NBA Picks



NBA Picks (Oct. 16-22) 1-4 (-$680)
NBA Picks (Oct. 23-29) 4-4 (+$30)
NBA Picks (Oct. 30-Nov. 5) 5-2 (+$560)
NBA Picks (Nov. 6-12) 3-4 (-$270)
NBA Picks (Nov. 13-19) 3-0-1 (+$600)

2017-18 NBA Picks: 16-14-1 (+$140)
2016-17 NBA Picks: 51-67-2 (-$4,620)
2015-16 NBA Picks: 93-95-6 (-$1,305)
2014-15 NBA Picks: 62-53-4 (+$250)
2013-14 NBA Picks: 59-51-4 (+$760)
2012-13 NBA Picks: 51-45 (+$1,180)
2011-12 NBA Picks: 38-46-1 (-$3,005)
2010-11 NBA Picks: 113-89-4 (+$2,690)
2009-10 NBA Picks: 116-98-4 (+$1,375)
2008-09 NBA Picks: 122-119-6 (-$2,280)
2007-08 NBA Picks: 104-88-8 (+$1,485)
Follow @walterfootball for updates.



Friday, Nov. 17, 2017


New York Knicks at Toronto Raptors.
Line: Raptors by 8.

7:30 PM ET (Game 705-706)

I wanted to get this pick in as early as possible because I feel like the sharps might be all over the Raptors. This number is too short; they should be favored by double digits. The spread is deflated because the Knicks have won five of seven, but most of their victories have been against bad teams. For instance, they've beaten the Kings, Suns and Pacers. Most recently, they beat the Jazz by five, and Utah was missing Rudy Gobert. Toronto, meanwhile, is hitting its stride and shouldn't have any issues dispatching the Knicks.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.






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NBA Pick: Raptors -8 (2 Units)

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Thursday, Nov. 16, 2017 (1-0, +$200)


Houston Rockets at Phoenix Suns.
Line: Rockets by 12.5.

10:30 PM ET (Game 503-504)

This is a very, very public side, as about 70 percent of the money is on Houston. However, because this line is so high (still -12.5 at 5Dimes), the handle on this contest is going to be very low compared to the other NBA game tonight as well as the Thursday Night Football affair. So, I think taking the Rockets is OK, and that's exactly what I'm going to do. Houston has played seven games this month, and five have been victories of 15-plus, with the exceptions being a close win versus the Cavaliers and a loss to the Raptors - two very good teams. The Suns, conversely, suck. The only way the Rockets don't cover is if they show up flat, but I don't think they'll do that because this is a nationally televised game.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Rockets -12.5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Wednesday, Nov. 15, 2017 (0-0-1, $0)


Detroit Pistons at Milwaukee Bucks.
Line: Bucks by 4.

8:00 PM ET (Game 717-718)

The Pistons have won five in a row, including a nice victory over Miami recently. They've also prevailed in eight of nine. However, most of their wins have come at home, and they actually haven't played an away contest since Halloween. I think this is a nice time to sell high on them, while the Bucks will be out for revenge after losing to Detroit 12 days ago.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Bucks -4 (2 Units) -- Push; $0



Tuesday, Nov. 14, 2017 (1-0, +$200)


Toronto Raptors at Houston Rockets.
Line: Rockets by 6.5.

8:00 PM ET (Game 503-504)

The Raptors have failed to cover four of their previous five games, while the Rockets have been on a tear. I think the public is looking at this line and saying, "Houston can totally win by seven or more!" I personally think this line is too high. Toronto is a very talented team as well. They've slumped a bit, but they can rebound tonight. This is a great opportunity to bet the Raptors, who probably should be +4.5 or so.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Raptors +6.5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Monday, Nov. 13, 2017 (1-0, +$200)


Denver Nuggets at Portland Trailblazers.
Line: Trailblazers by 1.

10:00 PM ET (Game 713-714)

This is the epitome of an overreaction. The Nuggets are coming off two impressive victories over the Thunder and Magic - both of which were at home, by the way - and now they play a Blazer team that has struggled the past couple of games. This has shrunk the spread. The line would've been -4 about a week ago, but now it's -1. I think the -4 number is correct, so I love the value we're getting with Portland.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Trailblazers -1 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Sunday, Nov. 12, 2017 (1-0, +$200)


Houston Rockets at Indiana Pacers.
Line: Rockets by 3.

6:00 PM ET (Game 505-506)

The Rockets are playing the latter half of a back-to-back series, but they're hitting their stride right now, and I don't think they're going to take their foot off the gas. Even with the lack of rest, I have Houston projected at -5.5, so we're getting some good value with them. The Pacers won Friday night, but battling Houston will be much different than beating up on a crappy Chicago squad.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Rockets -3 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Saturday, Nov. 11, 2017 (0-2, -$440)


Los Angeles Lakers at Milwaukee Bucks.
Line: Bucks by 6.5.

