TheVlah's Middle of the Combine, Scenario 3-Round 2018 Mock Draft with Trades
Published at 3/4/2018 9:17:45 PM
I don't think it will happen, but Saquon Barkley dominating the combine got me to start thinking about what the draft could look like if he was drafted first overall. This is the result. Because this wasn't a serious mock and I didn't feel like thinking long and hard about it, only some quick blurbs about reasoning for the descriptions and I threw in a few (3) trades and made the following assumptions: 1) Kirk Cousins signs with the Vikings 2) Case Keenum signs with the Broncos Note: all Trades that involve solely draft picks (2 of 3) are made based on Jimmy Johnson's draft pick value chart and can be found here: https://www.pro-football-reference.com/draft/draft_trade_value.htm. The other is based on my personal guess and opinion on fair value As always let me know how bad (or good) you think it is in the comments and what you think should change and why.
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With the league slowly (re)discovering the value of a true feature back and Barkley blowing up the combine, there is legitimate talk of Barkley being in consideration at Number 1 overall. While imo it is unlikely, the Browns do have a sneaky solid offensive line that can open holes for Barkley and there are possibly 3 or 4 (depending upon who you ask) QBs who could be in consideration for a top 10 pick, whereas there is only 1 RB close to Barkley's talent level.
TRADE: Bills Send 2018 First Round Pick (21 overall), 2018 First Round Pick (22 overall) and a 2019 First Round Pick to the Giants.
With Barkley gone, and the Giants seemingly happy to stick with Eli Manning for another year or two, the new coaching staff decides to trade back and see what they have in Davis Webb as a QB of the future, while accumulating an extra 2 first round picks to fill needs.
The Bills, realizing they could have their pick of the QB prospects, jump at the chance to replace Tyrod Taylor (who, in this scenario, will get released post June 1st when they can save 15 mil in space and incur only 3 mil in dead money per https://overthecap.com/salary-cap/buffalo-bills/). Usually jumping from the 20s to the top 5 would cost multiple years of draft picks, but because of the 2 picks the Bills own this year, they can grab their QB for "only" 1 extra year of picks.
The reports about Rosen's personality are appearing to be exaggerated slightly, and with the best overall arm talent in the class, he gets the call here.
TRADE: Jest Send 2018 First Round Pick (6 Overall), 2018 Second Round Pick (37 Overall)
With the Bills jumping everyone to grab Rosen, the Jets use one of their two second round picks to jump up and make sure they get their man. While the Colts realize their guy will probably still be available at #6 and can accumulate an extra second in the process.
Darnold had some turnover issues in college, but overall, is still the safest QB prospect in this draft class.
After being jumped for Darnold and Rosen, the Browns grab the last NFL-ready QB. Mayfield gets a lot of comparisons to Johnny Manziel due to his confidence which can be seen as cockiness which won't excite Browns fans. However, I believe they aren't the same, and honestly, the Browns need someone who can come in and be confident they can turn them around and provide some energy in that locker room.
With the Broncos grabbing Case Keenum to be their QB of the near future, they can focus on other issues to their team, the biggest of which is their O-line.
After trading down the Colts get their guy to help improve on the second worst pass rush in the league with just 25 sacks on the year.
Minkah Fitzpatrick comes in the same mold as Jalen Ramsey in that he could be played as either a CB or a S. The Bucs need help at both with Brent Grimes a free agent and Vernon Hargreaves, TJ Ward, and Chris Conte underwhelming.
The Bears are currently set to lose both Prince Amukamura and Kyle Fuller in free agency.
The defense is coming together, but still ranked 22nd against the pass, they need another CB to play opposite Akhello Witherspoon. Josh Jackson has the size, ball skills to provide a Seahawks-like defense for Robert Saleh.
Even if the Raiders re-sign Navarro Bowman, he is aging and too injury prone to not have a plan B. Smith impressed in the playoffs with his ability to be around the ball and read the game. Old-fashioned Gruden will like that.
This pick provides 2 potential solutions for the Dolphins.
1) Slide Laremy Tunsil back inside to G to fill a need there
2) The Dolphins are currently 8 million over the cap (per https://overthecap.com/salary-cap/miami-dolphins/) but will be 20 million after the Robert Quinn trade finalizes. Releasing Juwaun James could save 9 million in cap space. His spot could be replaced by WIlliams
The Bengals D hasn't been the same since Reggie Nelson left town.
The Redskins were the worst Defense in the league against the run last year. Vea is a huge space eater who is surprisingly quick for his size.
Tremaine Edmunds has the size and athleticism at 6'4 240 lbs to play in any LB spot in the same mold that Clay Matthews has proved to be able to do in his time at Green Bay or Telvin Smith in Jacksonville, and Matthews is declining.
With Carson palmer retired, the Cardinals are suddenly without a plan at QB.
The Ravens need someone that Joe Flacco can get the ball to down the field and will actually catch it.