2018 NFL Mock Draft
Published at 4/13/2018 3:30:21 PM
Each pick provided with detailed analysis and feedback is welcomed.
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Allen to the Browns has surfaced a lot recently within the media with under two weeks till the draft, in my opinion it's the wrong pick but in this scenario the Browns take the Wyoming prospect.
Allen's 56% completion percentage and his performances against tougher opponents are difficult to get over in my eyes. For instance the Iowa and Oregon games or the fact that he has 3 touchdowns and 10 interceptions against Power 5 opponents.
However, I can also understand the argument of the lack of talent around him at Wyoming and how his receivers did not help him at all and their inability to create separation affects Allen's timing and precision because he's typically throwing it late. Also Wyoming's offence attempted to utilise his big arm a lot which reduces the amount of screens or short distance throws he would need to make which would therefore boost his completion percentage up.
Darnold would suit the Browns the most in my opinion because i believe he is the least likely to 'bust' out of all the top quarterbacks and isn't that something the Browns would need to consider?
Despite the backlash this pick would get just look at the history of John Dorsey, even last year with trading up to get Mahomes for the Chiefs.
With Allen going to the Browns, this is a sure pick for Gettleman. Reports have come out how much the Giants like Darnold and if he's available they would have to get Eli's replacement. However, at this point the phones are ringing and teams like Buffalo would definitely be calling to offer both of their first round picks and more.
The Giants should not be rebuilding, the amount of talent and money they have allocated on the defense and with OBJ looking to be staying they need to look to compete with their tough division with Dak and Wentz possibly tearing up the division for the next decade. Therefore the Giants need to take Eli's replacement because I'm not the only one who's been watching Eli for the last few years, and it hasn't been pretty..
Three quarterbacks for the first three picks and yes it is certain that the Jets take a qb here after the trade with the Colts. Many have either Rosen or Mayfield here, Rosen would be my number 1 rated quarterback if it wasn't for the durability questions and the attitude. Personally i can see past the commitment questions, the alternative interpretations of Jim Mora's comments and also things such as the Trump hat. But many GMs and executives have come out and said that these are serious red flags. Also he has a tendency to take hits due to his competitiveness which has accounted for injuries and sparks questions of durability.
Mayfield is such an intriguing prospect but I don't like his fit with the Jets with their personnel, where as Rosen can be plugged in instantly into this system as he is the most NFL ready quarterback and he will also have a great veteran in Josh Mccown behind him.
The best prospect in the draft falls to the Browns, which many had the Browns taking at number one about a month ago. If Saquon is available here then I am sure Dorsey calls this in immediately.
The other option here is Bradley Chubb, however Chubb came out publicly and said that he has not hand any contact with the Browns post combine.
The first possible shock of this mock draft. Many see Minkah as a prospect valued this high, with Talib out the Broncos have had to adjust their secondary. They traded for Su'a Cravens from the Redskins which is a great pickup. Minkah's versatility sometimes gets viewed negatively, however I'm on the opposite side of that. His ability to play slot, as a high safety, or play at nickel linebacker can truly take this defense to another level.
Many have Denzel Ward at this pick however I'm not as high on Ward as many people are due to his lack of size. He's a great corner but I can only see him as a slot corner and Fitzpatrick can do that, whilst also being able to play multiple positions on the defence.
Chris Ballard will be ecstatic when he sees the player that many saw them taking at 3 falls to them at 6 after the trade. Chubb is a great prospect and in a different draft class without the quarterbacks could easily go number one. This pick makes perfect sense with the Colts pass rush being irrelevant for some time now and Ballard acquires multiple second round picks and still gets his guy.
Tampa's offensive line gets a well deserved revamp with the free agency acquisition of Ryan Jensen at centre and now picking what many to believe as the best/safest pick in the entire draft.
A popular fit here in many mock drafts with the Virginia Tech linebacker going to Chicago.
Chicago having the ability to have Edmunds on one side and Leonard Floyd on the other would be too good to pass up. Other possible fits could be Denzel Ward but Chicago can address that need later on. The player in mind i had some back and forth here would have been Roquan Smith but i prefer Edmunds versatility to play man coverage with running backs and tight ends accompanying his elite pass rush ability. Chicago has a need at ILB and OLB and Edmunds can play both whereas Roquan is strictly an ILB.
FIRST TRADE. The Bills move up just ahead of Miami to prevent any upset of missing out on the previous walk-on to Heisman winner. Baker falls in this draft, but i can easily see Buffalo trading with the Broncos or even the Colts if Chubb isn't available. This would be great value for the Bills and it would only require losing one of their first rounds and possibly a third/fourth rounder.
Hard to say that a 6 foot qb is falling when he is picked in the top 10 however the qb needy Bills jump at this opportunity. Baker could even sit and learn under AJ until he's ready to step in, but it wouldn't surprise me if he started Week 1.
The Raiders defense has needs at ILB, DT, OLB, CB and possibly safety to eventually replace Reggie. The cornerback depth in this draft means it can be addressed in later rounds, they could also select an olb in the second for instance if Arden Key from LSU drops which is highly likely due to his off the field issues.
The pick i could see over Roquan would be Vita Vea due to their need at the position and the interest they showed in Suh when he became available on the market. But Roquan fills a bigger need and can have a greater impact than the Washington DT.
With the vacancy at the position after Suh's departure, Miami fill the hole with this raw talent and great potential.
Jimmy G gets much needed help on the outside as John Lynch begins to surround him with dynamic talent, starting with Jerick McKinnon in free agency and now the Alabama wideout.
Derwin James would be a great fit in DC, with the loss of Su'a to the Broncos the Redskins are in need of a player like James. Hard hitting, rangey, versatile and a leader to command that defense.
Packers have a strong need at corner and take the best player at the position, despite his lack of size they get great value as many mocks see him as high as 5 and situated within the top 10.
The Cardinals defense is not what it used to be but still has its strengths with Peterson, Bucannon, Chandler Jones, Nkemdiche and Reddick. The perfect pick would be Minkah here to replace Honeybadger and they just miss out on Derwin James.
Therefore the Cardinals take the best defensive player available in Davenport. He might be a bit of a project but can benefit from Jones on the other side and Nkemdiche inside also disrupting the qb. Other options here are Da'ron Payne or Mike Hughes. With the safeties not falling to them and 15 being possibly too high for an offensive lineman, Steve Keim goes BPA.
TRADE ALERT. The Ravens don't see value at this pick with whats on the board and therefore trade back with a team who sees great value in it. The Saints give up their first and a third round pick to get Brees eventual replacement in what some describe as Mike Vick 2.0.
Someone is gonna pull the trigger on Lamar at some point within the first round. The Saints, Chargers and Patriots are the most reportedly interested teams and the Saints jump just in front of the Chargers to get their guy for the future.