Raptors by 4.

7:30 PM ET (Game 805-806)

The Trailblazers are red hot, making this a great time to fade them. Portland's recent winning streak has shrunk this spread, which probably would've been Toronto -8ish about 10 days ago. I love the value we're getting with the Raptors, who are a much better team.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Raptors -4 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Thursday, Feb. 1, 2017 (0-1, -$220)


Houston Rockets at San Antonio Spurs.
Line: Rockets by 2.

8:00 PM ET (Game 505-506)

The Rockets are on fire, and they've been so impressive that they are favored in San Antonio. I have to believe that Gregg Popovich will get his team to potentially upset Houston, especially with Trevor Ariza and Eric Gordon missing for the Rockets.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Spurs +2 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



Wednesday, Jan. 31, 2017 (0-1, -$220)


Dallas Mavericks at Phoenix Suns.
Line: Mavericks by 3.

10:30 PM ET (Game 715-716)

The Timberwolves-Raptors game hurt last night, as Jimmy Butler sunk a garbage three at the buzzer to cover the spread. Hopefully there's better luck tonight. I'm going with the Mavericks, who probably look like an unappealing road favorite. Dallas, after all, has dropped eight of nine. However, the Suns are a complete mess, and it sounds like they'll be missing one of their best players, Devin Booker.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Mavericks -3 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



Tuesday, Jan. 30, 2017 (0-2, -$440)


Minnesota Timberwolves at Toronto Raptors.
Line: Raptors by 6.

7:30 PM ET (Game 505-506)

This is a very difficult scheduling spot for the Timberwolves. Not only is this the second game of a back-to-back, but this is also their fifth contest in seven nights. Their tired legs will betray them against the Raptors, who seem to be getting into a groove.

NBA Pick: Raptors -6 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220


Cleveland Cavaliers at Detroit Pistons.
Line: Cavaliers by 5.5.

8:00 PM ET (Game 507-508)

The square side is sometimes the right side, and that appears to be the case in this game. I've mostly avoided betting on the Cavaliers this season - I've done it twice - because it seemed predictable that they would begin sluggishly. It seems as though they're finally turning things around, but that's just half of the story in this game. The other half is that the Pistons are going to be missing a huge chunk of their roster in the wake of the Blake Griffin trade. Griffin won't be available for this affair, so I don't see how such a short-handed, crappy team deals with the Cavaliers tonight.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Cavaliers -5.5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



Monday, Jan. 29, 2017 (0-1, -$220)


Boston Celtics at Denver Nuggets.
Line: Nuggets by 1.

9:00 PM ET (Game 711-712)

The Celtics just nearly beat the Warriors. The Nuggets, meanwhile, have an inferior record and have defeated some crappy teams at home lately. Everyone is looking at this and betting Boston - there's an obscene amount of action on the visitor - but that's the wrong way of looking at this game. The Celtics played their hearts out at Golden State, and now they have to battle an underrated Denver squad in altitude toward the end of a West Coast road trip, which will prove to be difficult. This is a letdown spot for the Celtics, while Denver will be the team playing very hard, looking to gain respect by "upsetting" Boston. This spread is -1.5 in most books, but Bovada has -1 listed.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Nuggets -1 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



Sunday, Jan. 28, 2017 (1-0, +$200)


Los Angeles Lakers at Toronto Raptors.
Line: Raptors by 10.5.

6:00 PM ET (Game 807-808)

The Lakers have won and covered eight of their previous 10. The Raptors have covered just one of six. It's no wonder the Lakers are such a public side, but it's the wrong one. This spread is way too short, as there's a huge disparity between these teams. The Raptors should be able to win this game rather easily, as the Lakers are just 2-4 on the road since Christmas.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Raptors -10.5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Saturday, Jan. 27, 2017 (1-1, -$20)


Boston Celtics at Golden State Warriors.
Line: Warriors by 10.

8:30 PM ET (Game 509-510)

The Warriors are nearly unbeatable when they are motivated, and I believe that will be the case tonight. The Celtics beat them earlier in the season, so they'll be out for revenge. The public believes this spread is too high, but I think it's about three points too low.

NBA Pick: Warriors -10 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220


Brooklyn Nets at Minnesota Timberwolves.
Line: Timberwolves by 12.

9:00 PM ET (Game 511-512)

I'm going to add the Timberwolves as a second pick tonight. The Nets played last night, and they'll be both tired and short-handed, as D'Angelo Russell and Rondae Hollis-Jefferson are both out. Jimmy Butler is listed as questionable, but I think the Timberwolves should crush the outmatched Nets no matter if he plays or not.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Timberwolves -12 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Friday, Jan. 26, 2017 (1-1, -$20)


Brooklyn Nets at Milwaukee Bucks.
Line: Bucks by 6.

8:00 PM ET (Game 809-810)

The Bucks are on a 1-7 ATS skid right now, which makes them an attractive side tonight. The public is tired of losing money on Milwaukee, which is why this spread is so deflated. The Bucks are much better than the Nets, and they're bound to have a successful streak soon. This spread should be in the -9.5 or -10 range. Also, keep in mind that the Nets have to play the Timberwolves tomorrow night, so they could conserve some energy.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Bucks -6 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200


Los Angeles Lakers at Chicago Bulls.
Line: Bulls by 4.

8:00 PM ET (Game 813-814)

Watch out for the Lakers! They've won and covered seven of nine, and they're smoking hot! Yeah, OK. Let's take this opportunity to fade a crappy team. The Bulls are the better team by far, and if this spread were posted two weeks ago, it would've been Chicago -7 or so. It's three points lower now, and the public is on the underdog, which is a great sign for the Bulls.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Bulls -4 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



Thursday, Jan. 25, 2017 (1-0, +$200)


Minnesota Timberwolves at Golden State Warriors.
Line: Warriors by 11.

10:30 PM ET (Game 507-508)

There's a chance Jimmy Butler might play tonight. The Warriors, meanwhile, are 2-6 against the spread in their previous eight games. This has forced some public action on the underdog, but I don't think Minnesota is the right side. Butler could still be out, but even if he plays, he may not be 100 percent. Also, the Timberwolves played last night, so I don't think they'll be able to keep up with the Warriors in the second half. Golden State's recent 2-6 ATS mark is actually incentive to bet the host, since it has deflated the spread a bit.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Warriors -11 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Wednesday, Jan. 24, 2017 (1-1, -$10)


New Orleans Pelicans at Charlotte Hornets.
Line: Hornets by 2.

7:00 PM ET (Game 703-704)

The Pelicans have a much better record than the Hornets, yet Charlotte is favored. This has prompted the public to bet on the underdog, but I think they have the wrong side. Charlotte is healthy now for the first time all year, so I expect the team to have success in the coming weeks. The best spread for this game at the moment is -2 -105 at Bovada.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Hornets -2 -105 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$210


Minnesota Timberwolves at Portland Trailblazers.
Line: Trailblazers by 3.5.

