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Follow @walterfootball for updates.


Friday, Dec. 9, 2016


Atlanta Hawks at Milwaukee Bucks.
Line: Bucks by 3.

8:05 PM ET (Game 707-708)

This spread doesn't make much sense to me, as the Bucks are playing so well right now. Milwaukee's only loss in the past six games was a one-point defeat to San Antonio, while the Hawks have been atrocious lately.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.




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NBA Pick: Bucks -3 (2 Units)



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Thursday, Dec. 8, 2016 (1-0, +$200)


Philadelphia 76ers at New Orleans Pelicans.
Line: Pelicans by 7.

8:05 PM ET (Game 507-508)

My return to the NBA didn't go so well, but I'll keep trying. The 76ers look good tonight, as this spread is a bit inflated. The Pelicans are not a good team, while the 76ers have been better lately, owning a 12-10 ATS record. Joel Embiid has been seeing more minutes, and Philadelphia will continue to thrive as its big man continues to get more playing time.

NBA Pick: 76ers +7 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200








Wednesday, Dec. 7, 2016 (0-1, -$220)


Cleveland Cavaliers at New York Knicks.
Line: Cavaliers by 8.5.

8:05 PM ET (Game 711-712)

I apologize for my extended absence here. I've been so busy with football stuff that I haven't had time to post NBA Picks. Not that they've been winners anyway, but still, I wish I had more time to do so. Anyway, I like the Knicks tonight. This line is inflated, as most Cleveland spreads are, which would explain why betting the Cavaliers every game is a losing proposition; they're 7-11 against the spread on the year. The Knicks, meanwhile, have played well at home (9-3 ATS), so they should be able to stay within this high number.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Knicks +8.5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220





Friday, Nov. 18, 2016 (0-1, -$220)


Detroit Pistons at Cleveland Cavaliers.
Line: Cavaliers by 9.

7:30 PM ET (Game 505-506)

The Pistons are a pretty competitive team, so this number seems to be another inflated one. The Cavaliers are just 3-7 against the spread this year, which isn't a surprise because elite teams tend to slack off at times during the early stages of a year. Cleveland could take this game a bit easy.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.



NBA Pick: Pistons +5 1H (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220





Thursday, Nov. 17, 2016 (0-1, -$220)


Philadelphia 76ers at Minnesota Timberwolves.
Line: Timberwolves by 11.5.

8:00 PM ET (Game 707-708)

The Timberwolves came into this season with a ton of hype. None of it was warranted, however, and Minnesota is now 3-7 against the spread on the season. The Timberwolves are still favored by too many points, even against the 76ers. Philadelphia has been competitive in many games this year, so why can't that happen again tonight?

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: 76ers +7 1H (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220





Wednesday, Nov. 16, 2016 (0-1, -$220)


New Orleans Pelicans at Orlando Magic.
Line: Magic by 7.

7:00 PM ET (Game 503-504)

I'm not sure who the Magic are to be laying seven against anyone. The Pelicans may seem like another bad team, but they've been better recently, covering three of their previous five, and it was nearly four of five.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Pelicans +4 1H (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220





Tuesday, Nov. 15, 2016 (0-1, -$220)


Brooklyn Nets at Los Angeles Lakers.
Line: Lakers by 7.

10:35 PM ET (Game 709-710)

The Lakers have played above expectations this year, but what about Brooklyn? Everyone was saying that the Nets would be terrible this year, but that hasn't been the case. They're covered seven of their 10 games, and they've been competitive in most of their road contests thus far. They did play last night, but I'm taking the first-half line, so I can't say I'm too concerned about that.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Nets +3.5 1H (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220





Monday, Nov. 14, 2016 (0-0-1, $0)


Orlando Magic at Indiana Pacers.
Line: Pacers by 7.5.

7:05 PM ET (Game 501-502)

I discussed the Pacers a few days ago as being overrated. They haven't done anything impressive this year, so why are they favored by 7.5? The Magic should be able to keep this close for at least the first half. It's also worth noting that Frank Vogel is coming back to Indiana for the first time, so his players could be amped up to help him get revenge.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Magic +4 1H (2 Units) -- Push; $0





Sunday, Nov. 13, 2016 (1-0, +$200)


Charlotte Hornets at Cleveland Cavaliers.
Line: Cavaliers by 8.

3:35 PM ET (Game 701-702)

Cleveland spreads tend to be overvalued because the public loves to bet on them. This line is too high, as the Hornets are very competitive. Plus, we're early in the season, so Cleveland won't be going all out in most of its games yet.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Hornets +4.5 1H (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200





Saturday, Nov. 12, 2016 (1-0, +$200)


New York Knicks at Toronto Raptors.
Line: Raptors by 7.5.

7:35 PM ET (Game 505-506)

The Knicks got off to a horrible start this year but have been playing better lately. This is a high number, so New York could cover this spread. The Raptors are coming off two big road victories at the Thunder and Hornets, so they could overlook the Knicks.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Knicks +4 1H (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200





Friday, Nov. 11, 2016 (0-1, -$220)


Sacramento Kings at Portland Trailblazers.
Line: Trailblazers by 7.

10:05 PM ET (Game 715-716)

The Trailblazers haven't exactly lived up to the hype yet this season, as they've just had some victories against middling opponents. The Kings played last night, but the beauty of the first-half line is that I don't have to worry about their tired legs in the second half.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Kings +3.5 1H (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220





Thursday, Nov. 10, 2016 (1-0, +$200)


New Orleans Pelicans at Milwaukee Bucks.
Line: Bucks by 5.5.

