2018 NFL Mock Draft by lehm4691 - Post-combine 2 w/ trades
Published at 3/13/2018 5:23:40 PM
This draft is updated a bit from my last one, with a different-looking top 5 and includes the Bills/Bengals trade. Kirk Cousins is gone to the Vikings, Keenum to the Broncos, Bradford to the Cardinals, and McCown to the Jets. Feel free to comment on your team or players you're familiar with. First two rounds are complete. 3rd and 4th rounds only include teams/draft order, with special notes for picks that switched hands in my mock draft.
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Although the Browns acquired Taylor from the Bills, I still think they will choose a QB here rather than let the other teams dictate who they get at #4. Although Josh Allen could be the pick here, I think Sam Darnold is more likely.
Trade! The Buffalo Bills now have the picks to trade up significantly, and it might take a trade up to the #2 spot to be able to snag their QB. I think Rosen is more pro-ready than Josh Allen, so he's the pick here for the Bills. They may offer their picks at #12 (from Cordy Glenn) and #22, their first 2nd rounder this year, and the 3rd rounder from Browns that the Bills acquired for Taylor. The could also thrown in their remaining 5th round pick (#166) to give the Giants a little more value. This would likely give the Giants enough pieces to make it worth it.
Trade! The big question here is whether having Case Keenum would stop the Broncos from aggressively going after a top rookie. But Keenum is just under contract for two years, and the deal isn't fully guaranteed so they could probably get out of the second year if it doesn't go well. The Broncos could move up here to get a stab at one of the top 3 QB's. Plenty of other teams could want to move up to here to grab their QB of the future (or Barkley or Chubb), but Denver might be more motivated. The compensation would be their 2nd round pick as well as their second 4th-rounder this year. I have them taking Josh Allen here, who I think would be a good fit in Denver. Allen could use at least a year sitting behind a good QB, and Denver would provide that situation.
Well, the Browns sit back at #4 and still land Saquan Barkley. Trading back could be a consideration, but likely only if Barkley is off the board. This should be an easy decision.
After trading back two spots, the Colts still land Chubb here. If they trade back any further, they're not likely to land him, so I think it makes sense to trade with the Broncos in this situation.
I think most likely the Jets miss out on Cousins and re-sign McCown. So if the Jets stay here, they'll likely to take whoever is left of the top 4 QB's if they think it's decent value, especially if Barkley and Chubb are already taken. They take Mayfield here, who I think is a good fit for them. Although I think it's a little high to take Mayfield, there's no great trade-up candidates here and if they like Mayfield they will want to pull the trigger. I also think if they're going after Mayfield rather than the other 3 top QB's, then they don't need to waste picks to trade up.
The Bucs could definitely address their CB position here if Chubb is off the board. Although Fitzpatrick could be the choice here, Ward has more proven CB-cover skills and has the speed and enough size to be a lock-down corner.
The Bears could take a WR here, but there don't seem to be any worth a top 10 pick. They take OG Quenton Nelson here to solidify their OL. The Bears will be interesting to watch during FA as they have plenty of needs, and what spots they don't fill in FA they may need to target in the draft, including LG.
The 49ers have probably adequately addressed their CB position that they won't need to take one here. Edge rusher and OG are the other big needs, but there's not great value. Still, I think Harold Landry is such a good fit for the 49ers that they take him here. It's never too early to draft an impact pass-rusher, as long as he pans out.
The Raiders sit back and get Fitzpatrick here. They could try him out at CB to see if he can be an impact starter there. If not, he'd make a great starting safety.
QB could be an option here, but with the top 4 gone it's probably unlikely, although Lamar Jackson could very well go in round 1. Although it's not a top need, the Dolphins need help at LB. Tremaine Edmunds would help to fill this need, and he's good value here as the likely top 4-3 LB pick.
The Giants get this pick and the #22 pick from the Bills (later picks too) when the Bills trade up to #2. The Giants really need OL help, and McGlinchey is thought to be the best OT by most. He has the size and skills to start at LT or RT, and that would help the Giants a great deal.
Adding Vea here gives the Redskins depth and fresh legs on their DL. He'd be an asset in stopping the run as well as getting pressure on the passer.
The Packers could use a difference-maker on defense, and James could be that here. He would take Morgan Burnett's place if he's not back with the team. James could be moved around the field a lot depending on the situation.
Trade! The Cardinals use this pick to swap with the Eagles' pick at the end of the round for Nick Foles (probably dependent on him signing a long-term deal), and also throw in their own 3rd rounder (still leaving them with their 3rd round comp pick in that round). Doing some addition and subtraction, this equals approximately the #28 pick in the draft, which is probably about right. Foles and Bradford would compete in Arizona, which would be a very interesting competition. And the Eagles can get a difference maker here. Although LB is a big need, they may not pass up their choice of the top WR's. Ridley isn't likely going to be a top 10 pick, but he could very well be the first WR chosen.
The Ravens miss out on Ridley but grab Sutton here. Sutton has prototypical size and the skillset to be a #1 WR, which would be a big help for Flacco as he's lacking weapons.