10:00 PM ET (Game 715-716)

Not only are the Timberwolves shorthanded - Jimmy Butler will miss this game - but they also happen to be in a tough scheduling spot, as they have to take on the Warriors tomorrow night. It wouldn't surprise me if Minnesota looked past the Trailblazers, who have won their previous six home affairs.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Trailblazers -3.5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Tuesday, Jan. 23, 2017 (0-1, -$220)


Sacramento Kings at Orlando Magic.
Line: Magic by 6.5.

7:00 PM ET (Game 501-502)

I have no idea how the Kings covered yesterday. They were down 15 or so with six minutes left, and then they lost by five. They're still terrible, and I don't think they'll cover this game, especially on no rest. The Magic has just one more win versus Sacramento, but they've played been playing better basketball lately.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Magic -6.5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



Monday, Jan. 22, 2017 (0-1, -$220)


Sacramento Kings at Charlotte Hornets.
Line: Hornets by 10.

7:00 PM ET (Game 701-702)

The Kings are a public underdog today because these teams are just five wins apart, and casual bettors think this spread is too high as a result. As I've been saying, however, the Hornets are going to be playing better in the near future because they're finally healthy. Sacramento, meanwhile, is a mess. The Kings are not competitive right now, and they also have to worry about conserving some energy for tomorrow night's game against the Magic.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Hornets -10 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



Sunday, Jan. 21, 2017 (1-0, +$200)


Brooklyn Nets at Detroit Pistons.
Line: Pistons by 6.

4:00 PM ET (Game 805-806)

The Pistons suffered an eye-opening loss against the Bullets a couple of nights ago. That said, I don't know why they're six-point favorites over the Nets. These teams are comparable with Detroit missing Reggie Jackson, so this spread is about three points too high.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Nets +6 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Saturday, Jan. 20, 2017 (1-1, -$20)


Chicago Bulls at Atlanta Hawks.
Line: Hawks by 2.

5:00 PM ET (Game 503-504)

The Bulls' recent success has given them a better record than the Hawks, yet these teams are about even. And that's not considering Kris Dunn's injury. Dunn will be out with a concussion for Chicago, so this spread is a few points too short. Despite all of this, the Bulls are a public dog.

NBA Pick: Hawks -2 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220


Los Angeles Clippers at Utah Jazz.
Line: Jazz by 1.5.

9:00 PM ET (Game 513-514)

The Clippers are on a great winning streak. The Jazz have struggled lately. The public is looking at this and betting the underdog. However, the Jazz are the better team when considering all of the Clippers' injuries. Los Angeles has gotten lucky with some of its wins recently, but its great fortune is bound to run out soon.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Jazz -1.5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Friday, Jan. 19, 2017 (0-1, -$210)


Washington Bullets at Detroit Pistons.
Line: Bullets by 1.

8:00 PM ET (Game 805-806)

The wrong team is favored in yet another Washington game. This is because the Pistons have lost three in a row and six of eight, but this is a reminder that appearances can be deceiving. Detroit has played better than its recent record indicates, so this is a great opportunity to begin betting on them. The Bullets, meanwhile, are playing some atrocious defense lately and can safely be faded. The best line available is Detroit +1 -105 at Bovada.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Pistons +1 -105 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$210



Thursday, Jan. 18, 2017 (1-0, +$200)


Minnesota Timberwolves at Houston Rockets.
Line: Rockets by 5.

9:30 PM ET (Game 505-506)

The Timberwolves have won five of six, while the Rockets will be missing Trevor Ariza and Gerald Green. Minnesota seems like the right side on the surface, but digging deeper, it appears as though that's not the case. The Rockets, who will have James Harden back from injury, are going to be highly motivated following their loss to the Clippers. Plus, it's fair to question how good the Timberwolves are. It's nice that they've won a majority of their games recently, but the last time they were victorious on the road was on New Year's Eve. Minnesota is a public dog worth fading.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Rockets -5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Wednesday, Jan. 17, 2017 (1-1, -$20)


Washington Bullets at Charlotte Hornets.
Line: Hornets by 2.

7:00 PM ET (Game 701-702)

The Bullets are a public underdog, which isn't surprising because they have a much better record than Charlotte. However, as I've been writing recently, the Hornets are going to win the majority of their games in the near future because they're fully healthy for the first time all year.

NBA Pick: Hornets -2 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200


Denver Nuggets at Los Angeles Clippers.
Line: Clippers by 3.

10:30 PM ET (Game 719-720)

The Clippers have won five in a row, and they're battling a Denver team that played last night. They seem like such an easy bet. Why are they only -3!? Tons of public money is coming in on the Clippers as well, which is not a surprise. However, I think Denver is the right side. I don't think rest is a factor because the Nuggets had a big lead last night and seemingly took the second half off in preparation for this game. Two other things: First, DeAndre Jordan is out. I know he's missed the past two games, but his absence is bound to catch up to the Clippers eventually. Second, the Clippers are coming off a big statement win over the Rockets, so I'm not sure they'll be completely focused tonight.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Nuggets +3 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



Tuesday, Jan. 16, 2017 (1-0, +$200)


Dallas Mavericks at Denver Nuggets.
Line: Nuggets by 6.

4:00 PM ET (Game 505-506)

There's a ton of public money coming in on the Nuggets, and I can't understand why. They have not been the same team since Thanksgiving, owning a losing record without Paul Millsap. They and the Mavericks practically have the same record since New Year's Day, so this spread seems about two or 2.5 points too high. Plus, Denver has to conserve some energy for a road tilt against the Clippers tomorrow.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Mavericks +6 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Monday, Jan. 15, 2017 (1-1, -$20)


Los Angeles Lakers at Memphis Grizzlies.
Line: Grizzlies by 2.5.

5:30 PM ET (Game 713-714)

The Lakers have won four in a row, which would explain why there's 50-50 action on this game despite Memphis not getting a full field goal. The Grizzlies are the slightly better team and should be favored by 3.5 under normal circumstances. These aren't normal circumstances, however, as the Lonzo Ball and Brandon Ingram both suffered injuries Saturday. They're both listed as questionable, and even if they suit up, they may not be 100 percent.

NBA Pick: Grizzlies -2.5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200


Golden State Warriors at Cleveland Cavaliers.
Line: Warriors by 6.

8:00 PM ET (Game 715-716)

The Cavaliers have been struggling mightily, but that just means this is a golden opportunity to bet them. The spread has been inflated greatly when it really should be Golden State -2.5 or -3, or so. Cleveland is more rested than the Warriors, who are playing their fourth game in six nights. Also, this is a revenge spot for the Cavaliers, who lost to Golden State on Christmas. This spread is +5.5 in most books, but Bovada has +6 available.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Cavaliers +6 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



Sunday, Jan. 14, 2017 (0-1, -$220)


New Orleans Pelicans at New York Knicks.
Line: Pelicans by 2.

3:30 PM ET (Game 803-804)

The Knicks have lost nine of 11, but that just means this is a great time to bet on them! Most of their losses have been on the road, and they're much better at home. Some people have seemed to have forgotten that, as New York is an underdog as a host. The Knicks probably would've been favored in this matchup a couple of weeks ago, so I like the value here with the home team.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Knicks +2 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



Friday, Jan. 12, 2017 (1-1, -$20)


Utah Jazz at Charlotte Hornets.
Line: Hornets by 4.5.