8:30 PM ET (Game 711-712)

My spread for this game is Bucks -6, and that's with these teams on equal rest. The Bucks played last night, securing a big win over the Spurs, so they could be exhausted and flat for this game against a Laker team that is coming off consecutive double-digit losses. However, one of those defeats came in a non-rest affair at Washington, which I bet on a couple of nights ago. I think we'll see a better effort out of Los Angeles tonight.

NBA Pick: Lakers +6.5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220


Orlando Magic at Denver Nuggets.
Line: Nuggets by 7.5.

9:00 PM ET (Game 717-718)

This spread seems heavy by a few points, as I made it Nuggets -4.5. Denver is coming off a big win against Oklahoma City, so this is a good time to sell high on them. The Nuggets are overrated, as they're 4-1 in their previous five games, but all of them have been at home. I understand they're hosting this contest as well, but the spread has been inflated in their favor. The Magic, meanwhile, played last night, but it's not like it exerted too much energy playing Phoenix. This is a bigger game, so I think Orlando will cover.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Magic +7.5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



Friday, Nov. 10, 2017 (0-1, -$210)


Indiana Pacers at Chicago Bulls.
Line: Pacers by 3.

7:00 PM ET (Game 701-702)

The Pacers fooled a lot of people when they beat the Cavaliers, but it turns out that doing so isn't very difficult! They've dropped four in a row, though that's a bit misleading because one game went into overtime. Still, they're not good enough to be laying a field goal on the road against the Bulls, who have been a covering machine this year. Chicago is a bad team, but it's at least been competitive, owning a 6-3 spread record. The difference between these teams is about 2-3 points, so this line should be PK, or maybe even Chicago -1. Thus, I like the Bulls, especially at +3 -105, which is available at Bovada.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Bulls +3 -105 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$210



Thursday, Nov. 9, 2017 (1-0, +$200)


Los Angeles Lakers at Washington Bullets.
Line: Bullets by 10.

7:00 PM ET (Game 701-702)

The Bullets have lost three of four, but this seems like a "get right" game for them. Plus, the Bullets' recent skid has opened up some value for them, as they should be favored by 12-13 points in this matchup. I think this spread would be correct under normal circumstances, but the Lakers are playing the second game of a back-to-back, so their tired legs could betray them in the second half.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Bullets -10 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Wednesday, Nov. 8, 2017 (1-0, +$200)


New York Knicks at Orlando Magic.
Line: Magic by 7.5.

7:00 PM ET (Game 501-502)

We missed out on a good number at -5.5, as the sharps bet this up to -7.5. I still think Orlando is worth a bet at -7.5, as my number is -7 without even taking into account the fact that the Knicks played last night. New York is overrated, as the team has been hot lately but has had wins over mediocre or worse teams for the most part.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Magic -7.5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Tuesday, Nov. 7, 2017 (0-1, -$220)


New Orleans Pelicans at Indiana Pacers.
Line: Pelicans by 1.5.

7:00 PM ET (Game 705-706)

My fade of the Pelicans will continue. They just barely beat the Bulls - the game went to overtime - and they trailed the Kings by 19 in the second half. They're overrated, and there's no reason they should be favored in Indiana. Both of these teams are about even, so the Pacers should be -2.5 or even -3 in this contest. I like the home dog.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Pacers +1.5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



Sunday, Nov. 5, 2017 (1-0, +$200)


Miami Heat at Los Angeles Clippers.
Line: Clippers by 5.5.

3:30 PM ET (Game 703-704)

A week ago, when these teams were closer in power ratings across the major sports sites, the Clippers would've been maybe -2 or so when factoring in rest. Los Angeles played yesterday, while Miami is coming had the night off, which is obviously an advantage for the Heat. Furthermore, Hassan Whiteside is back from injury. Whiteside wasn't 100 percent in his first two games on the court, but it was clear that the Heat was playing better with him in the lineup. Whiteside should be even better in his third contest, so I think we're getting considerable value with the visitor.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Heat +5.5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Saturday, Nov. 4, 2017 (1-0, +$200)


New Orleans Pelicans at Chicago Bulls.
Line: Pelicans by 6.5.

8:30 PM ET (Game 715-716)

Fading the Pelicans didn't work last night - missed the cover by a point despite a late charge - but I'm still going to keep going against them, as they are an overrated entity. The Bulls are just 2-5, but four of their games thus far have been against the Warriors, Cavaliers, Spurs and Raptors. This spread should probably be Pelicans -3, so I think we're getting considerable value with the home underdog.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Bulls +6.5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Friday, Nov. 3, 2017 (0-1, -$220)


New Orleans Pelicans at Dallas Mavericks.
Line: Pelicans by 4.5.