8:05 PM ET (Game 501-502)

I have to say that I'm loving this new strategy of just betting first-half lines. It's a lot less stressful! Anyway, I like the Pelicans tonight. They're 0-8, but it's not like they're going to finish 0-82. They've nearly won some of their games, including a recent matchup against the Bucks. They could get revenge tonight, as Milwaukee is not a good team.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Pelicans +3 1H (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200





Wednesday, Nov. 9, 2016 (1-0, +$200)


Philadelphia 76ers at Indiana Pacers.
Line: Pacers by 11.5.

7:05 PM ET (Game 709-710)

My apologies for not posting a pick in six days. The weekend was insanely busy, and then I just forgot on Monday and Tuesday before it was too late. I'm getting this pick in though, and I'm taking the 76ers again, this time on the first-half line. Philadelphia is considered to be the worst team in the NBA, but it has been competitive at times. The Pacers, meanwhile, are somehow ranked 13th on ESPN despite their wins being against the Bulls, Lakers and Mavericks, three squads that just aren't very good.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: 76ers +7 1H (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200





Thursday, Nov. 3, 2016 (0-1, -$220)


Oklahoma City Thunder at Golden State Warriors.
Line: Warriors by 11.5.

10:35 PM ET (Game 709-710)

I'm going to have to stop betting full games. I keep getting screwed in the second half. NBA games are too long, so I'd like to cut them in half going forward. That helps here, as the Warriors are usually a second-half team. This line is too high, as the Warriors continue to be overrated. They're 1-3 against the spread, which can't be a suprise. They'll get their act together eventually, but they have to gel in the meantime.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Thunder +7.5 1H (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220





Wednesday, Nov. 2, 2016 (0-1, -$220)


Philadelphia 76ers at Charlotte Hornets.
Line: Hornets by 13.

7:05 PM ET (Game 503-504)

This spread opened at -11.5, which I already thought was high, and it has soared to -13, thanks to some public action. This line doesn't make much sense to me. The Hornets aren't that good, while the 76ers aren't that bad. Philadelphia has actually covered two of its three games thus far, and it should be able to sneak inside the number.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: 76ers +13 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220





Tuesday, Nov. 1, 2016 (1-0, +$100)


Utah Jazz at San Antonio Spurs.
Line: Spurs by 10.

8:35 PM ET (Game 715-716)

I can't ever recall the Spurs ripping off so many spread victories to start the season. They've been hot, but they've had a habit of taking games off at times, and perhaps they'll do so here against the Jazz, who have underwhelmed thus far. Gordon Hayward is out, so perhaps that'll convince San Antonio that it can take Utah lightly.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Jazz +10 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Saturday, Oct. 29, 2016 (0-1, -$220)


New Orleans Pelicans at San Antonio Spurs.
Line: Spurs by 14.

8:05 PM ET (Game 513-514)

The public loves the Spurs, so Vegas has to inflate the spread in their favor. Despite this very high line, San Antonio is still getting public money, so let's take this opportunity to bet an underdog with great value. The Pelicans aren't a bad team, so they should be able to keep this game close.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Pelicans +14 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220





Friday, Oct. 28, 2016 (0-1, -$220)


Houston Rockets at Dallas Mavericks.
Line: Pick.

8:35 PM ET (Game 711-712)

I couldn't figure out why the Mavericks were favored by about three in this matchup until I recalled that the Rockets are perennially overrated. Houston actually opened up at -2, but has since been bet down by the sharps. I still don't think this number is right, as I think we're getting about three points of value with Dallas.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.



NBA Pick: Mavericks PK (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220





Thursday, Oct. 27, 2016 (0-1, -$220)


Los Angeles Clippers at Portland Trailblazers.
Line: Clippers by 2.5.

8:05 PM ET (Game 503-504)

Can someone explain to me why the Clippers are road favorites? Sure, they're a very good team, but so are the Blazers. Now, I'm aware that casual bettors are pounding Los Angeles like crazy; the Clippers are a public team for sure, given all of their stars. However, there's definitely good value with Portland tonight, as it probably should be a two-point favorite.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Blazers +2.5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220





Wednesday, Oct. 26, 2016 (1-0, +$200)


Minnesota Timberwolves at Memphis Grizzlies.
Line: Timberwolves by 1.5.

8:05 PM ET (Game 709-710)

ESPN hype machine alert! The Timberwolves are 12th in their power rankings despite not even winning 30 games last year. The public, buying into ESPN's hype, as bet the Timberwolves all the way from +3.5 to -1.5. It's insane. I know Chandler Parsons is out for the Grizzlies, but there's still a ton of value with the home dog in this spot.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.




NBA Pick: Grizzlies +1.5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200





Tuesday, Oct. 25, 2016


San Antonio Spurs at Golden State Warriors.
Line: Warriors by 9.

10:30 PM ET (Game 505-506)

Let's open the season by - surprise - taking an underdog. The Warriors have gotten all the hype this offseason, but the Spurs are still a great team. They're definitely in the top five of the NBA, and yet they're nine-point underdogs? How does that make any sense? The Warriors are incredible, obviously, but it may take them some time to gel, so I think the Spurs, who will be playing for respect, are the right side here. I actually like the first-half line more (+5.5), as the Warriors tend to go on crazy runs in the second half at home.

I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.




NBA Pick: Spurs +5.5 1H (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100



Doc�s Sports has more free NBA picks for every single game.


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2017 NFL Mock Draft - Dec. 8


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