7:00 PM ET (Game 803-804)

I'm not sure what happened to the Hornets two nights ago, but they were extremely flat versus crappy Dallas. I still expect them to go on a winning streak now that they're healthy, and they'll be focused coming off a loss. The Jazz, meanwhile, are still banged up, as Rudy Gobert remains injured.

NBA Pick: Hornets -4.5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200


Golden State Warriors at Milwaukee Bucks.
Line: Warriors by 5.

8:00 PM ET (Game 813-814)

The Warriors are predictably getting lots of public action tonight, but the Bucks seem like they should be the play. This is a huge game for them, while Golden State might take this contest for granted, especially with tomorrow's battle against the Raptors on the horizon. The Warriors won't have Steph Curry, and while they've been successful without him, they're still going to be undermanned against a solid team looking to make a statement.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Bucks +5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



Wednesday, Jan. 10, 2017 (0-1, -$220)


Dallas Mavericks at Charlotte Hornets.
Line: Hornets by 7.5.

7:00 PM ET (Game 705-706)

This seems like a ridiculously tough spot for the Mavericks. They played last night, and this game is actually their fifth in eight days. Conversely, the Hornets have been off for the past four days. I've been writing that I expect Charlotte to go on a tear because the team is healthy for the first time all season, and I expect that to continue tonight with an easy victory over a tired Dallas squad.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Hornets -7.5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



Tuesday, Jan. 9, 2017 (1-0, +$200)


Miami Heat at Toronto Raptors.
Line: Raptors by 4.

7:30 PM ET (Game 501-502)

The Heat have pissed me off lately, winning but failing to cover the past two times I've bet on them. That can't happen tonight because they are underdogs. I still like them though. They're undervalued, as Hassan Whiteside is rounding into shape and will continue to perform better with each passing game. Meanwhile, the Raptors played last night and won't have Kyle Lowry for this contest.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Heat +4 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Monday, Jan. 8, 2017 (0-1, -$220)


Detroit Pistons at New Orleans Pelicans.
Line: Pelicans by 5.5.

8:00 PM ET (Game 709-710)

The Pelicans have dropped three of four, including a blowout loss to the Timberwolves a couple of nights ago. However, this is a good opportunity for them to get on track. They're definitely better than Detroit, and they're more rested as well. This is just their third game in 2018, while Detroit will be playing its third contest in four nights.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Pelicans -5.5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



Sunday, Jan. 7, 2017 (0-1, -$220)


Utah Jazz at Miami Heat.
Line: Heat by 4.

3:30 PM ET (Game 801-802)

This is a tough travel schedule for the Jazz. They played late in Denver on Friday night, then flew out to the East Coast, spent a night out in Miami on Saturday, and now they have an early-ish game against a Heat squad that has gotten better ever since Hasaan Whiteside returned from injury. Whiteside hasn't played particularly well lately, but his presence is important, and he could always get back on track soon.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Heat -4 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



Friday, Jan. 5, 2017 (1-1, -$20)


New York Knicks at Miami Heat.
Line: Heat by 6.

8:00 PM ET (Game 801-802)

The Heat have been banged up for most of the year, so their record isn't indicative of how good they are. They have just two more victories than the Knicks, and yet they're much better. And speaking of the Knicks, they have to be exhausted. This is their sixth game in 10 days, so their tired legs could betray them as the evening progresses.

NBA Pick: Heat -6 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220


Charlotte Hornets at Los Angeles Lakers.
Line: Hornets by 2.

10:30 PM ET (Game 819-820)

Here's another game in which the teams have records that are similar, yet the talent of the two squads aren't close. I mentioned a couple of nights ago that I expect the Hornets to go on a tear now that they're healthy for the first time in a long while. They shouldn't have much of an issue dispatching the Lakers, who have been blown out quite frequently lately.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Hornets -2 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Thursday, Jan. 4, 2017 (0-1, -$220)


Oklahoma City Thunder at Los Angeles Clippers.
Line: Thunder by 2.

10:30 PM ET (Game 503-504)

I don't understand this spread. The Clippers have a worse record than the Thunder, but only because Blake Griffin was out for a while. They're 3-0 straight up and against the spread since Griffin's return, and with Griffin, I'd say they're just as good as the Thunder. With that in mind, this line, without any rest implications, should be Clippers -3. Going further, the Thunder played last night. Granted, they didn't travel, and the win was a blowout over the Lakers, but it's still a tiny edge for the home dog. This spread is +2 at Bovada.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Clippers +2 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



Wednesday, Jan. 3, 2017 (2-0, +$400)


New York Knicks at Washington Bullets.
Line: Bullets by 9.5.

10:00 PM ET (Game 701-702)

The Knicks have to be exhausted. Not only did they play a tough game against the Spurs last night, but this is their fifth game in eight days. Their tired legs will betray them against the Bullets, who haven't played since New Year's Eve. The best number available is -9.5 -105 at Bovada.

NBA Pick: Bullets -9.5 -105 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200


Phoenix Suns at Denver Nuggets.
Line: Nuggets by 11.5.

9:00 PM ET (Game 719-720)

Here's another situation where there's a major disaprity in rest between the two teams in a matchup. The Suns are coming off a come-from-behind victory against the Hawks last night - they were down by double digits with seven minutes remaining - and now they have to play in high altitude against a rested Nuggets squad that hasn't played since Dec. 30.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.






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NBA Pick: Nuggets -11.5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Tuesday, Jan. 2, 2017 (1-0, +$200)


Charlotte Hornets at Sacramento Kings.
Line: Hornets by 4.5.

10:00 PM ET (Game 507-508)

The Hornets don't have the best record, but they've dealt with some injuries for most of the season. That's not the case anymore, as they're healthy now. I like them to start a nice winning streak, and they can begin doing so against the dreadful Kings.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Hornets -4.5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Thursday, Dec. 28, 2017 (1-0, +$200)


Minnesota Timberwolves at Milwaukee Bucks.
Line: Bucks by 4.5.

8:00 PM ET (Game 505-506)

The Bucks have dropped two in a row, but this is a nice opportunity for them to get back on the winning track. They'll be up to play Minnesota, while the Timberwolves will have far less energy. Not only did Minnesota play a tough, overtime game last night, but the team will also be missing point guard Jeff Teague, who suffered a knee injury yesterday.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Bucks -4.5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Tuesday, Dec. 26, 2017 (0-1, -$220)


Utah Jazz at Denver Nuggets.
Line: Nuggets by 5.5.

9:00 PM ET (Game 511-512)

The narrative heading into this game is that the Jazz can't win on the road, and they've lost three of four. I don't see why they can't defeat Denver, however, as the Nuggets aren't very good. Plus, the Jazz' recent lack of success had to do with a brutal road trip with very little rest. Denver is favored by 5.5 because it beat the Warriors three days ago, but that just means that the team is due for a letdown.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Jazz +5.5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



Saturday, Dec. 23, 2017 (0-1, -$220)


Oklahoma City Thunder at Utah Jazz.
Line: Jazz by 1.5.