8:30 PM ET (Game 715-716)

It seems like the Pelicans are still being priced absurdly because of their recent victory over the Cavaliers. This is a team that was down by 19 against the Kings, so they're overrated, and I don't think they deserve to be favored by 4.5 at Dallas. Sure, the Mavericks are 1-8, but they've endured an extremely difficult schedule thus far. I think they'll get some wins over softer opponents, perhaps starting tonight.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Mavericks +4.5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



Thursday, Nov. 2, 2017 (1-0, +$200)


Los Angeles Lakers at Portland Trailblazers.
Line: Trailblazers by 6.5.

10:30 PM ET (Game 503-504)

The Blazers have to feel exhausted. They were playing in the latter game of a back-to-back, and they had an overtime affair last night. Both of these teams are in the top six of defensive efficiency, so this game figures to be low-scoring, which seems like a good sign that the underdog will cover.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Lakers +6.5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Wednesday, Nov. 1, 2017 (0-1, -$220)


Atlanta Hawks at Philadelphia 76ers.
Line: 76ers by 8.

7:00 PM ET (Game 705-706)

Remember when the 76ers began the year 0-3, and everyone figured they would be a huge disappointment? Well, so much for that! They beat the Rockets outright a couple of nights ago. That was a nice win, but victories over elite teams don't mean as much prior to February. It's important to the public though, as this spread has been inflated. The 76ers probably would've been -4.5 or -5 in this spot about a week ago. I think the true line is probably somewhere in the middle (-5.5 or -6), which means we have some good value with the Hawks, as the marginal difference between -5.5 and -8 is about 9 percent.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Hawks +8 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



Tuesday, Oct. 31, 2017 (1-0, +$200)


Detroit Pistons at Los Angeles Lakers.
Line: Pistons by 4.

10:30 PM ET (Game 507-508)

Everyone is so impressed with the Pistons, who have beaten the Warriors and Clippers lately. However, they trailed both teams by double digits at some point, but caught both of them napping in the second half. It's October, so Detroit was just trying harder. I'm not convinced the Pistons are legitimate, and I think there's a decent chance they lose to the Lakers tonight. This line would've been +1 about a week ago, so there's some good line value with Los Angeles.



NBA Pick: Lakers +4 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Monday, Oct. 30, 2017 (1-0, +$200)


Orlando Magic at New Orleans Pelicans.
Line: Pelicans by 7.5.

8:00 PM ET (Game 709-710)

I'm not sure why the Pelicans are favored by 7.5. Is it because they just crushed the Cavaliers? Cleveland just lost to New York, so I'm not sure what that means. What I do know is that four days ago, the Pelicans were down by 19 points in the second half against Sacramento. I'll take the points.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Magic +7.5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Saturday, Oct. 28, 2017 (0-2, -$230)


Boston Celtics at Miami Heat.
Line: Celtics by 2.

8:00 PM ET (Game 705-706)

I have two picks today, and if I get both right, I'll be in the black for the first time all year, so here we go! The Celtics being favored by two (at Bovada) in Miami seems odd, as they were three-point underdogs at Philadelphia a week ago. It doesn't seem right that there would be a five-point swing against comparable opponents. I like Miami to win this game.

NBA Pick: Heat +2 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220


Philadelphia 76ers at Dallas Mavericks.
Line: 76ers by 1.5.

8:30 PM ET (Game 709-710)

This is another incorrect spread. The Mavericks got off to a rough start, but they've been playing much better lately. These teams are about even, as far as I'm concerned, so the Mavericks should be favored by three or so. We're getting about 4-5 points of value with Dallas, and the -105 juice at Bovada is appealing.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Mavericks +1.5 -105 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$210



Friday, Oct. 27, 2017 (1-0, +$200)


Brooklyn Nets at New York Knicks.
Line: Knicks by 2.

7:30 PM ET (Game 505-506)

The Nets have covered almost every game this year, and they even beat the Cavaliers a couple of nights ago. The Knicks, meanwhile, are 0-3 against the spread. How can the Knicks possibly be favored? Well, I think this is all a byproduct of their schedules. The Nets have played many soft opponents - except for Cleveland - while New York's schedule has been much more difficult. I think the Knicks win this game.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Knicks -2 -105 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Thursday, Oct. 26, 2017 (0-1, -$220)


New Orleans Pelicans at Sacramento Kings.
Line: Pick.

10:30 PM ET (Game 709-710)

Argh. I wanted to get Kings +2.5 in earlier, but I got distracted and forgot to type this up. This spread has moved to pick 'em with Anthony Davis out, which is odd because it was clear that he wouldn't be playing tonight in the first place. Considering Davis' absence, the Kings should be favored by three or four points. I think we're getting good line value with them, as this is an overreaction to their loss to the Suns. I don't think that's a big deal. This is only their second home game, and in the first, they nearly took down Houston.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Kings PK (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



Wednesday, Oct. 25, 2017 (1-0, +$200)


Memphis Grizzlies at Dallas Mavericks.
Line: Grizzlies by 4.