8:00 PM ET (Game 517-518)

I went against the Jazz a couple of days ago because they were exhausted. They're more rested now, and they also happen to be at home again. Meanwhile, the Thunder is the tired team now, having played yesterday. Recent results have skewed this spread, and I think Utah should be -4.5 at the very least with Donovan Mitchell back in the lineup.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Jazz -1.5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



Friday, Dec. 22, 2017 (0-1, -$220)


Los Angeles Clippers at Houston Rockets.
Line: Rockets by 12.5.

8:00 PM ET (Game 811-812)

This should be an easy blowout victory for the Rockets. They're coming off a loss, and they don't play again until Christmas, so I think they'll be focused for this game. Conversely, the Clippers just notched a victory, and that doesn't bode well for them in this matchup because bad teams don't handle success well.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Rockets -12.5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



Thursday, Dec. 21, 2017 (1-0, +$200)


Boston Celtics at New York Knicks.
Line: Celtics by 3.5.

8:00 PM ET (Game 505-506)

I apologize for waiting until 50 minutes prior to tip-off to post this pick, but I was waiting on Kristaps Porzingis' status. Porzingis is in the lineup, so I like the Knicks. They've been very good at home, while the Celtics have fallen back to Earth following their unreal winning streak. They've covered just three times this month! Furthermore, Boston is on the latter half of a back-to-back, and it's playing its ninth game in 14 days, so the team has to be exhausted. This spread is +2.5 in most books, but it's +3.5 -115 at Bovada. That's a better number than +2.5 by about 1.5 percent.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Knicks +3.5 -115 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Wednesday, Dec. 20, 2017 (1-0, +$200)


Utah Jazz at Oklahoma City Thunder.
Line: Thunder by 7.5.

8:00 PM ET (Game 709-710)

The Jazz are undermanned and exhausted. They're going to be missing two starters tonight, Rudy Gobert and Donovan Mitchell, and this is their fourth road game in six nights. Making matters worse, they have to play the Spurs tomorrow night! The Thunder has been playing better lately and should run away with this game in the second half versus Utah's tired legs. Bovada has this juice at -105.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Thunder -7.5 -105 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Tuesday, Dec. 19, 2017 (1-0, +$200)


Cleveland Cavaliers at Milwaukee Bucks.
Line: Cavaliers by 2.

8:00 PM ET (Game 505-506)

The Cavaliers are getting a ridiculous 85 percent of the action tonight, despite the fact that they've covered just two of their previous nine games. The Bucks have lost some recent contests themselves, but they almost knocked off the Rockets on Saturday night. Milwaukee should be favored, so I'm taking the home dog. This spread is +2 -105 at Bovada.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Bucks +2 -105 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Monday, Dec. 18, 2017 (0-1, -$220)


Portland Trailblazers at Minnesota Timberwolves.
Line: Timberwolves by 4.

8:00 PM ET (Game 713-714)

The Timberwolves are coming off an embarrassing home loss against the Suns despite being double-digit favorites. That has dropped this spread down from what it should be, which is about -6 or so. The Blazers have won some nice games during their road trip, but this is their third away game in four nights, so fatigue could begin setting in.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Timberwolves -4 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



Saturday, Dec. 16, 2017 (2-0, +$400)


Utah Jazz at Cleveland Cavaliers.
Line: Cavaliers by 9.5.

7:30 PM ET (Game 503-504)

I hit with the Jazz last night, and I'm going to pick them again today. This spread is way too high; my number is Cleveland -6, so we're getting tons of value. Sure, the Cavaliers are rested, while Utah played last night, but the Jazz were able to take things easy with a double-digit lead in the fourth quarter. They should have enough energy to contend with the Cavaliers.

NBA Pick: Jazz +9.5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200


Milwaukee Bucks at Houston Rockets.
Line: Rockets by 11.

8:00 PM ET (Game 511-512)

I lost with the Bucks last night, but I'm going to pick them again today. Milwaukee lost outright to Chicago, but it seemed painfully obvious, in hindsight, that it was looking forward to this game, taking the Bulls for granted as a result. The Bucks should play with much more energy tonight, while the Rockets could have a bit of a letdown following their big victory over the Spurs. This spread is a bit too high - I made this Houston -9.5 - so given the slight value and big motivational factors, Milwaukee should cover.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Bucks +11 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Friday, Dec. 15, 2017 (1-1, -$20)


Utah Jazz at Boston Celtics.
Line: Celtics by 6.

7:30 PM ET (Game 811-812)

I'll be posting two picks tonight, with Utah being the first one. The public is pounding the Celtics, yet the spread has dropped from +6 to +5 (still +6 at Bovada). It's no surprise the public likes Boston; the Celtics are considered one of the top teams in the NBA, while Utah has lost four in a row. However, the Jazz have played three tough opponents, plus the Bulls, who have caught fire recently. This seems like a get-right game for them, while the Celtics haven't been very impressive since nearly losing to Dallas in that crazy comeback. Since then, Boston has gone 5-6 against the spread, regressing to the above-average team we all thought we'd see once Gordon Hayward got hurt. My spread for this game is Boston -3 - I consider these teams even without Hayward - so I like the value we're getting with Utah.

NBA Pick: Jazz +6 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200


Chicago Bulls at Milwaukee Bucks.
Line: Bucks by 8.5.

8:00 PM ET (Game 815-816)

The talent differential between these two teams is WAY larger than 5.5 points on a neutral court (my spread for this is Milwaukee -13). However, this spread has been pushed down to -8.5/-9 (5Dimes has -8.5) because the Bulls, as mentioned, have been hot lately. That only means that we're getting some great line value because they're due to regress to the mean. The Bucks are coming off a loss, so I think they'll be focused enough to beat Chicago tonight by double digits.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.






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NBA Pick: Bucks -8.5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



Thursday, Dec. 14, 2017 (1-0, +$200)


Sacramento Kings at Minnesota Timberwolves.
Line: Timberwolves by 10.5.

8:00 PM ET (Game 507-508)

A number like 10.5 may seem like it's too high, but I don't think it's high enough. I made the Timberwolves something closer to -14. The Kings have won two of three, but they stink. Bad teams don't handle success well, so given that they're coming off a victory, I expect them to struggle at a Minnesota team looking to bounce back from an overtime loss against the 76ers, who are much better with Joel Embiid (sorry again).

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Timberwolves -10.5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Wednesday, Dec. 13, 2017 (1-0, +$200)


Milwaukee Bucks at New Orleans Pelicans.
Line: Pelicans by 2.5.

8:00 PM ET (Game 713-714)

My apologies for yesterday. I was eagerly awaiting Joel Embiid's status, and the first tweet about it I saw was that he was a late scratch. This was obviously fake news, and the 76ers won with Embiid. I've blocked this person on Twitter, so they won't fool me again. Anyway, I'm going with the Pelicans tonight. Anthony Davis is confirmed probable, so this spread should be higher. The Bucks have won three in a row, so that's why this spread is so low.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Pelicans -2.5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Tuesday, Dec. 12, 2017 (0-1, -$210)


Philadelphia 76ers at Minnesota Timberwolves.
Line: Timberwolves by 5.

9:30 PM ET (Game 509-510)

I've been waiting on whether or not Joel Embiid would play tonight or not. He's a late scratch, so I'm going to take the Timberwolves to cover against the 76ers, who have struggled without their star center.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Timberwolves -5 -105 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$210



Monday, Dec. 11, 2017 (0-1, -$220)


Toronto Raptors at Los Angeles Clippers.
Line: Raptors by 4.5.

10:30 PM ET (Game 711-712)

The Raptors played last night, but they had an easy game against Sacramento, so I don't think that'll be an issue. A bigger problem is something the Clippers have, and it's that they stink. I picked them Saturday, and they won, but bad teams have a tough time maintaining success, so Toronto should be able to win easily. This spread is -4.5 at 5Dimes.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Raptors -4.5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



Saturday, Dec. 9, 2017 (1-1, -$20)


Washington Bullets at Los Angeles Clippers.
Line: Bullets by 3.

3:30 PM ET (Game 701-702)

I don't know how the Bullets have been winning without John Wall, but I don't expect it to last. The Clippers have yet to achieve a victory without Blake Griffin, but they've been close recently, losing twice to Minnesota by six. They've had two days off to get their act together, and I think they'll be desperate for a win today.

NBA Pick: Clippers +3 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200


Utah Jazz at Milwaukee Bucks.
Line: Bucks by 2.

8:30 PM ET (Game 713-714)

I'm going to add a second pick tonight after winning the first one. I think this spread is way off. Given that the Bucks played last night, I made this Utah -5. We're getting seven points of value! I think the reason this line is so incorrect is because of the Bucks' recent success; they've won five of six. However, their victories have been against crap teams - Dallas, Sacramento twice - while the two contests Utah lost recently were to tough opponents.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Jazz +2 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



Friday, Dec. 8, 2017 (0-1, -$220)


Cleveland Pacers at Indiana Pacers.
Line: Cavaliers by 4.5.

7:00 PM ET (Game 503-504)

LeBron James is always at his best when he feels disrespected, and he has a long memory as well. I'm sure he recalls the Pacers blasting his team with a 17-point victory in the last meeting. James will be seeking revenge tonight.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Cavaliers -4.5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



Thursday, Dec. 7, 2017 (1-0, +$200)


Houston Rockets at Utah Jazz.
Line: Rockets by 6.5.

10:30 PM ET (Game 707-708)

The Rockets are one of the hottest teams in the NBA, and they're coming off three days of rest. They should be able to dismantle the Jazz, who are playing their third game in four nights, so they should be exhausted.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Rockets -6.5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Wednesday, Dec. 6, 2017 (1-0, +$200)


Memphis Grizzlies at New York Knicks.
Line: Knicks by 2.

7:30 PM ET (Game 507-508)

The Knicks have dropped five of six, but they've played some tough teams during that stretch, so they're not nearly as bad as their recent lack of success indicates. Conversely, the Grizzlies are horrific; they just snapped an 11-game losing streak, and the thing about terrible teams is that they handle success poorly. This spread should be at least -4.5.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Knicks -2 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Tuesday, Dec. 5, 2017 (0-1, -$220)


Washington Bullets at Portland Trailblazers.
Line: Trailblazers by 6.

10:00 PM ET (Game 705-706)

The Bullets have been anemic without John Wall, getting blown out last night in Utah. Now, they have to play a back-to-back game against a rested Portland squad looking to rebound from consecutive losses. This spread is lower than what I would've made it - about Portland -8.5 - so I like the favorite to cover tonight.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Trailblazers -6 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



Monday, Dec. 4, 2017 (1-0, +$200)


Orlando Magic at Charlotte Hornets.
Line: Hornets by 7.5.

7:00 PM ET (Game 503-504)

The Hornets have dropped four in a row, but they're getting Kemba Walker back from injury. This should help them rebound. Orlando, meanwhile, hasn't handled success well, going just 3-6 against the spread following their victories.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Hornets -7.5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Saturday, Dec. 2, 2017 (0-0-1, $0)


Detroit Pistons at Philadelphia 76ers.
Line: 76ers by 5.

7:30 PM ET (Game 507-508)

The 76ers lost a couple of tough games recently, but they didn't have Joel Embiid available for Boston. This is a nice opportunity for Philadelphia to get back on track, as Embiid is expected to play tonight. The Pistons, meanwhile, played last night, so their tired legs could hurt them against the youthful 76ers in the second half.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: 76ers -5 -105 (2 Units) -- Push; $0



Friday, Dec. 1, 2017 (0-1, -$210)


Golden State Warriors at Orlando Magic.
Line: Warriors by 11.

7:00 PM ET (Game 703-704)

This one is going to be a tough pill to swallow, but I'm on the Magic tonight. Yes, yes, the Warriors are the best team in the NBA, but they're a veteran team, and grizzled squads like them seldom show up to these sorts of games. The Magic will play tough and should cover the spread. The best number I see is +11 -105 at Bovada.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Magic +11 -105 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$210



Wednesday, Nov. 29, 2017 (1-0, +$200)


Miami Heat at New York Knicks.
Line: Knicks by 1.5.

7:30 PM ET (Game 709-710)

The Knicks failed to come through against the Blazers, but I think they'll rebound tonight. Part of the reason for that is Miami missing Hassan Whiteside. The Heat is a completely different team without Whiteside. In fact, I think the Knicks are superior compared to Miami without Whiteside. I think this spread should be -4.5 or -5, so we're getting some great value with the host.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Knicks -1.5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Tuesday, Nov. 28, 2017 (0-1, -$220)


Denver Nuggets at Utah Jazz.
Line: Jazz by 1.5.

10:00 PM ET (Game 507-508)

I liked the Nuggets at +2.5, which was available earlier. I was doing my NFL picks, however, so I wasn't able to get to this until now. I'm still fine with +1.5 though. The Jazz have won three of four, which I think is a mirage because they should be worse without Rudy Gobert. The wrong team is favored tonight.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Nuggets +1.5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



Monday, Nov. 27, 2017 (0-1, -$220)


Portland Trailblazers at New York Knicks.
Line: Trailblazers by 2.

7:00 PM ET (Game 705-706)

I don't really understand why the Trailblazers are favored tonight. Well, maybe I can, because they've won six of their previous seven games. However, their victories have come against bad or injured teams - they beat the Bullets, who didn't have John Wall - so they're overrated. The Knicks, who should be favored by two or three, should be able to win this game.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Knicks +2 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



Sunday, Nov. 26, 2017 (0-1, -$220)


Brooklyn Nets at Memphis Grizzlies.
Line: Grizzlies by 5.5.

6:00 PM ET (Game 505-506)

The Grizzlies have lost seven in a row, so this seems like a great opportunity to bet them. Memphis is a decent team that has had some tough games and bad luck. I like the Grizzlies to bounce back tonight against the Nets, who are one of the worst teams in the NBA.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Grizzlies -5.5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



Saturday, Nov. 25, 2017 (1-0, +$200)


Toronto Raptors at Atlanta Hawks.
Line: Raptors by 6.