8:30 PM ET (Game 513-514)

At the start of the season, the Mavericks might have been a short favorite over the Grizzlies at home. That is not the case anymore, as Memphis is undefeated, while Dallas is winless. However, I think this presents a good betting opportunity on the Mavericks. They definitely aren't as bad as their record says they are, so I think they can rebound against a team resting a couple of bench players tonight. Dallas +4 is available at Bovada.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Mavericks +4 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Tuesday, Oct. 24, 2017 (1-0, +$200)


Indiana Pacers at Minnesota Timberwolves.
Line: Timberwolves by 12.

8:00 PM ET (Game 707-708)

This seems like an overreaction. The Timberwolves beat the Thunder on Sunday night, and now they're suddenly showing up as high as No. 4 in the NBA.com power rankings? Umm... OK. I think this spread is priced a bit too high, even with Myles Turner set to miss this game for Indiana. The Pacers have been competitive this year, and I think they'll creep inside this spread tonight.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Pacers +12 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Monday, Oct. 23, 2017 (1-1, -$20)


Philadelphia 76ers at Detroit Pistons.
Line: Pistons by 3.5.

7:00 PM ET (Game 501-502)

Call me stubborn or stupid, but I'm going with the 76ers again. They're definitely better than their 0-3 start. The Pistons have covered every game thus far, but I think they have to regress back to the mean. The sharps took Philadelphia at +4, but I think +3 -105 (at Bovada) is a good number.

NBA Pick: 76ers +3.5 -105 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200


Memphis Grizzlies at Houston Rockets.
Line: Rockets by 7.5.

8:00 PM ET (Game 505-506)

I'm not going to be stubborn or stupid here because I'm taking Houston this time. The Grizzlies beat the Warriors on Saturday, which seemed like a fluky result to me. Prior to that victory, this line might have been +9.5 or +10, so I'm going to take the value with Houston.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Rockets -7.5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



Saturday, Oct. 21, 2017 (0-2, -$440)


Philadelphia 76ers at Toronto Raptors.
Line: Raptors by 8.

7:30 PM ET (Game 501-502)

I'm making two picks tonight, and I'm going to focus on a pair of 0-2 teams that had higher expectations entering the season. Everyone saw the 76ers lose last night to the Celtics, so I think this is a nice bounce-back game for them. I like them to cover this inflated spread. I'm pissed I missed out on the +9.5 that was available earlier, but I still like +8.

NBA Pick: 76ers +8 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220


Dallas Mavericks at Houston Rockets.
Line: Rockets by 12.

8:00 PM ET (Game 505-506)

The Mavericks have been a bigger disappointment than the 76ers. Philadelphia has at least played two quality teams; the Mavericks have lost two home games versus mediocre (at best) opponents. However, I think they had an eye on this game last night, and I think they'll play much better against the Rockets, who are still overpriced because of their opening-night victory in Golden State.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Mavericks +12 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220



Friday, Oct. 20, 2017 (1-0, +$200)


Los Angeles Lakers at Phoenix Suns.
Line: Suns by 3.

10:00 PM ET (Game 719-720)

The Lakers were crushed last night, and now people on ESPN are saying that no one will want to sign with them next summer. A bit of an overreaction to one game, much? The Lakers can be competitive against the bottom half of the NBA, while Phoenix is one of the worst teams in the league.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Lakers +3 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200



Wednesday, Oct. 18, 2017 (0-2, -$440)


Miami Heat at Orlando Magic.
Line: Heat by 3.5.

7:00 PM ET (Game 705-706)

NBA picks are back this year, and I'm going to start off with two tonight. Both will be plays against horrible teams. Orlando sucks, and the team's home-court advantage is maybe worth one point. With that in mind, the difference between Miami and Orlando is more than 4.5 points, so the Heat should cover this spread.

NBA Pick: Heat -3.5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220


Atlanta Hawks at Dallas Mavericks.
Line: Mavericks by 5.

8:30 PM ET (Game 713-714)

Atlanta's the other horrible team I'm fading tonight. The Mavericks are a decent, young, talented team that should play with lots of enthusiasm most nights, and I don't think they should have any trouble handling the Hawks.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Mavericks -5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220


NFL Picks - Nov. 17


2018 NFL Mock Draft - Nov. 16


2019 NFL Mock Draft - Oct. 20


Fantasy Football Rankings - Sept. 6


2018 NBA Mock Draft - Aug. 23


NFL Power Rankings - May 5










 





 

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