7:30 PM ET (Game 707-708)

I gave the Raptors some slight consideration when the spread opened -7.5 Saturday morning, but decided to pass. However, the line has dropped to -6, and I think that gives us some decent value on the visitor; I made this spread Toronto -9. The Hawks are one of the worst teams in the NBA, and horrible squads tend to handle success very poorly. Following their three wins prior to Friday night, they were blown out after two of them. With both teams on the latter half of back-to-backs, I expect the superior squad, Toronto, to be more focused, especially after two losses.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Raptors -6 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Friday, Nov. 24, 2017 (1-0, +$200)


Detroit Pistons at Oklahoma City Thunder.
Line: Thunder by 8.

8:00 PM ET (Game 507-508)

Going against the Thunder didn't work out so well Wednesday. Betting against them in such a big game for them was a mistake in hindsight. However, I think fading them will work Friday night. They're coming off such a big win, but they've underachieved all year. I don't suddenly expect them to start playing well. Because of the victory over Golden State, this spread has been inflated. I think Oklahoma City should be favored by five or so. I love the value we're getting with Detroit.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Pistons +8 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Wednesday, Nov. 22, 2017 (1-1, -$20)


Boston Celtics at Miami Heat.
Line: Celtics by 2.

7:30 PM ET (Game 511-512)

Everyone is betting the Celtics, with about 85 percent of the money on them. I like the Heat, but this is not simply an anti-public play. The Celtics nearly lost at a horrible Dallas team a couple of nights ago, and if they play tonight like they did in that contest, they will lose. Miami has been much better with Hassan Whiteside and seems fully capable of pulling the upset.

NBA Pick: Heat +2 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200


Golden State Warriors at Oklahoma City Thunder.
Line: Warriors by 5.

8:00 PM ET (Game 515-516)

I'll be going with the public in this game. This is the lowest the Warriors have been favored all year, which is puzzling considering how they've utterly dominated the Thunder recently. They won and covered all four meetings versus Oklahoma City last year, as Kevin Durant was highly motivated to beat his former team. The Thunder hasn't quite lived up to expectations - shocker that Carmelo Anthony would disappoint! - so I think Golden State wins this one quite easily.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Warriors -5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



Monday, Nov. 20, 2017 (0-1, -$220)


Indiana Pacers at Orlando Magic.
Line: Magic by 3.5.

7:00 PM ET (Game 507-508)

The Pacers have won four of five, while the Magic have lost four in a row. This has caused this line to drop about three points from what it would've been a week ago. Considering that the Pacers played last night, Orlando should be -6.5, or at the very least -6. We're getting good value with the Magic, who have endured a tough schedule lately. I think they'll bounce back tonight.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Magic -3.5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



Sunday, Nov. 19, 2017 (1-0, +$200)


Detroit Pistons at Minnesota Timberwolves.
Line: Timberwolves by 6.

7:00 PM ET (Game 707-708)

The Timberwolves are coming off a huge victory against the Spurs and then a blowout win versus Dallas. That has inflated the spread quite a bit, so there's good value with Detroit. This line should probably be about -4, so I like Detroit tonight.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Pistons +6 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Saturday, Nov. 18, 2017 (0-1, -$220)


Los Angeles Clippers at Charlotte Hornets.
Line: Hornets by 5.

7:00 PM ET (Game 501-502)

The Clippers have dropped six in a row, so this is a great time to buy low on them. They're much better than their overall record (5-8) indicates, as many of their recent defeats have been against strong opponents. Charlotte is a bit worse than the Clippers, so I don't understand this spread. I'd make this line Charlotte -2.5 or so, meaning we're getting close to three points of value.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Clippers +5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



Friday, Nov. 17, 2017 (1-0, +$200)


New York Knicks at Toronto Raptors.
Line: Raptors by 8.

7:30 PM ET (Game 705-706)

I wanted to get this pick in as early as possible because I feel like the sharps might be all over the Raptors. This number is too short; they should be favored by double digits. The spread is deflated because the Knicks have won five of seven, but most of their victories have been against bad teams. For instance, they've beaten the Kings, Suns and Pacers. Most recently, they beat the Jazz by five, and Utah was missing Rudy Gobert. Toronto, meanwhile, is hitting its stride and shouldn't have any issues dispatching the Knicks.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Raptors -8 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Thursday, Nov. 16, 2017 (1-0, +$200)


Houston Rockets at Phoenix Suns.
Line: Rockets by 12.5.

10:30 PM ET (Game 503-504)

This is a very, very public side, as about 70 percent of the money is on Houston. However, because this line is so high (still -12.5 at 5Dimes), the handle on this contest is going to be very low compared to the other NBA game tonight as well as the Thursday Night Football affair. So, I think taking the Rockets is OK, and that's exactly what I'm going to do. Houston has played seven games this month, and five have been victories of 15-plus, with the exceptions being a close win versus the Cavaliers and a loss to the Raptors - two very good teams. The Suns, conversely, suck. The only way the Rockets don't cover is if they show up flat, but I don't think they'll do that because this is a nationally televised game.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Rockets -12.5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Wednesday, Nov. 15, 2017 (0-0-1, $0)


Detroit Pistons at Milwaukee Bucks.
Line: Bucks by 4.

8:00 PM ET (Game 717-718)

The Pistons have won five in a row, including a nice victory over Miami recently. They've also prevailed in eight of nine. However, most of their wins have come at home, and they actually haven't played an away contest since Halloween. I think this is a nice time to sell high on them, while the Bucks will be out for revenge after losing to Detroit 12 days ago.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Bucks -4 (2 Units) -- Push; $0



Tuesday, Nov. 14, 2017 (1-0, +$200)


Toronto Raptors at Houston Rockets.
Line: Rockets by 6.5.

8:00 PM ET (Game 503-504)

The Raptors have failed to cover four of their previous five games, while the Rockets have been on a tear. I think the public is looking at this line and saying, "Houston can totally win by seven or more!" I personally think this line is too high. Toronto is a very talented team as well. They've slumped a bit, but they can rebound tonight. This is a great opportunity to bet the Raptors, who probably should be +4.5 or so.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Raptors +6.5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Monday, Nov. 13, 2017 (1-0, +$200)


Denver Nuggets at Portland Trailblazers.
Line: Trailblazers by 1.

10:00 PM ET (Game 713-714)

This is the epitome of an overreaction. The Nuggets are coming off two impressive victories over the Thunder and Magic - both of which were at home, by the way - and now they play a Blazer team that has struggled the past couple of games. This has shrunk the spread. The line would've been -4 about a week ago, but now it's -1. I think the -4 number is correct, so I love the value we're getting with Portland.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Trailblazers -1 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Sunday, Nov. 12, 2017 (1-0, +$200)


Houston Rockets at Indiana Pacers.
Line: Rockets by 3.

6:00 PM ET (Game 505-506)

The Rockets are playing the latter half of a back-to-back series, but they're hitting their stride right now, and I don't think they're going to take their foot off the gas. Even with the lack of rest, I have Houston projected at -5.5, so we're getting some good value with them. The Pacers won Friday night, but battling Houston will be much different than beating up on a crappy Chicago squad.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Rockets -3 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Saturday, Nov. 11, 2017 (0-2, -$440)


Los Angeles Lakers at Milwaukee Bucks.
Line: Bucks by 6.5.

8:30 PM ET (Game 711-712)

My spread for this game is Bucks -6, and that's with these teams on equal rest. The Bucks played last night, securing a big win over the Spurs, so they could be exhausted and flat for this game against a Laker team that is coming off consecutive double-digit losses. However, one of those defeats came in a non-rest affair at Washington, which I bet on a couple of nights ago. I think we'll see a better effort out of Los Angeles tonight.

NBA Pick: Lakers +6.5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220


Orlando Magic at Denver Nuggets.
Line: Nuggets by 7.5.

9:00 PM ET (Game 717-718)

This spread seems heavy by a few points, as I made it Nuggets -4.5. Denver is coming off a big win against Oklahoma City, so this is a good time to sell high on them. The Nuggets are overrated, as they're 4-1 in their previous five games, but all of them have been at home. I understand they're hosting this contest as well, but the spread has been inflated in their favor. The Magic, meanwhile, played last night, but it's not like it exerted too much energy playing Phoenix. This is a bigger game, so I think Orlando will cover.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Magic +7.5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



Friday, Nov. 10, 2017 (0-1, -$210)


Indiana Pacers at Chicago Bulls.
Line: Pacers by 3.

7:00 PM ET (Game 701-702)

The Pacers fooled a lot of people when they beat the Cavaliers, but it turns out that doing so isn't very difficult! They've dropped four in a row, though that's a bit misleading because one game went into overtime. Still, they're not good enough to be laying a field goal on the road against the Bulls, who have been a covering machine this year. Chicago is a bad team, but it's at least been competitive, owning a 6-3 spread record. The difference between these teams is about 2-3 points, so this line should be PK, or maybe even Chicago -1. Thus, I like the Bulls, especially at +3 -105, which is available at Bovada.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Bulls +3 -105 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$210



Thursday, Nov. 9, 2017 (1-0, +$200)


Los Angeles Lakers at Washington Bullets.
Line: Bullets by 10.

7:00 PM ET (Game 701-702)

The Bullets have lost three of four, but this seems like a "get right" game for them. Plus, the Bullets' recent skid has opened up some value for them, as they should be favored by 12-13 points in this matchup. I think this spread would be correct under normal circumstances, but the Lakers are playing the second game of a back-to-back, so their tired legs could betray them in the second half.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Bullets -10 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Wednesday, Nov. 8, 2017 (1-0, +$200)


New York Knicks at Orlando Magic.
Line: Magic by 7.5.

7:00 PM ET (Game 501-502)

We missed out on a good number at -5.5, as the sharps bet this up to -7.5. I still think Orlando is worth a bet at -7.5, as my number is -7 without even taking into account the fact that the Knicks played last night. New York is overrated, as the team has been hot lately but has had wins over mediocre or worse teams for the most part.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Magic -7.5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Tuesday, Nov. 7, 2017 (0-1, -$220)


New Orleans Pelicans at Indiana Pacers.
Line: Pelicans by 1.5.

7:00 PM ET (Game 705-706)

My fade of the Pelicans will continue. They just barely beat the Bulls - the game went to overtime - and they trailed the Kings by 19 in the second half. They're overrated, and there's no reason they should be favored in Indiana. Both of these teams are about even, so the Pacers should be -2.5 or even -3 in this contest. I like the home dog.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Pacers +1.5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



Sunday, Nov. 5, 2017 (1-0, +$200)


Miami Heat at Los Angeles Clippers.
Line: Clippers by 5.5.

3:30 PM ET (Game 703-704)

A week ago, when these teams were closer in power ratings across the major sports sites, the Clippers would've been maybe -2 or so when factoring in rest. Los Angeles played yesterday, while Miami is coming had the night off, which is obviously an advantage for the Heat. Furthermore, Hassan Whiteside is back from injury. Whiteside wasn't 100 percent in his first two games on the court, but it was clear that the Heat was playing better with him in the lineup. Whiteside should be even better in his third contest, so I think we're getting considerable value with the visitor.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Heat +5.5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Saturday, Nov. 4, 2017 (1-0, +$200)


New Orleans Pelicans at Chicago Bulls.
Line: Pelicans by 6.5.

8:30 PM ET (Game 715-716)

Fading the Pelicans didn't work last night - missed the cover by a point despite a late charge - but I'm still going to keep going against them, as they are an overrated entity. The Bulls are just 2-5, but four of their games thus far have been against the Warriors, Cavaliers, Spurs and Raptors. This spread should probably be Pelicans -3, so I think we're getting considerable value with the home underdog.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Bulls +6.5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Friday, Nov. 3, 2017 (0-1, -$220)


New Orleans Pelicans at Dallas Mavericks.
Line: Pelicans by 4.5.

8:30 PM ET (Game 715-716)

It seems like the Pelicans are still being priced absurdly because of their recent victory over the Cavaliers. This is a team that was down by 19 against the Kings, so they're overrated, and I don't think they deserve to be favored by 4.5 at Dallas. Sure, the Mavericks are 1-8, but they've endured an extremely difficult schedule thus far. I think they'll get some wins over softer opponents, perhaps starting tonight.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Mavericks +4.5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



Thursday, Nov. 2, 2017 (1-0, +$200)


Los Angeles Lakers at Portland Trailblazers.
Line: Trailblazers by 6.5.

10:30 PM ET (Game 503-504)

The Blazers have to feel exhausted. They were playing in the latter game of a back-to-back, and they had an overtime affair last night. Both of these teams are in the top six of defensive efficiency, so this game figures to be low-scoring, which seems like a good sign that the underdog will cover.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Lakers +6.5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Wednesday, Nov. 1, 2017 (0-1, -$220)


Atlanta Hawks at Philadelphia 76ers.
Line: 76ers by 8.

7:00 PM ET (Game 705-706)

Remember when the 76ers began the year 0-3, and everyone figured they would be a huge disappointment? Well, so much for that! They beat the Rockets outright a couple of nights ago. That was a nice win, but victories over elite teams don't mean as much prior to February. It's important to the public though, as this spread has been inflated. The 76ers probably would've been -4.5 or -5 in this spot about a week ago. I think the true line is probably somewhere in the middle (-5.5 or -6), which means we have some good value with the Hawks, as the marginal difference between -5.5 and -8 is about 9 percent.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Hawks +8 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



Tuesday, Oct. 31, 2017 (1-0, +$200)


Detroit Pistons at Los Angeles Lakers.
Line: Pistons by 4.

10:30 PM ET (Game 507-508)

Everyone is so impressed with the Pistons, who have beaten the Warriors and Clippers lately. However, they trailed both teams by double digits at some point, but caught both of them napping in the second half. It's October, so Detroit was just trying harder. I'm not convinced the Pistons are legitimate, and I think there's a decent chance they lose to the Lakers tonight. This line would've been +1 about a week ago, so there's some good line value with Los Angeles.



NBA Pick: Lakers +4 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Monday, Oct. 30, 2017 (1-0, +$200)


Orlando Magic at New Orleans Pelicans.
Line: Pelicans by 7.5.

8:00 PM ET (Game 709-710)

I'm not sure why the Pelicans are favored by 7.5. Is it because they just crushed the Cavaliers? Cleveland just lost to New York, so I'm not sure what that means. What I do know is that four days ago, the Pelicans were down by 19 points in the second half against Sacramento. I'll take the points.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Magic +7.5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Saturday, Oct. 28, 2017 (0-2, -$230)


Boston Celtics at Miami Heat.
Line: Celtics by 2.

8:00 PM ET (Game 705-706)

I have two picks today, and if I get both right, I'll be in the black for the first time all year, so here we go! The Celtics being favored by two (at Bovada) in Miami seems odd, as they were three-point underdogs at Philadelphia a week ago. It doesn't seem right that there would be a five-point swing against comparable opponents. I like Miami to win this game.

NBA Pick: Heat +2 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220


Philadelphia 76ers at Dallas Mavericks.
Line: 76ers by 1.5.

8:30 PM ET (Game 709-710)

This is another incorrect spread. The Mavericks got off to a rough start, but they've been playing much better lately. These teams are about even, as far as I'm concerned, so the Mavericks should be favored by three or so. We're getting about 4-5 points of value with Dallas, and the -105 juice at Bovada is appealing.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Mavericks +1.5 -105 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$210



Friday, Oct. 27, 2017 (1-0, +$200)


Brooklyn Nets at New York Knicks.
Line: Knicks by 2.

7:30 PM ET (Game 505-506)

The Nets have covered almost every game this year, and they even beat the Cavaliers a couple of nights ago. The Knicks, meanwhile, are 0-3 against the spread. How can the Knicks possibly be favored? Well, I think this is all a byproduct of their schedules. The Nets have played many soft opponents - except for Cleveland - while New York's schedule has been much more difficult. I think the Knicks win this game.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Knicks -2 -105 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Thursday, Oct. 26, 2017 (0-1, -$220)


New Orleans Pelicans at Sacramento Kings.
Line: Pick.

10:30 PM ET (Game 709-710)

Argh. I wanted to get Kings +2.5 in earlier, but I got distracted and forgot to type this up. This spread has moved to pick 'em with Anthony Davis out, which is odd because it was clear that he wouldn't be playing tonight in the first place. Considering Davis' absence, the Kings should be favored by three or four points. I think we're getting good line value with them, as this is an overreaction to their loss to the Suns. I don't think that's a big deal. This is only their second home game, and in the first, they nearly took down Houston.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Kings PK (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



Wednesday, Oct. 25, 2017 (1-0, +$200)


Memphis Grizzlies at Dallas Mavericks.
Line: Grizzlies by 4.

8:30 PM ET (Game 513-514)

At the start of the season, the Mavericks might have been a short favorite over the Grizzlies at home. That is not the case anymore, as Memphis is undefeated, while Dallas is winless. However, I think this presents a good betting opportunity on the Mavericks. They definitely aren't as bad as their record says they are, so I think they can rebound against a team resting a couple of bench players tonight. Dallas +4 is available at Bovada.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Mavericks +4 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Tuesday, Oct. 24, 2017 (1-0, +$200)


Indiana Pacers at Minnesota Timberwolves.
Line: Timberwolves by 12.

8:00 PM ET (Game 707-708)

This seems like an overreaction. The Timberwolves beat the Thunder on Sunday night, and now they're suddenly showing up as high as No. 4 in the NBA.com power rankings? Umm... OK. I think this spread is priced a bit too high, even with Myles Turner set to miss this game for Indiana. The Pacers have been competitive this year, and I think they'll creep inside this spread tonight.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Pacers +12 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Monday, Oct. 23, 2017 (1-1, -$20)


Philadelphia 76ers at Detroit Pistons.
Line: Pistons by 3.5.

7:00 PM ET (Game 501-502)

Call me stubborn or stupid, but I'm going with the 76ers again. They're definitely better than their 0-3 start. The Pistons have covered every game thus far, but I think they have to regress back to the mean. The sharps took Philadelphia at +4, but I think +3 -105 (at Bovada) is a good number.

NBA Pick: 76ers +3.5 -105 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200


Memphis Grizzlies at Houston Rockets.
Line: Rockets by 7.5.

8:00 PM ET (Game 505-506)

I'm not going to be stubborn or stupid here because I'm taking Houston this time. The Grizzlies beat the Warriors on Saturday, which seemed like a fluky result to me. Prior to that victory, this line might have been +9.5 or +10, so I'm going to take the value with Houston.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Rockets -7.5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



Saturday, Oct. 21, 2017 (0-2, -$440)


Philadelphia 76ers at Toronto Raptors.
Line: Raptors by 8.

7:30 PM ET (Game 501-502)

I'm making two picks tonight, and I'm going to focus on a pair of 0-2 teams that had higher expectations entering the season. Everyone saw the 76ers lose last night to the Celtics, so I think this is a nice bounce-back game for them. I like them to cover this inflated spread. I'm pissed I missed out on the +9.5 that was available earlier, but I still like +8.

NBA Pick: 76ers +8 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220


Dallas Mavericks at Houston Rockets.
Line: Rockets by 12.

8:00 PM ET (Game 505-506)

The Mavericks have been a bigger disappointment than the 76ers. Philadelphia has at least played two quality teams; the Mavericks have lost two home games versus mediocre (at best) opponents. However, I think they had an eye on this game last night, and I think they'll play much better against the Rockets, who are still overpriced because of their opening-night victory in Golden State.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Mavericks +12 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



Friday, Oct. 20, 2017 (1-0, +$200)


Los Angeles Lakers at Phoenix Suns.
Line: Suns by 3.

10:00 PM ET (Game 719-720)

The Lakers were crushed last night, and now people on ESPN are saying that no one will want to sign with them next summer. A bit of an overreaction to one game, much? The Lakers can be competitive against the bottom half of the NBA, while Phoenix is one of the worst teams in the league.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Lakers +3 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Wednesday, Oct. 18, 2017 (0-2, -$440)


Miami Heat at Orlando Magic.
Line: Heat by 3.5.

7:00 PM ET (Game 705-706)

NBA picks are back this year, and I'm going to start off with two tonight. Both will be plays against horrible teams. Orlando sucks, and the team's home-court advantage is maybe worth one point. With that in mind, the difference between Miami and Orlando is more than 4.5 points, so the Heat should cover this spread.

NBA Pick: Heat -3.5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220


Atlanta Hawks at Dallas Mavericks.
Line: Mavericks by 5.

8:30 PM ET (Game 713-714)

Atlanta's the other horrible team I'm fading tonight. The Mavericks are a decent, young, talented team that should play with lots of enthusiasm most nights, and I don't think they should have any trouble handling the Hawks.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Mavericks -5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220


2018 NFL Mock Draft - April 23


2019 NFL Mock Draft - April 6


NFL Picks - Feb. 4


2020 NFL Mock Draft - Jan. 22


NFL Power Rankings - Jan. 15


Fantasy Football Rankings - Sept. 6


2018 NBA Mock Draft - Aug. 23










 





 

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